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Brighton Hove vs Bournemouth — Premier League Prediction 19 January 2026

Brighton Hove
Brighton Hove
Premier League
2
VS
1
schedule 19 Jan, 20:00 · Referee: Paul Tierney (England)
Predicted Score

Last update of insights: 30 May 2026

Bournemouth
Bournemouth
Final result
1 – 1
CoachAI prediction
2 – 1
✗ Outcome incorrect
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Coach AI predicts a score of 2-1 for Brighton Hove vs Bournemouth in the Premier League. Brighton Hove is the favourite with a 51% win probability. Bournemouth has a 25% chance of winning and 24% ends in a draw. See the full analysis, injuries and score matrix below.

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Brighton Hove vs Bournemouth

A high-intensity Monday Night Football clash between two high-pressing sides. Brighton (under Hürzeler) and Bournemouth (under Iraola) both rank among the highest in the league for 'Both Teams To Score' outcomes. Brighton enter as favorites, buoyed by a strong festive period and the return of key players from international duty.

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Match Scenario's

Three most likely match scenarios

33%
34%
33%
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Scenario Explanation

While Bournemouth possess a high-ceiling threat in Junior Kroupi, the sale of Semenyo removes their most explosive outlet. Brighton's tactical control and the fact that they have won four consecutive home games against Bournemouth suggest they will edge this. The high xG trends for both teams point toward a scoreline where both teams find the net, but Brighton's superior defensive structure at home should see them through.
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Current Standings

Position in the competition

Pos Team Pld W D L GD Pts
4 Aston Villa FC 38 19 8 11 +7 65
5 Liverpool FC 38 17 9 12 +10 60
6 AFC Bournemouth 38 13 18 7 +4 57
7 Sunderland AFC 38 14 12 12 -6 54
8 Brighton & Hove Albion FC 38 14 11 13 +6 53
9 Brentford FC 38 14 11 13 +3 53
10 Chelsea FC 38 14 10 14 +6 52
Brighton Hove
Bournemouth

Projected xG by CoachAI

1.75

Home xG

1.62

Away xG

Upset Chance

High

Risk of unexpected result

Brighton Hove Recent Form — Last 5

0 W · 0 D · 0 L
7/1 1-1 Draw vs. Manchester City FC
3/1 2-0 Win vs. Burnley FC
30/12 2-2 Draw vs. West Ham United FC
27/12 1-2 Loss vs. Arsenal FC
20/12 0-0 Draw vs. Sunderland AFC

Bournemouth Recent Form — Last 5

0 W · 0 D · 0 L
7/1 3-2 Win vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC
3/1 2-3 Loss vs. Arsenal FC
30/12 2-2 Draw vs. Chelsea FC
27/12 1-4 Loss vs. Brentford FC
20/12 1-1 Draw vs. Burnley FC
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Key Factors

sports_soccer 1

Bournemouth's loss of star forward Antoine Semenyo to Manchester City just prior to this match.

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Brighton's defensive resilience, recently evidenced by holding Manchester City to a 1-1 draw.

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Brighton's formidable home record at the Amex, with only two losses in their last 18 Premier League home matches.

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Defensive vulnerability for Bournemouth, who have conceded 11 goals in their last four league fixtures.

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The clinical form of 19-year-old Junior Kroupi for Bournemouth vs. Kaoru Mitoma's historically high scoring rate against the Cherries.

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Injuries & Absentees

Brighton are missing Stefanos Tzimas (ACL), Mats Wieffer (toe), and Solly March (knee), but welcome back Carlos Baleba from AFCON duty. Bournemouth are significantly depleted, missing Tyler Adams (MCL), Enes Ünal (adductor), Justin Kluivert (knee), and the departed Antoine Semenyo (transfer).

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Frequently Asked Questions about this prediction

What is the Coach AI prediction for Brighton Hove vs Bournemouth?

Coach AI predicts a score of 2-1 with a win probability of 51% for Brighton Hove, 24% draw and 25% for Bournemouth.

What is the recent form of Brighton Hove and Bournemouth?

Brighton Hove form (last 5): 0W-0D-0L. Bournemouth form (last 5): 0W-0D-0L.

What are the injury and suspension updates for Brighton Hove vs Bournemouth?

Brighton are missing Stefanos Tzimas (ACL), Mats Wieffer (toe), and Solly March (knee), but welcome back Carlos Baleba from AFCON duty. Bournemouth are significantly depleted, missing Tyler Adams (MCL), Enes Ünal (adductor), Justin Kluivert (knee), and the departed Antoine Semenyo (transfer).

What are the current standings for Brighton Hove and Bournemouth in the Premier League?

Brighton Hove are 8th in the Premier League with 53 points from 38 games. Bournemouth are 6th with 57 points from 38 games.

What time does Brighton Hove vs Bournemouth kick off?

Brighton Hove vs Bournemouth kicks off on Monday, 19 January 2026 at 21:00 (Central European Time). The match is part of the Premier League.

Who is the referee for Brighton Hove vs Bournemouth?

The referee for Brighton Hove vs Bournemouth in the Premier League is Paul Tierney.

What are the key factors for Brighton Hove vs Bournemouth?

Coach AI identifies three decisive factors for Brighton Hove vs Bournemouth: 1. Bournemouth's loss of star forward Antoine Semenyo to Manchester City just prior to this match. 2. Brighton's defensive resilience, recently evidenced by holding Manchester City to a 1-1 draw. 3. Brighton's formidable home record at the Amex, with only two losses in their last 18 Premier League home matches. 4. Defensive vulnerability for Bournemouth, who have conceded 11 goals in their last four league fixtures. 5. The clinical form of 19-year-old Junior Kroupi for Bournemouth vs. Kaoru Mitoma's historically high scoring rate against the Cherries..

How does Coach AI predict this match?

Coach AI analyzes thousands of data points, including xG, recent form, team news, and tactical developments for every match.

How often are these football predictions updated?

Insights are updated daily to incorporate the latest developments, injuries, and market movements.

How accurate are the Coach AI predictions?

Coach AI has analyzed over 1,000 matches. In 50% of cases, the correct outcome (home win, draw, or away win) is predicted accurately. In more than 10% of matches, the exact final score matches the prediction — significantly above the market average.

What is Coach AI's track record?

Coach AI has predicted over 1,000 matches: 50% correct outcome, 10%+ exact final score. The model consistently outperforms standard probability calculations and gives football fans the data they need to make truly informed predictions.

What data does Coach AI use for its predictions?

Coach AI combines Expected Goals (xG), recent team form over the last five matches, head-to-head records, up-to-date injury news, and tactical match-up analysis. The model is updated daily so every prediction reflects the most current information available.