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Leeds United vs Fulham — Premier League Prediction 17 January 2026

Leeds United
Leeds United
Premier League
1
VS
2
schedule 17 Jan, 15:00 · Referee: Chris Kavanagh (England)
Predicted Score

Last update of insights: 30 May 2026

Fulham
Fulham
Final result
1 – 0
CoachAI prediction
1 – 2
✗ Outcome incorrect
Kickoff in —

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Coach AI predicts a score of 1-2 for Leeds United vs Fulham in the Premier League. Leeds United is the favourite with a 44% win probability. Fulham has a 27% chance of winning and 29% ends in a draw. See the full analysis, injuries and score matrix below.

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Leeds United vs Fulham

This is a clash between two sides with differing ambitions. Fulham (9th) are firmly in the race for European qualification, sitting just two points off the top five. Leeds (16th), although 8 points clear of the drop, are looking to snap a four-game winless streak in the Premier League, having most recently lost a 4-3 thriller to Newcastle.

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Match Scenario's

Three most likely match scenarios

33%
34%
33%
analytics
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Scenario Explanation

While Leeds are resilient at Elland Road and Calvert-Lewin is in top form, Fulham's tactical consistency under Marco Silva and their current momentum (including a recent win over Chelsea) give them the edge. Fulham have won the last four meetings between these two sides in all competitions. Leeds' tendency to concede at home and their depleted right-back options (Bogle/Byram fitness issues) will likely be exploited by an in-form Harry Wilson and Emile Smith Rowe.
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Current Standings

Position in the competition

Pos Team Pld W D L GD Pts
9 Brentford FC 38 14 11 13 +3 53
10 Chelsea FC 38 14 10 14 +6 52
11 Fulham FC 38 15 7 16 -4 52
12 Newcastle United FC 38 14 7 17 -2 49
13 Everton FC 38 13 10 15 -3 49
14 Leeds United FC 38 11 14 13 -7 47
15 Crystal Palace FC 38 11 12 15 -10 45
16 Nottingham Forest FC 38 11 11 16 -3 44
Leeds United
Fulham

Projected xG by CoachAI

1.56

Home xG

1.27

Away xG

Upset Chance

High

Risk of unexpected result

Leeds United Recent Form — Last 5

Fulham Recent Form — Last 5

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Key Factors

sports_soccer 1

Fulham's unbeaten run: Marco Silva's side is currently unbeaten in their last 6 Premier League matches (W4, D2).

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Leeds' defensive struggles: Despite a strong home record, Leeds have conceded in their last eight games at Elland Road.

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Missing Personnel: Fulham are without key Nigerian stars (Iwobi, Bassey, Chukwueze) due to AFCON 3rd-place play-off, but Leeds are missing key defenders like Bornauw and likely Bogle.

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Form of Calvert-Lewin: The Leeds striker has 9 goals this season and is in a prolific run, while Fulham's Harry Wilson is in career-best form (11 goal involvements).

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Injuries & Absentees

Leeds United are missing Daniel James (hamstring) and Sebastiaan Bornauw (hip), while Jayden Bogle is a major doubt. Joe Rodon returns to the defense. Fulham are without Rodrigo Muniz (hamstring) and their AFCON trio (Alex Iwobi, Calvin Bassey, Samuel Chukwueze). Kenny Tete and Joshua King are late fitness tests.

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Frequently Asked Questions about this prediction

What is the Coach AI prediction for Leeds United vs Fulham?

Coach AI predicts a score of 1-2 with a win probability of 44% for Leeds United, 29% draw and 27% for Fulham.

What is the recent form of Leeds United and Fulham?

Leeds United form (last 5): no data. Fulham form (last 5): no data.

What are the injury and suspension updates for Leeds United vs Fulham?

Leeds United are missing Daniel James (hamstring) and Sebastiaan Bornauw (hip), while Jayden Bogle is a major doubt. Joe Rodon returns to the defense. Fulham are without Rodrigo Muniz (hamstring) and their AFCON trio (Alex Iwobi, Calvin Bassey, Samuel Chukwueze). Kenny Tete and Joshua King are late fitness tests.

What are the current standings for Leeds United and Fulham in the Premier League?

Leeds United are 14th in the Premier League with 47 points from 38 games. Fulham are 11th with 52 points from 38 games.

What time does Leeds United vs Fulham kick off?

Leeds United vs Fulham kicks off on Saturday, 17 January 2026 at 16:00 (Central European Time). The match is part of the Premier League.

Who is the referee for Leeds United vs Fulham?

The referee for Leeds United vs Fulham in the Premier League is Chris Kavanagh.

What are the key factors for Leeds United vs Fulham?

Coach AI identifies three decisive factors for Leeds United vs Fulham: 1. Fulham's unbeaten run: Marco Silva's side is currently unbeaten in their last 6 Premier League matches (W4, D2). 2. Leeds' defensive struggles: Despite a strong home record, Leeds have conceded in their last eight games at Elland Road. 3. Missing Personnel: Fulham are without key Nigerian stars (Iwobi, Bassey, Chukwueze) due to AFCON 3rd-place play-off, but Leeds are missing key defenders like Bornauw and likely Bogle. 4. Form of Calvert-Lewin: The Leeds striker has 9 goals this season and is in a prolific run, while Fulham's Harry Wilson is in career-best form (11 goal involvements)..

How does Coach AI predict this match?

Coach AI analyzes thousands of data points, including xG, recent form, team news, and tactical developments for every match.

How often are these football predictions updated?

Insights are updated daily to incorporate the latest developments, injuries, and market movements.

How accurate are the Coach AI predictions?

Coach AI has analyzed over 1,000 matches. In 50% of cases, the correct outcome (home win, draw, or away win) is predicted accurately. In more than 10% of matches, the exact final score matches the prediction — significantly above the market average.

What is Coach AI's track record?

Coach AI has predicted over 1,000 matches: 50% correct outcome, 10%+ exact final score. The model consistently outperforms standard probability calculations and gives football fans the data they need to make truly informed predictions.

What data does Coach AI use for its predictions?

Coach AI combines Expected Goals (xG), recent team form over the last five matches, head-to-head records, up-to-date injury news, and tactical match-up analysis. The model is updated daily so every prediction reflects the most current information available.