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Man City vs Fulham: Premier League Prediction 11 February 2026

Premier League
3
VS
1
schedule 11 Feb, 19:30 · Referee: Paul Tierney (England)
Predicted Score

Last update of insights: 19 Oct 2026

Final result
3 – 0
CoachAI prediction
3 – 1
✓ Outcome: CALLED IT
Kickoff in -

Coach AI predicts a score of 3-1 for Man City vs Fulham in the Premier League. Man City comes out as the stronger side in the analysis. See the full analysis, injuries and score matrix below.

Match report: Man City vs Fulham

Man City beat Fulham 3-0 in the Premier League (matchday 26) on 11 February 2026.

Coach AI looks back

Coach AI predicted 3-1: the right outcome, but not the exact score.

Result3-0
Coach AI3-1right
FansMan City win (100%)right
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Pre-match preview: Man City vs Fulham

This is a high-stakes fixture for City, who are trailing Arsenal by 6 points and cannot afford a slip-up. The weather at the Etihad is expected to be very cold (approx. 2-5°C) with potential light rain, favoring City’s fast, slick passing game on a wet surface. Referee Paul Tierney has been lenient this season (0 red cards), which may allow Fulham to play more physically in their low block, but City's home advantage and title-race motivation are overwhelming psychological factors.

#MCIFUL #ManCity #Fulham #PremierLeague #FootballMeister

analytics

Scenarios before the match

Three most likely match scenarios

60%
78%
15%
analytics
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Scenario Explanation

1 out of position. Fulham will rely on long-ball transitions to Jimenez and Chukwueze to exploit space behind City's high line, likely resulting in a consolation goal given City's current defensive rotations. Value Tip: The market may overvalue Fulham's ability to keep it close based on their wild 5-4 encounter earlier this season; however, City's xG reliability at home suggests a comfortable two-goal margin. Probability: Home Win: 78%, Draw: 15%, Away Win: 7%.

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Current Standings

Position in the competition

Matchday

Pos Team Pld W D L GD Pts
1 Manchester City FC 7 7 0 0 +12 21
2 Arsenal FC 7 6 0 1 +6 18
3 Brighton & Hove Albion FC 7 5 1 1 +18 16
4 Chelsea FC 7 4 1 2 +4 13
5 Liverpool FC 7 3 3 1 +1 12
6 Brentford FC 7 2 4 1 +5 10
7 Leeds United FC 7 2 4 1 +3 10
8 Everton FC 7 2 4 1 +1 10
9 Hull City AFC 7 2 3 2 +1 9
10 Ipswich Town FC 7 3 0 4 -4 9
11 Newcastle United FC 7 2 2 3 -4 8
12 Aston Villa FC 7 2 2 3 -4 8
13 Manchester United FC 7 1 4 2 0 7
14 Crystal Palace FC 7 2 1 4 -8 7
15 AFC Bournemouth 7 1 3 3 -4 6
16 Coventry City FC 6 2 0 4 -6 6
17 Fulham FC 7 1 2 4 -3 5
18 Nottingham Forest FC 7 1 2 4 -4 5
19 Sunderland AFC 7 1 1 5 -8 4
20 Tottenham Hotspur FC 6 0 3 3 -6 3
Man City
Fulham
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Fan Predictions

What Football Meister players predict for this match

Man City D Fulham
100%
100% 0% 0%

Most predicted scorelines

3-1 33%
3-0 33%
4-1 17%
2-0 17%

These are predictions made by real Football Meister players, not AI-generated data.

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Head to head

Man City and Fulham in Football Meister data

1Man City wins
0draws
0Fulham wins

Goals: 5 for Man City, 4 for Fulham.

Coach AI got the outcome of the previous meeting right.

Previous meetings

Goals per match

What the two clubs score and concede on average, as context for the prediction.

Man City at home

2.4

scored

0.7

conceded

12 matches

0
4 of 25 (16%)
1
6 of 25 (24%)
2
5 of 25 (20%)
3+
10 of 25 (40%)

Usually 3+. Scores in 84% of matches.

Fulham away

1.1

scored

1.8

conceded

12 matches

0
4 of 25 (16%)
1
12 of 25 (48%)
2
5 of 25 (20%)
3+
4 of 25 (16%)

Usually 1. Scores in 84% of matches.

Coach AI pre-match analysis

insights

Coach AI Scenarios

Man City Fulham
W D L

Projected xG by CoachAI

2.28

Home xG

0.88

Away xG

Upset risk

Low

Risk of unexpected result

Man City Recent Form: Last 5

3 W · 1 D · 1 L
▼
8/2 Liverpool FC 1-2 Manchester City FC W 1.72
1/2 Tottenham Hotspur FC 2-2 Manchester City FC D 1.91
28/1 Manchester City FC 2-0 Galatasaray SK W 2.15
24/1 Manchester City FC 2-0 Wolverhampton Wanderers FC W 2.35
20/1 FK Bodø/Glimt 3-1 Manchester City FC L 1.99

Fulham Recent Form: Last 5

2 W · 0 D · 3 L
▲
▲
▼
7/2 Fulham FC 1-2 Everton FC L 1.28
1/2 Manchester United FC 3-2 Fulham FC L 1.18
24/1 Fulham FC 2-1 Brighton & Hove Albion FC W 1.25
17/1 Leeds United FC 1-0 Fulham FC L 1.27
7/1 Fulham FC 2-1 Chelsea FC W
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Key Factors

sports_soccer 1

Manchester City's sustained offensive efficiency: Creating 2.46 big chances per game with a team xG consistently around 2.0 per match ensures high scoring probability.

trending_up 2

Fulham's 'False Efficiency': Recent history shows Fulham overperforming their xG (e.g., scoring 2 goals from 1.18 xG vs Man Utd), suggesting a regression to the mean is likely against elite defenses.

person 3

Fatigue vs. Depth: City faces rotation risk after a high-intensity win at Liverpool (Feb 8), but the return of Phil Foden and the form of Rayan Cherki provide fresh creative options Fulham cannot match.

medical_services

Injuries & Absentees

Manchester City is missing defensive anchor Josko Gvardiol (tibial fracture) and wide threats Jeremy Doku and Savinho. While Gvardiol's absence weakens the left flank, the availability of Ait-Nouri and the return of John Stones to the bench offer sufficient cover. Fulham's midfield is thinned by the loss of Sasa Lukic and veteran Tom Cairney, forcing Berge and Iwobi into a high-workload double pivot that may struggle to track City's late-arriving runners like Foden and O'Reilly.

The analyses and predictions on this page are generated by artificial intelligence and are intended for informational and entertainment purposes only. This is not gambling advice.

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Frequently Asked Questions about this prediction

What was the result of Man City vs Fulham?

Man City beat Fulham 3-0 in the Premier League (matchday 26) on 11 February 2026.

Did Coach AI predict Man City vs Fulham correctly?

Coach AI predicted 3-1: the right outcome, but not the exact score. The fans predicted Man City win (100%), which was right.

What is the correct score prediction for Man City vs Fulham?

Coach AI predicts 3-1 as the correct score for Man City vs Fulham. This page also covers the expected line-ups, injuries and xG.

What is the recent form of Man City and Fulham?

Man City form (last 5): 3W-1D-1L. Fulham form (last 5): 2W-0D-3L.

What are the injury and suspension updates for Man City vs Fulham?

Manchester City is missing defensive anchor Josko Gvardiol (tibial fracture) and wide threats Jeremy Doku and Savinho. While Gvardiol's absence weakens the left flank, the availability of Ait-Nouri and the return of John Stones to the bench offer sufficient cover. Fulham's midfield is thinned by the loss of Sasa Lukic and veteran Tom Cairney, forcing Berge and Iwobi into a high-workload double pivot that may struggle to track City's late-arriving runners like Foden and O'Reilly.

How many goals do Man City and Fulham score on average?

Man City score at home 2.4 goals on average and concede 0.7 (12 matches). Fulham score away 1.1 goals on average and concede 1.8 (12 matches).

What is the head-to-head record between Man City and Fulham?

Football Meister has recorded 1 previous meeting between Man City and Fulham: Man City won 1, Fulham won 0 and 0 ended in a draw. The goal tally is 5-4.

What was the last result between Man City and Fulham?

The last meeting was on 2 Dec 2025: Fulham - Man City 4-5. Coach AI predicted 1-3.

How well did Coach AI predict earlier meetings between Man City and Fulham?

Coach AI got the outcome of the previous meeting right.

What do football fans and other predictors think about Man City vs Fulham?

Among Football Meister players, 100% back a home win for Man City, 0% a draw, and 0% an away win for Fulham. The most predicted scoreline is 3-1. Fans are more bullish than Coach AI on Man City: fans pick 100% home win, Coach AI calculates 70%.

What is the most popular prediction for Man City vs Fulham?

The most predicted scoreline for Man City vs Fulham is 3-1. Of all Football Meister players, 100% back Man City, 0% a draw and 0% Fulham.

What are the current standings for Man City and Fulham in the Premier League?

Man City are 1st in the Premier League with 21 points from 7 games. Fulham are 17th with 5 points from 7 games.

What time does Man City vs Fulham kick off?

Man City vs Fulham kicks off on Wednesday, 11 February 2026 at 19:30 (Central European Time). The match is part of the Premier League.

Who is the referee for Man City vs Fulham?

The referee for Man City vs Fulham in the Premier League is Paul Tierney.

What are the key factors for Man City vs Fulham?

Coach AI identifies three decisive factors for Man City vs Fulham: 1. Manchester City's sustained offensive efficiency: Creating 2.46 big chances per game with a team xG consistently around 2.0 per match ensures high scoring probability. 2. Fulham's 'False Efficiency': Recent history shows Fulham overperforming their xG (e.g., scoring 2 goals from 1.18 xG vs Man Utd), suggesting a regression to the mean is likely against elite defenses. 3. Fatigue vs. Depth: City faces rotation risk after a high-intensity win at Liverpool (Feb 8), but the return of Phil Foden and the form of Rayan Cherki provide fresh creative options Fulham cannot match..

Which scenario does Coach AI see for Man City vs Fulham?

Coach AI sees Man City as the stronger side in Man City vs Fulham. The full analysis with the expected score, xG and injuries is on this page.

How does Coach AI predict this match?

Coach AI analyzes thousands of data points, including xG, recent form, team news, and tactical developments for every match.

How often are these football predictions updated?

Insights are updated daily to incorporate the latest developments, injuries, and market movements.

How accurate are the Coach AI predictions?

Coach AI has analyzed over 1,000 matches. In 50% of cases, the correct outcome (home win, draw, or away win) is predicted accurately. In more than 10% of matches, the exact final score matches the prediction, significantly above the market average.

What is Coach AI's track record?

Coach AI has predicted over 1,000 matches: 50% correct outcome, 10%+ exact final score. The model consistently outperforms standard probability calculations and gives football fans the data they need to make truly informed predictions.

What data does Coach AI use for its predictions?

Coach AI combines Expected Goals (xG), recent team form over the last five matches, head-to-head records, up-to-date injury news, and tactical match-up analysis. The model is updated daily so every prediction reflects the most current information available.

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