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Everton vs Man United — Premier League Prediction 23 February 2026

Everton
Everton
Premier League
1
VS
2
schedule 23 Feb, 20:00 · Referee: Darren England (England)
Predicted Score

Last update of insights: 30 May 2026

Man United
Man United
Final result
0 – 1
CoachAI prediction
1 – 2
✓ Outcome correct
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Coach AI predicts a score of 1-2 for Everton vs Man United in the Premier League. Man United is the favourite with a 49% win probability. Everton has a 26% chance of winning and 25% ends in a draw. See the full analysis, injuries and score matrix below.

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Everton vs Man United

This Monday Night Football clash sees Michael Carrick's Manchester United looking to cement a Top 4 spot after an unbeaten run of five games (including wins vs City and Arsenal). For Everton, it's a test of whether David Moyes' low-block system can neutralize a United side that has failed to keep an away clean sheet in 13 matches but consistently outscores opponents.

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Match Scenario's

Three most likely match scenarios

65%
25%
10%
analytics
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Scenario Explanation

Scenario 1: United's individual quality (Fernandes and Mbeumo) breaks a stubborn Everton block in the second half (65% likelihood). Scenario 2: Everton capitalizes on United's poor away defensive record via a set-piece to salvage a 1-1 draw (25% likelihood). Scenario 3: Everton replicates their 1-0 win from earlier in the season by frustrating United into a tactical stalemate (10% likelihood). Given United's current momentum and xG overperformance, a 2-1 away win is the most statistically sound outcome.
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Current Standings

Position in the competition

Pos Team Pld W D L GD Pts
11 Fulham FC 38 15 7 16 -4 52
12 Newcastle United FC 38 14 7 17 -2 49
13 Everton FC 38 13 10 15 -3 49
14 Leeds United FC 38 11 14 13 -7 47
15 Crystal Palace FC 38 11 12 15 -10 45
···
1 Arsenal FC 38 26 7 5 +44 85
2 Manchester City FC 38 23 9 6 +42 78
3 Manchester United FC 38 20 11 7 +19 71
4 Aston Villa FC 38 19 8 11 +7 65
5 Liverpool FC 38 17 9 12 +10 60
Everton
Man United

Projected xG by CoachAI

1.23

Home xG

1.72

Away xG

Upset Chance

Medium

Risk of unexpected result

Everton Recent Form — Last 5

2 W · 2 D · 1 L
▲
10/2 Everton FC 1-2 AFC Bournemouth L 1.35
7/2 Fulham FC 1-2 Everton FC W 1.16
31/1 Brighton & Hove Albion FC 1-1 Everton FC D 1.15
26/1 Everton FC 1-1 Leeds United FC D 1.42
18/1 Aston Villa FC 0-1 Everton FC W 1.25

Man United Recent Form — Last 5

4 W · 1 D · 0 L
▼
▲
▲
10/2 West Ham United FC 1-1 Manchester United FC D 1.75
7/2 Manchester United FC 2-0 Tottenham Hotspur FC W 1.72
1/2 Manchester United FC 3-2 Fulham FC W 1.85
25/1 Arsenal FC 2-3 Manchester United FC W 1.55
17/1 Manchester United FC 2-0 Manchester City FC W 1.58
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Key Factors

sports_soccer 1

Manchester United's superior offensive efficiency: Carrick’s side maintains a high average xG of 1.69, significantly outperforming Everton's 1.27.

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Everton's defensive structural issues: The suspension of Jake O'Brien and long-term injury to Jack Grealish severely limits Everton's height in the box and creative transition play.

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Home disadvantage: Despite the 'new stadium' honeymoon, Everton have struggled at the Hill Dickinson Stadium, failing to win in their last six home outings.

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Injuries & Absentees

Everton is without the suspended Jake O'Brien (red card vs Bournemouth) and Jack Grealish (out for the season). This forces David Moyes to rely on a veteran backline that may struggle with United's transition pace. Manchester United remains without Matthijs de Ligt and Patrick Dorgu, but Harry Maguire’s return to form has stabilized their defense.

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Frequently Asked Questions about this prediction

What is the Coach AI prediction for Everton vs Man United?

Coach AI predicts a score of 1-2 with a win probability of 26% for Everton, 25% draw and 49% for Man United.

What is the recent form of Everton and Man United?

Everton form (last 5): 2W-2D-1L. Man United form (last 5): 4W-1D-0L.

What are the injury and suspension updates for Everton vs Man United?

Everton is without the suspended Jake O'Brien (red card vs Bournemouth) and Jack Grealish (out for the season). This forces David Moyes to rely on a veteran backline that may struggle with United's transition pace. Manchester United remains without Matthijs de Ligt and Patrick Dorgu, but Harry Maguire’s return to form has stabilized their defense.

What are the current standings for Everton and Man United in the Premier League?

Everton are 13th in the Premier League with 49 points from 38 games. Man United are 3rd with 71 points from 38 games.

What time does Everton vs Man United kick off?

Everton vs Man United kicks off on Monday, 23 February 2026 at 21:00 (Central European Time). The match is part of the Premier League.

Who is the referee for Everton vs Man United?

The referee for Everton vs Man United in the Premier League is Darren England.

What are the key factors for Everton vs Man United?

Coach AI identifies three decisive factors for Everton vs Man United: 1. Manchester United's superior offensive efficiency: Carrick’s side maintains a high average xG of 1.69, significantly outperforming Everton's 1.27. 2. Everton's defensive structural issues: The suspension of Jake O'Brien and long-term injury to Jack Grealish severely limits Everton's height in the box and creative transition play. 3. Home disadvantage: Despite the 'new stadium' honeymoon, Everton have struggled at the Hill Dickinson Stadium, failing to win in their last six home outings..

How does Coach AI predict this match?

Coach AI analyzes thousands of data points, including xG, recent form, team news, and tactical developments for every match.

How often are these football predictions updated?

Insights are updated daily to incorporate the latest developments, injuries, and market movements.

How accurate are the Coach AI predictions?

Coach AI has analyzed over 1,000 matches. In 50% of cases, the correct outcome (home win, draw, or away win) is predicted accurately. In more than 10% of matches, the exact final score matches the prediction — significantly above the market average.

What is Coach AI's track record?

Coach AI has predicted over 1,000 matches: 50% correct outcome, 10%+ exact final score. The model consistently outperforms standard probability calculations and gives football fans the data they need to make truly informed predictions.

What data does Coach AI use for its predictions?

Coach AI combines Expected Goals (xG), recent team form over the last five matches, head-to-head records, up-to-date injury news, and tactical match-up analysis. The model is updated daily so every prediction reflects the most current information available.