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Liverpool vs Brentford — Premier League Prediction 24 May 2026

Liverpool
Liverpool
Premier League
3
VS
2
schedule 24 May, 15:00 · Referee: Darren England (England)
Predicted Score

Last update of insights: 30 May 2026

Brentford
Brentford
Final result
1 – 1
CoachAI prediction
3 – 2
✗ Outcome incorrect
Kickoff in

Coach AI predicts a score of 3-2 for Liverpool vs Brentford in the Premier League. Liverpool is the favourite with a 54% win probability. Brentford has a 25% chance of winning and 21% ends in a draw. See the full analysis, injuries and score matrix below.

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Liverpool vs Brentford

This is a Matchweek 38 season finale with massive stakes. Liverpool needs at least one point to mathematically secure Champions League football. Brentford, sitting 9th, must win to keep their first-ever European qualification hopes alive. Weather conditions are perfect for attacking football—sunny and 22°C—which typically favors the home side's possession-based style under Arne Slot.

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Match Scenario's

Three most likely match scenarios

55%
30%
15%

The Farewell Brilliance

55%

Salah and Gakpo dominate the half-spaces, overwhelming Brentford's low block to secure Champions League football despite defensive lapses.

Transition Trap

30%

Brentford stays compact and punishes Liverpool's injury-hit defense on the break, with Igor Thiago finding the net.

Nervous High-Scoring Draw

15%

Tactical caution gives way to final-day chaos, resulting in a back-and-forth 2-2 or 3-3 draw that suits Liverpool's minimum requirements.

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Current Standings

Position in the competition

Pos Team Pld W D L GD Pts
3 Manchester United FC 38 20 11 7 +19 71
4 Aston Villa FC 38 19 8 11 +7 65
5 Liverpool FC 38 17 9 12 +10 60
6 AFC Bournemouth 38 13 18 7 +4 57
7 Sunderland AFC 38 14 12 12 -6 54
8 Brighton & Hove Albion FC 38 14 11 13 +6 53
9 Brentford FC 38 14 11 13 +3 53
10 Chelsea FC 38 14 10 14 +6 52
11 Fulham FC 38 15 7 16 -4 52
Liverpool
Brentford

Most likely scorelines

2-1 12% 3-1 10% 2-2 9%
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Correct Score Prediction

AI-calculated probability per scoreline

Most Likely Scorelines
2-1 12%
3-1 10%
2-2 9%
Brentford (Away)
Liverpool (Home)
0
1
2
3
4
0
2.0%
3.0%
2.0%
1.0%
0.0%
1
4.0%
8.0%
7.0%
3.0%
0.0%
2
6.0%
12.0%
9.0%
2.0%
0.0%
3
5.0%
10.0%
8.0%
2.0%
0.0%
4
3.0%
6.0%
4.0%
1.0%
0.0%

Liverpool's current rate of conceding (1.7 goals/game) combined with the return of Salah/Wirtz to the attack shifts probability mass toward extreme scorelines like 3-2 and 2-2 rather than conservative 1-0 or 2-0 results.

Projected xG by CoachAI

2.15

Home xG

1.40

Away xG

Upset Chance

High

Risk of unexpected result

Liverpool Recent Form — Last 5

2 W · 1 D · 2 L
15/5 Aston Villa FC 4-2 Liverpool FC L 1.89
9/5 Liverpool FC 1-1 Chelsea FC D 2.15
3/5 Manchester United FC 3-2 Liverpool FC L 1.88
25/4 Liverpool FC 3-1 Crystal Palace FC W 2.08
19/4 Everton FC 1-2 Liverpool FC W 1.68

Brentford Recent Form — Last 5

1 W · 2 D · 2 L
17/5 Brentford FC 2-2 Crystal Palace FC D 1.78
9/5 Manchester City FC 3-0 Brentford FC L 1.08
2/5 Brentford FC 3-0 West Ham United FC W 1.58
27/4 Manchester United FC 2-1 Brentford FC L 1.45
18/4 Brentford FC 0-0 Fulham FC D 1.65
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Key Factors

sports_soccer 1

Liverpool's elite offensive volume (averaging ~1.94 xG) clashes with a defensive transition that has conceded 52 goals this season.

trending_up 2

Brentford's clinical counter-attacks and league-leading xG per shot (0.17) exploit Liverpool's high defensive line.

person 3

The emotional 'Final Day' factor at Anfield with legends Mohamed Salah and Andrew Robertson playing their farewell matches.

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Injuries & Absentees

Liverpool faces a crisis at the back with Alisson and Alexander Isak listed as major doubts, while Wataru Endo and Hugo Ekitiké are confirmed out. This forces a reliance on Mamardashvili and potentially a makeshift right-back. Brentford is missing the creative spark of former Red Fabio Carvalho and the pace of Rico Henry on the wing, which slightly hampers their transition speed.

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Expected Lineups

Expected — may change before kickoff
Liverpool Expected

4-2-3-1

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Ngumoha LW
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Gakpo ST
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Salah RW
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Wirtz CAM
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Gravenberch CDM
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Szoboszlai CM
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Robertson LB
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Konate CB
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Dijk CB
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Jones RB
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Mamardashvili GK

Alisson and Isak are game-time decisions; Mamardashvili and Gakpo expected to start if they fail fitness tests.

Brentford Expected

4-2-3-1

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Schade LW
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Thiago ST
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Ouattara RW
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Damsgaard CAM
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Yarmoliuk CDM
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Janelt CDM
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Lewis-Potter LB
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Collins CB
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Ajer CB
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Kayode RB
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Kelleher GK

Kelleher returns to Anfield to face his former club. Thiago is the primary goal threat.

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Frequently Asked Questions about this prediction

What is the Coach AI prediction for Liverpool vs Brentford?

Coach AI predicts a score of 3-2 with a win probability of 54% for Liverpool, 21% draw and 25% for Brentford.

What is the recent form of Liverpool and Brentford?

Liverpool form (last 5): 2W-1D-2L. Brentford form (last 5): 1W-2D-2L.

What are the injury and suspension updates for Liverpool vs Brentford?

Liverpool faces a crisis at the back with Alisson and Alexander Isak listed as major doubts, while Wataru Endo and Hugo Ekitiké are confirmed out. This forces a reliance on Mamardashvili and potentially a makeshift right-back. Brentford is missing the creative spark of former Red Fabio Carvalho and the pace of Rico Henry on the wing, which slightly hampers their transition speed.

What is the most likely correct score for Liverpool vs Brentford?

According to the score probability matrix, 2-1 is the most likely scoreline (12%), followed by 3-1 (10%) and 2-2 (9%).

What are the possible match scenarios for Liverpool vs Brentford?

The Farewell Brilliance (55%): Salah and Gakpo dominate the half-spaces, overwhelming Brentford's low block to secure Champions League football despite defensive lapses. — Transition Trap (30%): Brentford stays compact and punishes Liverpool's injury-hit defense on the break, with Igor Thiago finding the net. — Nervous High-Scoring Draw (15%): Tactical caution gives way to final-day chaos, resulting in a back-and-forth 2-2 or 3-3 draw that suits Liverpool's minimum requirements.

What are the current standings for Liverpool and Brentford in the Premier League?

Liverpool are 5th in the Premier League with 60 points from 38 games. Brentford are 9th with 53 points from 38 games.

What are the expected lineups for Liverpool vs Brentford?

Expected lineup Liverpool (4-2-3-1): Giorgi Mamardashvili, Curtis Jones, Ibrahima Konate, Virgil van Dijk, Andrew Robertson, Ryan Gravenberch, Dominik Szoboszlai, Florian Wirtz, Mohamed Salah, Cody Gakpo, Rio Ngumoha. Expected lineup Brentford (4-2-3-1): Caoimhin Kelleher, Michael Kayode, Nathan Collins, Kristoffer Ajer, Keane Lewis-Potter, Yehor Yarmoliuk, Vitaly Janelt, Mikkel Damsgaard, Dango Ouattara, Kevin Schade, Igor Thiago. Lineups are based on the most recent sources and may change before kickoff.

What time does Liverpool vs Brentford kick off?

Liverpool vs Brentford kicks off on Sunday, 24 May 2026 at 17:00 (Central European Time). The match is part of the Premier League.

Who is the referee for Liverpool vs Brentford?

The referee for Liverpool vs Brentford in the Premier League is Darren England.

What are the key factors for Liverpool vs Brentford?

Coach AI identifies three decisive factors for Liverpool vs Brentford: 1. Liverpool's elite offensive volume (averaging ~1.94 xG) clashes with a defensive transition that has conceded 52 goals this season. 2. Brentford's clinical counter-attacks and league-leading xG per shot (0.17) exploit Liverpool's high defensive line. 3. The emotional 'Final Day' factor at Anfield with legends Mohamed Salah and Andrew Robertson playing their farewell matches..

What are the bookmaker odds for Liverpool vs Brentford?

Bookmakers give Liverpool a 55% win probability, 23% draw and Brentford 22% chance of winning. Coach AI estimates 58% for {{HOME_TEAM}}, 21% draw and 21% for {{AWAY_TEAM}}.

How does Coach AI predict this match?

Coach AI analyzes thousands of data points, including xG, recent form, team news, and tactical developments for every match.

How often are these football predictions updated?

Insights are updated daily to incorporate the latest developments, injuries, and market movements.

How accurate are the Coach AI predictions?

Coach AI has analyzed over 1,000 matches. In 50% of cases, the correct outcome (home win, draw, or away win) is predicted accurately. In more than 10% of matches, the exact final score matches the prediction — significantly above the market average.

What is Coach AI's track record?

Coach AI has predicted over 1,000 matches: 50% correct outcome, 10%+ exact final score. The model consistently outperforms standard probability calculations and gives football fans the data they need to make truly informed predictions.

What data does Coach AI use for its predictions?

Coach AI combines Expected Goals (xG), recent team form over the last five matches, head-to-head records, up-to-date injury news, and tactical match-up analysis. The model is updated daily so every prediction reflects the most current information available.