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Sunderland vs Liverpool: Premier League Prediction 11 February 2026

Premier League
1
VS
1
schedule 11 Feb, 20:15 · Referee: Chris Kavanagh (England)
Predicted Score

Last update of insights: 19 Oct 2026

Final result
0 – 1
CoachAI prediction
1 – 1
✗ Missed: next one’s ours
Kickoff in -

Coach AI predicts a score of 1-1 for Sunderland vs Liverpool in the Premier League. Liverpool comes out as the stronger side in the analysis. See the full analysis, injuries and score matrix below.

Match report: Sunderland vs Liverpool

Liverpool beat Sunderland 1-0 in the Premier League (matchday 26) on 11 February 2026.

Coach AI looks back

Coach AI predicted 1-1: the outcome was not right.

Result0-1
Coach AI1-1not right
FansLiverpool win (50%)right
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Pre-match preview: Sunderland vs Liverpool

This is a Wednesday night fixture at a hostile Stadium of Light. Weather forecasts predict cold, damp conditions (39°F) with a high probability of rain, favoring Sunderland's physical, direct style over Liverpool's intricate passing. Psychologically, Liverpool is vulnerable, having won only one of their last seven league games, while Sunderland is playing with the 'house money' of an overperforming promoted side currently challenging for European spots.

#SUNLIV #Sunderland #Liverpool #PremierLeague #FootballMeister

analytics

Scenarios before the match

Three most likely match scenarios

60%
25%
40%
analytics
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Scenario Explanation

The 'Narrative' suggests a classic trap game for the Reds. Liverpool will likely dominate possession (60%+) but struggle to penetrate Sunderland's compact 4-4-2. Sunderland’s strategy involves absorbing pressure and utilizing Granit Xhaka’s elite distribution to find runners like Wilson Isidor behind Liverpool's high line. The 'Value Tip' lies in the Under 2.5 goals or Sunderland Double Chance (1X); the market overvalues Liverpool's historical status despite their current right-back vulnerability and poor conversion rate. Probability Estimates: Home Win 25%, Draw 40%, Away Win 35%.

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table_chart

Current Standings

Position in the competition

Matchday

Pos Team Pld W D L GD Pts
1 Manchester City FC 7 7 0 0 +12 21
2 Arsenal FC 7 6 0 1 +6 18
3 Brighton & Hove Albion FC 7 5 1 1 +18 16
4 Chelsea FC 7 4 1 2 +4 13
5 Liverpool FC 7 3 3 1 +1 12
6 Brentford FC 7 2 4 1 +5 10
7 Leeds United FC 7 2 4 1 +3 10
8 Everton FC 7 2 4 1 +1 10
9 Hull City AFC 7 2 3 2 +1 9
10 Ipswich Town FC 7 3 0 4 -4 9
11 Newcastle United FC 7 2 2 3 -4 8
12 Aston Villa FC 7 2 2 3 -4 8
13 Manchester United FC 7 1 4 2 0 7
14 Crystal Palace FC 7 2 1 4 -8 7
15 AFC Bournemouth 7 1 3 3 -4 6
16 Coventry City FC 6 2 0 4 -6 6
17 Fulham FC 7 1 2 4 -3 5
18 Nottingham Forest FC 7 1 2 4 -4 5
19 Sunderland AFC 7 1 1 5 -8 4
20 Tottenham Hotspur FC 6 0 3 3 -6 3
Sunderland
Liverpool
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Fan Predictions

What Football Meister players predict for this match

Sunderland D Liverpool
17%
33%
50%
17% 33% 50%

Most predicted scorelines

1-2 50%
1-1 33%
1-0 17%

These are predictions made by real Football Meister players, not AI-generated data.

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Head to head

Sunderland and Liverpool in Football Meister data

0Sunderland wins
1draws
0Liverpool wins

Goals: 1 for Sunderland, 1 for Liverpool.

Coach AI missed the previous meeting.

Previous meetings

Goals per match

What the two clubs score and concede on average, as context for the prediction.

Sunderland at home

1.8

scored

0.8

conceded

12 matches

0
9 of 25 (36%)
1
8 of 25 (32%)
2
5 of 25 (20%)
3+
3 of 25 (12%)

Usually 0. Scores in 64% of matches.

Liverpool away

1.6

scored

1.8

conceded

12 matches

0
4 of 25 (16%)
1
8 of 25 (32%)
2
9 of 25 (36%)
3+
4 of 25 (16%)

Usually 2. Scores in 84% of matches.

Coach AI pre-match analysis

insights

Coach AI Scenarios

Sunderland Liverpool
W D L

Projected xG by CoachAI

1.25

Home xG

1.78

Away xG

Upset risk

High

Risk of unexpected result

Sunderland Recent Form: Last 5

2 W · 0 D · 3 L
▼
▲
▲
7/2 Arsenal FC 3-0 Sunderland AFC L 0.80
2/2 Sunderland AFC 3-0 Burnley FC W 1.35
24/1 West Ham United FC 3-1 Sunderland AFC L 1.38
17/1 Sunderland AFC 2-1 Crystal Palace FC W 1.15
7/1 Brentford FC 3-0 Sunderland AFC L

Liverpool Recent Form: Last 5

3 W · 0 D · 2 L
▼
▲
▲
▲
8/2 Liverpool FC 1-2 Manchester City FC L 1.88
31/1 Liverpool FC 4-1 Newcastle United FC W 1.92
28/1 Liverpool FC 6-0 Qarabağ Ağdam FK W 2.35
24/1 AFC Bournemouth 3-2 Liverpool FC L 1.95
21/1 Olympique de Marseille 0-3 Liverpool FC W 1.82
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Key Factors

sports_soccer 1

Sunderland's low-block 4-4-2 led by Régis Le Bris has made them the Premier League's premier 'Giant Killers' this season, specifically engineered to frustrate possession-heavy sides like Liverpool.

trending_up 2

Liverpool is enduring a catastrophic right-back crisis with Frimpong and Bradley out and Szoboszlai suspended; Curtis Jones is the likely makeshift replacement, creating a massive defensive mismatch against Sunderland's direct vertical counters.

person 3

Statistical Regression: Sunderland ranks second-to-last in xG created but fourth in the table, while Liverpool has significantly underperformed their xG in recent losses (1.88 xG vs Man City resulting in only 1 goal).

medical_services

Injuries & Absentees

Liverpool faces a 'selection nightmare' in defense. The absence of Jeremie Frimpong (Muscle) and Conor Bradley (Knee) removes all natural right-backs. Dominik Szoboszlai's suspension (red card vs City) further depletes the midfield engine. While Joe Gomez is a doubt, Arne Slot is expected to deploy a makeshift backline including Curtis Jones at RB, which significantly compromises Liverpool's ability to defend wide transitions. Sunderland remains largely at full strength, relying on the veteran leadership of Granit Xhaka and the aerial dominance of Dan Ballard.

The analyses and predictions on this page are generated by artificial intelligence and are intended for informational and entertainment purposes only. This is not gambling advice.

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Frequently Asked Questions about this prediction

What was the result of Sunderland vs Liverpool?

Liverpool beat Sunderland 1-0 in the Premier League (matchday 26) on 11 February 2026.

Did Coach AI predict Sunderland vs Liverpool correctly?

Coach AI predicted 1-1: the outcome was not right. The fans predicted Liverpool win (50%), which was right.

What is the correct score prediction for Sunderland vs Liverpool?

Coach AI predicts 1-1 as the correct score for Sunderland vs Liverpool. This page also covers the expected line-ups, injuries and xG.

What is the recent form of Sunderland and Liverpool?

Sunderland form (last 5): 2W-0D-3L. Liverpool form (last 5): 3W-0D-2L.

What are the injury and suspension updates for Sunderland vs Liverpool?

Liverpool faces a 'selection nightmare' in defense. The absence of Jeremie Frimpong (Muscle) and Conor Bradley (Knee) removes all natural right-backs. Dominik Szoboszlai's suspension (red card vs City) further depletes the midfield engine. While Joe Gomez is a doubt, Arne Slot is expected to deploy a makeshift backline including Curtis Jones at RB, which significantly compromises Liverpool's ability to defend wide transitions. Sunderland remains largely at full strength, relying on the veteran leadership of Granit Xhaka and the aerial dominance of Dan Ballard.

How many goals do Sunderland and Liverpool score on average?

Sunderland score at home 1.8 goals on average and concede 0.8 (12 matches). Liverpool score away 1.6 goals on average and concede 1.8 (12 matches).

What is the head-to-head record between Sunderland and Liverpool?

Football Meister has recorded 1 previous meeting between Sunderland and Liverpool: Sunderland won 0, Liverpool won 0 and 1 ended in a draw. The goal tally is 1-1.

What was the last result between Sunderland and Liverpool?

The last meeting was on 3 Dec 2025: Liverpool - Sunderland 1-1. Coach AI predicted 2-1.

How well did Coach AI predict earlier meetings between Sunderland and Liverpool?

Coach AI missed the previous meeting.

What do football fans and other predictors think about Sunderland vs Liverpool?

Among Football Meister players, 17% back a home win for Sunderland, 33% a draw, and 50% an away win for Liverpool. The most predicted scoreline is 1-2. Fans and Coach AI broadly agree on the likely outcome of this match.

What is the most popular prediction for Sunderland vs Liverpool?

The most predicted scoreline for Sunderland vs Liverpool is 1-2. Of all Football Meister players, 17% back Sunderland, 33% a draw and 50% Liverpool.

What are the current standings for Sunderland and Liverpool in the Premier League?

Sunderland are 19th in the Premier League with 4 points from 7 games. Liverpool are 5th with 12 points from 7 games.

What time does Sunderland vs Liverpool kick off?

Sunderland vs Liverpool kicks off on Wednesday, 11 February 2026 at 20:15 (Central European Time). The match is part of the Premier League.

Who is the referee for Sunderland vs Liverpool?

The referee for Sunderland vs Liverpool in the Premier League is Chris Kavanagh.

What are the key factors for Sunderland vs Liverpool?

Coach AI identifies three decisive factors for Sunderland vs Liverpool: 1. Sunderland's low-block 4-4-2 led by Régis Le Bris has made them the Premier League's premier 'Giant Killers' this season, specifically engineered to frustrate possession-heavy sides like Liverpool. 2. Liverpool is enduring a catastrophic right-back crisis with Frimpong and Bradley out and Szoboszlai suspended; Curtis Jones is the likely makeshift replacement, creating a massive defensive mismatch against Sunderland's direct vertical counters. 3. Statistical Regression: Sunderland ranks second-to-last in xG created but fourth in the table, while Liverpool has significantly underperformed their xG in recent losses (1.88 xG vs Man City resulting in only 1 goal)..

Which scenario does Coach AI see for Sunderland vs Liverpool?

Coach AI sees Liverpool as the stronger side in Sunderland vs Liverpool. The full analysis with the expected score, xG and injuries is on this page.

How does Coach AI predict this match?

Coach AI analyzes thousands of data points, including xG, recent form, team news, and tactical developments for every match.

How often are these football predictions updated?

Insights are updated daily to incorporate the latest developments, injuries, and market movements.

How accurate are the Coach AI predictions?

Coach AI has analyzed over 1,000 matches. In 50% of cases, the correct outcome (home win, draw, or away win) is predicted accurately. In more than 10% of matches, the exact final score matches the prediction, significantly above the market average.

What is Coach AI's track record?

Coach AI has predicted over 1,000 matches: 50% correct outcome, 10%+ exact final score. The model consistently outperforms standard probability calculations and gives football fans the data they need to make truly informed predictions.

What data does Coach AI use for its predictions?

Coach AI combines Expected Goals (xG), recent team form over the last five matches, head-to-head records, up-to-date injury news, and tactical match-up analysis. The model is updated daily so every prediction reflects the most current information available.

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