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Burnley vs Wolverhampton — Premier League Prediction 24 May 2026

Burnley
Burnley
Premier League
2
VS
1
schedule 24 May, 15:00 · Referee: Andrew Kitchen (England)
Predicted Score

Last update of insights: 30 May 2026

Wolverhampton
Wolverhampton
Final result
1 – 1
CoachAI prediction
2 – 1
✗ Outcome incorrect
Kickoff in

Coach AI predicts a score of 2-1 for Burnley vs Wolverhampton in the Premier League. Burnley is the favourite with a 38% win probability. Wolverhampton has a 33% chance of winning and 29% ends in a draw. See the full analysis, injuries and score matrix below.

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Burnley vs Wolverhampton

This is a 'dead rubber' fixture as both clubs are mathematically relegated. However, the motivation lies in avoiding the ignominy of finishing 20th. Historically, Matchday 38 fixtures between relegated sides tend to see more goals as defensive structures loosen. Weather in Burnley is expected to be uncharacteristically warm (23°C) and dry, which favors a faster technical game over a physical slog. Referee Andrew Kitchen is known for a relatively lenient approach, which could allow the game to flow more freely.

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Match Scenario's

Three most likely match scenarios

45%
35%
20%

Clarets Home Farewell

45%

Burnley breaks their long home winless streak against a Wolves side that has failed to win away all season, likely finishing 2-1.

Stalemate Of The Relegated

35%

Both teams cancel each other out in a low-intensity match, ending in a 1-1 draw that keeps the standings unchanged.

Open Basement Shootout

20%

With no pressure, both defenses collapse, resulting in a high-scoring affair (Over 3.5 goals) similar to the reverse fixture.

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Current Standings

Position in the competition

Pos Team Pld W D L GD Pts
17 Tottenham Hotspur FC 38 10 11 17 -9 41
18 West Ham United FC 38 10 9 19 -19 39
19 Burnley FC 38 4 10 24 -37 22
20 Wolverhampton Wanderers FC 38 3 11 24 -41 20
Burnley
Wolverhampton

Most likely scorelines

1-1 14% 2-1 12% 1-2 10%
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Correct Score Prediction

AI-calculated probability per scoreline

Most Likely Scorelines
1-1 14%
2-1 12%
1-2 10%
Wolverhampton (Away)
Burnley (Home)
0
1
2
3
4
0
5.0%
7.0%
4.0%
1.0%
0.0%
1
8.0%
14.0%
10.0%
3.0%
0.0%
2
7.0%
12.0%
9.0%
1.0%
0.0%
3
3.0%
6.0%
5.0%
1.0%
0.0%
4
1.0%
2.0%
1.0%
0.0%
0.0%

High volatility score (Step 6) and catastrophic defensive stats (74 vs 67 goals conceded) shift weight away from 0-0/1-0 toward 2-1, 2-2, and 1-2 scorelines, reflecting the 'dead rubber' tendency for late-game defensive lapses.

Projected xG by CoachAI

0.98

Home xG

1.12

Away xG

Upset Chance

Medium

Risk of unexpected result

Burnley Recent Form — Last 5

0 W · 1 D · 4 L
18/5 Arsenal FC 1-0 Burnley FC L 0.55
10/5 Burnley FC 2-2 Aston Villa FC D 0.85
1/5 Leeds United FC 3-1 Burnley FC L 0.92
22/4 Burnley FC 0-1 Manchester City FC L 0.74
19/4 Nottingham Forest FC 4-1 Burnley FC L 0.94

Wolverhampton Recent Form — Last 5

0 W · 2 D · 3 L
17/5 Wolverhampton Wanderers FC 1-1 Fulham FC D 1.00
9/5 Brighton & Hove Albion FC 3-0 Wolverhampton Wanderers FC L 0.75
2/5 Wolverhampton Wanderers FC 1-1 Sunderland AFC D 1.05
25/4 Wolverhampton Wanderers FC 0-1 Tottenham Hotspur FC L 1.08
18/4 Leeds United FC 3-0 Wolverhampton Wanderers FC L 0.88
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Key Factors

sports_soccer 1

Battle for 19th Place: Both teams are already relegated, but Burnley holds a two-point lead over bottom-placed Wolves; a win or draw ensures Burnley avoids the absolute bottom spot.

trending_up 2

Wretched Away Form: Wolves are one of only two sides in Europe’s top-five leagues without a single away win this season (D5, L13), collecting just 5 points from 54 available on the road.

person 3

Goal Efficiency vs. xG: Despite low overall volume, Burnley's Zian Flemming (10 goals) and Jaidon Anthony remain more clinical threats compared to a Wolves attack that has averaged only 0.70 goals per game.

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Injuries & Absentees

Burnley is missing midfield anchor Josh Cullen (ACL) and defender Jordan Beyer (thigh). Maxime Esteve is a late fitness doubt with a hamstring issue. Wolves are without first-choice goalkeeper Sam Johnstone (shoulder), meaning Dan Bentley or Jose Sa will start behind a backline missing Matt Doherty and Leon Chiwome.

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Expected Lineups

Expected — may change before kickoff
Burnley Expected

4-2-3-1

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Tchaouna LW
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Flemming ST
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Anthony RW
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Mejbri CAM
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Luis CDM
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Ward-Prowse CM
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Hartman LB
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Ekdal CB
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Esteve CB
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Walker RB
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Dubravka GK

Dubravka continues in goal; Ward-Prowse's set-piece delivery will be key in Cullen's absence.

Wolverhampton Expected

4-4-2

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Hwang ST
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Armstrong ST
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Mane LM
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Gomes CM
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Andre CM
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Gomes RM
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Bueno LB
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Krejci CB
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Bueno CB
person
Mosquera RB
person
Sa GK

Rob Edwards likely sticks with the back four used against Fulham; Adam Armstrong leads the line.

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Frequently Asked Questions about this prediction

What is the Coach AI prediction for Burnley vs Wolverhampton?

Coach AI predicts a score of 2-1 with a win probability of 38% for Burnley, 29% draw and 33% for Wolverhampton.

What is the recent form of Burnley and Wolverhampton?

Burnley form (last 5): 0W-1D-4L. Wolverhampton form (last 5): 0W-2D-3L.

What are the injury and suspension updates for Burnley vs Wolverhampton?

Burnley is missing midfield anchor Josh Cullen (ACL) and defender Jordan Beyer (thigh). Maxime Esteve is a late fitness doubt with a hamstring issue. Wolves are without first-choice goalkeeper Sam Johnstone (shoulder), meaning Dan Bentley or Jose Sa will start behind a backline missing Matt Doherty and Leon Chiwome.

What is the most likely correct score for Burnley vs Wolverhampton?

According to the score probability matrix, 1-1 is the most likely scoreline (14%), followed by 2-1 (12%) and 1-2 (10%).

What are the possible match scenarios for Burnley vs Wolverhampton?

Clarets Home Farewell (45%): Burnley breaks their long home winless streak against a Wolves side that has failed to win away all season, likely finishing 2-1. — Stalemate Of The Relegated (35%): Both teams cancel each other out in a low-intensity match, ending in a 1-1 draw that keeps the standings unchanged. — Open Basement Shootout (20%): With no pressure, both defenses collapse, resulting in a high-scoring affair (Over 3.5 goals) similar to the reverse fixture.

What are the current standings for Burnley and Wolverhampton in the Premier League?

Burnley are 19th in the Premier League with 22 points from 38 games. Wolverhampton are 20th with 20 points from 38 games.

What are the expected lineups for Burnley vs Wolverhampton?

Expected lineup Burnley (4-2-3-1): Martin Dubravka, Kyle Walker, Isak Ekdal, Maxime Esteve, Quilindschy Hartman, Florentino Luis, James Ward-Prowse, Hannibal Mejbri, Jaidon Anthony, Zian Flemming, Loum Tchaouna. Expected lineup Wolverhampton (4-4-2): Jose Sa, Yerson Mosquera, Ladislav Krejci, Santiago Bueno, Hugo Bueno, Joao Gomes, Andre, Rodrigo Gomes, Mateus Mane, Hee-Chan Hwang, Adam Armstrong. Lineups are based on the most recent sources and may change before kickoff.

What time does Burnley vs Wolverhampton kick off?

Burnley vs Wolverhampton kicks off on Sunday, 24 May 2026 at 17:00 (Central European Time). The match is part of the Premier League.

Who is the referee for Burnley vs Wolverhampton?

The referee for Burnley vs Wolverhampton in the Premier League is Andrew Kitchen.

What are the key factors for Burnley vs Wolverhampton?

Coach AI identifies three decisive factors for Burnley vs Wolverhampton: 1. Battle for 19th Place: Both teams are already relegated, but Burnley holds a two-point lead over bottom-placed Wolves; a win or draw ensures Burnley avoids the absolute bottom spot. 2. Wretched Away Form: Wolves are one of only two sides in Europe’s top-five leagues without a single away win this season (D5, L13), collecting just 5 points from 54 available on the road. 3. Goal Efficiency vs. xG: Despite low overall volume, Burnley's Zian Flemming (10 goals) and Jaidon Anthony remain more clinical threats compared to a Wolves attack that has averaged only 0.70 goals per game..

What are the bookmaker odds for Burnley vs Wolverhampton?

Bookmakers give Burnley a 40% win probability, 27% draw and Wolverhampton 33% chance of winning. Coach AI estimates 44% for {{HOME_TEAM}}, 29% draw and 27% for {{AWAY_TEAM}}.

How does Coach AI predict this match?

Coach AI analyzes thousands of data points, including xG, recent form, team news, and tactical developments for every match.

How often are these football predictions updated?

Insights are updated daily to incorporate the latest developments, injuries, and market movements.

How accurate are the Coach AI predictions?

Coach AI has analyzed over 1,000 matches. In 50% of cases, the correct outcome (home win, draw, or away win) is predicted accurately. In more than 10% of matches, the exact final score matches the prediction — significantly above the market average.

What is Coach AI's track record?

Coach AI has predicted over 1,000 matches: 50% correct outcome, 10%+ exact final score. The model consistently outperforms standard probability calculations and gives football fans the data they need to make truly informed predictions.

What data does Coach AI use for its predictions?

Coach AI combines Expected Goals (xG), recent team form over the last five matches, head-to-head records, up-to-date injury news, and tactical match-up analysis. The model is updated daily so every prediction reflects the most current information available.