Football Meister Logo Play for free →

West Ham vs Sunderland — Premier League Prediction 24 January 2026

West Ham
West Ham
Premier League
1
VS
1
schedule 24 Jan, 12:30 · Referee: Thomas Bramall (England)
Predicted Score

Last update of insights: 30 May 2026

Sunderland
Sunderland
Final result
3 – 1
CoachAI prediction
1 – 1
✗ Outcome incorrect
Kickoff in —

Discuss this match with AI

ChatGPT Claude Perplexity Google AI Grok Reddit

Coach AI predicts a score of 1-1 for West Ham vs Sunderland in the Premier League. West Ham is the favourite with a 41% win probability. Sunderland has a 30% chance of winning and 29% ends in a draw. See the full analysis, injuries and score matrix below.

lightbulb

West Ham vs Sunderland

This is a high-stakes encounter at the London Stadium. West Ham (18th) is fighting for Premier League survival following a 10-game winless run, while newly-promoted Sunderland (8th) is a surprise European contender. Conditions will be chilly (9°C) and windy, favoring a more direct, physical style of play.

analytics

Match Scenario's

Three most likely match scenarios

36%
31%
33%
analytics
explore

Scenario Explanation

1 upset of Spurs, but their lack of defensive organization makes them vulnerable to Sunderland's clinical duo of Brobbey and Isidor. Sunderland has proven they can frustrate top sides (0-0 vs Man City), but their recent away form (6 games winless on the road) suggests they may lack the killer instinct to take all three points in East London. The 'Value Tip' lies in the Asian Handicap +0.25 for Sunderland or the 'Under 2.5 Goals' market, as both teams prioritize transitions over possession. Probability Estimates: Draw (36%), West Ham Win (31%), Sunderland Win (33%).
table_chart

Current Standings

Position in the competition

Pos Team Pld W D L GD Pts
16 Nottingham Forest FC 38 11 11 16 -3 44
17 Tottenham Hotspur FC 38 10 11 17 -9 41
18 West Ham United FC 38 10 9 19 -19 39
19 Burnley FC 38 4 10 24 -37 22
20 Wolverhampton Wanderers FC 38 3 11 24 -41 20
···
5 Liverpool FC 38 17 9 12 +10 60
6 AFC Bournemouth 38 13 18 7 +4 57
7 Sunderland AFC 38 14 12 12 -6 54
8 Brighton & Hove Albion FC 38 14 11 13 +6 53
9 Brentford FC 38 14 11 13 +3 53
West Ham
Sunderland

Projected xG by CoachAI

1.57

Home xG

1.38

Away xG

Upset Chance

Medium

Risk of unexpected result

West Ham Recent Form — Last 5

0 W · 0 D · 0 L
▲
17/1 2-1 Win vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC 1.16
6/1 1-2 Loss vs. Nottingham Forest FC
3/1 0-3 Loss vs. Wolverhampton Wanderers FC
30/12 2-2 Draw vs. Brighton & Hove Albion FC
27/12 0-1 Loss vs. Fulham FC

Sunderland Recent Form — Last 5

0 W · 0 D · 0 L
▲
17/1 2-1 Win vs. Crystal Palace FC 1.15
7/1 0-3 Loss vs. Brentford FC
4/1 1-1 Draw vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC
1/1 0-0 Draw vs. Manchester City FC
28/12 1-1 Draw vs. Leeds United FC
bolt

Key Factors

sports_soccer 1

Defensive Frailty vs. Elite Shot-Stopping: West Ham enters with a 19-game streak without a clean sheet and a high xGA (2.0 per match), while Sunderland boasts the league's highest save percentage keeper in Robin Roefs (77%).

trending_up 2

Transitional Stalemate: Both teams rank in the bottom three for average possession (~42%), indicating a game defined by counter-attacking opportunities rather than sustained territorial dominance.

person 3

The Creative Void: West Ham is without indispensable playmaker Lucas Paquetá (lower back/transfer dispute), forcing a reliance on the individual brilliance of Summerville and Bowen against Sunderland's compact 4-4-2 block.

medical_services

Injuries & Absentees

West Ham is missing Lucas Paquetá and Łukasz Fabiański; the absence of Paquetá significantly hampers central progression. Sunderland is without Arthur Masuaku (Ankle) and Bertrand Traoré (Knee). Both sides are reintegrating AFCON returnees (Diouf for WHU; Talbi and Diarra for SUN), introducing high fatigue/rotation risk for the second half.

Play along in the app!

Think you know better than Coach AI? Create your own league and predict this match in Football Meister.

Start your free league →

Frequently Asked Questions about this prediction

What is the Coach AI prediction for West Ham vs Sunderland?

Coach AI predicts a score of 1-1 with a win probability of 41% for West Ham, 29% draw and 30% for Sunderland.

What is the recent form of West Ham and Sunderland?

West Ham form (last 5): 0W-0D-0L. Sunderland form (last 5): 0W-0D-0L.

What are the injury and suspension updates for West Ham vs Sunderland?

West Ham is missing Lucas Paquetá and Łukasz Fabiański; the absence of Paquetá significantly hampers central progression. Sunderland is without Arthur Masuaku (Ankle) and Bertrand Traoré (Knee). Both sides are reintegrating AFCON returnees (Diouf for WHU; Talbi and Diarra for SUN), introducing high fatigue/rotation risk for the second half.

What are the current standings for West Ham and Sunderland in the Premier League?

West Ham are 18th in the Premier League with 39 points from 38 games. Sunderland are 7th with 54 points from 38 games.

What time does West Ham vs Sunderland kick off?

West Ham vs Sunderland kicks off on Saturday, 24 January 2026 at 13:30 (Central European Time). The match is part of the Premier League.

Who is the referee for West Ham vs Sunderland?

The referee for West Ham vs Sunderland in the Premier League is Thomas Bramall.

What are the key factors for West Ham vs Sunderland?

Coach AI identifies three decisive factors for West Ham vs Sunderland: 1. Defensive Frailty vs. Elite Shot-Stopping: West Ham enters with a 19-game streak without a clean sheet and a high xGA (2.0 per match), while Sunderland boasts the league's highest save percentage keeper in Robin Roefs (77%). 2. Transitional Stalemate: Both teams rank in the bottom three for average possession (~42%), indicating a game defined by counter-attacking opportunities rather than sustained territorial dominance. 3. The Creative Void: West Ham is without indispensable playmaker Lucas Paquetá (lower back/transfer dispute), forcing a reliance on the individual brilliance of Summerville and Bowen against Sunderland's compact 4-4-2 block..

How does Coach AI predict this match?

Coach AI analyzes thousands of data points, including xG, recent form, team news, and tactical developments for every match.

How often are these football predictions updated?

Insights are updated daily to incorporate the latest developments, injuries, and market movements.

How accurate are the Coach AI predictions?

Coach AI has analyzed over 1,000 matches. In 50% of cases, the correct outcome (home win, draw, or away win) is predicted accurately. In more than 10% of matches, the exact final score matches the prediction — significantly above the market average.

What is Coach AI's track record?

Coach AI has predicted over 1,000 matches: 50% correct outcome, 10%+ exact final score. The model consistently outperforms standard probability calculations and gives football fans the data they need to make truly informed predictions.

What data does Coach AI use for its predictions?

Coach AI combines Expected Goals (xG), recent team form over the last five matches, head-to-head records, up-to-date injury news, and tactical match-up analysis. The model is updated daily so every prediction reflects the most current information available.