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Sunderland vs Fulham — Premier League Prediction 30 August 2026

Sunderland
Sunderland
Premier League
1
VS
1
schedule 30 Aug, 14:00 · Referee: Michael Salisbury (England)
Predicted Score

Last update of insights: 04 Sept 2026

Likely Goal Scorers
sports_soccer Brian Brobbey sports_soccer Gonzalo Garcia
Fulham
Fulham
Final result
1 – 0
CoachAI prediction
1 – 1
✗ Outcome incorrect
Goal Scorers
sports_soccer Wilson Isidor 75'
Kickoff in

Coach AI predicts a score of 1-1 for Sunderland vs Fulham in the Premier League. Sunderland is the favourite with a 36% win probability. Fulham has a 35% chance of winning and 29% ends in a draw. See the full analysis, injuries and score matrix below.

lightbulb

Sunderland vs Fulham

This is a classic 'second-week bounce' opportunity. Sunderland's Stadium of Light will be at capacity for their first home game of the season. Weather conditions are ideal (16°C, overcast), favoring a high-tempo game. Referee Michael Salisbury is historically lenient (3.28 yellows avg), which may allow for a more physical contest in midfield where Xhaka and Fulham's Sander Berge will clash.

#SUNFUL #PremierLeague #FootballMeister

analytics

Match Scenario's

Three most likely match scenarios

45%
35%
20%

Tactical Stalemate

45%

Both teams adopt a cautious approach to avoid consecutive losses, resulting in a low-scoring draw.

Cottagers Clinical Counter

35%

Fulham exploits Sunderland's tendency to cede possession in dangerous areas to win by a single goal.

Black Cats Home Surge

20%

Boosted by the home crowd, Sunderland overcomes defensive absences to secure their first points.

table_chart

Current Standings

Position in the competition

Matchday

Pos Team Pld W D L GD Pts
1 Manchester City FC 2 2 0 0 +4 6
2 Arsenal FC 2 2 0 0 +4 6
3 Hull City AFC 2 2 0 0 +3 6
4 Chelsea FC 2 2 0 0 +2 6
5 Brentford FC 2 1 1 0 +3 4
6 Newcastle United FC 2 1 1 0 +2 4
7 Everton FC 2 1 1 0 +2 4
8 Leeds United FC 2 1 1 0 +1 4
9 Brighton & Hove Albion FC 2 1 0 1 +3 3
10 Manchester United FC 2 1 0 1 +1 3
11 Sunderland AFC 2 1 0 1 0 3
12 Ipswich Town FC 2 1 0 1 -2 3
13 Liverpool FC 2 0 2 0 0 2
14 AFC Bournemouth 2 0 1 1 -1 1
14 Nottingham Forest FC 2 0 1 1 -1 1
16 Fulham FC 2 0 0 2 -2 0
17 Coventry City FC 2 0 0 2 -4 0
18 Crystal Palace FC 2 0 0 2 -5 0
19 Aston Villa FC 2 0 0 2 -5 0
19 Tottenham Hotspur FC 2 0 0 2 -5 0
Sunderland
Fulham

Most likely scorelines

1-1 19% 1-0 12% 0-1 11%
grid_on

Correct Score Prediction

AI-calculated probability per scoreline

Most Likely Scorelines
1-1 19%
1-0 12%
0-1 11%
Fulham (Away)
Sunderland (Home)
0
1
2
3
4
0
11.0%
11.0%
6.0%
1.0%
0.0%
1
12.0%
19.0%
9.0%
0.0%
0.0%
2
8.0%
10.0%
3.0%
0.0%
0.0%
3
3.0%
4.0%
1.0%
0.0%
0.0%
4
1.0%
1.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%

The matrix skews toward a low-scoring draw (1-1) as both teams prioritize defensive stability after MD1 losses. Andersen's return (Fulham) and Xhaka's control (Sunderland) neutralize high-xG volatility.

percent

Coach AI Odds

Sunderland
36% · 29% · 35%
Fulham
W D L

Projected xG by CoachAI

1.28

Home xG

1.38

Away xG

Upset Chance

Medium

Risk of unexpected result

Sunderland Recent Form — Last 5

2 W · 2 D · 1 L
22/8 Ipswich Town FC 2-1 Sunderland AFC L 1.22
24/5 Sunderland AFC 2-1 Chelsea FC W 1.34
17/5 Everton FC 1-3 Sunderland AFC W 1.27
9/5 Sunderland AFC 0-0 Manchester United FC D 1.15
2/5 Wolverhampton Wanderers FC 1-1 Sunderland AFC D 1.35

Fulham Recent Form — Last 5

1 W · 1 D · 3 L
24/8 Fulham FC 2-3 Chelsea FC L 1.42
24/5 Fulham FC 2-0 Newcastle United FC W 1.42
17/5 Wolverhampton Wanderers FC 1-1 Fulham FC D 1.45
9/5 Fulham FC 0-1 AFC Bournemouth L 1.35
2/5 Arsenal FC 3-0 Fulham FC L 1.25
bolt

Key Factors

sports_soccer 1

H2H Dominance: Fulham won both Premier League encounters last season (3-1 and 1-0), maintaining a psychological edge over the Black Cats.

trending_up 2

Early Season Pressure: Both teams lost their opening fixtures (Sunderland 1-2 to Ipswich, Fulham 2-3 to Chelsea), making this a high-stakes 'must-not-lose' match to avoid an early-season crisis.

person 3

Tactical Shift: Sunderland under Regis Le Bris prefers to hit on the break but struggled with possession errors last week. Fulham, under Alvaro Arbeloa, has shown high efficiency in shot conversion (2 goals from 1.42 xG).

medical_services

Injuries & Absentees

Sunderland is missing key winger Simon Adingra (ankle) and new signing Dayann Methalie (suspended). However, the return of Granit Xhaka to full fitness and the likely start for Omar Alderete strengthens their spine. Fulham is without captain Tom Cairney (knee), but welcomes back defensive anchor Joachim Andersen from suspension, which is critical after conceding three goals against Chelsea.

star

Key Players

Sunderland

Brian Brobbey ST
personKey Threat
Granit Xhaka CDM
personIn Form

Fulham

Joachim Andersen CB
personIn Form
Gonzalo Garcia ST
personIn Form
group

Confirmed Lineups

Sunderland Confirmed

4-2-3-1

10
Angulo ST
9
Brobbey ST
27
Sadiki CM
28
Fée CM
34
Xhaka CM
12
Meunier CB
20
Mukiele CB
17
Reinildo CB
5
Ballard CB
32
Hume CB
22
Roefs GK

Bench

31 Melker Ellborg 13 Luke O'Nien 15 Omar Alderete 19 Habib Diarra 11 Chris Rigg 29 Jules Ahoka 14 Romaine Mundle 7 Chemsdine Talbi 18 Wilson Isidor
Fulham Confirmed

4-2-3-1

14
Bobb ST
7
García ST
17
Iwobi ST
24
King CM
8
Palacios CM
16
Berge CM
33
Robinson CB
21
Castagne CB
5
Andersen CB
3
Bassey CB
1
Leno GK

Bench

23 Benjamin Lecomte 30 Ryan Sessegnon 4 Jorge Cuenca 19 Shea Charles 6 Harrison Reed 32 Emile Smith Rowe 11 Kevin Santos 9 Rodrigo Muniz 35 Macauley Zepa

The analyses and predictions on this page are generated by artificial intelligence and are intended for informational and entertainment purposes only. This is not gambling advice.

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Frequently Asked Questions about this prediction

What is the Coach AI prediction for Sunderland vs Fulham?

Coach AI predicts a score of 1-1 with a win probability of 36% for Sunderland, 29% draw and 35% for Fulham.

What is the recent form of Sunderland and Fulham?

Sunderland form (last 5): 2W-2D-1L. Fulham form (last 5): 1W-1D-3L.

What are the injury and suspension updates for Sunderland vs Fulham?

Sunderland is missing key winger Simon Adingra (ankle) and new signing Dayann Methalie (suspended). However, the return of Granit Xhaka to full fitness and the likely start for Omar Alderete strengthens their spine. Fulham is without captain Tom Cairney (knee), but welcomes back defensive anchor Joachim Andersen from suspension, which is critical after conceding three goals against Chelsea.

What is the most likely correct score for Sunderland vs Fulham?

According to the score probability matrix, 1-1 is the most likely scoreline (19%), followed by 1-0 (12%) and 0-1 (11%).

What are the possible match scenarios for Sunderland vs Fulham?

Tactical Stalemate (45%): Both teams adopt a cautious approach to avoid consecutive losses, resulting in a low-scoring draw. — Cottagers Clinical Counter (35%): Fulham exploits Sunderland's tendency to cede possession in dangerous areas to win by a single goal. — Black Cats Home Surge (20%): Boosted by the home crowd, Sunderland overcomes defensive absences to secure their first points.

What are the current standings for Sunderland and Fulham in the Premier League?

Sunderland are 11th in the Premier League with 3 points from 2 games. Fulham are 16th with 0 points from 2 games.

What is the confirmed lineup for Sunderland and Fulham?

Confirmed lineup Sunderland (4-2-3-1): Robin Roefs, Thomas Meunier, Nordi Mukiele, Reinildo, Daniel Ballard, Trai Hume, Noah Sadiki, Enzo Le Fée, Granit Xhaka, Nilson Angulo, Brian Brobbey. Confirmed lineup Fulham (4-2-3-1): Bernd Leno, Antonee Robinson, Timothy Castagne, Joachim Andersen, Calvin Bassey, Joshua King, César Palacios, Sander Berge, Oscar Bobb, Gonzalo García, Alex Iwobi. These lineups were confirmed by the clubs when the official team sheets were submitted.

Who scored the goals in Sunderland vs Fulham?

Goal scorers in Sunderland vs Fulham: Wilson Isidor 75' — Sunderland. Final score: {{HOME_TEAM}} 1 - 0 {{AWAY_TEAM}}.

What time does Sunderland vs Fulham kick off?

Sunderland vs Fulham kicks off on Sunday, 30 August 2026 at 14:00 (Central European Time). The match is part of the Premier League.

Who is the referee for Sunderland vs Fulham?

The referee for Sunderland vs Fulham in the Premier League is Michael Salisbury.

What are the key factors for Sunderland vs Fulham?

Coach AI identifies three decisive factors for Sunderland vs Fulham: 1. H2H Dominance: Fulham won both Premier League encounters last season (3-1 and 1-0), maintaining a psychological edge over the Black Cats. 2. Early Season Pressure: Both teams lost their opening fixtures (Sunderland 1-2 to Ipswich, Fulham 2-3 to Chelsea), making this a high-stakes 'must-not-lose' match to avoid an early-season crisis. 3. Tactical Shift: Sunderland under Regis Le Bris prefers to hit on the break but struggled with possession errors last week. Fulham, under Alvaro Arbeloa, has shown high efficiency in shot conversion (2 goals from 1.42 xG)..

Who are the key players for Sunderland vs Fulham?

Coach AI has identified the following key players for Sunderland vs Fulham. Sunderland: Brian Brobbey (Key Threat), Granit Xhaka (In Form). Fulham: Joachim Andersen (In Form), Gonzalo Garcia (In Form).

What are the Coach AI odds for Sunderland vs Fulham?

Coach AI calculates the following outcome probabilities for Sunderland vs Fulham: Sunderland wins 36%, draw 29%, Fulham wins 35%. The most likely outcome is Sunderland with 36%.

What are the bookmaker odds for Sunderland vs Fulham?

Bookmakers give Sunderland a 39% win probability, 29% draw and Fulham 32% chance of winning. Coach AI estimates 39% for Sunderland, 33% draw and 28% for Fulham.

How does Coach AI predict this match?

Coach AI analyzes thousands of data points, including xG, recent form, team news, and tactical developments for every match.

How often are these football predictions updated?

Insights are updated daily to incorporate the latest developments, injuries, and market movements.

How accurate are the Coach AI predictions?

Coach AI has analyzed over 1,000 matches. In 50% of cases, the correct outcome (home win, draw, or away win) is predicted accurately. In more than 10% of matches, the exact final score matches the prediction — significantly above the market average.

What is Coach AI's track record?

Coach AI has predicted over 1,000 matches: 50% correct outcome, 10%+ exact final score. The model consistently outperforms standard probability calculations and gives football fans the data they need to make truly informed predictions.

What data does Coach AI use for its predictions?

Coach AI combines Expected Goals (xG), recent team form over the last five matches, head-to-head records, up-to-date injury news, and tactical match-up analysis. The model is updated daily so every prediction reflects the most current information available.