Newcastle vs Liverpool: Premier League Prediction 23 August 2026

Newcastle and Liverpool drew 2-2 in the Premier League (matchday 1) on 23 August 2026. Goals: Anthony Elanga 5', Newcastle; Cody Gakpo 55', Liverpool; Joe Willock 57', Newcastle; Dominik Szoboszlai 90+9' (penalty), Liverpool.

Coach AI predicted 1-3: the outcome was not right. The fans predicted Liverpool win (75%), which was not right.

Fewer than 8% of fans predicted exactly 2-2. The most picked scoreline was 1-3 (25%).

Coach AI named Alexander Isak and Bazoumana Touré as likely scorers. None of them scored.

Most pool points in this match: Dominik Szoboszlai (Liverpool), 2 from 1 goal.

Coach AI predicts 1-3 as the correct score for Newcastle vs Liverpool. This page also covers the expected line-ups, injuries and xG.

Newcastle form (last 5): 2W-1D-2L. Liverpool form (last 5): 1W-2D-2L.

Newcastle enters the match with significant defensive absences; Tino Livramento (calf) and Lewis Hall are out, forcing Jaissle to rely on new signing Amar Dedić immediately. Liverpool is missing Hugo Ekitike and Conor Bradley, while Joe Gomez remains a major doubt. However, Liverpool's depth in the 2026/27 squad remains superior following their heavy summer reinvestment.

Football Meister has recorded 2 previous meetings between Newcastle and Liverpool: Newcastle won 0, Liverpool won 2 and 0 ended in a draw. The goal tally is 3-7.

The last meeting was on 31 Jan 2026: Liverpool - Newcastle 4-1. Coach AI predicted 2-1.

Coach AI got the outcome of the previous meeting right.

According to the score probability matrix, 1-2 is the most likely scoreline (15%), followed by 0-2 (12%) and 1-1 (10%).

Iraola-ball Dominance (62%): Liverpool's high press forces errors from Newcastle's rebuilding midfield, leading to a multi-goal victory for the visitors.; St. James' Park Resilience (25%): A chaotic, high-energy match where Newcastle uses the home crowd to fight back for a high-scoring draw.; Tactical Stalemate (13%): Newcastle plays a deep block to negate Liverpool's pace, leading to a low-scoring or narrow home surprise.

Among Football Meister players, 8% back a home win for Newcastle, 17% a draw, and 75% an away win for Liverpool. The most predicted scoreline is 1-3. Fans are more cautious than Coach AI on Newcastle: fans pick 8% home win, Coach AI calculates 25%.

The most predicted scoreline for Newcastle vs Liverpool is 1-3. Of all Football Meister players, 8% back Newcastle, 17% a draw and 75% Liverpool.

75% of fans predict a win for Liverpool, with an average confidence of 60% (moderate confidence). Despite 75% backing this outcome, conviction is only moderate confidence (60%), a sign this match is less clear-cut than the split suggests.

Newcastle are 12th in the Premier League with 12 points from 10 games. Liverpool are 4th with 18 points from 10 games.

Confirmed lineup Newcastle (4-2-3-1): Lukáš Horníček, Sven Botman, Malick Thiaw, Amar Dedić, Lewis Hall, Sean Steur, Lewis Miley, Yoane Wissa, Harvey Barnes, William Osula, Anthony Elanga. Confirmed lineup Liverpool (4-2-3-1): Alisson Becker, Virgil van Dijk, Jeremy Jacquet, Milos Kerkez, Jeremie Frimpong, Florian Wirtz, Dominik Szoboszlai, Ryan Gravenberch, Alexander Isak, Cody Gakpo, Rio Ngumoha. These lineups were confirmed by the clubs when the official team sheets were submitted.

Goal scorers in Newcastle vs Liverpool: Anthony Elanga 5', Newcastle, Cody Gakpo 55', Liverpool, Joe Willock 57', Newcastle, Dominik Szoboszlai 90+9', Liverpool (pen.). Final score: Newcastle 2 - 2 Liverpool.

Newcastle vs Liverpool kicks off on Sunday, 23 August 2026 at 16:30 (Central European Time). The match is part of the Premier League.

The referee for Newcastle vs Liverpool in the Premier League is Stuart Attwell.

Coach AI identifies three decisive factors for Newcastle vs Liverpool: 1. New Managerial Eras: Newcastle's Matthias Jaissle (replacing Howe) vs Liverpool's Andoni Iraola (replacing Slot). Liverpool's high-pressing 'Iraola-ball' showed better cohesion in pre-season than Newcastle's experimental setup. 2. Squad Overhaul: Newcastle sold their core (Guimarães, Tonali, Gordon) for £236m, leaving a void in midfield experience. Liverpool lost club legends Salah and Robertson but replaced them with elite talent like Alexander Isak and Florian Wirtz. 3. Tactical Vulnerability: Newcastle is managing a defensive crisis with Tino Livramento and Lewis Hall sidelined, leaving them exposed to Liverpool's direct attacking style and high PPDA (Pressing Intensity)..

Coach AI has identified the following key players for Newcastle vs Liverpool. Newcastle: Bazoumana Touré (In Form), Nick Pope (Key Threat). Liverpool: Alexander Isak (In Form), Florian Wirtz (Key Threat).

Coach AI sees Liverpool as the stronger side in Newcastle vs Liverpool. The full analysis with the expected score, xG and injuries is on this page.

Coach AI analyzes thousands of data points, including xG, recent form, team news, and tactical developments for every match.

Insights are updated daily to incorporate the latest developments, injuries, and market movements.

Coach AI has analyzed over 1,000 matches. In 50% of cases, the correct outcome (home win, draw, or away win) is predicted accurately. In more than 10% of matches, the exact final score matches the prediction, significantly above the market average.

Coach AI has predicted over 1,000 matches: 50% correct outcome, 10%+ exact final score. The model consistently outperforms standard probability calculations and gives football fans the data they need to make truly informed predictions.

Coach AI combines Expected Goals (xG), recent team form over the last five matches, head-to-head records, up-to-date injury news, and tactical match-up analysis. The model is updated daily so every prediction reflects the most current information available.