Upset Chance
Risk of unexpected result
Sunderland Recent Form — Last 5
Newcastle Recent Form — Last 5
Key Factors
Sunderland's formidable unbeaten home record at the Stadium of Light this Premier League season.
Newcastle United's extensive list of key injuries, significantly impacting their defensive and midfield stability.
The intense and unpredictable nature of the Tyne-Wear Derby, where passion and rivalry often transcend current form.
Injuries & Absentees
Sunderland will see the return of left-back Reinildo Mandava, who has recovered from a minor groin issue and is available for selection. However, midfielder Habib Diarra is unlikely to feature as he requires further weeks to regain full match fitness following a groin injury. Aji Alese (shoulder injury) remains a long-term absentee, not expected back until the new year, and Leo Hjelde (Achilles tendon injury) is also unlikely to be risked despite featuring for the U21s. Dennis Cirkin is back in full training and ready for involvement after missing the season. Newcastle United faces a more significant injury crisis, with several key players either doubtful or ruled out. Midfielder Joelinton is a major doubt due to a groin problem. First-choice goalkeeper Nick Pope is sidelined with a groin/knock injury, expected to be out until late December. Defensive stalwarts Kieran Trippier (hamstring) and Sven Botman (back) are both expected to miss the derby. Emil Krafth (knee) and Will Osula (ankle) are potentially nearing returns around mid-December, but their involvement is uncertain. Sandro Tonali is also struggling for full fitness, and Yoane Wissa is dealing with illness, which might limit his playing time.
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Start your free league →Frequently Asked Questions about this prediction
What is the Coach AI prediction for Sunderland vs Newcastle?
Coach AI predicts a score of 2-1 with a win probability of 35% for Sunderland, 30% draw and 35% for Newcastle.
What is the recent form of Sunderland and Newcastle?
Sunderland form (last 5): no data. Newcastle form (last 5): no data.
What are the injury and suspension updates for Sunderland vs Newcastle?
Sunderland will see the return of left-back Reinildo Mandava, who has recovered from a minor groin issue and is available for selection. However, midfielder Habib Diarra is unlikely to feature as he requires further weeks to regain full match fitness following a groin injury. Aji Alese (shoulder injury) remains a long-term absentee, not expected back until the new year, and Leo Hjelde (Achilles tendon injury) is also unlikely to be risked despite featuring for the U21s. Dennis Cirkin is back in full training and ready for involvement after missing the season. Newcastle United faces a more significant injury crisis, with several key players either doubtful or ruled out. Midfielder Joelinton is a major doubt due to a groin problem. First-choice goalkeeper Nick Pope is sidelined with a groin/knock injury, expected to be out until late December. Defensive stalwarts Kieran Trippier (hamstring) and Sven Botman (back) are both expected to miss the derby. Emil Krafth (knee) and Will Osula (ankle) are potentially nearing returns around mid-December, but their involvement is uncertain. Sandro Tonali is also struggling for full fitness, and Yoane Wissa is dealing with illness, which might limit his playing time.
What are the current standings for Sunderland and Newcastle in the Premier League?
Sunderland are 7th in the Premier League with 54 points from 38 games. Newcastle are 12th with 49 points from 38 games.
What time does Sunderland vs Newcastle kick off?
Sunderland vs Newcastle kicks off on Sunday, 14 December 2025 at 15:00 (Central European Time). The match is part of the Premier League.
Who is the referee for Sunderland vs Newcastle?
The referee for Sunderland vs Newcastle in the Premier League is Peter Bankes.
What are the key factors for Sunderland vs Newcastle?
Coach AI identifies three decisive factors for Sunderland vs Newcastle: 1. Sunderland's formidable unbeaten home record at the Stadium of Light this Premier League season. 2. Newcastle United's extensive list of key injuries, significantly impacting their defensive and midfield stability. 3. The intense and unpredictable nature of the Tyne-Wear Derby, where passion and rivalry often transcend current form..
How does Coach AI predict this match?
Coach AI analyzes thousands of data points, including xG, recent form, team news, and tactical developments for every match.
How often are these football predictions updated?
Insights are updated daily to incorporate the latest developments, injuries, and market movements.
How accurate are the Coach AI predictions?
Coach AI has analyzed over 1,000 matches. In 50% of cases, the correct outcome (home win, draw, or away win) is predicted accurately. In more than 10% of matches, the exact final score matches the prediction — significantly above the market average.
What is Coach AI's track record?
Coach AI has predicted over 1,000 matches: 50% correct outcome, 10%+ exact final score. The model consistently outperforms standard probability calculations and gives football fans the data they need to make truly informed predictions.
What data does Coach AI use for its predictions?
Coach AI combines Expected Goals (xG), recent team form over the last five matches, head-to-head records, up-to-date injury news, and tactical match-up analysis. The model is updated daily so every prediction reflects the most current information available.