Projected xG by CoachAI
Home xG
Away xG
Upset Chance
Risk of unexpected result
Fulham Recent Form — Last 5
Newcastle Recent Form — Last 5
Key Factors
Defensive Voids: Both teams are missing their defensive anchors, Joachim Andersen (suspended) for Fulham and Fabian Schär (injured) for Newcastle, significantly lowering the clean-sheet probability.
Home/Away Paradox: Fulham has earned 10 of their 14 wins at Craven Cottage (1.78 PPG), while Newcastle has struggled immensely on the road all season (only 4 away wins, 0.94 PPG).
Extreme Weather Context: A predicted 31°C-33°C heatwave in London for Matchday 38 is expected to sap energy levels, likely leading to a lower-intensity first half followed by a chaotic, high-scoring second half as tactical discipline fades.
Injuries & Absentees
Fulham is crippled defensively by the suspension of Joachim Andersen; his absence removes their primary ball-progressor and aerial specialist. Newcastle is missing Fabian Schär and Tino Livramento, plus the physical presence of Joelinton in midfield. If Sandro Tonali (hamstring) is also ruled out, Newcastle’s ability to control transitions will be severely compromised, turning the match into a 'basketball-style' end-to-end affair.
Expected Lineups
Expected — may change before kickoff4-2-3-1
Joachim Andersen is suspended; Alex Iwobi expected to drop deeper or play wide if Sessegnon fails fitness test.
4-3-3
Massive injury list in defense; Thiaw expected to partner Botman as Schär is out. Tonali faces a late fitness test.
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Start your free league →Frequently Asked Questions about this prediction
What is the Coach AI prediction for Fulham vs Newcastle?
Coach AI predicts a score of 2-2 with a win probability of 34% for Fulham, 26% draw and 40% for Newcastle.
What is the recent form of Fulham and Newcastle?
Fulham form (last 5): 1W-2D-2L. Newcastle form (last 5): 2W-1D-2L.
What are the injury and suspension updates for Fulham vs Newcastle?
Fulham is crippled defensively by the suspension of Joachim Andersen; his absence removes their primary ball-progressor and aerial specialist. Newcastle is missing Fabian Schär and Tino Livramento, plus the physical presence of Joelinton in midfield. If Sandro Tonali (hamstring) is also ruled out, Newcastle’s ability to control transitions will be severely compromised, turning the match into a 'basketball-style' end-to-end affair.
What is the most likely correct score for Fulham vs Newcastle?
According to the score probability matrix, 1-2 is the most likely scoreline (14%), followed by 1-1 (11%) and 0-2 (9%).
What are the possible match scenarios for Fulham vs Newcastle?
High-Scoring Final Day Stalemate (45%): The combination of missing key defenders and a London heatwave leads to a drop in tactical discipline, resulting in an open, high-scoring draw. — Newcastle Transitional Exploitation (30%): Newcastle’s clinical forwards (Osula/Barnes) exploit the absence of Joachim Andersen to secure a narrow away win despite their poor season-long road form. — Silva's Farewell Home Victory (25%): Fulham leverages their strong home record and emotional motivation for Marco Silva's likely last game to grind out a narrow win.
What are the current standings for Fulham and Newcastle in the Premier League?
Fulham are 11th in the Premier League with 52 points from 38 games. Newcastle are 12th with 49 points from 38 games.
What are the expected lineups for Fulham vs Newcastle?
Expected lineup Fulham (4-2-3-1): Bernd Leno, Timothy Castagne, Issa Diop, Calvin Bassey, Antonee Robinson, Sasa Lukic, Alex Iwobi, Harry Wilson, Tom Cairney, Kevin, Raul Jimenez. Expected lineup Newcastle (4-3-3): Nick Pope, Kieran Trippier, Malick Thiaw, Sven Botman, Lewis Hall, Bruno Guimarães, Joe Willock, Sandro Tonali, Harvey Barnes, William Osula, Jacob Ramsey. Lineups are based on the most recent sources and may change before kickoff.
What time does Fulham vs Newcastle kick off?
Fulham vs Newcastle kicks off on Sunday, 24 May 2026 at 17:00 (Central European Time). The match is part of the Premier League.
Who is the referee for Fulham vs Newcastle?
The referee for Fulham vs Newcastle in the Premier League is Robert Jones.
What are the key factors for Fulham vs Newcastle?
Coach AI identifies three decisive factors for Fulham vs Newcastle: 1. Defensive Voids: Both teams are missing their defensive anchors, Joachim Andersen (suspended) for Fulham and Fabian Schär (injured) for Newcastle, significantly lowering the clean-sheet probability. 2. Home/Away Paradox: Fulham has earned 10 of their 14 wins at Craven Cottage (1.78 PPG), while Newcastle has struggled immensely on the road all season (only 4 away wins, 0.94 PPG). 3. Extreme Weather Context: A predicted 31°C-33°C heatwave in London for Matchday 38 is expected to sap energy levels, likely leading to a lower-intensity first half followed by a chaotic, high-scoring second half as tactical discipline fades..
What are the bookmaker odds for Fulham vs Newcastle?
Bookmakers give Fulham a 34% win probability, 24% draw and Newcastle 42% chance of winning. Coach AI estimates 33% for {{HOME_TEAM}}, 23% draw and 44% for {{AWAY_TEAM}}.
How does Coach AI predict this match?
Coach AI analyzes thousands of data points, including xG, recent form, team news, and tactical developments for every match.
How often are these football predictions updated?
Insights are updated daily to incorporate the latest developments, injuries, and market movements.
How accurate are the Coach AI predictions?
Coach AI has analyzed over 1,000 matches. In 50% of cases, the correct outcome (home win, draw, or away win) is predicted accurately. In more than 10% of matches, the exact final score matches the prediction — significantly above the market average.
What is Coach AI's track record?
Coach AI has predicted over 1,000 matches: 50% correct outcome, 10%+ exact final score. The model consistently outperforms standard probability calculations and gives football fans the data they need to make truly informed predictions.
What data does Coach AI use for its predictions?
Coach AI combines Expected Goals (xG), recent team form over the last five matches, head-to-head records, up-to-date injury news, and tactical match-up analysis. The model is updated daily so every prediction reflects the most current information available.