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Burnley vs Tottenham — Premier League Prediction 24 January 2026

Burnley
Burnley
Premier League
0
VS
2
schedule 24 Jan, 15:00 · Referee: Peter Bankes (England)
Predicted Score

Last update of insights: 30 May 2026

Tottenham
Tottenham
Final result
2 – 2
CoachAI prediction
0 – 2
✗ Outcome incorrect
Kickoff in —

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Coach AI predicts a score of 0-2 for Burnley vs Tottenham in the Premier League. Tottenham is the favourite with a 44% win probability. Burnley has a 21% chance of winning and 35% ends in a draw. See the full analysis, injuries and score matrix below.

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Burnley vs Tottenham

Burnley are in 'survival mode' (19th) and coming off a fortunate 1-1 draw at Anfield where they conceded 3.1 xG; a regression to the mean is overdue. Tottenham (14th) are riding a high after a 2-0 Champions League win over Dortmund. The weather at Turf Moor is expected to be cold (7°C) and breezy, favoring a physical, set-piece-heavy game which Thomas Frank has specifically optimized Spurs for since taking over.

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Match Scenario's

Three most likely match scenarios

62%
58%
52%
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Scenario Explanation

The narrative suggests a 'professional away win.' While Burnley’s Dubravka is leading the league in saves, the underlying stats show Burnley are conceding too many high-quality chances (Big Chances Conceded). Tottenham's xG efficiency has been poor, but Solanke’s return is the catalyst to fix this. I expect Spurs to dominate possession (approx 62%) and exploit Burnley's lack of height at set-pieces—a trademark of Frank's tactical setup. Probability: Spurs Win (58%), Under 2.5 Goals (52%). Value Tip: Spurs to win to nil, as Burnley’s attack is heavily reliant on individual brilliance from Edwards rather than sustained pressure.
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Current Standings

Position in the competition

Pos Team Pld W D L GD Pts
15 Crystal Palace FC 38 11 12 15 -10 45
16 Nottingham Forest FC 38 11 11 16 -3 44
17 Tottenham Hotspur FC 38 10 11 17 -9 41
18 West Ham United FC 38 10 9 19 -19 39
19 Burnley FC 38 4 10 24 -37 22
20 Wolverhampton Wanderers FC 38 3 11 24 -41 20
Burnley
Tottenham

Projected xG by CoachAI

1.12

Home xG

1.55

Away xG

Upset Chance

High

Risk of unexpected result

Burnley Recent Form — Last 5

0 W · 0 D · 0 L
17/1 1-1 Draw vs. Liverpool FC 0.85
7/1 2-2 Draw vs. Manchester United FC
3/1 0-2 Loss vs. Brighton & Hove Albion FC
30/12 1-3 Loss vs. Newcastle United FC
27/12 0-0 Draw vs. Everton FC

Tottenham Recent Form — Last 5

0 W · 0 D · 0 L
▲
▼
20/1 2-0 Win vs. Borussia Dortmund 1.48
17/1 1-2 Loss vs. West Ham United FC 1.61
7/1 2-3 Loss vs. AFC Bournemouth
4/1 1-1 Draw vs. Sunderland AFC
1/1 0-0 Draw vs. Brentford FC
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Key Factors

sports_soccer 1

Tactical Shift: Thomas Frank’s pragmatic Spurs (replacing Postecoglou) prioritize defensive stability and set-piece efficiency, neutralizing Scott Parker's low-block counter-attacking strategy.

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The Solanke Factor: The return of Dominic Solanke (fresh off a UCL goal vs Dortmund) provides the clinical finishing Spurs lacked in recent xG underperformances (1.61 xG vs West Ham).

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Burnley Midfield Crisis: The loss of captain Josh Cullen (ACL) leaves a void in the pivot that Florentino Luis and Ugochukwu may struggle to fill against a returning Bissouma/Gallagher partnership.

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Injuries & Absentees

Burnley face a systemic crisis with captain Josh Cullen (ACL) and right-back Connor Roberts sidelined, stripping them of leadership and defensive transition speed. Spurs have a deeper injury list (Maddison, Kudus, Kulusevski), but the return of Micky van de Ven is a 'system-saver'—his recovery pace allows Frank to push higher without the fear of Marcus Edwards’ (ex-Spurs) pace on the counter.

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Frequently Asked Questions about this prediction

What is the Coach AI prediction for Burnley vs Tottenham?

Coach AI predicts a score of 0-2 with a win probability of 21% for Burnley, 35% draw and 44% for Tottenham.

What is the recent form of Burnley and Tottenham?

Burnley form (last 5): 0W-0D-0L. Tottenham form (last 5): 0W-0D-0L.

What are the injury and suspension updates for Burnley vs Tottenham?

Burnley face a systemic crisis with captain Josh Cullen (ACL) and right-back Connor Roberts sidelined, stripping them of leadership and defensive transition speed. Spurs have a deeper injury list (Maddison, Kudus, Kulusevski), but the return of Micky van de Ven is a 'system-saver'—his recovery pace allows Frank to push higher without the fear of Marcus Edwards’ (ex-Spurs) pace on the counter.

What are the current standings for Burnley and Tottenham in the Premier League?

Burnley are 19th in the Premier League with 22 points from 38 games. Tottenham are 17th with 41 points from 38 games.

What time does Burnley vs Tottenham kick off?

Burnley vs Tottenham kicks off on Saturday, 24 January 2026 at 16:00 (Central European Time). The match is part of the Premier League.

Who is the referee for Burnley vs Tottenham?

The referee for Burnley vs Tottenham in the Premier League is Peter Bankes.

What are the key factors for Burnley vs Tottenham?

Coach AI identifies three decisive factors for Burnley vs Tottenham: 1. Tactical Shift: Thomas Frank’s pragmatic Spurs (replacing Postecoglou) prioritize defensive stability and set-piece efficiency, neutralizing Scott Parker's low-block counter-attacking strategy. 2. The Solanke Factor: The return of Dominic Solanke (fresh off a UCL goal vs Dortmund) provides the clinical finishing Spurs lacked in recent xG underperformances (1.61 xG vs West Ham). 3. Burnley Midfield Crisis: The loss of captain Josh Cullen (ACL) leaves a void in the pivot that Florentino Luis and Ugochukwu may struggle to fill against a returning Bissouma/Gallagher partnership..

How does Coach AI predict this match?

Coach AI analyzes thousands of data points, including xG, recent form, team news, and tactical developments for every match.

How often are these football predictions updated?

Insights are updated daily to incorporate the latest developments, injuries, and market movements.

How accurate are the Coach AI predictions?

Coach AI has analyzed over 1,000 matches. In 50% of cases, the correct outcome (home win, draw, or away win) is predicted accurately. In more than 10% of matches, the exact final score matches the prediction — significantly above the market average.

What is Coach AI's track record?

Coach AI has predicted over 1,000 matches: 50% correct outcome, 10%+ exact final score. The model consistently outperforms standard probability calculations and gives football fans the data they need to make truly informed predictions.

What data does Coach AI use for its predictions?

Coach AI combines Expected Goals (xG), recent team form over the last five matches, head-to-head records, up-to-date injury news, and tactical match-up analysis. The model is updated daily so every prediction reflects the most current information available.