Football Meister Logo Play for free →

Everton vs Liverpool — Premier League Prediction 19 April 2026

Everton
Everton
Premier League
2
VS
1
schedule 19 Apr, 13:00 · Referee: Chris Kavanagh (England)
Predicted Score

Last update of insights: 30 May 2026

Liverpool
Liverpool
Final result
1 – 2
CoachAI prediction
2 – 1
✗ Outcome incorrect
Kickoff in —

Discuss this match with AI

ChatGPT Claude Perplexity Google AI Grok Reddit

Coach AI predicts a score of 2-1 for Everton vs Liverpool in the Premier League. Liverpool is the favourite with a 41% win probability. Everton has a 32% chance of winning and 27% ends in a draw. See the full analysis, injuries and score matrix below.

lightbulb

Everton vs Liverpool

This is the first-ever Merseyside derby at the Hill Dickinson Stadium. The atmosphere will be at a fever pitch, favoring the hosts. For Liverpool, this is Mohamed Salah's final derby, adding emotional weight but also individual pressure. Tactically, Moyes will deploy a compact 4-2-3-1 low block to exploit Liverpool's high line through Iliman Ndiaye's transitional speed. Referee Chris Kavanagh is known for allowing physical play, which suits Everton's high-duel success rate (Tarkowski/Branthwaite).

analytics

Match Scenario's

Three most likely match scenarios

45%
35%
20%
analytics
explore

Scenario Explanation

Scenario 1: The 'New Home Boost' (45% likelihood) - Everton uses the crowd energy and Liverpool's heavy legs to score early and defend a narrow lead, ending 2-1. Scenario 2: The Gritty Stalemate (35% likelihood) - Liverpool dominates possession but fails to break down the block, while Everton's clinical edge is neutralized by a high-performing Mamardashvili, resulting in a 1-1 draw. Scenario 3: Quality Overcomes Fatigue (20% likelihood) - Salah or Wirtz produce a moment of individual magic late in the game to save a 0-1 or 1-2 win for the visitors. Given Liverpool's recent psychological collapse in Europe and their abysmal away form, the data suggests Everton has the statistical and physical edge to secure a historic win.
table_chart

Current Standings

Position in the competition

Pos Team Pld W D L GD Pts
3 Manchester United FC 38 20 11 7 +19 71
4 Aston Villa FC 38 19 8 11 +7 65
5 Liverpool FC 38 17 9 12 +10 60
6 AFC Bournemouth 38 13 18 7 +4 57
7 Sunderland AFC 38 14 12 12 -6 54
8 Brighton & Hove Albion FC 38 14 11 13 +6 53
9 Brentford FC 38 14 11 13 +3 53
10 Chelsea FC 38 14 10 14 +6 52
11 Fulham FC 38 15 7 16 -4 52
12 Newcastle United FC 38 14 7 17 -2 49
13 Everton FC 38 13 10 15 -3 49
14 Leeds United FC 38 11 14 13 -7 47
15 Crystal Palace FC 38 11 12 15 -10 45
Everton
Liverpool

Projected xG by CoachAI

1.28

Home xG

1.68

Away xG

Upset Chance

High

Risk of unexpected result

Everton Recent Form — Last 5

3 W · 1 D · 1 L
▲
▲
▼
▲
▲
11/4 Brentford FC 2-2 Everton FC D 1.18
21/3 Everton FC 3-0 Chelsea FC W 1.20
14/3 Arsenal FC 2-0 Everton FC L 0.85
3/3 Everton FC 2-0 Burnley FC W 1.48
28/2 Newcastle United FC 2-3 Everton FC W 1.12

Liverpool Recent Form — Last 5

2 W · 0 D · 3 L
▼
▼
▼
▲
14/4 Liverpool FC 0-2 Paris Saint-Germain FC L 2.05
11/4 Liverpool FC 2-0 Fulham FC W 2.10
8/4 Paris Saint-Germain FC 2-0 Liverpool FC L 1.45
21/3 Brighton & Hove Albion FC 2-1 Liverpool FC L 1.78
18/3 Liverpool FC 4-0 Galatasaray SK W 2.25
bolt

Key Factors

sports_soccer 1

Liverpool's Away Crisis: The Reds have lost their last 4 consecutive away matches across all competitions, showing significant defensive vulnerability on the road.

trending_up 2

xG Variance: Everton is currently maintaining high clinical efficiency (overperforming xG), while Liverpool is in a finishing crisis, notably failing to score against PSG despite generating 2.05 xG.

person 3

Fatigue & Morale Gap: Liverpool enters this derby only 5 days after a demoralizing Champions League exit against PSG, whereas David Moyes' Everton has had an 8-day rest and the boost of a new stadium atmosphere.

medical_services

Injuries & Absentees

Liverpool faces a crisis in the spine of their team: starting striker Hugo Ekitike (Achilles) is out for the season, and goalkeeper Alisson remains sidelined, forcing Giorgi Mamardashvili into his first derby. Joe Gomez and Conor Bradley are also out, leaving the full-back positions stretched. Everton is missing Jack Grealish (season-ending), but otherwise boasts a healthy squad with Beto and Dewsbury-Hall in peak form.

Play along in the app!

Think you know better than Coach AI? Create your own league and predict this match in Football Meister.

Start your free league →

Frequently Asked Questions about this prediction

What is the Coach AI prediction for Everton vs Liverpool?

Coach AI predicts a score of 2-1 with a win probability of 32% for Everton, 27% draw and 41% for Liverpool.

What is the recent form of Everton and Liverpool?

Everton form (last 5): 3W-1D-1L. Liverpool form (last 5): 2W-0D-3L.

What are the injury and suspension updates for Everton vs Liverpool?

Liverpool faces a crisis in the spine of their team: starting striker Hugo Ekitike (Achilles) is out for the season, and goalkeeper Alisson remains sidelined, forcing Giorgi Mamardashvili into his first derby. Joe Gomez and Conor Bradley are also out, leaving the full-back positions stretched. Everton is missing Jack Grealish (season-ending), but otherwise boasts a healthy squad with Beto and Dewsbury-Hall in peak form.

What are the current standings for Everton and Liverpool in the Premier League?

Everton are 13th in the Premier League with 49 points from 38 games. Liverpool are 5th with 60 points from 38 games.

What time does Everton vs Liverpool kick off?

Everton vs Liverpool kicks off on Sunday, 19 April 2026 at 15:00 (Central European Time). The match is part of the Premier League.

Who is the referee for Everton vs Liverpool?

The referee for Everton vs Liverpool in the Premier League is Chris Kavanagh.

What are the key factors for Everton vs Liverpool?

Coach AI identifies three decisive factors for Everton vs Liverpool: 1. Liverpool's Away Crisis: The Reds have lost their last 4 consecutive away matches across all competitions, showing significant defensive vulnerability on the road. 2. xG Variance: Everton is currently maintaining high clinical efficiency (overperforming xG), while Liverpool is in a finishing crisis, notably failing to score against PSG despite generating 2.05 xG. 3. Fatigue & Morale Gap: Liverpool enters this derby only 5 days after a demoralizing Champions League exit against PSG, whereas David Moyes' Everton has had an 8-day rest and the boost of a new stadium atmosphere..

How does Coach AI predict this match?

Coach AI analyzes thousands of data points, including xG, recent form, team news, and tactical developments for every match.

How often are these football predictions updated?

Insights are updated daily to incorporate the latest developments, injuries, and market movements.

How accurate are the Coach AI predictions?

Coach AI has analyzed over 1,000 matches. In 50% of cases, the correct outcome (home win, draw, or away win) is predicted accurately. In more than 10% of matches, the exact final score matches the prediction — significantly above the market average.

What is Coach AI's track record?

Coach AI has predicted over 1,000 matches: 50% correct outcome, 10%+ exact final score. The model consistently outperforms standard probability calculations and gives football fans the data they need to make truly informed predictions.

What data does Coach AI use for its predictions?

Coach AI combines Expected Goals (xG), recent team form over the last five matches, head-to-head records, up-to-date injury news, and tactical match-up analysis. The model is updated daily so every prediction reflects the most current information available.