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Tottenham vs Sunderland — Premier League Prediction 4 January 2026

Tottenham
Tottenham
Premier League
1
VS
1
schedule 04 Jan, 15:00 · Referee: Stuart Attwell (England)
Predicted Score

Last update of insights: 30 May 2026

Sunderland
Sunderland
Final result
1 – 1
CoachAI prediction
1 – 1
★ Exact score!
Kickoff in

Coach AI predicts a score of 1-1 for Tottenham vs Sunderland in the Premier League. Tottenham is the favourite with a 45% win probability. Sunderland has a 25% chance of winning and 30% ends in a draw. See the full analysis, injuries and score matrix below.

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Tottenham vs Sunderland

Context coming soon.

analytics

Match Scenario's

Three most likely match scenarios

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Current Standings

Position in the competition

Pos Team Pld W D L GD Pts
15 Crystal Palace FC 38 11 12 15 -10 45
16 Nottingham Forest FC 38 11 11 16 -3 44
17 Tottenham Hotspur FC 38 10 11 17 -9 41
18 West Ham United FC 38 10 9 19 -19 39
19 Burnley FC 38 4 10 24 -37 22
···
5 Liverpool FC 38 17 9 12 +10 60
6 AFC Bournemouth 38 13 18 7 +4 57
7 Sunderland AFC 38 14 12 12 -6 54
8 Brighton & Hove Albion FC 38 14 11 13 +6 53
9 Brentford FC 38 14 11 13 +3 53
Tottenham
Sunderland

Upset Chance

Medium

Risk of unexpected result

Tottenham Recent Form — Last 5

Sunderland Recent Form — Last 5

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Key Factors

sports_soccer 1

Due to the absence of Tottenham's primary creative engines, James Maddison and Dejan Kulusevski, and the lack of a clinical finisher in Dominic Solanke, Spurs will likely struggle to penetrate a Sunderland side that recently held Manchester City to a clean sheet and boasts one of the league's top-three defensive records.

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While Sunderland’s 'surprise package' momentum is high, the physical toll of their defensive masterclass against Man City combined with the loss of six key players to AFCON (including Reinildo and Masuaku) will likely limit their transition speed and prevent them from fully exploiting Thomas Frank's shaky home defense.

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Tottenham's historical psychological edge of being unbeaten in 14 head-to-head meetings against Sunderland will likely prevent a defeat, but the toxic atmosphere following 11 home losses in 2025 suggests a cautious approach that favors a low-scoring draw.

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Injuries & Absentees

Tottenham are severely depleted with James Maddison (ACL), Dominic Solanke (Ankle), and Dejan Kulusevski (Knee) sidelined, while Yves Bissouma and Pape Matar Sarr are at AFCON. Sunderland are missing six players due to AFCON (Reinildo, Sadiki, Talbi, Masuaku, Traore, Diarra) and have a late fitness test for defender Dan Ballard (Ankle).

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Frequently Asked Questions about this prediction

What is the Coach AI prediction for Tottenham vs Sunderland?

Coach AI predicts a score of 1-1 with a win probability of 45% for Tottenham, 30% draw and 25% for Sunderland.

What is the recent form of Tottenham and Sunderland?

Tottenham form (last 5): no data. Sunderland form (last 5): no data.

What are the injury and suspension updates for Tottenham vs Sunderland?

Tottenham are severely depleted with James Maddison (ACL), Dominic Solanke (Ankle), and Dejan Kulusevski (Knee) sidelined, while Yves Bissouma and Pape Matar Sarr are at AFCON. Sunderland are missing six players due to AFCON (Reinildo, Sadiki, Talbi, Masuaku, Traore, Diarra) and have a late fitness test for defender Dan Ballard (Ankle).

What are the current standings for Tottenham and Sunderland in the Premier League?

Tottenham are 17th in the Premier League with 41 points from 38 games. Sunderland are 7th with 54 points from 38 games.

What time does Tottenham vs Sunderland kick off?

Tottenham vs Sunderland kicks off on Sunday, 4 January 2026 at 16:00 (Central European Time). The match is part of the Premier League.

Who is the referee for Tottenham vs Sunderland?

The referee for Tottenham vs Sunderland in the Premier League is Stuart Attwell.

What are the key factors for Tottenham vs Sunderland?

Coach AI identifies three decisive factors for Tottenham vs Sunderland: 1. Due to the absence of Tottenham's primary creative engines, James Maddison and Dejan Kulusevski, and the lack of a clinical finisher in Dominic Solanke, Spurs will likely struggle to penetrate a Sunderland side that recently held Manchester City to a clean sheet and boasts one of the league's top-three defensive records. 2. While Sunderland’s 'surprise package' momentum is high, the physical toll of their defensive masterclass against Man City combined with the loss of six key players to AFCON (including Reinildo and Masuaku) will likely limit their transition speed and prevent them from fully exploiting Thomas Frank's shaky home defense. 3. Tottenham's historical psychological edge of being unbeaten in 14 head-to-head meetings against Sunderland will likely prevent a defeat, but the toxic atmosphere following 11 home losses in 2025 suggests a cautious approach that favors a low-scoring draw..

How does Coach AI predict this match?

Coach AI analyzes thousands of data points, including xG, recent form, team news, and tactical developments for every match.

How often are these football predictions updated?

Insights are updated daily to incorporate the latest developments, injuries, and market movements.

How accurate are the Coach AI predictions?

Coach AI has analyzed over 1,000 matches. In 50% of cases, the correct outcome (home win, draw, or away win) is predicted accurately. In more than 10% of matches, the exact final score matches the prediction — significantly above the market average.

What is Coach AI's track record?

Coach AI has predicted over 1,000 matches: 50% correct outcome, 10%+ exact final score. The model consistently outperforms standard probability calculations and gives football fans the data they need to make truly informed predictions.

What data does Coach AI use for its predictions?

Coach AI combines Expected Goals (xG), recent team form over the last five matches, head-to-head records, up-to-date injury news, and tactical match-up analysis. The model is updated daily so every prediction reflects the most current information available.