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Crystal Palace vs Chelsea — Premier League Prediction 25 January 2026

Crystal Palace
Crystal Palace
Premier League
0
VS
2
schedule 25 Jan, 14:00 · Referee: Darren England (England)
Predicted Score

Last update of insights: 30 May 2026

Chelsea
Chelsea
Final result
1 – 3
CoachAI prediction
0 – 2
✓ Outcome correct
Kickoff in —

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Coach AI predicts a score of 0-2 for Crystal Palace vs Chelsea in the Premier League. Chelsea is the favourite with a 49% win probability. Crystal Palace has a 25% chance of winning and 26% ends in a draw. See the full analysis, injuries and score matrix below.

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Crystal Palace vs Chelsea

This London Derby at Selhurst Park is framed by Palace's psychological 'freefall' and manager Oliver Glasner’s impending summer exit. Weather forecasts predict a 'tempest' with 90% precipitation and light rain, which typically favors a physical low block. however, the saturated pitch may punish Palace's restructured defense during quick transitions.

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Match Scenario's

Three most likely match scenarios

58%
24%
18%
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Scenario Explanation

1 goal), the return of Palmer to the XI should stabilize their final-third efficiency. The 'Value Tip' lies in Chelsea 'To Win to Nil' or 'Chelsea -1.0 Asian Handicap'; the market frequently overvalues the Selhurst Park atmosphere in derbies, but Palace's current 10-game slump and lack of clinical finishing suggest they will struggle to capitalize on Chelsea's defensive rotations. Probability Estimates: Chelsea Win 58%, Draw 24%, Palace Win 18%.
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Current Standings

Position in the competition

Pos Team Pld W D L GD Pts
8 Brighton & Hove Albion FC 38 14 11 13 +6 53
9 Brentford FC 38 14 11 13 +3 53
10 Chelsea FC 38 14 10 14 +6 52
11 Fulham FC 38 15 7 16 -4 52
12 Newcastle United FC 38 14 7 17 -2 49
13 Everton FC 38 13 10 15 -3 49
14 Leeds United FC 38 11 14 13 -7 47
15 Crystal Palace FC 38 11 12 15 -10 45
16 Nottingham Forest FC 38 11 11 16 -3 44
17 Tottenham Hotspur FC 38 10 11 17 -9 41
Crystal Palace
Chelsea

Projected xG by CoachAI

1.15

Home xG

1.88

Away xG

Upset Chance

Low

Risk of unexpected result

Crystal Palace Recent Form — Last 5

0 W · 0 D · 0 L
17/1 1-2 Loss vs. Sunderland AFC 1.28
7/1 0-0 Draw vs. Aston Villa FC
4/1 0-2 Loss vs. Newcastle United FC
1/1 1-1 Draw vs. Fulham FC
28/12 0-1 Loss vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC

Chelsea Recent Form — Last 5

0 W · 0 D · 0 L
▼
21/1 1-0 Win vs. Paphos FC 2.15
17/1 2-0 Win vs. Brentford FC 1.68
7/1 1-2 Loss vs. Fulham FC
4/1 1-1 Draw vs. Manchester City FC
30/12 2-2 Draw vs. AFC Bournemouth
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Key Factors

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Divergent Form: Crystal Palace is winless in their last 10 competitive matches, including a humiliating FA Cup exit to non-league Macclesfield, whereas Chelsea has won 3 of their last 4 under new manager Liam Rosenior.

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Defensive Vacuum: The departure of captain Marc Guéhi to Manchester City has left a significant void in the Palace backline, evidenced by conceding twice to Sunderland (xG: 1.28) in their last outing.

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Efficiency Gap: Palace has scored only 23 goals from 34.29 xG this season (-11.29 delta), highlighting a chronic finishing issue that contrasts with Chelsea’s high-volume chance creation (38.85 seasonal xG).

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Injuries & Absentees

Crystal Palace welcome back Daniel Muñoz and AFCON winner Ismaïla Sarr, but remain without Cheick Doucouré, Eddie Nketiah, and Daichi Kamada, significantly weakening their central spine. Chelsea are missing key defenders Levi Colwill and Tosin Adarabioyo, and goalkeeper Filip Jörgensen (Robert Sánchez starts), but the likely return of Cole Palmer from a thigh strain provides the creative spark needed to unlock low blocks.

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Frequently Asked Questions about this prediction

What is the Coach AI prediction for Crystal Palace vs Chelsea?

Coach AI predicts a score of 0-2 with a win probability of 25% for Crystal Palace, 26% draw and 49% for Chelsea.

What is the recent form of Crystal Palace and Chelsea?

Crystal Palace form (last 5): 0W-0D-0L. Chelsea form (last 5): 0W-0D-0L.

What are the injury and suspension updates for Crystal Palace vs Chelsea?

Crystal Palace welcome back Daniel Muñoz and AFCON winner Ismaïla Sarr, but remain without Cheick Doucouré, Eddie Nketiah, and Daichi Kamada, significantly weakening their central spine. Chelsea are missing key defenders Levi Colwill and Tosin Adarabioyo, and goalkeeper Filip Jörgensen (Robert Sánchez starts), but the likely return of Cole Palmer from a thigh strain provides the creative spark needed to unlock low blocks.

What are the current standings for Crystal Palace and Chelsea in the Premier League?

Crystal Palace are 15th in the Premier League with 45 points from 38 games. Chelsea are 10th with 52 points from 38 games.

What time does Crystal Palace vs Chelsea kick off?

Crystal Palace vs Chelsea kicks off on Sunday, 25 January 2026 at 15:00 (Central European Time). The match is part of the Premier League.

Who is the referee for Crystal Palace vs Chelsea?

The referee for Crystal Palace vs Chelsea in the Premier League is Darren England.

What are the key factors for Crystal Palace vs Chelsea?

Coach AI identifies three decisive factors for Crystal Palace vs Chelsea: 1. Divergent Form: Crystal Palace is winless in their last 10 competitive matches, including a humiliating FA Cup exit to non-league Macclesfield, whereas Chelsea has won 3 of their last 4 under new manager Liam Rosenior. 2. Defensive Vacuum: The departure of captain Marc Guéhi to Manchester City has left a significant void in the Palace backline, evidenced by conceding twice to Sunderland (xG: 1.28) in their last outing. 3. Efficiency Gap: Palace has scored only 23 goals from 34.29 xG this season (-11.29 delta), highlighting a chronic finishing issue that contrasts with Chelsea’s high-volume chance creation (38.85 seasonal xG)..

How does Coach AI predict this match?

Coach AI analyzes thousands of data points, including xG, recent form, team news, and tactical developments for every match.

How often are these football predictions updated?

Insights are updated daily to incorporate the latest developments, injuries, and market movements.

How accurate are the Coach AI predictions?

Coach AI has analyzed over 1,000 matches. In 50% of cases, the correct outcome (home win, draw, or away win) is predicted accurately. In more than 10% of matches, the exact final score matches the prediction — significantly above the market average.

What is Coach AI's track record?

Coach AI has predicted over 1,000 matches: 50% correct outcome, 10%+ exact final score. The model consistently outperforms standard probability calculations and gives football fans the data they need to make truly informed predictions.

What data does Coach AI use for its predictions?

Coach AI combines Expected Goals (xG), recent team form over the last five matches, head-to-head records, up-to-date injury news, and tactical match-up analysis. The model is updated daily so every prediction reflects the most current information available.