Football Meister Logo Play for free →

Fulham vs Chelsea — Premier League Prediction 24 August 2026

Fulham
Fulham
Premier League
1
VS
1
schedule 24 Aug, 21:00
Predicted Score

Last update of insights: 15 Aug 2026

Chelsea
Chelsea
Kickoff in

Coach AI predicts a score of 1-1 for Fulham vs Chelsea in the Premier League. Chelsea is the favourite with a 44% win probability. Fulham has a 30% chance of winning and 26% ends in a draw. See the full analysis, injuries and score matrix below.

lightbulb

Fulham vs Chelsea

This is an opening-round West London derby between two sides that finished last season tied on 52 points. The atmosphere at Craven Cottage is expected to be electric, especially with the high-profile managerial debut of Xabi Alonso. Historical data shows Fulham has become a 'bogey team' for Chelsea at the Cottage, winning the most recent encounter there 2-1 in early 2026.

#FULCHE #PremierLeague #FootballMeister

analytics

Match Scenario's

Three most likely match scenarios

48%
28%
24%

Disciplined Tactical Draw

48%

Both managers prioritize structure due to defensive injuries, leading to a high-possession game with limited but clinical chances for each side.

Alonso's Clinical Edge

28%

Chelsea's offensive talent finally aligns with their high xG creation, overwhelming a Fulham defense missing Joachim Andersen.

Cottage Counter Punch

24%

Fulham uses their home advantage and Chelsea's lack of center-back chemistry to score twice on the counter-attack.

table_chart

Current Standings

Position in the competition

Pos Team Pld W D L GD Pts
8 Brighton & Hove Albion FC 38 14 11 13 +6 53
9 Brentford FC 38 14 11 13 +3 53
10 Chelsea FC 38 14 10 14 +6 52
11 Fulham FC 38 15 7 16 -4 52
12 Newcastle United FC 38 14 7 17 -2 49
13 Everton FC 38 13 10 15 -3 49
Fulham
Chelsea
percent

Coach AI Odds

Fulham
30% · 26% · 44%
Chelsea
W D L

Projected xG by CoachAI

1.42

Home xG

1.84

Away xG

Upset Chance

High

Risk of unexpected result

Fulham Recent Form — Last 5

2 W · 1 D · 2 L
24/5 Fulham FC 2-0 Newcastle United FC W 1.42
17/5 Wolverhampton Wanderers FC 1-1 Fulham FC D 1.45
9/5 Fulham FC 0-1 AFC Bournemouth L 1.35
2/5 Arsenal FC 3-0 Fulham FC L 1.25
25/4 Fulham FC 1-0 Aston Villa FC W 1.38

Chelsea Recent Form — Last 5

1 W · 1 D · 3 L
24/5 Sunderland AFC 2-1 Chelsea FC L 1.82
19/5 Chelsea FC 2-1 Tottenham Hotspur FC W 1.85
9/5 Liverpool FC 1-1 Chelsea FC D 1.70
4/5 Chelsea FC 1-3 Nottingham Forest FC L 1.87
21/4 Brighton & Hove Albion FC 3-0 Chelsea FC L 1.90
bolt

Key Factors

sports_soccer 1

Chelsea's persistent xG underperformance vs. Fulham's higher clinical efficiency suggests a regression to the mean is overdue for the Blues under new management.

trending_up 2

Tactical transition: This match marks Xabi Alonso's competitive debut for Chelsea, facing a settled Fulham side under Marco Silva’s 6-year established system.

person 3

Critical defensive absences: Both teams are missing their primary defensive anchors (Joachim Andersen for Fulham; Aaron Anselmino and Mamadou Sarr for Chelsea), increasing the likelihood of goal-scoring opportunities.

medical_services

Injuries & Absentees

Chelsea enters the season with a crisis at center-back after Aaron Anselmino and Mamadou Sarr suffered injuries in the final pre-season friendly in Malaysia. This leaves Xabi Alonso with limited options to implement his high-line defensive system. Fulham is significantly weakened by the suspension of Joachim Andersen (red card), though they hope record-signing García can exploit Chelsea's makeshift backline.

star

Key Players

Fulham

García ST
personIn Form
Bernd Leno GK
personIn Form

Chelsea

Cole Palmer RW
personKey Threat
Enzo Fernandez CM
personIn Form

The analyses and predictions on this page are generated by artificial intelligence and are intended for informational and entertainment purposes only. This is not gambling advice.

Play along in the app!

Think you know better than Coach AI? Create your own league and predict this match in Football Meister.

Frequently Asked Questions about this prediction

What is the Coach AI prediction for Fulham vs Chelsea?

Coach AI predicts a score of 1-1 with a win probability of 30% for Fulham, 26% draw and 44% for Chelsea.

What is the recent form of Fulham and Chelsea?

Fulham form (last 5): 2W-1D-2L. Chelsea form (last 5): 1W-1D-3L.

What are the injury and suspension updates for Fulham vs Chelsea?

Chelsea enters the season with a crisis at center-back after Aaron Anselmino and Mamadou Sarr suffered injuries in the final pre-season friendly in Malaysia. This leaves Xabi Alonso with limited options to implement his high-line defensive system. Fulham is significantly weakened by the suspension of Joachim Andersen (red card), though they hope record-signing García can exploit Chelsea's makeshift backline.

What are the possible match scenarios for Fulham vs Chelsea?

Disciplined Tactical Draw (48%): Both managers prioritize structure due to defensive injuries, leading to a high-possession game with limited but clinical chances for each side. — Alonso's Clinical Edge (28%): Chelsea's offensive talent finally aligns with their high xG creation, overwhelming a Fulham defense missing Joachim Andersen. — Cottage Counter Punch (24%): Fulham uses their home advantage and Chelsea's lack of center-back chemistry to score twice on the counter-attack.

What are the current standings for Fulham and Chelsea in the Premier League?

Fulham are 11th in the Premier League with 52 points from 38 games. Chelsea are 10th with 52 points from 38 games.

What time does Fulham vs Chelsea kick off?

Fulham vs Chelsea kicks off on Monday, 24 August 2026 at 21:00 (Central European Time). The match is part of the Premier League.

What are the key factors for Fulham vs Chelsea?

Coach AI identifies three decisive factors for Fulham vs Chelsea: 1. Chelsea's persistent xG underperformance vs. Fulham's higher clinical efficiency suggests a regression to the mean is overdue for the Blues under new management. 2. Tactical transition: This match marks Xabi Alonso's competitive debut for Chelsea, facing a settled Fulham side under Marco Silva’s 6-year established system. 3. Critical defensive absences: Both teams are missing their primary defensive anchors (Joachim Andersen for Fulham; Aaron Anselmino and Mamadou Sarr for Chelsea), increasing the likelihood of goal-scoring opportunities..

Who are the key players for Fulham vs Chelsea?

Coach AI has identified the following key players for Fulham vs Chelsea. Fulham: García (In Form), Bernd Leno (In Form). Chelsea: Cole Palmer (Key Threat), Enzo Fernandez (In Form).

What are the Coach AI odds for Fulham vs Chelsea?

Coach AI calculates the following outcome probabilities for Fulham vs Chelsea: Fulham wins 30%, draw 26%, Chelsea wins 44%. The most likely outcome is Chelsea with 44%.

How does Coach AI predict this match?

Coach AI analyzes thousands of data points, including xG, recent form, team news, and tactical developments for every match.

How often are these football predictions updated?

Insights are updated daily to incorporate the latest developments, injuries, and market movements.

How accurate are the Coach AI predictions?

Coach AI has analyzed over 1,000 matches. In 50% of cases, the correct outcome (home win, draw, or away win) is predicted accurately. In more than 10% of matches, the exact final score matches the prediction — significantly above the market average.

What is Coach AI's track record?

Coach AI has predicted over 1,000 matches: 50% correct outcome, 10%+ exact final score. The model consistently outperforms standard probability calculations and gives football fans the data they need to make truly informed predictions.

What data does Coach AI use for its predictions?

Coach AI combines Expected Goals (xG), recent team form over the last five matches, head-to-head records, up-to-date injury news, and tactical match-up analysis. The model is updated daily so every prediction reflects the most current information available.