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Leeds United vs Sunderland: Premier League Prediction 3 March 2026

Premier League
2
VS
1
schedule 03 Mar, 19:30 · Referee: Stuart Attwell (England)
Predicted Score

Last update of insights: 19 Oct 2026

Final result
0 – 1
CoachAI prediction
2 – 1
✗ Missed: next one’s ours
Kickoff in -

Coach AI predicts a score of 2-1 for Leeds United vs Sunderland in the Premier League. Leeds United comes out as the stronger side in the analysis. See the full analysis, injuries and score matrix below.

Match report: Leeds United vs Sunderland

Sunderland beat Leeds United 1-0 in the Premier League (matchday 29) on 3 March 2026.

Coach AI looks back

Coach AI predicted 2-1: the outcome was not right.

Result0-1
Coach AI2-1not right
FansLeeds United win (67%)not right
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Pre-match preview: Leeds United vs Sunderland

Played under the lights at Elland Road on a cold, likely rainy Tuesday night. Leeds are fighting for Premier League survival (15th), while Sunderland's European hopes (12th) are fading due to form and injuries. Leeds have shifted to a more direct 3-5-2 system recently, focusing on feeding Dominic Calvert-Lewin.

#LEESUN #LeedsUnited #Sunderland #PremierLeague #FootballMeister

analytics

Scenarios before the match

Three most likely match scenarios

55%
30%
15%
analytics
explore

Scenario Explanation

1 draw (30%) remains possible if Leeds repeat their wasteful finishing seen against Manchester City (1.25 xG, 0 goals). A Sunderland smash-and-grab win (15%) would require a masterclass from Granit Xhaka and a severe defensive blunder from the hosts.

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table_chart

Current Standings

Position in the competition

Matchday

Pos Team Pld W D L GD Pts
1 Manchester City FC 7 7 0 0 +12 21
2 Arsenal FC 7 6 0 1 +6 18
3 Brighton & Hove Albion FC 7 5 1 1 +18 16
4 Chelsea FC 7 4 1 2 +4 13
5 Liverpool FC 7 3 3 1 +1 12
6 Brentford FC 7 2 4 1 +5 10
7 Leeds United FC 7 2 4 1 +3 10
8 Everton FC 7 2 4 1 +1 10
9 Hull City AFC 7 2 3 2 +1 9
10 Ipswich Town FC 7 3 0 4 -4 9
11 Newcastle United FC 7 2 2 3 -4 8
12 Aston Villa FC 7 2 2 3 -4 8
13 Manchester United FC 7 1 4 2 0 7
14 Crystal Palace FC 7 2 1 4 -8 7
15 AFC Bournemouth 7 1 3 3 -4 6
16 Coventry City FC 6 2 0 4 -6 6
17 Fulham FC 7 1 2 4 -3 5
18 Nottingham Forest FC 7 1 2 4 -4 5
19 Sunderland AFC 7 1 1 5 -8 4
20 Tottenham Hotspur FC 6 0 3 3 -6 3
Leeds United
Sunderland
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Fan Predictions

What Football Meister players predict for this match

Leeds United D Sunderland
67%
17%
17%
67% 17% 17%

Most predicted scorelines

2-1 50%
2-0 17%
1-1 17%
1-2 17%

These are predictions made by real Football Meister players, not AI-generated data.

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Head to head

Leeds United and Sunderland in Football Meister data

0Leeds United wins
1draws
0Sunderland wins

Goals: 1 for Leeds United, 1 for Sunderland.

Coach AI missed the previous meeting.

Previous meetings

Goals per match

What the two clubs score and concede on average, as context for the prediction.

Leeds United at home

1.6

scored

1.4

conceded

14 matches

0
8 of 28 (29%)
1
10 of 28 (36%)
2
4 of 28 (14%)
3+
6 of 28 (21%)

Usually 1. Scores in 71% of matches.

Sunderland away

0.5

scored

1.5

conceded

14 matches

0
10 of 28 (36%)
1
10 of 28 (36%)
2
5 of 28 (18%)
3+
3 of 28 (11%)

Usually 0 or 1. Scores in 64% of matches.

Coach AI pre-match analysis

insights

Coach AI Scenarios

Leeds United Sunderland
W D L

Projected xG by CoachAI

1.65

Home xG

1.05

Away xG

Upset risk

Medium

Risk of unexpected result

Leeds United Recent Form: Last 5

1 W · 2 D · 2 L
▼
▲
▲
▼
28/2 Leeds United FC 0-1 Manchester City FC L 1.25
21/2 Aston Villa FC 1-1 Leeds United FC D 1.35
10/2 Chelsea FC 2-2 Leeds United FC D 1.18
6/2 Leeds United FC 3-1 Nottingham Forest FC W 1.52
31/1 Leeds United FC 0-4 Arsenal FC L 1.15

Sunderland Recent Form: Last 5

1 W · 1 D · 3 L
▼
▼
▲
28/2 AFC Bournemouth 1-1 Sunderland AFC D 1.12
22/2 Sunderland AFC 1-3 Fulham FC L 1.35
11/2 Sunderland AFC 0-1 Liverpool FC L 1.25
7/2 Arsenal FC 3-0 Sunderland AFC L 0.80
2/2 Sunderland AFC 3-0 Burnley FC W 1.35
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Key Factors

sports_soccer 1

Sunderland Injury Crisis: The visitors are missing at least six regular starters including Mukiele, Brobbey, and Reinildo, severely depleting their defensive and attacking depth.

trending_up 2

xG Disparity: Leeds maintain a high season xG (1.49 per match) but have underperformed their scoring metrics recently; a regression to the mean is likely against a weakened defense.

person 3

Sunderland's Away Struggles: The Black Cats average only 0.5 goals per game on the road and haven't won an away match since October.

bolt 4

Leeds Defensive Vulnerability: Despite dominance, Leeds have conceded in 7 consecutive games and 10 of their last 11, making a clean sheet unlikely even against a depleted attack.

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Injuries & Absentees

Sunderland is severely hampered with Nordi Mukiele, Brian Brobbey, Reinildo Mandava, Dennis Cirkin, Romaine Mundle, and Jocelin Ta Bi all ruled out. Leeds is only missing Noah Okafor, though manager Daniel Farke is serving a touchline ban. Key defenders Joe Rodon and James Justin are expected to start despite recent knocks.

The analyses and predictions on this page are generated by artificial intelligence and are intended for informational and entertainment purposes only. This is not gambling advice.

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Frequently Asked Questions about this prediction

What was the result of Leeds United vs Sunderland?

Sunderland beat Leeds United 1-0 in the Premier League (matchday 29) on 3 March 2026.

Did Coach AI predict Leeds United vs Sunderland correctly?

Coach AI predicted 2-1: the outcome was not right. The fans predicted Leeds United win (67%), which was not right.

What is the correct score prediction for Leeds United vs Sunderland?

Coach AI predicts 2-1 as the correct score for Leeds United vs Sunderland. This page also covers the expected line-ups, injuries and xG.

What is the recent form of Leeds United and Sunderland?

Leeds United form (last 5): 1W-2D-2L. Sunderland form (last 5): 1W-1D-3L.

What are the injury and suspension updates for Leeds United vs Sunderland?

Sunderland is severely hampered with Nordi Mukiele, Brian Brobbey, Reinildo Mandava, Dennis Cirkin, Romaine Mundle, and Jocelin Ta Bi all ruled out. Leeds is only missing Noah Okafor, though manager Daniel Farke is serving a touchline ban. Key defenders Joe Rodon and James Justin are expected to start despite recent knocks.

How many goals do Leeds United and Sunderland score on average?

Leeds United score at home 1.6 goals on average and concede 1.4 (14 matches). Sunderland score away 0.5 goals on average and concede 1.5 (14 matches).

What is the head-to-head record between Leeds United and Sunderland?

Football Meister has recorded 1 previous meeting between Leeds United and Sunderland: Leeds United won 0, Sunderland won 0 and 1 ended in a draw. The goal tally is 1-1.

What was the last result between Leeds United and Sunderland?

The last meeting was on 28 Dec 2025: Sunderland - Leeds United 1-1. Coach AI predicted 2-1.

How well did Coach AI predict earlier meetings between Leeds United and Sunderland?

Coach AI missed the previous meeting.

What do football fans and other predictors think about Leeds United vs Sunderland?

Among Football Meister players, 67% back a home win for Leeds United, 17% a draw, and 17% an away win for Sunderland. The most predicted scoreline is 2-1. Fans are more bullish than Coach AI on Leeds United: fans pick 67% home win, Coach AI calculates 50%.

What is the most popular prediction for Leeds United vs Sunderland?

The most predicted scoreline for Leeds United vs Sunderland is 2-1. Of all Football Meister players, 67% back Leeds United, 17% a draw and 17% Sunderland.

What are the current standings for Leeds United and Sunderland in the Premier League?

Leeds United are 7th in the Premier League with 10 points from 7 games. Sunderland are 19th with 4 points from 7 games.

What time does Leeds United vs Sunderland kick off?

Leeds United vs Sunderland kicks off on Tuesday, 3 March 2026 at 19:30 (Central European Time). The match is part of the Premier League.

Who is the referee for Leeds United vs Sunderland?

The referee for Leeds United vs Sunderland in the Premier League is Stuart Attwell.

What are the key factors for Leeds United vs Sunderland?

Coach AI identifies three decisive factors for Leeds United vs Sunderland: 1. Sunderland Injury Crisis: The visitors are missing at least six regular starters including Mukiele, Brobbey, and Reinildo, severely depleting their defensive and attacking depth. 2. xG Disparity: Leeds maintain a high season xG (1.49 per match) but have underperformed their scoring metrics recently; a regression to the mean is likely against a weakened defense. 3. Sunderland's Away Struggles: The Black Cats average only 0.5 goals per game on the road and haven't won an away match since October. 4. Leeds Defensive Vulnerability: Despite dominance, Leeds have conceded in 7 consecutive games and 10 of their last 11, making a clean sheet unlikely even against a depleted attack..

Which scenario does Coach AI see for Leeds United vs Sunderland?

Coach AI sees Leeds United as the stronger side in Leeds United vs Sunderland. The full analysis with the expected score, xG and injuries is on this page.

How does Coach AI predict this match?

Coach AI analyzes thousands of data points, including xG, recent form, team news, and tactical developments for every match.

How often are these football predictions updated?

Insights are updated daily to incorporate the latest developments, injuries, and market movements.

How accurate are the Coach AI predictions?

Coach AI has analyzed over 1,000 matches. In 50% of cases, the correct outcome (home win, draw, or away win) is predicted accurately. In more than 10% of matches, the exact final score matches the prediction, significantly above the market average.

What is Coach AI's track record?

Coach AI has predicted over 1,000 matches: 50% correct outcome, 10%+ exact final score. The model consistently outperforms standard probability calculations and gives football fans the data they need to make truly informed predictions.

What data does Coach AI use for its predictions?

Coach AI combines Expected Goals (xG), recent team form over the last five matches, head-to-head records, up-to-date injury news, and tactical match-up analysis. The model is updated daily so every prediction reflects the most current information available.

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