Projected xG by CoachAI
Home xG
Away xG
Upset Chance
Risk of unexpected result
Nottingham Recent Form — Last 5
Bournemouth Recent Form — Last 5
Key Factors
Bournemouth is on a historic 17-match unbeaten streak (W8, D9) and motivated by the farewell of manager Andoni Iraola.
Nottingham Forest is missing their entire first-choice center-back pairing (Murillo and Boly), leaving them vulnerable to Bournemouth's high-intensity pressing.
Forest has significantly overperformed their xG in recent weeks (+5.5 goals vs xG in last 5), suggesting a cooling off is imminent against a top-six defense.
Injuries & Absentees
Nottingham Forest faces a defensive crisis with Murillo (hamstring), Willy Boly (knee), and Nicolò Savona (knee) all confirmed out. Additionally, their primary creative outlet on the wing, Callum Hudson-Odoi, is sidelined. Bournemouth is relatively healthy but will miss the industrious Ryan Christie due to suspension, likely replaced by Alex Scott in the pivot.
Expected Lineups
Expected — may change before kickoff4-2-3-1
Defensive line is heavily rotated due to injuries to Murillo and Boly.
4-2-3-1
Alex Scott replaces the suspended Ryan Christie in the double pivot.
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Start your free league →Frequently Asked Questions about this prediction
What is the Coach AI prediction for Nottingham vs Bournemouth?
Coach AI predicts a score of 1-2 with a win probability of 28% for Nottingham, 26% draw and 46% for Bournemouth.
What is the recent form of Nottingham and Bournemouth?
Nottingham form (last 5): 3W-1D-1L. Bournemouth form (last 5): 3W-2D-0L.
What are the injury and suspension updates for Nottingham vs Bournemouth?
Nottingham Forest faces a defensive crisis with Murillo (hamstring), Willy Boly (knee), and Nicolò Savona (knee) all confirmed out. Additionally, their primary creative outlet on the wing, Callum Hudson-Odoi, is sidelined. Bournemouth is relatively healthy but will miss the industrious Ryan Christie due to suspension, likely replaced by Alex Scott in the pivot.
What is the most likely correct score for Nottingham vs Bournemouth?
According to the score probability matrix, 1-2 is the most likely scoreline (14%), followed by 1-1 (12%) and 2-2 (10%).
What are the possible match scenarios for Nottingham vs Bournemouth?
Iraola Farewell Masterclass (50%): Bournemouth exploits Forest's defensive injuries with their high press, securing a narrow victory to end the season on an 18-game unbeaten run. — High-Scoring Final Day Draw (30%): A relaxed atmosphere leads to an open game where Forest's attacking efficiency and Bournemouth's poor set-piece defending result in a 2-2 stalemate. — Forest Counter-Attack Surprise (20%): Forest sits deep and punishes a high-pressing Bournemouth on the break, ending their winless PL streak against the Cherries.
What are the current standings for Nottingham and Bournemouth in the Premier League?
Nottingham are 16th in the Premier League with 44 points from 38 games. Bournemouth are 6th with 57 points from 38 games.
What are the expected lineups for Nottingham vs Bournemouth?
Expected lineup Nottingham (4-2-3-1): Matz Sels, Neco Williams, Nikola Milenkovic, Morato, Luca Netz, Nicolás Domínguez, Elliot Anderson, Morgan Gibbs-White, Omari Hutchinson, Igor Jesus, Chris Wood. Expected lineup Bournemouth (4-2-3-1): Djordje Petrovic, Adam Smith, James Hill, Marcos Senesi, Adrien Truffert, Tyler Adams, Alex Scott, Eli Junior Kroupi, Rayan, Marcus Tavernier, Evanilson. Lineups are based on the most recent sources and may change before kickoff.
What time does Nottingham vs Bournemouth kick off?
Nottingham vs Bournemouth kicks off on Sunday, 24 May 2026 at 17:00 (Central European Time). The match is part of the Premier League.
Who is the referee for Nottingham vs Bournemouth?
The referee for Nottingham vs Bournemouth in the Premier League is Craig Pawson.
What are the key factors for Nottingham vs Bournemouth?
Coach AI identifies three decisive factors for Nottingham vs Bournemouth: 1. Bournemouth is on a historic 17-match unbeaten streak (W8, D9) and motivated by the farewell of manager Andoni Iraola. 2. Nottingham Forest is missing their entire first-choice center-back pairing (Murillo and Boly), leaving them vulnerable to Bournemouth's high-intensity pressing. 3. Forest has significantly overperformed their xG in recent weeks (+5.5 goals vs xG in last 5), suggesting a cooling off is imminent against a top-six defense..
What are the bookmaker odds for Nottingham vs Bournemouth?
Bookmakers give Nottingham a 29% win probability, 26% draw and Bournemouth 45% chance of winning. Coach AI estimates 25% for {{HOME_TEAM}}, 28% draw and 47% for {{AWAY_TEAM}}.
How does Coach AI predict this match?
Coach AI analyzes thousands of data points, including xG, recent form, team news, and tactical developments for every match.
How often are these football predictions updated?
Insights are updated daily to incorporate the latest developments, injuries, and market movements.
How accurate are the Coach AI predictions?
Coach AI has analyzed over 1,000 matches. In 50% of cases, the correct outcome (home win, draw, or away win) is predicted accurately. In more than 10% of matches, the exact final score matches the prediction — significantly above the market average.
What is Coach AI's track record?
Coach AI has predicted over 1,000 matches: 50% correct outcome, 10%+ exact final score. The model consistently outperforms standard probability calculations and gives football fans the data they need to make truly informed predictions.
What data does Coach AI use for its predictions?
Coach AI combines Expected Goals (xG), recent team form over the last five matches, head-to-head records, up-to-date injury news, and tactical match-up analysis. The model is updated daily so every prediction reflects the most current information available.