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Everton vs Chelsea: Premier League Prediction 21 March 2026

Premier League
2
VS
1
schedule 21 Mar, 17:30 · Referee: Sam Barrott (England)
Predicted Score

Last update of insights: 19 Oct 2026

Final result
3 – 0
CoachAI prediction
2 – 1
✓ Outcome: CALLED IT
Kickoff in -

Coach AI predicts a score of 2-1 for Everton vs Chelsea in the Premier League. Chelsea comes out as the stronger side in the analysis. See the full analysis, injuries and score matrix below.

Match report: Everton vs Chelsea

Everton beat Chelsea 3-0 in the Premier League (matchday 31) on 21 March 2026.

Coach AI looks back

Coach AI predicted 2-1: the right outcome, but not the exact score.

Result3-0
Coach AI2-1right
FansChelsea win (62%)not right
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Pre-match preview: Everton vs Chelsea

This is a crossroads match at the new Hill Dickinson Stadium. Everton (8th) can close the gap on 6th-placed Chelsea to just two points. Chelsea arrives in Liverpool reeling from four consecutive defeats across all competitions and mounting pressure on manager Liam Rosenior. Historically, Chelsea has struggled at Everton, and the hostile home atmosphere combined with the visitors' fatigue makes this a prime 'trap game' for the favorites.

#EVECHE #Everton #Chelsea #PremierLeague #FootballMeister

analytics

Scenarios before the match

Three most likely match scenarios

45%
35%
20%
analytics
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Scenario Explanation

Scenario 1: Everton Win (45%) - David Moyes' side uses their physical superiority and extra rest to overpower a demoralized Chelsea, likely scoring via a set-piece or counter-attack. Scenario 2: High-Volume Draw (35%) - Chelsea continues to dominate possession and shot counts (high xG), finally finding the net but conceding due to individual errors in their makeshift defense. Scenario 3: Chelsea Individual Quality (20%) - Cole Palmer or Joao Pedro produce a moment of magic to mask the team's tactical and physical shortcomings. Given the 1.17 GA average for both and Chelsea's travel fatigue, a narrow 2-1 home win is the most statistically and contextually supported outcome.

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Current Standings

Position in the competition

Matchday

Pos Team Pld W D L GD Pts
1 Manchester City FC 7 7 0 0 +12 21
2 Arsenal FC 7 6 0 1 +6 18
3 Brighton & Hove Albion FC 7 5 1 1 +18 16
4 Chelsea FC 7 4 1 2 +4 13
5 Liverpool FC 7 3 3 1 +1 12
6 Brentford FC 7 2 4 1 +5 10
7 Leeds United FC 7 2 4 1 +3 10
8 Everton FC 7 2 4 1 +1 10
9 Hull City AFC 7 2 3 2 +1 9
10 Ipswich Town FC 7 3 0 4 -4 9
11 Newcastle United FC 7 2 2 3 -4 8
12 Aston Villa FC 7 2 2 3 -4 8
13 Manchester United FC 7 1 4 2 0 7
14 Crystal Palace FC 7 2 1 4 -8 7
15 AFC Bournemouth 7 1 3 3 -4 6
16 Coventry City FC 6 2 0 4 -6 6
17 Fulham FC 7 1 2 4 -3 5
18 Nottingham Forest FC 7 1 2 4 -4 5
19 Sunderland AFC 7 1 1 5 -8 4
20 Tottenham Hotspur FC 6 0 3 3 -6 3
Everton
Chelsea
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Fan Predictions

What Football Meister players predict for this match

Everton D Chelsea
31%
62%
31% 8% 62%

Most predicted scorelines

1-2 38%
2-1 23%
0-1 15%
1-0 8%
2-2 8%

These are predictions made by real Football Meister players, not AI-generated data.

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Head to head

Everton and Chelsea in Football Meister data

0Everton wins
0draws
1Chelsea wins

Goals: 0 for Everton, 2 for Chelsea.

Coach AI got the outcome of the previous meeting right.

Previous meetings

Goals per match

What the two clubs score and concede on average, as context for the prediction.

Everton at home

1.2

scored

1.3

conceded

15 matches

0
9 of 30 (30%)
1
11 of 30 (37%)
2
7 of 30 (23%)
3+
3 of 30 (10%)

Usually 1. Scores in 70% of matches.

Chelsea away

2.0

scored

1.2

conceded

15 matches

0
3 of 30 (10%)
1
11 of 30 (37%)
2
9 of 30 (30%)
3+
7 of 30 (23%)

Usually 1. Scores in 90% of matches.

Coach AI pre-match analysis

insights

Coach AI Scenarios

Everton Chelsea
W D L

Projected xG by CoachAI

1.20

Home xG

1.55

Away xG

Upset risk

High

Risk of unexpected result

Everton Recent Form: Last 5

2 W · 0 D · 3 L
▼
▲
▲
▼
14/3 Arsenal FC 2-0 Everton FC L 0.85
3/3 Everton FC 2-0 Burnley FC W 1.48
28/2 Newcastle United FC 2-3 Everton FC W 1.12
23/2 Everton FC 0-1 Manchester United FC L 1.23
10/2 Everton FC 1-2 AFC Bournemouth L 1.35

Chelsea Recent Form: Last 5

1 W · 0 D · 4 L
▼
▼
▲
17/3 Chelsea FC 0-3 Paris Saint-Germain FC L 2.15
14/3 Chelsea FC 0-1 Newcastle United FC L 1.95
11/3 Paris Saint-Germain FC 5-2 Chelsea FC L 1.60
4/3 Aston Villa FC 1-4 Chelsea FC W 1.88
1/3 Arsenal FC 2-1 Chelsea FC L 1.35
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Key Factors

sports_soccer 1

Chelsea is suffering from a massive 'xG crisis', creating 4.10 expected goals in their last two matches without scoring once.

trending_up 2

Everton benefits from a full week of rest while Chelsea is physically and mentally drained after a humiliating 8-2 aggregate Champions League exit to PSG.

person 3

Chelsea's defense is heavily depleted with key starters like Reece James, Trevoh Chalobah, and Levi Colwill confirmed out.

medical_services

Injuries & Absentees

Everton is boosted by the likely return of Jarrad Branthwaite to anchor the defense, though Jack Grealish remains out. Chelsea faces a full-blown defensive crisis: Trevoh Chalobah (ankle), Reece James (hamstring), and Levi Colwill (ACL) are sidelined. This forces Liam Rosenior to field a 'patched-up' backline likely featuring Tosin Adarabioyo and Wesley Fofana, who lack consistent chemistry.

The analyses and predictions on this page are generated by artificial intelligence and are intended for informational and entertainment purposes only. This is not gambling advice.

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Frequently Asked Questions about this prediction

What was the result of Everton vs Chelsea?

Everton beat Chelsea 3-0 in the Premier League (matchday 31) on 21 March 2026.

Did Coach AI predict Everton vs Chelsea correctly?

Coach AI predicted 2-1: the right outcome, but not the exact score. The fans predicted Chelsea win (62%), which was not right.

What is the correct score prediction for Everton vs Chelsea?

Coach AI predicts 2-1 as the correct score for Everton vs Chelsea. This page also covers the expected line-ups, injuries and xG.

What is the recent form of Everton and Chelsea?

Everton form (last 5): 2W-0D-3L. Chelsea form (last 5): 1W-0D-4L.

What are the injury and suspension updates for Everton vs Chelsea?

Everton is boosted by the likely return of Jarrad Branthwaite to anchor the defense, though Jack Grealish remains out. Chelsea faces a full-blown defensive crisis: Trevoh Chalobah (ankle), Reece James (hamstring), and Levi Colwill (ACL) are sidelined. This forces Liam Rosenior to field a 'patched-up' backline likely featuring Tosin Adarabioyo and Wesley Fofana, who lack consistent chemistry.

How many goals do Everton and Chelsea score on average?

Everton score at home 1.2 goals on average and concede 1.3 (15 matches). Chelsea score away 2.0 goals on average and concede 1.2 (15 matches).

What is the head-to-head record between Everton and Chelsea?

Football Meister has recorded 1 previous meeting between Everton and Chelsea: Everton won 0, Chelsea won 1 and 0 ended in a draw. The goal tally is 0-2.

What was the last result between Everton and Chelsea?

The last meeting was on 13 Dec 2025: Chelsea - Everton 2-0. Coach AI predicted 2-1.

How well did Coach AI predict earlier meetings between Everton and Chelsea?

Coach AI got the outcome of the previous meeting right.

What do football fans and other predictors think about Everton vs Chelsea?

Among Football Meister players, 31% back a home win for Everton, 8% a draw, and 62% an away win for Chelsea. The most predicted scoreline is 1-2. Fans and Coach AI broadly agree on the likely outcome of this match.

What is the most popular prediction for Everton vs Chelsea?

The most predicted scoreline for Everton vs Chelsea is 1-2. Of all Football Meister players, 31% back Everton, 8% a draw and 62% Chelsea.

What are the current standings for Everton and Chelsea in the Premier League?

Everton are 8th in the Premier League with 10 points from 7 games. Chelsea are 4th with 13 points from 7 games.

What time does Everton vs Chelsea kick off?

Everton vs Chelsea kicks off on Saturday, 21 March 2026 at 17:30 (Central European Time). The match is part of the Premier League.

Who is the referee for Everton vs Chelsea?

The referee for Everton vs Chelsea in the Premier League is Sam Barrott.

What are the key factors for Everton vs Chelsea?

Coach AI identifies three decisive factors for Everton vs Chelsea: 1. Chelsea is suffering from a massive 'xG crisis', creating 4.10 expected goals in their last two matches without scoring once. 2. Everton benefits from a full week of rest while Chelsea is physically and mentally drained after a humiliating 8-2 aggregate Champions League exit to PSG. 3. Chelsea's defense is heavily depleted with key starters like Reece James, Trevoh Chalobah, and Levi Colwill confirmed out..

Which scenario does Coach AI see for Everton vs Chelsea?

Coach AI sees Chelsea as the stronger side in Everton vs Chelsea. The full analysis with the expected score, xG and injuries is on this page.

How does Coach AI predict this match?

Coach AI analyzes thousands of data points, including xG, recent form, team news, and tactical developments for every match.

How often are these football predictions updated?

Insights are updated daily to incorporate the latest developments, injuries, and market movements.

How accurate are the Coach AI predictions?

Coach AI has analyzed over 1,000 matches. In 50% of cases, the correct outcome (home win, draw, or away win) is predicted accurately. In more than 10% of matches, the exact final score matches the prediction, significantly above the market average.

What is Coach AI's track record?

Coach AI has predicted over 1,000 matches: 50% correct outcome, 10%+ exact final score. The model consistently outperforms standard probability calculations and gives football fans the data they need to make truly informed predictions.

What data does Coach AI use for its predictions?

Coach AI combines Expected Goals (xG), recent team form over the last five matches, head-to-head records, up-to-date injury news, and tactical match-up analysis. The model is updated daily so every prediction reflects the most current information available.

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