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Sunderland vs Leeds United: Premier League Prediction 25 October 2026

Premier League
0
VS
1
schedule 25 Oct, 16:30
Predicted Score

Last update of insights: 19 Oct 2026

Likely Goal Scorers
sports_soccer Jayden Bogle sports_soccer James Justin
Kickoff in -

Coach AI predicts a score of 0-1 for Sunderland vs Leeds United in the Premier League. Leeds United comes out as the stronger side in the analysis. See the full analysis, injuries and score matrix below.

All matches of matchday 8

Correct score prediction: Sunderland vs Leeds United

Coach AI's correct score prediction for Sunderland vs Leeds United is 0-1 (Leeds United win). Across 320 played Premier League matches, Coach AI predicted the right outcome in 44% and the exact score in 10%.

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Sunderland vs Leeds United

This is a clash of contrasting trajectories: 7th-placed Leeds are chasing European qualification, while 17th-placed Sunderland are desperate to stop a three-match losing streak and avoid the relegation zone. Sunderland's distraction with Europa League fixtures (notably their away trip to Torreense) significantly shifts the fitness advantage toward Daniel Farke's side.

#SUNLEE #Sunderland #LeedsUnited #PremierLeague #FootballMeister

analytics

Match scenarios

Three most likely match scenarios

42%
31%
27%

Leeds Aerial Dominance

42%

Leeds utilizes their wing-backs to cross frequently for Calvert-Lewin, eventually breaking through a Sunderland defense missing Ballard.

Stalemate At The Light

31%

Sunderland prioritizes defensive solidity to end their losing streak, resulting in a cagey match where both sides struggle to find clear-cut chances.

Brobbey Counter Strike

27%

Sunderland absorbs pressure and releases Brobbey on the break, punishing Leeds for their high defensive line.

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table_chart

Current Standings

Position in the competition

Matchday

Pos Team Pld W D L GD Pts
1 Manchester City FC 7 7 0 0 +12 21
2 Arsenal FC 7 6 0 1 +6 18
3 Brighton & Hove Albion FC 7 5 1 1 +18 16
4 Chelsea FC 7 4 1 2 +4 13
5 Liverpool FC 7 3 3 1 +1 12
6 Brentford FC 7 2 4 1 +5 10
7 Leeds United FC 7 2 4 1 +3 10
8 Everton FC 7 2 4 1 +1 10
9 Hull City AFC 7 2 3 2 +1 9
10 Ipswich Town FC 7 3 0 4 -4 9
11 Newcastle United FC 7 2 2 3 -4 8
12 Aston Villa FC 7 2 2 3 -4 8
13 Manchester United FC 7 1 4 2 0 7
14 Crystal Palace FC 7 2 1 4 -8 7
15 AFC Bournemouth 7 1 3 3 -4 6
16 Coventry City FC 6 2 0 4 -6 6
17 Fulham FC 7 1 2 4 -3 5
18 Nottingham Forest FC 7 1 2 4 -4 5
19 Sunderland AFC 7 1 1 5 -8 4
20 Tottenham Hotspur FC 6 0 3 3 -6 3
Sunderland
Leeds United
swap_horiz

Head to head

Sunderland and Leeds United in Football Meister data

1Sunderland wins
1draws
0Leeds United wins

Goals: 2 for Sunderland, 1 for Leeds United.

Coach AI called 0 of the 2 previous meetings right, 0 of them with the exact score.

Previous meetings

Goals per match

What the two clubs score and concede on average, as context for the prediction.

Sunderland at home

0.3

scored

1.3

conceded

3 matches

0
3 of 7 (43%)
1
3 of 7 (43%)
2
0 of 7 (0%)
3+
1 of 7 (14%)

Usually 0 or 1. Scores in 57% of matches.

Leeds United away

1.0

scored

1.0

conceded

3 matches

0
1 of 7 (14%)
1
5 of 7 (71%)
2
0 of 7 (0%)
3+
1 of 7 (14%)

Usually 1. Scores in 86% of matches.

Sunderland against clubs in the top third

Like Leeds United, now 7th in the table. 4 matches.

0 won, 1 drawn, 3 lost, average goal difference -1.5

Leeds United against clubs in the bottom third

Like Sunderland, now 19th in the table. 2 matches.

1 won, 1 drawn, 0 lost, average goal difference +0.5

Win by 2 or moreWin by 1DrawLose by 1Lose by 2 or more

Groups are thirds of the current table. Two or three matches say little: look at the number.

Coach AI analysis

insights

Coach AI Scenarios

Sunderland Leeds United
W D L

Projected xG by CoachAI

1.18

Home xG

1.42

Away xG

Upset risk

Medium

Risk of unexpected result

Sunderland Recent Form: Last 5

1 W · 1 D · 3 L
▼
▲
▼
10/10 Sunderland AFC 0-2 Brighton & Hove Albion FC L 1.20
20/9 Manchester City FC 5-3 Sunderland AFC L 0.78
12/9 Sunderland AFC 0-2 Arsenal FC L 0.95
5/9 Brentford FC 1-1 Sunderland AFC D 1.08
30/8 Sunderland AFC 1-0 Fulham FC W 1.28

Leeds United Recent Form: Last 5

1 W · 3 D · 1 L
▼
▲
▼
10/10 Arsenal FC 2-1 Leeds United FC L 1.05
20/9 Leeds United FC 0-0 Crystal Palace FC D 1.68
14/9 Leeds United FC 4-1 Newcastle United FC W 1.35
5/9 Brighton & Hove Albion FC 1-1 Leeds United FC D 1.18
30/8 Leeds United FC 1-1 Brentford FC D 1.55
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Key Factors

sports_soccer 1

Sunderland is balancing a heavy schedule including their first European campaign in 50 years, creating potential fatigue compared to a better-rested Leeds side.

trending_up 2

Leeds United's physical 3-4-3 system, led by target man Dominic Calvert-Lewin, poses a significant aerial and set-piece threat to a Sunderland defense missing key man Daniel Ballard.

person 3

Sunderland's home form is toothless (0.60 goals per game), though the return of Brian Brobbey to full training provides a vital boost to their counter-attacking potential.

medical_services

Injuries & Absentees

Sunderland is severely weakened in defense with Daniel Ballard (hamstring) ruled out and veteran Thomas Meunier highly doubtful. While top scorer Brian Brobbey has returned to training, his match sharpness may be limited. Leeds are missing center-back Joe Rodon (hamstring), likely forcing Tarik Muharemović into a high-pressure starting role.

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Key Players

Sunderland

Brian Brobbey ST
personIn Form
Granit Xhaka CDM
personKey Threat

Leeds United

Dominic Calvert-Lewin ST
personIn Form
Harry Wilson RW
personKey Threat

The analyses and predictions on this page are generated by artificial intelligence and are intended for informational and entertainment purposes only. This is not gambling advice.

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Frequently Asked Questions about this prediction

What is the correct score prediction for Sunderland vs Leeds United?

Coach AI predicts 0-1 as the correct score for Sunderland vs Leeds United. Across 320 played Premier League matches, Coach AI predicted the right outcome in 44% and the exact score in 10%. This page also covers the expected line-ups, injuries and xG.

What is the recent form of Sunderland and Leeds United?

Sunderland form (last 5): 1W-1D-3L. Leeds United form (last 5): 1W-3D-1L.

What are the injury and suspension updates for Sunderland vs Leeds United?

Sunderland is severely weakened in defense with Daniel Ballard (hamstring) ruled out and veteran Thomas Meunier highly doubtful. While top scorer Brian Brobbey has returned to training, his match sharpness may be limited. Leeds are missing center-back Joe Rodon (hamstring), likely forcing Tarik Muharemović into a high-pressure starting role.

How do Sunderland do against clubs in the top third?

Sunderland have won 0, drawn 1 and lost 3 of 4 matches against clubs in the top third this season, average goal difference -1.5. Leeds United are 7th in the table.

How do Leeds United do against clubs in the bottom third?

Leeds United have won 1, drawn 1 and lost 0 of 2 matches against clubs in the bottom third this season, average goal difference +0.5. Sunderland are 19th in the table.

How many goals do Sunderland and Leeds United score on average?

Sunderland score at home 0.3 goals on average and concede 1.3 (3 matches). Leeds United score away 1.0 goals on average and concede 1.0 (3 matches).

What is the head-to-head record between Sunderland and Leeds United?

Football Meister has recorded 2 previous meetings between Sunderland and Leeds United: Sunderland won 1, Leeds United won 0 and 1 ended in a draw. The goal tally is 2-1.

What was the last result between Sunderland and Leeds United?

The last meeting was on 3 Mar 2026: Leeds United - Sunderland 0-1. Coach AI predicted 2-1.

How well did Coach AI predict earlier meetings between Sunderland and Leeds United?

Coach AI called 0 of the 2 previous meetings right, 0 of them with the exact score.

What are the possible match scenarios for Sunderland vs Leeds United?

Leeds Aerial Dominance (42%): Leeds utilizes their wing-backs to cross frequently for Calvert-Lewin, eventually breaking through a Sunderland defense missing Ballard.; Stalemate At The Light (31%): Sunderland prioritizes defensive solidity to end their losing streak, resulting in a cagey match where both sides struggle to find clear-cut chances.; Brobbey Counter Strike (27%): Sunderland absorbs pressure and releases Brobbey on the break, punishing Leeds for their high defensive line.

What are the current standings for Sunderland and Leeds United in the Premier League?

Sunderland are 19th in the Premier League with 4 points from 7 games. Leeds United are 7th with 10 points from 7 games.

What time does Sunderland vs Leeds United kick off?

Sunderland vs Leeds United kicks off on Sunday, 25 October 2026 at 16:30 (Central European Time). The match is part of the Premier League.

What are the key factors for Sunderland vs Leeds United?

Coach AI identifies three decisive factors for Sunderland vs Leeds United: 1. Sunderland is balancing a heavy schedule including their first European campaign in 50 years, creating potential fatigue compared to a better-rested Leeds side. 2. Leeds United's physical 3-4-3 system, led by target man Dominic Calvert-Lewin, poses a significant aerial and set-piece threat to a Sunderland defense missing key man Daniel Ballard. 3. Sunderland's home form is toothless (0.60 goals per game), though the return of Brian Brobbey to full training provides a vital boost to their counter-attacking potential..

Who are the key players for Sunderland vs Leeds United?

Coach AI has identified the following key players for Sunderland vs Leeds United. Sunderland: Brian Brobbey (In Form), Granit Xhaka (Key Threat). Leeds United: Dominic Calvert-Lewin (In Form), Harry Wilson (Key Threat).

Which scenario does Coach AI see for Sunderland vs Leeds United?

Coach AI sees Leeds United as the stronger side in Sunderland vs Leeds United. The full analysis with the expected score, xG and injuries is on this page.

How does Coach AI predict this match?

Coach AI analyzes thousands of data points, including xG, recent form, team news, and tactical developments for every match.

How often are these football predictions updated?

Insights are updated daily to incorporate the latest developments, injuries, and market movements.

How accurate are the Coach AI predictions?

Coach AI has analyzed over 1,000 matches. In 50% of cases, the correct outcome (home win, draw, or away win) is predicted accurately. In more than 10% of matches, the exact final score matches the prediction, significantly above the market average.

What is Coach AI's track record?

Coach AI has predicted over 1,000 matches: 50% correct outcome, 10%+ exact final score. The model consistently outperforms standard probability calculations and gives football fans the data they need to make truly informed predictions.

What data does Coach AI use for its predictions?

Coach AI combines Expected Goals (xG), recent team form over the last five matches, head-to-head records, up-to-date injury news, and tactical match-up analysis. The model is updated daily so every prediction reflects the most current information available.

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