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Newcastle vs Crystal Palace — Premier League Prediction 4 January 2026

Newcastle
Newcastle
Premier League
2
VS
0
schedule 04 Jan, 15:00 · Referee: John Brooks (England)
Predicted Score

Last update of insights: 30 May 2026

Crystal Palace
Crystal Palace
Final result
2 – 0
CoachAI prediction
2 – 0
★ Exact score!
Kickoff in

Coach AI predicts a score of 2-0 for Newcastle vs Crystal Palace in the Premier League. Newcastle is the favourite with a 55% win probability. Crystal Palace has a 19% chance of winning and 26% ends in a draw. See the full analysis, injuries and score matrix below.

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Newcastle vs Crystal Palace

Context coming soon.

analytics

Match Scenario's

Three most likely match scenarios

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Current Standings

Position in the competition

Pos Team Pld W D L GD Pts
10 Chelsea FC 38 14 10 14 +6 52
11 Fulham FC 38 15 7 16 -4 52
12 Newcastle United FC 38 14 7 17 -2 49
13 Everton FC 38 13 10 15 -3 49
14 Leeds United FC 38 11 14 13 -7 47
15 Crystal Palace FC 38 11 12 15 -10 45
16 Nottingham Forest FC 38 11 11 16 -3 44
17 Tottenham Hotspur FC 38 10 11 17 -9 41
Newcastle
Crystal Palace

Upset Chance

Low

Risk of unexpected result

Newcastle Recent Form — Last 5

Crystal Palace Recent Form — Last 5

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Key Factors

sports_soccer 1

Newcastle's ten-match unbeaten streak at St James' Park combined with Crystal Palace's winless away form suggests the hosts will maintain tactical control and likely secure a comfortable victory.

trending_up 2

The simultaneous loss of Ismaila Sarr to AFCON and injuries to key creators like Daichi Kamada significantly diminishes Palace's counter-attacking threat, which will protect Newcastle's injury-hit defensive line.

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Newcastle's historical dominance over Palace at home, including two recent heavy wins (4-0 and 5-0) and four consecutive home clean sheets in this specific fixture, provides a psychological platform for the Magpies to attack with confidence.

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Injuries & Absentees

Newcastle is managing a defensive crisis with Botman, Burn, and Livramento out, though Trippier's potential return provides stability; Palace is severely weakened by the absence of Sarr (AFCON) and injuries to Munoz, Riad, and Kamada.

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Frequently Asked Questions about this prediction

What is the Coach AI prediction for Newcastle vs Crystal Palace?

Coach AI predicts a score of 2-0 with a win probability of 55% for Newcastle, 26% draw and 19% for Crystal Palace.

What is the recent form of Newcastle and Crystal Palace?

Newcastle form (last 5): no data. Crystal Palace form (last 5): no data.

What are the injury and suspension updates for Newcastle vs Crystal Palace?

Newcastle is managing a defensive crisis with Botman, Burn, and Livramento out, though Trippier's potential return provides stability; Palace is severely weakened by the absence of Sarr (AFCON) and injuries to Munoz, Riad, and Kamada.

What are the current standings for Newcastle and Crystal Palace in the Premier League?

Newcastle are 12th in the Premier League with 49 points from 38 games. Crystal Palace are 15th with 45 points from 38 games.

What time does Newcastle vs Crystal Palace kick off?

Newcastle vs Crystal Palace kicks off on Sunday, 4 January 2026 at 16:00 (Central European Time). The match is part of the Premier League.

Who is the referee for Newcastle vs Crystal Palace?

The referee for Newcastle vs Crystal Palace in the Premier League is John Brooks.

What are the key factors for Newcastle vs Crystal Palace?

Coach AI identifies three decisive factors for Newcastle vs Crystal Palace: 1. Newcastle's ten-match unbeaten streak at St James' Park combined with Crystal Palace's winless away form suggests the hosts will maintain tactical control and likely secure a comfortable victory. 2. The simultaneous loss of Ismaila Sarr to AFCON and injuries to key creators like Daichi Kamada significantly diminishes Palace's counter-attacking threat, which will protect Newcastle's injury-hit defensive line. 3. Newcastle's historical dominance over Palace at home, including two recent heavy wins (4-0 and 5-0) and four consecutive home clean sheets in this specific fixture, provides a psychological platform for the Magpies to attack with confidence..

How does Coach AI predict this match?

Coach AI analyzes thousands of data points, including xG, recent form, team news, and tactical developments for every match.

How often are these football predictions updated?

Insights are updated daily to incorporate the latest developments, injuries, and market movements.

How accurate are the Coach AI predictions?

Coach AI has analyzed over 1,000 matches. In 50% of cases, the correct outcome (home win, draw, or away win) is predicted accurately. In more than 10% of matches, the exact final score matches the prediction — significantly above the market average.

What is Coach AI's track record?

Coach AI has predicted over 1,000 matches: 50% correct outcome, 10%+ exact final score. The model consistently outperforms standard probability calculations and gives football fans the data they need to make truly informed predictions.

What data does Coach AI use for its predictions?

Coach AI combines Expected Goals (xG), recent team form over the last five matches, head-to-head records, up-to-date injury news, and tactical match-up analysis. The model is updated daily so every prediction reflects the most current information available.