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Tottenham vs Arsenal: Premier League Prediction 22 February 2026

Premier League
1
VS
3
schedule 22 Feb, 16:30 · Referee: Peter Bankes (England)
Predicted Score

Last update of insights: 19 Oct 2026

Final result
1 – 4
CoachAI prediction
1 – 3
✓ Outcome: CALLED IT
Kickoff in -

Coach AI predicts a score of 1-3 for Tottenham vs Arsenal in the Premier League. Arsenal comes out as the stronger side in the analysis. See the full analysis, injuries and score matrix below.

Match report: Tottenham vs Arsenal

Arsenal beat Tottenham 4-1 in the Premier League (matchday 27) on 22 February 2026.

Coach AI looks back

Coach AI predicted 1-3: the right outcome, but not the exact score.

Result1-4
Coach AI1-3right
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Pre-match preview: Tottenham vs Arsenal

This is a high-stakes North London Derby. Arsenal must win to reclaim their lead over Manchester City, who won their fixture yesterday. Tottenham sits 16th and is fighting a relegation scare. New manager Igor Tudor makes his debut, which usually provides a psychological 'bounce,' but the tactical gap and personnel deficit are historically large for this fixture.

#TOTARS #Tottenham #Arsenal #PremierLeague #FootballMeister

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Scenarios before the match

Three most likely match scenarios

60%
25%
15%
analytics
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Scenario Explanation

Scenario 1: Arsenal exploits Spurs' makeshift wings and wins comfortably (60% likelihood). Scenario 2: Tudor's defensive structure creates a low-block frustration, leading to a gritty draw (25% likelihood). Scenario 3: NLD chaos and the 'new manager bounce' inspire a shock Spurs home win (15% likelihood). A 1-3 scoreline reflects Arsenal's attacking volume and Spurs' defensive vulnerability.

Which scenario do you pick?

Which scenario would you have picked? Play the next match and beat the Coach AI.

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Current Standings

Position in the competition

Matchday

Pos Team Pld W D L GD Pts
1 Manchester City FC 7 7 0 0 +12 21
2 Arsenal FC 7 6 0 1 +6 18
3 Brighton & Hove Albion FC 7 5 1 1 +18 16
4 Chelsea FC 7 4 1 2 +4 13
5 Liverpool FC 7 3 3 1 +1 12
6 Brentford FC 7 2 4 1 +5 10
7 Leeds United FC 7 2 4 1 +3 10
8 Everton FC 7 2 4 1 +1 10
9 Hull City AFC 7 2 3 2 +1 9
10 Ipswich Town FC 7 3 0 4 -4 9
11 Newcastle United FC 7 2 2 3 -4 8
12 Aston Villa FC 7 2 2 3 -4 8
13 Manchester United FC 7 1 4 2 0 7
14 Crystal Palace FC 7 2 1 4 -8 7
15 AFC Bournemouth 7 1 3 3 -4 6
16 Coventry City FC 6 2 0 4 -6 6
17 Fulham FC 7 1 2 4 -3 5
18 Nottingham Forest FC 7 1 2 4 -4 5
19 Sunderland AFC 7 1 1 5 -8 4
20 Tottenham Hotspur FC 6 0 3 3 -6 3
Tottenham
Arsenal
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Head to head

Tottenham and Arsenal in Football Meister data

0Tottenham wins
0draws
1Arsenal wins

Goals: 1 for Tottenham, 4 for Arsenal.

Previous meetings

  • 23 Nov 2025Arsenal4Tottenham1

Goals per match

What the two clubs score and concede on average, as context for the prediction.

Tottenham at home

1.2

scored

1.4

conceded

13 matches

0
5 of 26 (19%)
1
9 of 26 (35%)
2
9 of 26 (35%)
3+
3 of 26 (12%)

Usually 1 or 2. Scores in 81% of matches.

Arsenal away

1.5

scored

0.9

conceded

14 matches

0
3 of 27 (11%)
1
8 of 27 (30%)
2
9 of 27 (33%)
3+
7 of 27 (26%)

Usually 2. Scores in 89% of matches.

Coach AI pre-match analysis

insights

Coach AI Scenarios

Tottenham Arsenal
W D L

Projected xG by CoachAI

1.45

Home xG

2.05

Away xG

Upset risk

Medium

Risk of unexpected result

Tottenham Recent Form: Last 5

1 W · 2 D · 2 L
▼
▲
10/2 Tottenham Hotspur FC 1-2 Newcastle United FC L 1.45
7/2 Manchester United FC 2-0 Tottenham Hotspur FC L 1.58
1/2 Tottenham Hotspur FC 2-2 Manchester City FC D 1.42
28/1 Eintracht Frankfurt 0-2 Tottenham Hotspur FC W 2.10
24/1 Burnley FC 2-2 Tottenham Hotspur FC D 1.55

Arsenal Recent Form: Last 5

3 W · 2 D · 0 L
▼
▲
▲
18/2 Wolverhampton Wanderers FC 2-2 Arsenal FC D 2.25
12/2 Brentford FC 1-1 Arsenal FC D 1.95
7/2 Arsenal FC 3-0 Sunderland AFC W 1.90
31/1 Leeds United FC 0-4 Arsenal FC W 1.95
28/1 Arsenal FC 3-2 FK Kairat W 3.15
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Key Factors

sports_soccer 1

Tottenham is facing a severe squad crisis with 12 senior players sidelined, including key pillars like Romero (suspended), Maddison, and Kulusevski.

trending_up 2

Arsenal's underlying metrics remain elite (lowest xGA in the league), while Tottenham has been underperforming defensively, leading to the recent sacking of Thomas Frank.

person 3

The tactical shift to a 3-4-2-1 under new interim manager Igor Tudor provides some unpredictability, but the lack of preparation time against Arteta's refined 3-2-5 buildup is a major disadvantage.

medical_services

Injuries & Absentees

Tottenham is decimated: they are missing Romero (suspension), Porro, Udogie, Maddison, Kulusevski, and potentially Richarlison. This forces them to use a makeshift backline with Archie Gray and Djed Spence. Arsenal may be without Havertz and have Odegaard as a doubt, but their depth with Gyökeres and Zubimendi provides far more stability.

The analyses and predictions on this page are generated by artificial intelligence and are intended for informational and entertainment purposes only. This is not gambling advice.

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Frequently Asked Questions about this prediction

What was the result of Tottenham vs Arsenal?

Arsenal beat Tottenham 4-1 in the Premier League (matchday 27) on 22 February 2026.

Did Coach AI predict Tottenham vs Arsenal correctly?

Coach AI predicted 1-3: the right outcome, but not the exact score.

What is the correct score prediction for Tottenham vs Arsenal?

Coach AI predicts 1-3 as the correct score for Tottenham vs Arsenal. This page also covers the expected line-ups, injuries and xG.

What is the recent form of Tottenham and Arsenal?

Tottenham form (last 5): 1W-2D-2L. Arsenal form (last 5): 3W-2D-0L.

What are the injury and suspension updates for Tottenham vs Arsenal?

Tottenham is decimated: they are missing Romero (suspension), Porro, Udogie, Maddison, Kulusevski, and potentially Richarlison. This forces them to use a makeshift backline with Archie Gray and Djed Spence. Arsenal may be without Havertz and have Odegaard as a doubt, but their depth with Gyökeres and Zubimendi provides far more stability.

How many goals do Tottenham and Arsenal score on average?

Tottenham score at home 1.2 goals on average and concede 1.4 (13 matches). Arsenal score away 1.5 goals on average and concede 0.9 (14 matches).

What is the head-to-head record between Tottenham and Arsenal?

Football Meister has recorded 1 previous meeting between Tottenham and Arsenal: Tottenham won 0, Arsenal won 1 and 0 ended in a draw. The goal tally is 1-4.

What was the last result between Tottenham and Arsenal?

The last meeting was on 23 Nov 2025: Arsenal - Tottenham 4-1.

What are the current standings for Tottenham and Arsenal in the Premier League?

Tottenham are 20th in the Premier League with 3 points from 6 games. Arsenal are 2nd with 18 points from 7 games.

What time does Tottenham vs Arsenal kick off?

Tottenham vs Arsenal kicks off on Sunday, 22 February 2026 at 16:30 (Central European Time). The match is part of the Premier League.

Who is the referee for Tottenham vs Arsenal?

The referee for Tottenham vs Arsenal in the Premier League is Peter Bankes.

What are the key factors for Tottenham vs Arsenal?

Coach AI identifies three decisive factors for Tottenham vs Arsenal: 1. Tottenham is facing a severe squad crisis with 12 senior players sidelined, including key pillars like Romero (suspended), Maddison, and Kulusevski. 2. Arsenal's underlying metrics remain elite (lowest xGA in the league), while Tottenham has been underperforming defensively, leading to the recent sacking of Thomas Frank. 3. The tactical shift to a 3-4-2-1 under new interim manager Igor Tudor provides some unpredictability, but the lack of preparation time against Arteta's refined 3-2-5 buildup is a major disadvantage..

Which scenario does Coach AI see for Tottenham vs Arsenal?

Coach AI sees Arsenal as the stronger side in Tottenham vs Arsenal. The full analysis with the expected score, xG and injuries is on this page.

How does Coach AI predict this match?

Coach AI analyzes thousands of data points, including xG, recent form, team news, and tactical developments for every match.

How often are these football predictions updated?

Insights are updated daily to incorporate the latest developments, injuries, and market movements.

How accurate are the Coach AI predictions?

Coach AI has analyzed over 1,000 matches. In 50% of cases, the correct outcome (home win, draw, or away win) is predicted accurately. In more than 10% of matches, the exact final score matches the prediction, significantly above the market average.

What is Coach AI's track record?

Coach AI has predicted over 1,000 matches: 50% correct outcome, 10%+ exact final score. The model consistently outperforms standard probability calculations and gives football fans the data they need to make truly informed predictions.

What data does Coach AI use for its predictions?

Coach AI combines Expected Goals (xG), recent team form over the last five matches, head-to-head records, up-to-date injury news, and tactical match-up analysis. The model is updated daily so every prediction reflects the most current information available.

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