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Crystal Palace vs Burnley: Premier League Prediction 11 February 2026

Premier League
2
VS
0
schedule 11 Feb, 19:40 · Referee: Farai Hallam (England)
Predicted Score

Last update of insights: 19 Oct 2026

Final result
2 – 3
CoachAI prediction
2 – 0
✗ Missed: next one’s ours
Kickoff in -

Coach AI predicts a score of 2-0 for Crystal Palace vs Burnley in the Premier League. Crystal Palace comes out as the stronger side in the analysis. See the full analysis, injuries and score matrix below.

Match report: Crystal Palace vs Burnley

Burnley beat Crystal Palace 3-2 in the Premier League (matchday 26) on 11 February 2026.

Coach AI looks back

Coach AI predicted 2-0: the outcome was not right.

Result2-3
Coach AI2-0not right
FansCrystal Palace win (83%)not right
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Pre-match preview: Crystal Palace vs Burnley

This is a high-stakes encounter for both, but for different reasons. Crystal Palace enters with significant momentum after a massive 1-0 derby win over Brighton, effectively ending a 9-match winless streak. Burnley is in 'free-fall' mode, winless in 16 matches and currently 11 points adrift of safety. The referee, Farai Hallam, is a newer official in the 2025/26 rotation, which often leads to a strictly officiated game with higher card counts for desperate defensive tackles.

#CRYBUR #CrystalPalace #Burnley #PremierLeague #FootballMeister

analytics

Scenarios before the match

Three most likely match scenarios

61%
24%
15%
analytics
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Scenario Explanation

The narrative suggests a 'professional' home win. Crystal Palace's tactical setup under Oliver Glasner has stabilized, focusing on efficiency (xG performance: 1.18 vs 1.15) and clean sheets against lower-tier opposition. Burnley's underlying numbers (0.83 xG per 90) are the worst in the league, and their tendency to underperform their expected goals (as seen in the 0-2 West Ham loss) points to a lack of clinical quality. Market Value Tip: The 'Palace to Win to Nil' market offers better value than the straight moneyline, given that Burnley has failed to score in their last two and has a poor away scoring record. Probability estimates: Home Win 61%, Draw 24%, Away Win 15%.

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Current Standings

Position in the competition

Matchday

Pos Team Pld W D L GD Pts
1 Manchester City FC 7 7 0 0 +12 21
2 Arsenal FC 7 6 0 1 +6 18
3 Brighton & Hove Albion FC 7 5 1 1 +18 16
4 Chelsea FC 7 4 1 2 +4 13
5 Liverpool FC 7 3 3 1 +1 12
6 Brentford FC 7 2 4 1 +5 10
7 Leeds United FC 7 2 4 1 +3 10
8 Everton FC 7 2 4 1 +1 10
9 Hull City AFC 7 2 3 2 +1 9
10 Ipswich Town FC 7 3 0 4 -4 9
11 Newcastle United FC 7 2 2 3 -4 8
12 Aston Villa FC 7 2 2 3 -4 8
13 Manchester United FC 7 1 4 2 0 7
14 Crystal Palace FC 7 2 1 4 -8 7
15 AFC Bournemouth 7 1 3 3 -4 6
16 Coventry City FC 6 2 0 4 -6 6
17 Fulham FC 7 1 2 4 -3 5
18 Nottingham Forest FC 7 1 2 4 -4 5
19 Sunderland AFC 7 1 1 5 -8 4
20 Tottenham Hotspur FC 6 0 3 3 -6 3
Crystal Palace
Burnley
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Fan Predictions

What Football Meister players predict for this match

Crystal Palace D Burnley
83%
17%
83% 0% 17%

Most predicted scorelines

2-0 50%
1-2 17%
2-1 17%
1-0 17%

These are predictions made by real Football Meister players, not AI-generated data.

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Head to head

Crystal Palace and Burnley in Football Meister data

1Crystal Palace wins
0draws
0Burnley wins

Goals: 1 for Crystal Palace, 0 for Burnley.

Coach AI got the exact score of the previous meeting right.

Previous meetings

Goals per match

What the two clubs score and concede on average, as context for the prediction.

Crystal Palace at home

0.9

scored

1.3

conceded

12 matches

0
8 of 25 (32%)
1
10 of 25 (40%)
2
5 of 25 (20%)
3+
2 of 25 (8%)

Usually 1. Scores in 68% of matches.

Burnley away

1.1

scored

2.5

conceded

12 matches

0
9 of 25 (36%)
1
8 of 25 (32%)
2
7 of 25 (28%)
3+
1 of 25 (4%)

Usually 0. Scores in 64% of matches.

Coach AI pre-match analysis

insights

Coach AI Scenarios

Crystal Palace Burnley
W D L

Projected xG by CoachAI

1.65

Home xG

0.92

Away xG

Upset risk

Low

Risk of unexpected result

Crystal Palace Recent Form: Last 5

1 W · 2 D · 2 L
8/2 Brighton & Hove Albion FC 0-1 Crystal Palace FC W 1.18
1/2 Nottingham Forest FC 1-1 Crystal Palace FC D 1.15
25/1 Crystal Palace FC 1-3 Chelsea FC L 1.15
17/1 Sunderland AFC 2-1 Crystal Palace FC L 1.28
7/1 Crystal Palace FC 0-0 Aston Villa FC D

Burnley Recent Form: Last 5

0 W · 3 D · 2 L
▼
▼
▲
7/2 Burnley FC 0-2 West Ham United FC L 1.25
2/2 Sunderland AFC 3-0 Burnley FC L 1.15
24/1 Burnley FC 2-2 Tottenham Hotspur FC D 1.12
17/1 Liverpool FC 1-1 Burnley FC D 0.85
7/1 Burnley FC 2-2 Manchester United FC D
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Key Factors

sports_soccer 1

Burnley is experiencing a massive finishing slump, scoring zero goals from a combined xG of 2.40 in their last two outings, indicating a psychological barrier in front of goal.

trending_up 2

Crystal Palace has a historical dominance in this fixture, having won the last three head-to-heads against Burnley 'to nil' and remaining unbeaten in 19 consecutive games against teams in the bottom three.

person 3

Burnley's squad is severely depleted by an injury crisis affecting six key players, including primary midfield engine Josh Cullen and defensive anchor Jordan Beyer, forcing a makeshift backline.

medical_services

Injuries & Absentees

Crystal Palace is missing their primary strike force with Jean-Philippe Mateta (8 goals) and Eddie Nketiah sidelined; however, winter signing Jorgen Strand Larsen is effectively filling the void. Burnley's situation is more critical: the absence of Cullen, Amdouni, and Beyer removes the core spine of the team. While James Ward-Prowse is available for a debut, his lack of match fitness and integration with a rotating back-four (featuring Lucas Pires and Joe Worrall) creates a high-risk defensive environment.

The analyses and predictions on this page are generated by artificial intelligence and are intended for informational and entertainment purposes only. This is not gambling advice.

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Frequently Asked Questions about this prediction

What was the result of Crystal Palace vs Burnley?

Burnley beat Crystal Palace 3-2 in the Premier League (matchday 26) on 11 February 2026.

Did Coach AI predict Crystal Palace vs Burnley correctly?

Coach AI predicted 2-0: the outcome was not right. The fans predicted Crystal Palace win (83%), which was not right.

What is the correct score prediction for Crystal Palace vs Burnley?

Coach AI predicts 2-0 as the correct score for Crystal Palace vs Burnley. This page also covers the expected line-ups, injuries and xG.

What is the recent form of Crystal Palace and Burnley?

Crystal Palace form (last 5): 1W-2D-2L. Burnley form (last 5): 0W-3D-2L.

What are the injury and suspension updates for Crystal Palace vs Burnley?

Crystal Palace is missing their primary strike force with Jean-Philippe Mateta (8 goals) and Eddie Nketiah sidelined; however, winter signing Jorgen Strand Larsen is effectively filling the void. Burnley's situation is more critical: the absence of Cullen, Amdouni, and Beyer removes the core spine of the team. While James Ward-Prowse is available for a debut, his lack of match fitness and integration with a rotating back-four (featuring Lucas Pires and Joe Worrall) creates a high-risk defensive environment.

How many goals do Crystal Palace and Burnley score on average?

Crystal Palace score at home 0.9 goals on average and concede 1.3 (12 matches). Burnley score away 1.1 goals on average and concede 2.5 (12 matches).

What is the head-to-head record between Crystal Palace and Burnley?

Football Meister has recorded 1 previous meeting between Crystal Palace and Burnley: Crystal Palace won 1, Burnley won 0 and 0 ended in a draw. The goal tally is 1-0.

What was the last result between Crystal Palace and Burnley?

The last meeting was on 3 Dec 2025: Burnley - Crystal Palace 0-1. Coach AI predicted 0-1.

How well did Coach AI predict earlier meetings between Crystal Palace and Burnley?

Coach AI got the exact score of the previous meeting right.

What do football fans and other predictors think about Crystal Palace vs Burnley?

Among Football Meister players, 83% back a home win for Crystal Palace, 0% a draw, and 17% an away win for Burnley. The most predicted scoreline is 2-0. Fans are more bullish than Coach AI on Crystal Palace: fans pick 83% home win, Coach AI calculates 60%.

What is the most popular prediction for Crystal Palace vs Burnley?

The most predicted scoreline for Crystal Palace vs Burnley is 2-0. Of all Football Meister players, 83% back Crystal Palace, 0% a draw and 17% Burnley.

What time does Crystal Palace vs Burnley kick off?

Crystal Palace vs Burnley kicks off on Wednesday, 11 February 2026 at 19:40 (Central European Time). The match is part of the Premier League.

Who is the referee for Crystal Palace vs Burnley?

The referee for Crystal Palace vs Burnley in the Premier League is Farai Hallam.

What are the key factors for Crystal Palace vs Burnley?

Coach AI identifies three decisive factors for Crystal Palace vs Burnley: 1. Burnley is experiencing a massive finishing slump, scoring zero goals from a combined xG of 2.40 in their last two outings, indicating a psychological barrier in front of goal. 2. Crystal Palace has a historical dominance in this fixture, having won the last three head-to-heads against Burnley 'to nil' and remaining unbeaten in 19 consecutive games against teams in the bottom three. 3. Burnley's squad is severely depleted by an injury crisis affecting six key players, including primary midfield engine Josh Cullen and defensive anchor Jordan Beyer, forcing a makeshift backline..

Which scenario does Coach AI see for Crystal Palace vs Burnley?

Coach AI sees Crystal Palace as the stronger side in Crystal Palace vs Burnley. The full analysis with the expected score, xG and injuries is on this page.

How does Coach AI predict this match?

Coach AI analyzes thousands of data points, including xG, recent form, team news, and tactical developments for every match.

How often are these football predictions updated?

Insights are updated daily to incorporate the latest developments, injuries, and market movements.

How accurate are the Coach AI predictions?

Coach AI has analyzed over 1,000 matches. In 50% of cases, the correct outcome (home win, draw, or away win) is predicted accurately. In more than 10% of matches, the exact final score matches the prediction, significantly above the market average.

What is Coach AI's track record?

Coach AI has predicted over 1,000 matches: 50% correct outcome, 10%+ exact final score. The model consistently outperforms standard probability calculations and gives football fans the data they need to make truly informed predictions.

What data does Coach AI use for its predictions?

Coach AI combines Expected Goals (xG), recent team form over the last five matches, head-to-head records, up-to-date injury news, and tactical match-up analysis. The model is updated daily so every prediction reflects the most current information available.

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