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Tottenham vs Everton — Premier League Prediction 24 May 2026

Tottenham
Tottenham
Premier League
2
VS
1
schedule 24 May, 15:00 · Referee: Michael Oliver (England)
Predicted Score

Last update of insights: 30 May 2026

Everton
Everton
Final result
1 – 0
CoachAI prediction
2 – 1
✓ Outcome correct
Kickoff in

Coach AI predicts a score of 2-1 for Tottenham vs Everton in the Premier League. Tottenham is the favourite with a 49% win probability. Everton has a 24% chance of winning and 27% ends in a draw. See the full analysis, injuries and score matrix below.

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Tottenham vs Everton

This is a high-stakes season finale for Tottenham. Under Roberto De Zerbi, Spurs have stabilized recently but remain in a precarious 17th position. A draw is sufficient due to a vastly superior goal difference over West Ham. Everton, managed by David Moyes, is 'on the beach' following a run where European dreams evaporated. The extreme London heat (+30°C) and the presence of referee Michael Oliver (known for control) suggests a game that could be stop-start, favoring the side with higher ball retention (Spurs).

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Match Scenario's

Three most likely match scenarios

55%
30%
15%

Spurs Survival Surge

55%

Tottenham utilizes the home crowd and the return of Solanke to break down an unmotivated Everton defense that has conceded 13 goals in their last 6 games.

Heat-Induced Stalemate

30%

Extreme temperatures and water breaks disrupt the rhythm, leading to a cautious 1-1 draw that secures safety for Spurs without excessive risk.

Counter-Attack Scare

15%

Everton exploits the absence of Cristian Romero to score on the break, leading to a nervy afternoon for the North London side.

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Current Standings

Position in the competition

Pos Team Pld W D L GD Pts
11 Fulham FC 38 15 7 16 -4 52
12 Newcastle United FC 38 14 7 17 -2 49
13 Everton FC 38 13 10 15 -3 49
14 Leeds United FC 38 11 14 13 -7 47
15 Crystal Palace FC 38 11 12 15 -10 45
16 Nottingham Forest FC 38 11 11 16 -3 44
17 Tottenham Hotspur FC 38 10 11 17 -9 41
18 West Ham United FC 38 10 9 19 -19 39
19 Burnley FC 38 4 10 24 -37 22
Tottenham
Everton

Most likely scorelines

2-1 14% 1-1 12% 2-2 10%
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Correct Score Prediction

AI-calculated probability per scoreline

Most Likely Scorelines
2-1 14%
1-1 12%
2-2 10%
Everton (Away)
Tottenham (Home)
0
1
2
3
4
0
5.0%
4.0%
3.0%
1.0%
0.0%
1
7.0%
12.0%
8.0%
2.0%
1.0%
2
8.0%
14.0%
10.0%
2.0%
1.0%
3
5.0%
9.0%
6.0%
2.0%
0.0%
4
2.0%
4.0%
3.0%
1.0%
0.0%

The simultaneous absence of Romero (Spurs) and Branthwaite (Everton) combined with De Zerbi's aggressive tactics shifts weight heavily toward 'Both Teams to Score' and higher-total outcomes like 2-2 or 3-1, rather than a cagey 1-0.

Projected xG by CoachAI

1.62

Home xG

1.38

Away xG

Upset Chance

Medium

Risk of unexpected result

Tottenham Recent Form — Last 5

2 W · 2 D · 1 L
19/5 Chelsea FC 2-1 Tottenham Hotspur FC L 1.40
11/5 Tottenham Hotspur FC 1-1 Leeds United FC D 1.44
3/5 Aston Villa FC 1-2 Tottenham Hotspur FC W 1.38
25/4 Wolverhampton Wanderers FC 0-1 Tottenham Hotspur FC W 1.42
18/4 Tottenham Hotspur FC 2-2 Brighton & Hove Albion FC D 1.28

Everton Recent Form — Last 5

0 W · 2 D · 3 L
17/5 Everton FC 1-3 Sunderland AFC L 1.34
10/5 Crystal Palace FC 2-2 Everton FC D 1.18
4/5 Everton FC 3-3 Manchester City FC D 1.05
25/4 West Ham United FC 2-1 Everton FC L 1.25
19/4 Everton FC 1-2 Liverpool FC L 1.28
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Key Factors

sports_soccer 1

Survival Stakes: Tottenham (17th) needs just one point to guarantee Premier League safety, while Everton (12th) has no significant competitive motivation.

trending_up 2

Form Divergence: Spurs have picked up 8 points from their last 5 matches, whereas Everton is winless in their last 6, conceding 2+ goals in each of those games.

person 3

Injury Crisis vs. Boosts: Spurs are missing 6 key starters (Romero, Simons, Kudus) but welcome back top striker Dominic Solanke and playmaker James Maddison.

bolt 4

Heat Factor: Temperatures in London are forecast to exceed 30°C, likely leading to mandatory water breaks and a slower, more tactical match tempo.

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Injuries & Absentees

Tottenham is severely depleted defensively and creatively, missing Cristian Romero (Knee), Xavi Simons (ACL), and Mohammed Kudus (Hamstring). However, the return of Dominic Solanke and James Maddison provides a much-needed clinical edge. Everton is without star defender Jarrad Branthwaite and creative hub Jack Grealish, which significantly weakens their ability to transition and defend the box.

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Expected Lineups

Expected — may change before kickoff
Tottenham Expected

4-2-3-1

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Muani LW
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Richarlison ST
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Tel RW
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Gallagher CAM
person
Palhinha CDM
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Bentancur CM
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Udogie LB
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Danso CB
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Ven CB
person
Porro RB
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Kinsky GK

Romero and Kulusevski are huge losses; Solanke likely to start on the bench or replace Richarlison late.

Everton Expected

4-2-3-1

person
Ndiaye LW
person
Beto ST
person
Röhl RW
person
Dewsbury-Hall CAM
person
Garner CDM
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Iroegbunam CDM
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Mykolenko LB
person
Tarkowski CB
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Keane CB
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O'Brien RB
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Pickford GK

Branthwaite's absence is the primary concern for Moyes' backline.

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Frequently Asked Questions about this prediction

What is the Coach AI prediction for Tottenham vs Everton?

Coach AI predicts a score of 2-1 with a win probability of 49% for Tottenham, 27% draw and 24% for Everton.

What is the recent form of Tottenham and Everton?

Tottenham form (last 5): 2W-2D-1L. Everton form (last 5): 0W-2D-3L.

What are the injury and suspension updates for Tottenham vs Everton?

Tottenham is severely depleted defensively and creatively, missing Cristian Romero (Knee), Xavi Simons (ACL), and Mohammed Kudus (Hamstring). However, the return of Dominic Solanke and James Maddison provides a much-needed clinical edge. Everton is without star defender Jarrad Branthwaite and creative hub Jack Grealish, which significantly weakens their ability to transition and defend the box.

What is the most likely correct score for Tottenham vs Everton?

According to the score probability matrix, 2-1 is the most likely scoreline (14%), followed by 1-1 (12%) and 2-2 (10%).

What are the possible match scenarios for Tottenham vs Everton?

Spurs Survival Surge (55%): Tottenham utilizes the home crowd and the return of Solanke to break down an unmotivated Everton defense that has conceded 13 goals in their last 6 games. — Heat-Induced Stalemate (30%): Extreme temperatures and water breaks disrupt the rhythm, leading to a cautious 1-1 draw that secures safety for Spurs without excessive risk. — Counter-Attack Scare (15%): Everton exploits the absence of Cristian Romero to score on the break, leading to a nervy afternoon for the North London side.

What are the current standings for Tottenham and Everton in the Premier League?

Tottenham are 17th in the Premier League with 41 points from 38 games. Everton are 13th with 49 points from 38 games.

What are the expected lineups for Tottenham vs Everton?

Expected lineup Tottenham (4-2-3-1): Antonin Kinsky, Pedro Porro, Kevin Danso, Micky van de Ven, Destiny Udogie, Joao Palhinha, Rodrigo Bentancur, Mathys Tel, Conor Gallagher, Randal Kolo Muani, Richarlison. Expected lineup Everton (4-2-3-1): Jordan Pickford, Jake O'Brien, James Tarkowski, Michael Keane, Vitaliy Mykolenko, James Garner, Tim Iroegbunam, Merlin Röhl, K. Dewsbury-Hall, Iliman Ndiaye, Beto. Lineups are based on the most recent sources and may change before kickoff.

What time does Tottenham vs Everton kick off?

Tottenham vs Everton kicks off on Sunday, 24 May 2026 at 17:00 (Central European Time). The match is part of the Premier League.

Who is the referee for Tottenham vs Everton?

The referee for Tottenham vs Everton in the Premier League is Michael Oliver.

What are the key factors for Tottenham vs Everton?

Coach AI identifies three decisive factors for Tottenham vs Everton: 1. Survival Stakes: Tottenham (17th) needs just one point to guarantee Premier League safety, while Everton (12th) has no significant competitive motivation. 2. Form Divergence: Spurs have picked up 8 points from their last 5 matches, whereas Everton is winless in their last 6, conceding 2+ goals in each of those games. 3. Injury Crisis vs. Boosts: Spurs are missing 6 key starters (Romero, Simons, Kudus) but welcome back top striker Dominic Solanke and playmaker James Maddison. 4. Heat Factor: Temperatures in London are forecast to exceed 30°C, likely leading to mandatory water breaks and a slower, more tactical match tempo..

What are the bookmaker odds for Tottenham vs Everton?

Bookmakers give Tottenham a 51% win probability, 26% draw and Everton 23% chance of winning. Coach AI estimates 53% for {{HOME_TEAM}}, 27% draw and 20% for {{AWAY_TEAM}}.

How does Coach AI predict this match?

Coach AI analyzes thousands of data points, including xG, recent form, team news, and tactical developments for every match.

How often are these football predictions updated?

Insights are updated daily to incorporate the latest developments, injuries, and market movements.

How accurate are the Coach AI predictions?

Coach AI has analyzed over 1,000 matches. In 50% of cases, the correct outcome (home win, draw, or away win) is predicted accurately. In more than 10% of matches, the exact final score matches the prediction — significantly above the market average.

What is Coach AI's track record?

Coach AI has predicted over 1,000 matches: 50% correct outcome, 10%+ exact final score. The model consistently outperforms standard probability calculations and gives football fans the data they need to make truly informed predictions.

What data does Coach AI use for its predictions?

Coach AI combines Expected Goals (xG), recent team form over the last five matches, head-to-head records, up-to-date injury news, and tactical match-up analysis. The model is updated daily so every prediction reflects the most current information available.