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Fulham vs Burnley — Premier League Prediction 21 March 2026

Fulham
Fulham
Premier League
2
VS
0
schedule 21 Mar, 15:00 · Referee: Chris Kavanagh (England)
Predicted Score

Last update of insights: 30 May 2026

Burnley
Burnley
Final result
3 – 1
CoachAI prediction
2 – 0
✓ Outcome correct
Kickoff in —

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Coach AI predicts a score of 2-0 for Fulham vs Burnley in the Premier League. Fulham is the favourite with a 62% win probability. Burnley has a 16% chance of winning and 22% ends in a draw. See the full analysis, injuries and score matrix below.

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Fulham vs Burnley

This is a classic 'Possession vs. Low Block' matchup. Burnley (19th) will likely sit deep in a 4-5-1 and rely on James Ward-Prowse's set-pieces and Zian Flemming's long-range shooting. However, Fulham (11th) at Craven Cottage are very efficient at stretching play with Antonee Robinson. With the referee Chris Kavanagh known for being strict, Burnley's physical style to compensate for their injury-hit squad could lead to dangerous free-kick opportunities for Harry Wilson.

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Match Scenario's

Three most likely match scenarios

55%
60%
30%
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Scenario Explanation

1 draw via a Ward-Prowse set-piece, but their lack of defensive cohesion due to missing 4 out of 5 preferred defenders makes a clean sheet for the visitors highly improbable.
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Current Standings

Position in the competition

Pos Team Pld W D L GD Pts
9 Brentford FC 38 14 11 13 +3 53
10 Chelsea FC 38 14 10 14 +6 52
11 Fulham FC 38 15 7 16 -4 52
12 Newcastle United FC 38 14 7 17 -2 49
13 Everton FC 38 13 10 15 -3 49
14 Leeds United FC 38 11 14 13 -7 47
15 Crystal Palace FC 38 11 12 15 -10 45
16 Nottingham Forest FC 38 11 11 16 -3 44
17 Tottenham Hotspur FC 38 10 11 17 -9 41
18 West Ham United FC 38 10 9 19 -19 39
19 Burnley FC 38 4 10 24 -37 22
20 Wolverhampton Wanderers FC 38 3 11 24 -41 20
Fulham
Burnley

Projected xG by CoachAI

1.58

Home xG

0.92

Away xG

Upset Chance

Medium

Risk of unexpected result

Fulham Recent Form — Last 5

2 W · 1 D · 2 L
▼
▼
▲
▼
15/3 Nottingham Forest FC 0-0 Fulham FC D 1.38
4/3 Fulham FC 0-1 West Ham United FC L 1.57
1/3 Fulham FC 2-1 Tottenham Hotspur FC W 1.62
22/2 Sunderland AFC 1-3 Fulham FC W 1.12
11/2 Manchester City FC 3-0 Fulham FC L 0.88

Burnley Recent Form — Last 5

1 W · 2 D · 2 L
▼
▼
▲
▲
14/3 Burnley FC 0-0 AFC Bournemouth D 1.10
3/3 Everton FC 2-0 Burnley FC L 1.05
28/2 Burnley FC 3-4 Brentford FC L 1.12
21/2 Chelsea FC 1-1 Burnley FC D 0.78
11/2 Crystal Palace FC 2-3 Burnley FC W 0.92
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Key Factors

sports_soccer 1

Burnley is facing a severe injury crisis with 6 confirmed starters out, including key defenders Beyer and Roberts and midfield engine Cullen.

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Fulham is statistically due for a goal regression; they failed to score in their last two matches despite accumulating a combined xG of 2.95.

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The weather forecast predicts an unusually warm and dry spring day (13-15°C), which favors Fulham's high-tempo technical passing over a physical battle in the mud.

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Injuries & Absentees

Fulham: 'Kevin' (foot) is out, and Emile Smith Rowe is a doubt (knock), but they have sufficient depth with Iwobi and Wilson. Burnley: The situation is critical. Scott Parker is missing Cullen, Beyer, Amdouni, Roberts, Tuanzebe, and Tresor. This forces a makeshift backline and removes their primary midfield shield, making them highly vulnerable to Fulham's creative rotations.

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Frequently Asked Questions about this prediction

What is the Coach AI prediction for Fulham vs Burnley?

Coach AI predicts a score of 2-0 with a win probability of 62% for Fulham, 22% draw and 16% for Burnley.

What is the recent form of Fulham and Burnley?

Fulham form (last 5): 2W-1D-2L. Burnley form (last 5): 1W-2D-2L.

What are the injury and suspension updates for Fulham vs Burnley?

Fulham: 'Kevin' (foot) is out, and Emile Smith Rowe is a doubt (knock), but they have sufficient depth with Iwobi and Wilson. Burnley: The situation is critical. Scott Parker is missing Cullen, Beyer, Amdouni, Roberts, Tuanzebe, and Tresor. This forces a makeshift backline and removes their primary midfield shield, making them highly vulnerable to Fulham's creative rotations.

What are the current standings for Fulham and Burnley in the Premier League?

Fulham are 11th in the Premier League with 52 points from 38 games. Burnley are 19th with 22 points from 38 games.

What time does Fulham vs Burnley kick off?

Fulham vs Burnley kicks off on Saturday, 21 March 2026 at 16:00 (Central European Time). The match is part of the Premier League.

Who is the referee for Fulham vs Burnley?

The referee for Fulham vs Burnley in the Premier League is Chris Kavanagh.

What are the key factors for Fulham vs Burnley?

Coach AI identifies three decisive factors for Fulham vs Burnley: 1. Burnley is facing a severe injury crisis with 6 confirmed starters out, including key defenders Beyer and Roberts and midfield engine Cullen. 2. Fulham is statistically due for a goal regression; they failed to score in their last two matches despite accumulating a combined xG of 2.95. 3. The weather forecast predicts an unusually warm and dry spring day (13-15°C), which favors Fulham's high-tempo technical passing over a physical battle in the mud..

How does Coach AI predict this match?

Coach AI analyzes thousands of data points, including xG, recent form, team news, and tactical developments for every match.

How often are these football predictions updated?

Insights are updated daily to incorporate the latest developments, injuries, and market movements.

How accurate are the Coach AI predictions?

Coach AI has analyzed over 1,000 matches. In 50% of cases, the correct outcome (home win, draw, or away win) is predicted accurately. In more than 10% of matches, the exact final score matches the prediction — significantly above the market average.

What is Coach AI's track record?

Coach AI has predicted over 1,000 matches: 50% correct outcome, 10%+ exact final score. The model consistently outperforms standard probability calculations and gives football fans the data they need to make truly informed predictions.

What data does Coach AI use for its predictions?

Coach AI combines Expected Goals (xG), recent team form over the last five matches, head-to-head records, up-to-date injury news, and tactical match-up analysis. The model is updated daily so every prediction reflects the most current information available.