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Everton vs Man City: Premier League Prediction 4 May 2026

Premier League
1
VS
2
schedule 04 May, 20:00 · Referee: Michael Oliver (England)
Predicted Score

Last update of insights: 19 Oct 2026

Final result
3 – 3
CoachAI prediction
1 – 2
✗ Missed: next one’s ours
Kickoff in -

Coach AI predicts a score of 1-2 for Everton vs Man City in the Premier League. Man City comes out as the stronger side in the analysis. See the full analysis, injuries and score matrix below.

Match report: Everton vs Man City

Everton and Man City drew 3-3 in the Premier League (matchday 35) on 4 May 2026.

Coach AI looks back

Coach AI predicted 1-2: the outcome was not right.

Result3-3
Coach AI1-2not right
FansMan City win (83%)not right
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Pre-match preview: Everton vs Man City

This is Matchday 35 for Everton and 34 for City. City is in 'perfection mode' to catch Arsenal, while Everton sits safely in 11th but remains motivated to chase a top-half finish. The weather in Liverpool is expected to be cloudy with light drizzle, potentially slicking the surface—a condition that usually favors City's quick ball movement but can assist Everton's physical tackling style under referee Michael Oliver.

#EVEMCI #Everton #ManCity #PremierLeague #FootballMeister

analytics

Scenarios before the match

Three most likely match scenarios

55%
30%
15%
analytics
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Scenario Explanation

Scenario 1: City dominates possession and breaks down a stubborn Everton low block through Haaland’s physicality against a weakened defense (55% likelihood). Scenario 2: Everton capitalizes on the absence of Rodri and Dias to score on the counter, leading to a frustrating draw for the visitors (30% likelihood). Scenario 3: A high-intensity Everton upset fueled by the Goodison crowd and City's fatigue from their deep FA Cup run (15% likelihood). Given City's historical resilience in May and Everton's defensive gaps, a narrow 1-2 victory for the Citizens is the most statistically probable outcome.

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Current Standings

Position in the competition

Matchday

Pos Team Pld W D L GD Pts
1 Manchester City FC 7 7 0 0 +12 21
2 Arsenal FC 7 6 0 1 +6 18
3 Brighton & Hove Albion FC 7 5 1 1 +18 16
4 Chelsea FC 7 4 1 2 +4 13
5 Liverpool FC 7 3 3 1 +1 12
6 Brentford FC 7 2 4 1 +5 10
7 Leeds United FC 7 2 4 1 +3 10
8 Everton FC 7 2 4 1 +1 10
9 Hull City AFC 7 2 3 2 +1 9
10 Ipswich Town FC 7 3 0 4 -4 9
11 Newcastle United FC 7 2 2 3 -4 8
12 Aston Villa FC 7 2 2 3 -4 8
13 Manchester United FC 7 1 4 2 0 7
14 Crystal Palace FC 7 2 1 4 -8 7
15 AFC Bournemouth 7 1 3 3 -4 6
16 Coventry City FC 6 2 0 4 -6 6
17 Fulham FC 7 1 2 4 -3 5
18 Nottingham Forest FC 7 1 2 4 -4 5
19 Sunderland AFC 7 1 1 5 -8 4
20 Tottenham Hotspur FC 6 0 3 3 -6 3
Everton
Man City
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Fan Predictions

What Football Meister players predict for this match

Everton D Man City
17%
83%
0% 17% 83%

Most predicted scorelines

1-2 67%
0-0 17%
0-2 17%

These are predictions made by real Football Meister players, not AI-generated data.

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Head to head

Everton and Man City in Football Meister data

0Everton wins
0draws
1Man City wins

Goals: 0 for Everton, 2 for Man City.

Previous meetings

  • 18 Oct 2025Man City2Everton0

Goals per match

What the two clubs score and concede on average, as context for the prediction.

Everton at home

1.3

scored

1.2

conceded

17 matches

0
9 of 34 (26%)
1
13 of 34 (38%)
2
8 of 34 (24%)
3+
4 of 34 (12%)

Usually 1. Scores in 74% of matches.

Man City away

1.6

scored

1.0

conceded

17 matches

0
4 of 33 (12%)
1
9 of 33 (27%)
2
8 of 33 (24%)
3+
12 of 33 (36%)

Usually 3+. Scores in 88% of matches.

Coach AI pre-match analysis

insights

Coach AI Scenarios

Everton Man City
W D L

Projected xG by CoachAI

1.05

Home xG

2.35

Away xG

Upset risk

Low

Risk of unexpected result

Everton Recent Form: Last 5

1 W · 1 D · 3 L
▲
▲
▼
25/4 West Ham United FC 2-1 Everton FC L 1.25
19/4 Everton FC 1-2 Liverpool FC L 1.28
11/4 Brentford FC 2-2 Everton FC D 1.18
21/3 Everton FC 3-0 Chelsea FC W 1.20
14/3 Arsenal FC 2-0 Everton FC L 0.85

Man City Recent Form: Last 5

3 W · 1 D · 1 L
▼
▲
▼
▼
22/4 Burnley FC 0-1 Manchester City FC W 2.45
19/4 Manchester City FC 2-1 Arsenal FC W 1.94
12/4 Chelsea FC 0-3 Manchester City FC W 1.78
17/3 Manchester City FC 1-2 Real Madrid CF L 2.25
14/3 West Ham United FC 1-1 Manchester City FC D 2.15
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Key Factors

sports_soccer 1

Manchester City's high xG creation (averaging 2.18 xG over last 5 games) indicates a high volume of chances, despite a slight dip in finishing efficiency.

trending_up 2

The absence of Jarrad Branthwaite (out for the season) significantly weakens Everton’s defensive core, forcing a reliance on Michael Keane against Erling Haaland.

person 3

City faces immense title pressure; with Arsenal 6 points ahead (having played two more games), anything less than a win hands the advantage to the Gunners.

bolt 4

Everton's home advantage at the new Hill Dickinson Stadium provides a high-intensity atmosphere that has already seen them beat Chelsea 3-0 this season.

medical_services

Injuries & Absentees

Everton is without their star defender Jarrad Branthwaite and winger Jack Grealish (ineligible/injured). Manchester City is dealing with a defensive crisis: Ruben Dias and Josko Gvardiol are confirmed out, while midfield anchor Rodri is a major doubt (groin). City will likely start Nico Gonzalez or Nico O'Reilly in midfield, which reduces their transition-defense stability.

The analyses and predictions on this page are generated by artificial intelligence and are intended for informational and entertainment purposes only. This is not gambling advice.

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Frequently Asked Questions about this prediction

What was the result of Everton vs Man City?

Everton and Man City drew 3-3 in the Premier League (matchday 35) on 4 May 2026.

Did Coach AI predict Everton vs Man City correctly?

Coach AI predicted 1-2: the outcome was not right. The fans predicted Man City win (83%), which was not right.

What is the correct score prediction for Everton vs Man City?

Coach AI predicts 1-2 as the correct score for Everton vs Man City. This page also covers the expected line-ups, injuries and xG.

What is the recent form of Everton and Man City?

Everton form (last 5): 1W-1D-3L. Man City form (last 5): 3W-1D-1L.

What are the injury and suspension updates for Everton vs Man City?

Everton is without their star defender Jarrad Branthwaite and winger Jack Grealish (ineligible/injured). Manchester City is dealing with a defensive crisis: Ruben Dias and Josko Gvardiol are confirmed out, while midfield anchor Rodri is a major doubt (groin). City will likely start Nico Gonzalez or Nico O'Reilly in midfield, which reduces their transition-defense stability.

How many goals do Everton and Man City score on average?

Everton score at home 1.3 goals on average and concede 1.2 (17 matches). Man City score away 1.6 goals on average and concede 1.0 (17 matches).

What is the head-to-head record between Everton and Man City?

Football Meister has recorded 1 previous meeting between Everton and Man City: Everton won 0, Man City won 1 and 0 ended in a draw. The goal tally is 0-2.

What was the last result between Everton and Man City?

The last meeting was on 18 Oct 2025: Man City - Everton 2-0.

What do football fans and other predictors think about Everton vs Man City?

Among Football Meister players, 0% back a home win for Everton, 17% a draw, and 83% an away win for Man City. The most predicted scoreline is 1-2. Fans are more cautious than Coach AI on Everton: fans pick 0% home win, Coach AI calculates 16%.

What is the most popular prediction for Everton vs Man City?

The most predicted scoreline for Everton vs Man City is 1-2. Of all Football Meister players, 0% back Everton, 17% a draw and 83% Man City.

What are the current standings for Everton and Man City in the Premier League?

Everton are 8th in the Premier League with 10 points from 7 games. Man City are 1st with 21 points from 7 games.

What time does Everton vs Man City kick off?

Everton vs Man City kicks off on Monday, 4 May 2026 at 20:00 (Central European Time). The match is part of the Premier League.

Who is the referee for Everton vs Man City?

The referee for Everton vs Man City in the Premier League is Michael Oliver.

What are the key factors for Everton vs Man City?

Coach AI identifies three decisive factors for Everton vs Man City: 1. Manchester City's high xG creation (averaging 2.18 xG over last 5 games) indicates a high volume of chances, despite a slight dip in finishing efficiency. 2. The absence of Jarrad Branthwaite (out for the season) significantly weakens Everton’s defensive core, forcing a reliance on Michael Keane against Erling Haaland. 3. City faces immense title pressure; with Arsenal 6 points ahead (having played two more games), anything less than a win hands the advantage to the Gunners. 4. Everton's home advantage at the new Hill Dickinson Stadium provides a high-intensity atmosphere that has already seen them beat Chelsea 3-0 this season..

Which scenario does Coach AI see for Everton vs Man City?

Coach AI sees Man City as the stronger side in Everton vs Man City. The full analysis with the expected score, xG and injuries is on this page.

How does Coach AI predict this match?

Coach AI analyzes thousands of data points, including xG, recent form, team news, and tactical developments for every match.

How often are these football predictions updated?

Insights are updated daily to incorporate the latest developments, injuries, and market movements.

How accurate are the Coach AI predictions?

Coach AI has analyzed over 1,000 matches. In 50% of cases, the correct outcome (home win, draw, or away win) is predicted accurately. In more than 10% of matches, the exact final score matches the prediction, significantly above the market average.

What is Coach AI's track record?

Coach AI has predicted over 1,000 matches: 50% correct outcome, 10%+ exact final score. The model consistently outperforms standard probability calculations and gives football fans the data they need to make truly informed predictions.

What data does Coach AI use for its predictions?

Coach AI combines Expected Goals (xG), recent team form over the last five matches, head-to-head records, up-to-date injury news, and tactical match-up analysis. The model is updated daily so every prediction reflects the most current information available.

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