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Sunderland vs Tottenham — Premier League Prediction 12 April 2026

Sunderland
Sunderland
Premier League
2
VS
1
schedule 12 Apr, 13:00 · Referee: Robert Jones (England)
Predicted Score

Last update of insights: 30 May 2026

Tottenham
Tottenham
Final result
1 – 0
CoachAI prediction
2 – 1
✓ Outcome correct
Kickoff in —

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Coach AI predicts a score of 2-1 for Sunderland vs Tottenham in the Premier League. Tottenham is the favourite with a 40% win probability. Sunderland has a 32% chance of winning and 28% ends in a draw. See the full analysis, injuries and score matrix below.

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Sunderland vs Tottenham

This is a high-pressure survival battle for Spurs, who are winless in 13 league matches. While the 'new manager bounce' is a factor, De Zerbi’s complex tactical system usually takes time to implement, which is a risk against a stable Sunderland side. The weather at the Stadium of Light is expected to be windy with 40mph gusts, potentially favoring Sunderland's more direct approach over Spurs' attempt to play out from the back under a new regime.

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Match Scenario's

Three most likely match scenarios

55%
25%
20%
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Scenario Explanation

1 goals conceded per match) suggests they will struggle to keep a clean sheet against a motivated home side.
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Current Standings

Position in the competition

Pos Team Pld W D L GD Pts
5 Liverpool FC 38 17 9 12 +10 60
6 AFC Bournemouth 38 13 18 7 +4 57
7 Sunderland AFC 38 14 12 12 -6 54
8 Brighton & Hove Albion FC 38 14 11 13 +6 53
9 Brentford FC 38 14 11 13 +3 53
···
15 Crystal Palace FC 38 11 12 15 -10 45
16 Nottingham Forest FC 38 11 11 16 -3 44
17 Tottenham Hotspur FC 38 10 11 17 -9 41
18 West Ham United FC 38 10 9 19 -19 39
19 Burnley FC 38 4 10 24 -37 22
Sunderland
Tottenham

Projected xG by CoachAI

1.32

Home xG

1.45

Away xG

Upset Chance

High

Risk of unexpected result

Sunderland Recent Form — Last 5

2 W · 1 D · 2 L
▲
▼
22/3 Newcastle United FC 1-2 Sunderland AFC W 1.15
14/3 Sunderland AFC 0-1 Brighton & Hove Albion FC L 1.25
3/3 Leeds United FC 0-1 Sunderland AFC W 1.05
28/2 AFC Bournemouth 1-1 Sunderland AFC D 1.12
22/2 Sunderland AFC 1-3 Fulham FC L 1.35

Tottenham Recent Form — Last 5

1 W · 1 D · 3 L
▼
▲
▲
22/3 Tottenham Hotspur FC 0-3 Nottingham Forest FC L 1.55
18/3 Tottenham Hotspur FC 3-2 Club Atlético de Madrid W 1.45
15/3 Liverpool FC 1-1 Tottenham Hotspur FC D 1.12
10/3 Club Atlético de Madrid 5-2 Tottenham Hotspur FC L 1.10
5/3 Tottenham Hotspur FC 1-3 Crystal Palace FC L 1.45
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Key Factors

sports_soccer 1

Roberto De Zerbi makes his debut as Tottenham manager with the team having dropped into the relegation zone (18th) for the first time in 17 years.

trending_up 2

Tottenham is suffering from a massive injury crisis, missing key creators like Maddison, Kulusevski, and Kudus, as well as starting goalkeeper Vicario.

person 3

Sunderland is high on confidence following a 2-1 Tyne-Wear derby win and welcomes back key players Nordi Mukiele and Enzo Le Fée to the starting XI.

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Injuries & Absentees

Tottenham's squad is decimated: Guglielmo Vicario (hernia), James Maddison (ACL), and Dejan Kulusevski are out, while Mohammed Kudus suffered a major setback. This leaves Spurs with a lack of creative spark and a vulnerable backline protected by backup keeper Antonin Kinsky. Sunderland is missing Dan Ballard and Romaine Mundle, but the return of first-choice GK Robin Roefs and Reinildo significantly strengthens their defensive transition.

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Frequently Asked Questions about this prediction

What is the Coach AI prediction for Sunderland vs Tottenham?

Coach AI predicts a score of 2-1 with a win probability of 32% for Sunderland, 28% draw and 40% for Tottenham.

What is the recent form of Sunderland and Tottenham?

Sunderland form (last 5): 2W-1D-2L. Tottenham form (last 5): 1W-1D-3L.

What are the injury and suspension updates for Sunderland vs Tottenham?

Tottenham's squad is decimated: Guglielmo Vicario (hernia), James Maddison (ACL), and Dejan Kulusevski are out, while Mohammed Kudus suffered a major setback. This leaves Spurs with a lack of creative spark and a vulnerable backline protected by backup keeper Antonin Kinsky. Sunderland is missing Dan Ballard and Romaine Mundle, but the return of first-choice GK Robin Roefs and Reinildo significantly strengthens their defensive transition.

What are the current standings for Sunderland and Tottenham in the Premier League?

Sunderland are 7th in the Premier League with 54 points from 38 games. Tottenham are 17th with 41 points from 38 games.

What time does Sunderland vs Tottenham kick off?

Sunderland vs Tottenham kicks off on Sunday, 12 April 2026 at 15:00 (Central European Time). The match is part of the Premier League.

Who is the referee for Sunderland vs Tottenham?

The referee for Sunderland vs Tottenham in the Premier League is Robert Jones.

What are the key factors for Sunderland vs Tottenham?

Coach AI identifies three decisive factors for Sunderland vs Tottenham: 1. Roberto De Zerbi makes his debut as Tottenham manager with the team having dropped into the relegation zone (18th) for the first time in 17 years. 2. Tottenham is suffering from a massive injury crisis, missing key creators like Maddison, Kulusevski, and Kudus, as well as starting goalkeeper Vicario. 3. Sunderland is high on confidence following a 2-1 Tyne-Wear derby win and welcomes back key players Nordi Mukiele and Enzo Le Fée to the starting XI..

How does Coach AI predict this match?

Coach AI analyzes thousands of data points, including xG, recent form, team news, and tactical developments for every match.

How often are these football predictions updated?

Insights are updated daily to incorporate the latest developments, injuries, and market movements.

How accurate are the Coach AI predictions?

Coach AI has analyzed over 1,000 matches. In 50% of cases, the correct outcome (home win, draw, or away win) is predicted accurately. In more than 10% of matches, the exact final score matches the prediction — significantly above the market average.

What is Coach AI's track record?

Coach AI has predicted over 1,000 matches: 50% correct outcome, 10%+ exact final score. The model consistently outperforms standard probability calculations and gives football fans the data they need to make truly informed predictions.

What data does Coach AI use for its predictions?

Coach AI combines Expected Goals (xG), recent team form over the last five matches, head-to-head records, up-to-date injury news, and tactical match-up analysis. The model is updated daily so every prediction reflects the most current information available.