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Everton vs Burnley: Premier League Prediction 3 March 2026

Premier League
2
VS
1
schedule 03 Mar, 19:30 · Referee: Tim Robinson (England)
Predicted Score

Last update of insights: 19 Oct 2026

Final result
2 – 0
CoachAI prediction
2 – 1
✓ Outcome: CALLED IT
Kickoff in -

Coach AI predicts a score of 2-1 for Everton vs Burnley in the Premier League. Everton comes out as the stronger side in the analysis. See the full analysis, injuries and score matrix below.

Match report: Everton vs Burnley

Everton beat Burnley 2-0 in the Premier League (matchday 29) on 3 March 2026.

Coach AI looks back

Coach AI predicted 2-1: the right outcome, but not the exact score.

Result2-0
Coach AI2-1right
FansEverton win (83%)right
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Pre-match preview: Everton vs Burnley

This is a clash of extremes: Everton's push for Europe against Burnley's desperate survival fight. Weather reports indicate breezy conditions with showers at the Hill Dickinson Stadium, which favors Everton’s physical, direct style over Burnley’s attempts at technical possession. Referee Tim Robinson is officiating, known for being relatively lenient, which may allow Everton's aggressive press to disrupt Burnley's buildup.

#EVEBUR #Everton #Burnley #PremierLeague #FootballMeister

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Scenarios before the match

Three most likely match scenarios

60%
25%
15%
analytics
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Scenario Explanation

The most likely scenario is an Everton victory (60% likelihood) driven by set-piece dominance and Burnley's inability to manage transitions. Burnley has shown resilience lately (scoring 3 against Brentford and drawing at Chelsea), making a 'Both Teams to Score' scenario highly probable (25% likelihood for a high-scoring draw). A Burnley upset (15% likelihood) would require a complete defensive collapse from Everton, which is unlikely given Pickford's recent form. Final Verdict: Everton's physical advantage and Burnley's depleted defense point to a narrow but decisive home win.

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Current Standings

Position in the competition

Matchday

Pos Team Pld W D L GD Pts
1 Manchester City FC 7 7 0 0 +12 21
2 Arsenal FC 7 6 0 1 +6 18
3 Brighton & Hove Albion FC 7 5 1 1 +18 16
4 Chelsea FC 7 4 1 2 +4 13
5 Liverpool FC 7 3 3 1 +1 12
6 Brentford FC 7 2 4 1 +5 10
7 Leeds United FC 7 2 4 1 +3 10
8 Everton FC 7 2 4 1 +1 10
9 Hull City AFC 7 2 3 2 +1 9
10 Ipswich Town FC 7 3 0 4 -4 9
11 Newcastle United FC 7 2 2 3 -4 8
12 Aston Villa FC 7 2 2 3 -4 8
13 Manchester United FC 7 1 4 2 0 7
14 Crystal Palace FC 7 2 1 4 -8 7
15 AFC Bournemouth 7 1 3 3 -4 6
16 Coventry City FC 6 2 0 4 -6 6
17 Fulham FC 7 1 2 4 -3 5
18 Nottingham Forest FC 7 1 2 4 -4 5
19 Sunderland AFC 7 1 1 5 -8 4
20 Tottenham Hotspur FC 6 0 3 3 -6 3
Everton
Burnley
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Fan Predictions

What Football Meister players predict for this match

Everton D Burnley
83%
17%
83% 17% 0%

Most predicted scorelines

2-1 33%
2-0 33%
1-1 17%
3-1 17%

These are predictions made by real Football Meister players, not AI-generated data.

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Head to head

Everton and Burnley in Football Meister data

0Everton wins
1draws
0Burnley wins

Goals: 0 for Everton, 0 for Burnley.

Coach AI missed the previous meeting.

Previous meetings

Goals per match

What the two clubs score and concede on average, as context for the prediction.

Everton at home

1.1

scored

1.4

conceded

14 matches

0
8 of 28 (29%)
1
11 of 28 (39%)
2
6 of 28 (21%)
3+
3 of 28 (11%)

Usually 1. Scores in 71% of matches.

Burnley away

1.2

scored

2.4

conceded

14 matches

0
9 of 28 (32%)
1
9 of 28 (32%)
2
7 of 28 (25%)
3+
3 of 28 (11%)

Usually 0 or 1. Scores in 68% of matches.

Coach AI pre-match analysis

insights

Coach AI Scenarios

Everton Burnley
W D L

Projected xG by CoachAI

1.48

Home xG

1.05

Away xG

Upset risk

Low

Risk of unexpected result

Everton Recent Form: Last 5

2 W · 1 D · 2 L
▲
▼
▲
28/2 Newcastle United FC 2-3 Everton FC W 1.12
23/2 Everton FC 0-1 Manchester United FC L 1.23
10/2 Everton FC 1-2 AFC Bournemouth L 1.35
7/2 Fulham FC 1-2 Everton FC W 1.16
31/1 Brighton & Hove Albion FC 1-1 Everton FC D 1.15

Burnley Recent Form: Last 5

1 W · 1 D · 3 L
▲
▲
▼
▼
28/2 Burnley FC 3-4 Brentford FC L 1.12
21/2 Chelsea FC 1-1 Burnley FC D 0.78
11/2 Crystal Palace FC 2-3 Burnley FC W 0.92
7/2 Burnley FC 0-2 West Ham United FC L 1.25
2/2 Sunderland AFC 3-0 Burnley FC L 1.15
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Key Factors

sports_soccer 1

Set-piece Superiority: Burnley has conceded the 4th most set-piece goals in the league, while Everton's center-backs (Branthwaite/Tarkowski) are highly efficient in the air.

trending_up 2

Defensive Fragility: Burnley concedes an average of 2.00 goals per game and has failed to keep a clean sheet in their last 14 away league matches.

person 3

Home Motivation vs. Away Woes: Everton is winless in 7 at their new stadium; facing the 19th-placed team with a 64% away loss rate is their best opportunity to break the cycle.

medical_services

Injuries & Absentees

Everton is missing creativity with Jack Grealish (season-long) and Carlos Alcaraz out, meaning responsibility falls on Dewsbury-Hall and Ndiaye. Burnley's injury crisis is severe, missing 7+ first-team players including key defenders Beyer and Tuanzebe, and midfield anchor Josh Cullen. This significantly weakens Burnley’s ability to defend deep or control the tempo.

The analyses and predictions on this page are generated by artificial intelligence and are intended for informational and entertainment purposes only. This is not gambling advice.

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Frequently Asked Questions about this prediction

What was the result of Everton vs Burnley?

Everton beat Burnley 2-0 in the Premier League (matchday 29) on 3 March 2026.

Did Coach AI predict Everton vs Burnley correctly?

Coach AI predicted 2-1: the right outcome, but not the exact score. The fans predicted Everton win (83%), which was right.

What is the correct score prediction for Everton vs Burnley?

Coach AI predicts 2-1 as the correct score for Everton vs Burnley. This page also covers the expected line-ups, injuries and xG.

What is the recent form of Everton and Burnley?

Everton form (last 5): 2W-1D-2L. Burnley form (last 5): 1W-1D-3L.

What are the injury and suspension updates for Everton vs Burnley?

Everton is missing creativity with Jack Grealish (season-long) and Carlos Alcaraz out, meaning responsibility falls on Dewsbury-Hall and Ndiaye. Burnley's injury crisis is severe, missing 7+ first-team players including key defenders Beyer and Tuanzebe, and midfield anchor Josh Cullen. This significantly weakens Burnley’s ability to defend deep or control the tempo.

How many goals do Everton and Burnley score on average?

Everton score at home 1.1 goals on average and concede 1.4 (14 matches). Burnley score away 1.2 goals on average and concede 2.4 (14 matches).

What is the head-to-head record between Everton and Burnley?

Football Meister has recorded 1 previous meeting between Everton and Burnley: Everton won 0, Burnley won 0 and 1 ended in a draw. The goal tally is 0-0.

What was the last result between Everton and Burnley?

The last meeting was on 27 Dec 2025: Burnley - Everton 0-0. Coach AI predicted 1-2.

How well did Coach AI predict earlier meetings between Everton and Burnley?

Coach AI missed the previous meeting.

What do football fans and other predictors think about Everton vs Burnley?

Among Football Meister players, 83% back a home win for Everton, 17% a draw, and 0% an away win for Burnley. The most predicted scoreline is 2-1. Fans are more bullish than Coach AI on Everton: fans pick 83% home win, Coach AI calculates 60%.

What is the most popular prediction for Everton vs Burnley?

The most predicted scoreline for Everton vs Burnley is 2-1. Of all Football Meister players, 83% back Everton, 17% a draw and 0% Burnley.

What time does Everton vs Burnley kick off?

Everton vs Burnley kicks off on Tuesday, 3 March 2026 at 19:30 (Central European Time). The match is part of the Premier League.

Who is the referee for Everton vs Burnley?

The referee for Everton vs Burnley in the Premier League is Tim Robinson.

What are the key factors for Everton vs Burnley?

Coach AI identifies three decisive factors for Everton vs Burnley: 1. Set-piece Superiority: Burnley has conceded the 4th most set-piece goals in the league, while Everton's center-backs (Branthwaite/Tarkowski) are highly efficient in the air. 2. Defensive Fragility: Burnley concedes an average of 2.00 goals per game and has failed to keep a clean sheet in their last 14 away league matches. 3. Home Motivation vs. Away Woes: Everton is winless in 7 at their new stadium; facing the 19th-placed team with a 64% away loss rate is their best opportunity to break the cycle..

Which scenario does Coach AI see for Everton vs Burnley?

Coach AI sees Everton as the stronger side in Everton vs Burnley. The full analysis with the expected score, xG and injuries is on this page.

How does Coach AI predict this match?

Coach AI analyzes thousands of data points, including xG, recent form, team news, and tactical developments for every match.

How often are these football predictions updated?

Insights are updated daily to incorporate the latest developments, injuries, and market movements.

How accurate are the Coach AI predictions?

Coach AI has analyzed over 1,000 matches. In 50% of cases, the correct outcome (home win, draw, or away win) is predicted accurately. In more than 10% of matches, the exact final score matches the prediction, significantly above the market average.

What is Coach AI's track record?

Coach AI has predicted over 1,000 matches: 50% correct outcome, 10%+ exact final score. The model consistently outperforms standard probability calculations and gives football fans the data they need to make truly informed predictions.

What data does Coach AI use for its predictions?

Coach AI combines Expected Goals (xG), recent team form over the last five matches, head-to-head records, up-to-date injury news, and tactical match-up analysis. The model is updated daily so every prediction reflects the most current information available.

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