Newcastle vs Sunderland: Premier League Prediction 22 March 2026

Sunderland beat Newcastle 2-1 in the Premier League (matchday 31) on 22 March 2026.

Coach AI predicted 1-1: the outcome was not right. The fans predicted Newcastle win (92%), which was not right.

Coach AI predicts 1-1 as the correct score for Newcastle vs Sunderland. This page also covers the expected line-ups, injuries and xG.

Newcastle form (last 5): 2W-1D-2L. Sunderland form (last 5): 1W-1D-3L.

Newcastle is severely weakened in central areas with captain Bruno Guimarães (hamstring) and Fabian Schär (ankle) sidelined, removing their primary progressive passers. Sunderland faces a 'winger crisis' with four wide players out (Ta Bi, Traore, Mundle, Angulo), likely forcing them into an even narrower, more defensive tactical setup.

Newcastle score at home 1.9 goals on average and concede 1.6 (15 matches). Sunderland score away 0.5 goals on average and concede 1.4 (15 matches).

Football Meister has recorded 1 previous meeting between Newcastle and Sunderland: Newcastle won 0, Sunderland won 1 and 0 ended in a draw. The goal tally is 0-1.

The last meeting was on 14 Dec 2025: Sunderland - Newcastle 1-0. Coach AI predicted 2-1.

Coach AI got the outcome of the previous meeting right.

Among Football Meister players, 92% back a home win for Newcastle, 8% a draw, and 0% an away win for Sunderland. The most predicted scoreline is 2-1. Fans are more bullish than Coach AI on Newcastle: fans pick 92% home win, Coach AI calculates 57%.

The most predicted scoreline for Newcastle vs Sunderland is 2-1. Of all Football Meister players, 92% back Newcastle, 8% a draw and 0% Sunderland.

Newcastle are 11th in the Premier League with 8 points from 7 games. Sunderland are 19th with 4 points from 7 games.

Newcastle vs Sunderland kicks off on Sunday, 22 March 2026 at 12:00 (Central European Time). The match is part of the Premier League.

The referee for Newcastle vs Sunderland in the Premier League is Anthony Taylor.

Coach AI identifies three decisive factors for Newcastle vs Sunderland: 1. High Fatigue vs. High Motivation: Newcastle is coming off a grueling 7-2 Champions League defeat to Barcelona, while Sunderland has had a full week to prepare for the derby. 2. Midfield Vacuum: The absence of Bruno Guimarães and the potential lack of match fitness for Sandro Tonali (groin) significantly reduces Newcastle’s ability to control the tempo against Sunderland's compact 4-4-2 low block. 3. Tactical Stalemate: Sunderland ranks among the lowest in the league for shot volume but highest for defensive clearances; Newcastle’s high xG (avg 1.58 last 5) will be tested by a Sunderland side that successfully parked the bus in their 1-0 win in December..

Coach AI sees Newcastle as the stronger side in Newcastle vs Sunderland. The full analysis with the expected score, xG and injuries is on this page.

Coach AI analyzes thousands of data points, including xG, recent form, team news, and tactical developments for every match.

Insights are updated daily to incorporate the latest developments, injuries, and market movements.

Coach AI has analyzed over 1,000 matches. In 50% of cases, the correct outcome (home win, draw, or away win) is predicted accurately. In more than 10% of matches, the exact final score matches the prediction, significantly above the market average.

Coach AI has predicted over 1,000 matches: 50% correct outcome, 10%+ exact final score. The model consistently outperforms standard probability calculations and gives football fans the data they need to make truly informed predictions.

Coach AI combines Expected Goals (xG), recent team form over the last five matches, head-to-head records, up-to-date injury news, and tactical match-up analysis. The model is updated daily so every prediction reflects the most current information available.