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Nottingham vs Tottenham — Premier League Prediction 5 September 2026

Nottingham
Nottingham
Premier League
2
VS
1
schedule 05 Sept, 15:00
Predicted Score

Last update of insights: 05 Sept 2026

Likely Goal Scorers
sports_soccer Morgan Gibbs-White sports_soccer Mohammed Kudus
Tottenham
Tottenham
Kickoff in

Coach AI predicts a score of 2-1 for Nottingham vs Tottenham in the Premier League. Nottingham is the favourite with a 39% win probability. Tottenham has a 35% chance of winning and 26% ends in a draw. See the full analysis, injuries and score matrix below.

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Nottingham vs Tottenham

This is a clash of two winless sides, but the pressure is exponentially higher on Spurs. Despite a summer spend of over £250m under De Zerbi, they sit 19th with zero goals. Forest are 14th after an impressive 2-2 draw at Anfield. The City Ground atmosphere will be hostile, and the psychological weight of Spurs' recent 0-6 aggregate losses to Forest in 2025/26 cannot be ignored. Weather is expected to be mild but damp, which favors Forest's high-intensity tackling (Munoz leads the league in tackles).

#NOTTOT #PremierLeague #FootballMeister

analytics

Match Scenario's

Three most likely match scenarios

45%
35%
20%

Clinical Counter Victory

45%

Forest exploits Spurs' high defensive line with quick transitions, securing a narrow win at home.

Statistical Mean Reversion

35%

Spurs finally find the net but fail to keep a clean sheet, resulting in a competitive score draw.

De Zerbi Masterclass

20%

Spurs' individual talent clicks into gear, overcoming the City Ground pressure for a narrow away win.

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Current Standings

Position in the competition

Matchday

Pos Team Pld W D L GD Pts
1 Manchester City FC 2 2 0 0 +4 6
2 Arsenal FC 2 2 0 0 +4 6
3 Hull City AFC 2 2 0 0 +3 6
4 Chelsea FC 2 2 0 0 +2 6
5 Liverpool FC 3 1 2 0 +2 5
6 Brentford FC 2 1 1 0 +3 4
7 Newcastle United FC 2 1 1 0 +2 4
8 Everton FC 2 1 1 0 +2 4
9 Leeds United FC 2 1 1 0 +1 4
10 Brighton & Hove Albion FC 2 1 0 1 +3 3
11 Manchester United FC 2 1 0 1 +1 3
12 Sunderland AFC 2 1 0 1 0 3
13 Ipswich Town FC 3 1 0 2 -4 3
14 AFC Bournemouth 2 0 1 1 -1 1
14 Nottingham Forest FC 2 0 1 1 -1 1
16 Fulham FC 2 0 0 2 -2 0
17 Coventry City FC 2 0 0 2 -4 0
18 Crystal Palace FC 2 0 0 2 -5 0
19 Aston Villa FC 2 0 0 2 -5 0
19 Tottenham Hotspur FC 2 0 0 2 -5 0
Nottingham
Tottenham

Most likely scorelines

2-1 14% 1-1 13% 1-0 12%
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Correct Score Prediction

AI-calculated probability per scoreline

Most Likely Scorelines
2-1 14%
1-1 13%
1-0 12%
Tottenham (Away)
Nottingham (Home)
0
1
2
3
4
0
6.0%
7.0%
4.0%
1.0%
0.0%
1
12.0%
13.0%
8.0%
1.0%
0.0%
2
11.0%
14.0%
5.0%
0.0%
0.0%
3
5.0%
6.0%
3.0%
0.0%
0.0%
4
1.0%
2.0%
1.0%
0.0%
0.0%

Spurs' high xGA (2.5/game) and Forest's 4-game win streak against them suggest a multi-goal Forest performance. Regression signals a Spurs goal, pushing the most likely score to 2-1 (Upset Bucket).

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Coach AI Odds

Nottingham
39% · 26% · 35%
Tottenham
W D L

Projected xG by CoachAI

1.58

Home xG

1.34

Away xG

Upset Chance

High

Risk of unexpected result

Nottingham Recent Form — Last 5

0 W · 3 D · 2 L
29/8 Liverpool FC 2-2 Nottingham Forest FC D 1.05
22/8 Nottingham Forest FC 0-1 Leeds United FC L 1.55
24/5 Nottingham Forest FC 1-1 AFC Bournemouth D 1.42
17/5 Manchester United FC 3-2 Nottingham Forest FC L 1.45
10/5 Nottingham Forest FC 1-1 Newcastle United FC D 1.58

Tottenham Recent Form — Last 5

1 W · 1 D · 3 L
29/8 Tottenham Hotspur FC 0-2 Newcastle United FC L 1.58
22/8 Brentford FC 3-0 Tottenham Hotspur FC L 1.55
24/5 Tottenham Hotspur FC 1-0 Everton FC W 1.62
19/5 Chelsea FC 2-1 Tottenham Hotspur FC L 1.40
11/5 Tottenham Hotspur FC 1-1 Leeds United FC D 1.44
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Key Factors

sports_soccer 1

Statistical Regression: Tottenham have failed to score despite accumulating 3.13 xG over two games, suggesting a goal is imminent as finishing should return to the mean.

trending_up 2

Psychological Dominance: Nottingham Forest have won the last four H2H encounters, including two consecutive 3-0 victories last season, creating a significant mental edge.

person 3

Tactical Mismatch: Oliver Glasner's counter-attacking 3-4-2-1 is perfectly suited to exploit Roberto De Zerbi’s high-risk, high-possession system, which has conceded 5 goals in 2 games.

medical_services

Injuries & Absentees

Tottenham are significantly weakened in creative areas with Xavi Simons and Dejan Kulusevski confirmed out (knee injuries), while James Maddison remains a major doubt (shoulder). For Forest, the return of Ibrahim Sangaré to the matchday squad provides much-needed stability in midfield to absorb Spurs' pressure, with only Nicolo Savona missing long-term.

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Key Players

Nottingham

Morgan Gibbs-White CAM
personIn Form
Arnaud Kalimuendo ST
personKey Threat

Tottenham

Mohammed Kudus RW
personKey Threat
Andrew Robertson LB
personIn Form
group

Expected Lineups

Expected — may change before kickoff
Nottingham Confirmed

3-4-2-1

person
Jesus ST
person
Gibbs-White CAM
person
Elanga CAM
person
Ndoye LWB
person
Sangare CM
person
McAtee CM
person
Aina RWB
person
Murillo CB
person
Milenkovic CB
person
Diomande CB
person
Sels GK

Glasner likely to favor Igor Jesus over Delap for hold-up play. Sangare returns to solidify the pivot.

Tottenham Expected

4-3-3

person
Mudryk LW
person
Tel ST
person
Savio RW
person
Tonali CDM
person
Bissouma CM
person
Sarr CM
person
Udogie LB
person
Adarabioyo CB
person
Ven CB
person
Porro RB
person
Vicario GK

De Zerbi may hand a start to Mudryk to fix the goal drought. Maddison unlikely to risk the shoulder.

The analyses and predictions on this page are generated by artificial intelligence and are intended for informational and entertainment purposes only. This is not gambling advice.

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Frequently Asked Questions about this prediction

What is the Coach AI prediction for Nottingham vs Tottenham?

Coach AI predicts a score of 2-1 with a win probability of 39% for Nottingham, 26% draw and 35% for Tottenham.

What is the recent form of Nottingham and Tottenham?

Nottingham form (last 5): 0W-3D-2L. Tottenham form (last 5): 1W-1D-3L.

What are the injury and suspension updates for Nottingham vs Tottenham?

Tottenham are significantly weakened in creative areas with Xavi Simons and Dejan Kulusevski confirmed out (knee injuries), while James Maddison remains a major doubt (shoulder). For Forest, the return of Ibrahim Sangaré to the matchday squad provides much-needed stability in midfield to absorb Spurs' pressure, with only Nicolo Savona missing long-term.

What is the most likely correct score for Nottingham vs Tottenham?

According to the score probability matrix, 2-1 is the most likely scoreline (14%), followed by 1-1 (13%) and 1-0 (12%).

What are the possible match scenarios for Nottingham vs Tottenham?

Clinical Counter Victory (45%): Forest exploits Spurs' high defensive line with quick transitions, securing a narrow win at home. — Statistical Mean Reversion (35%): Spurs finally find the net but fail to keep a clean sheet, resulting in a competitive score draw. — De Zerbi Masterclass (20%): Spurs' individual talent clicks into gear, overcoming the City Ground pressure for a narrow away win.

What are the current standings for Nottingham and Tottenham in the Premier League?

Nottingham are 14th in the Premier League with 1 points from 2 games. Tottenham are 19th with 0 points from 2 games.

What are the expected lineups for Nottingham vs Tottenham?

Expected lineup Nottingham (3-4-2-1): Matz Sels, Murillo, Nikola Milenkovic, Ousmane Diomande, Ola Aina, Ibrahim Sangare, James McAtee, Dan Ndoye, Morgan Gibbs-White, Anthony Elanga, Igor Jesus. Expected lineup Tottenham (4-3-3): Guglielmo Vicario, Pedro Porro, Tosin Adarabioyo, Micky van de Ven, Destiny Udogie, Sandro Tonali, Yves Bissouma, Pape Matar Sarr, Savio, Mathys Tel, Mykhailo Mudryk. Lineups are based on the most recent sources and may change before kickoff.

What time does Nottingham vs Tottenham kick off?

Nottingham vs Tottenham kicks off on Saturday, 5 September 2026 at 15:00 (Central European Time). The match is part of the Premier League.

What are the key factors for Nottingham vs Tottenham?

Coach AI identifies three decisive factors for Nottingham vs Tottenham: 1. Statistical Regression: Tottenham have failed to score despite accumulating 3.13 xG over two games, suggesting a goal is imminent as finishing should return to the mean. 2. Psychological Dominance: Nottingham Forest have won the last four H2H encounters, including two consecutive 3-0 victories last season, creating a significant mental edge. 3. Tactical Mismatch: Oliver Glasner's counter-attacking 3-4-2-1 is perfectly suited to exploit Roberto De Zerbi’s high-risk, high-possession system, which has conceded 5 goals in 2 games..

Who are the key players for Nottingham vs Tottenham?

Coach AI has identified the following key players for Nottingham vs Tottenham. Nottingham: Morgan Gibbs-White (In Form), Arnaud Kalimuendo (Key Threat). Tottenham: Mohammed Kudus (Key Threat), Andrew Robertson (In Form).

What are the Coach AI odds for Nottingham vs Tottenham?

Coach AI calculates the following outcome probabilities for Nottingham vs Tottenham: Nottingham wins 39%, draw 26%, Tottenham wins 35%. The most likely outcome is Nottingham with 39%.

What are the bookmaker odds for Nottingham vs Tottenham?

Bookmakers give Nottingham a 35% win probability, 27% draw and Tottenham 38% chance of winning. Coach AI estimates 44% for Nottingham, 27% draw and 29% for Tottenham.

How does Coach AI predict this match?

Coach AI analyzes thousands of data points, including xG, recent form, team news, and tactical developments for every match.

How often are these football predictions updated?

Insights are updated daily to incorporate the latest developments, injuries, and market movements.

How accurate are the Coach AI predictions?

Coach AI has analyzed over 1,000 matches. In 50% of cases, the correct outcome (home win, draw, or away win) is predicted accurately. In more than 10% of matches, the exact final score matches the prediction — significantly above the market average.

What is Coach AI's track record?

Coach AI has predicted over 1,000 matches: 50% correct outcome, 10%+ exact final score. The model consistently outperforms standard probability calculations and gives football fans the data they need to make truly informed predictions.

What data does Coach AI use for its predictions?

Coach AI combines Expected Goals (xG), recent team form over the last five matches, head-to-head records, up-to-date injury news, and tactical match-up analysis. The model is updated daily so every prediction reflects the most current information available.