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Burnley vs Brentford: Premier League Prediction 28 February 2026

Premier League
1
VS
2
schedule 28 Feb, 15:00 · Referee: Sam Barrott (England)
Predicted Score

Last update of insights: 19 Oct 2026

Final result
3 – 4
CoachAI prediction
1 – 2
✓ Outcome: CALLED IT
Kickoff in -

Coach AI predicts a score of 1-2 for Burnley vs Brentford in the Premier League. Brentford comes out as the stronger side in the analysis. See the full analysis, injuries and score matrix below.

Match report: Burnley vs Brentford

Brentford beat Burnley 4-3 in the Premier League (matchday 28) on 28 February 2026.

Coach AI looks back

Coach AI predicted 1-2: the right outcome, but not the exact score.

Result3-4
Coach AI1-2right
FansBrentford win (67%)right
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Pre-match preview: Burnley vs Brentford

Burnley is in survival mode (19th) but hasn't won at home since November, creating a psychological barrier at Turf Moor. In contrast, Brentford is the surprise package of 2026 (7th) and currently tops the Premier League away form table. The forecast for late February in Lancashire suggests wet and windy conditions, which traditionally favors Brentford’s physical aerial presence and rehearsed set-piece routines.

#BURBRE #Burnley #Brentford #PremierLeague #FootballMeister

analytics

Scenarios before the match

Three most likely match scenarios

55%
30%
15%
analytics
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Scenario Explanation

Scenario 1 (55%): Brentford’s verticality and high xG creation finally translate into goals against a porous Burnley backline. Scenario 2 (30%): Burnley’s pragmatic 'Great Escape' spirit, seen in their draw at Chelsea, earns them a gritty 1-1 draw as they prioritize defensive shape over possession. Scenario 3 (15%): Burnley exploits Brentford’s makeshift fullback situation on the counter-attack to secure a narrow 1-0 home upset.

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Current Standings

Position in the competition

Matchday

Pos Team Pld W D L GD Pts
1 Manchester City FC 7 7 0 0 +12 21
2 Arsenal FC 7 6 0 1 +6 18
3 Brighton & Hove Albion FC 7 5 1 1 +18 16
4 Chelsea FC 7 4 1 2 +4 13
5 Liverpool FC 7 3 3 1 +1 12
6 Brentford FC 7 2 4 1 +5 10
7 Leeds United FC 7 2 4 1 +3 10
8 Everton FC 7 2 4 1 +1 10
9 Hull City AFC 7 2 3 2 +1 9
10 Ipswich Town FC 7 3 0 4 -4 9
11 Newcastle United FC 7 2 2 3 -4 8
12 Aston Villa FC 7 2 2 3 -4 8
13 Manchester United FC 7 1 4 2 0 7
14 Crystal Palace FC 7 2 1 4 -8 7
15 AFC Bournemouth 7 1 3 3 -4 6
16 Coventry City FC 6 2 0 4 -6 6
17 Fulham FC 7 1 2 4 -3 5
18 Nottingham Forest FC 7 1 2 4 -4 5
19 Sunderland AFC 7 1 1 5 -8 4
20 Tottenham Hotspur FC 6 0 3 3 -6 3
Burnley
Brentford
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Fan Predictions

What Football Meister players predict for this match

Burnley D Brentford
33%
67%
33% 0% 67%

Most predicted scorelines

1-2 50%
1-0 17%
3-2 17%
0-3 17%

These are predictions made by real Football Meister players, not AI-generated data.

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Head to head

Burnley and Brentford in Football Meister data

0Burnley wins
0draws
1Brentford wins

Goals: 1 for Burnley, 3 for Brentford.

Previous meetings

  • 29 Nov 2025Brentford3Burnley1

Goals per match

What the two clubs score and concede on average, as context for the prediction.

Burnley at home

0.9

scored

1.5

conceded

13 matches

0
9 of 27 (33%)
1
9 of 27 (33%)
2
7 of 27 (26%)
3+
2 of 27 (7%)

Usually 0 or 1. Scores in 67% of matches.

Brentford away

1.2

scored

1.7

conceded

13 matches

0
8 of 27 (30%)
1
8 of 27 (30%)
2
3 of 27 (11%)
3+
8 of 27 (30%)

Usually 0 or 1 or 3+. Scores in 70% of matches.

Coach AI pre-match analysis

insights

Coach AI Scenarios

Burnley Brentford
W D L

Projected xG by CoachAI

1.12

Home xG

1.48

Away xG

Upset risk

Medium

Risk of unexpected result

Burnley Recent Form: Last 5

1 W · 2 D · 2 L
▲
▼
▼
▲
21/2 Chelsea FC 1-1 Burnley FC D 0.78
11/2 Crystal Palace FC 2-3 Burnley FC W 0.92
7/2 Burnley FC 0-2 West Ham United FC L 1.25
2/2 Sunderland AFC 3-0 Burnley FC L 1.15
24/1 Burnley FC 2-2 Tottenham Hotspur FC D 1.12

Brentford Recent Form: Last 5

2 W · 1 D · 2 L
▼
▲
▼
21/2 Brentford FC 0-2 Brighton & Hove Albion FC L 1.54
12/2 Brentford FC 1-1 Arsenal FC D 1.42
7/2 Newcastle United FC 2-3 Brentford FC W 1.45
1/2 Aston Villa FC 0-1 Brentford FC W 1.25
25/1 Brentford FC 0-2 Nottingham Forest FC L 1.88
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Key Factors

sports_soccer 1

Brentford's xG Regression: Despite recent blanks, Brentford consistently generates high-quality chances (avg 1.54 xG). A return to clinical finishing is statistically imminent against the league's worst defense.

trending_up 2

Burnley's Defensive Fragility: Scott Parker’s side concedes the most shots per 90 (16.5) in the division. This high volume of pressure is unsustainable for a team missing key defenders like Beyer and Tuanzebe.

person 3

Tactical Mismatch: Brentford’s aggressive high press under Keith Andrews is designed to exploit teams like Burnley who struggle with ball progression in their own third, especially with Josh Cullen absent.

medical_services

Injuries & Absentees

Burnley's spine is decimated with Jordan Beyer, Josh Cullen, and Zeki Amdouni out long-term; the lack of a defensive anchor forces a more erratic 'low-block' that frequently breaks. Brentford faces a crisis at right-back with Michael Kayode and Aaron Hickey both doubtful, potentially forcing Kristoffer Ajer into a wider role, which may offer Burnley's Jaidon Anthony space to exploit.

The analyses and predictions on this page are generated by artificial intelligence and are intended for informational and entertainment purposes only. This is not gambling advice.

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Frequently Asked Questions about this prediction

What was the result of Burnley vs Brentford?

Brentford beat Burnley 4-3 in the Premier League (matchday 28) on 28 February 2026.

Did Coach AI predict Burnley vs Brentford correctly?

Coach AI predicted 1-2: the right outcome, but not the exact score. The fans predicted Brentford win (67%), which was right.

What is the correct score prediction for Burnley vs Brentford?

Coach AI predicts 1-2 as the correct score for Burnley vs Brentford. This page also covers the expected line-ups, injuries and xG.

What is the recent form of Burnley and Brentford?

Burnley form (last 5): 1W-2D-2L. Brentford form (last 5): 2W-1D-2L.

What are the injury and suspension updates for Burnley vs Brentford?

Burnley's spine is decimated with Jordan Beyer, Josh Cullen, and Zeki Amdouni out long-term; the lack of a defensive anchor forces a more erratic 'low-block' that frequently breaks. Brentford faces a crisis at right-back with Michael Kayode and Aaron Hickey both doubtful, potentially forcing Kristoffer Ajer into a wider role, which may offer Burnley's Jaidon Anthony space to exploit.

How many goals do Burnley and Brentford score on average?

Burnley score at home 0.9 goals on average and concede 1.5 (13 matches). Brentford score away 1.2 goals on average and concede 1.7 (13 matches).

What is the head-to-head record between Burnley and Brentford?

Football Meister has recorded 1 previous meeting between Burnley and Brentford: Burnley won 0, Brentford won 1 and 0 ended in a draw. The goal tally is 1-3.

What was the last result between Burnley and Brentford?

The last meeting was on 29 Nov 2025: Brentford - Burnley 3-1.

What do football fans and other predictors think about Burnley vs Brentford?

Among Football Meister players, 33% back a home win for Burnley, 0% a draw, and 67% an away win for Brentford. The most predicted scoreline is 1-2. Fans are more bullish than Coach AI on Burnley: fans pick 33% home win, Coach AI calculates 22%.

What is the most popular prediction for Burnley vs Brentford?

The most predicted scoreline for Burnley vs Brentford is 1-2. Of all Football Meister players, 33% back Burnley, 0% a draw and 67% Brentford.

What time does Burnley vs Brentford kick off?

Burnley vs Brentford kicks off on Saturday, 28 February 2026 at 15:00 (Central European Time). The match is part of the Premier League.

Who is the referee for Burnley vs Brentford?

The referee for Burnley vs Brentford in the Premier League is Sam Barrott.

What are the key factors for Burnley vs Brentford?

Coach AI identifies three decisive factors for Burnley vs Brentford: 1. Brentford's xG Regression: Despite recent blanks, Brentford consistently generates high-quality chances (avg 1.54 xG). A return to clinical finishing is statistically imminent against the league's worst defense. 2. Burnley's Defensive Fragility: Scott Parker’s side concedes the most shots per 90 (16.5) in the division. This high volume of pressure is unsustainable for a team missing key defenders like Beyer and Tuanzebe. 3. Tactical Mismatch: Brentford’s aggressive high press under Keith Andrews is designed to exploit teams like Burnley who struggle with ball progression in their own third, especially with Josh Cullen absent..

Which scenario does Coach AI see for Burnley vs Brentford?

Coach AI sees Brentford as the stronger side in Burnley vs Brentford. The full analysis with the expected score, xG and injuries is on this page.

How does Coach AI predict this match?

Coach AI analyzes thousands of data points, including xG, recent form, team news, and tactical developments for every match.

How often are these football predictions updated?

Insights are updated daily to incorporate the latest developments, injuries, and market movements.

How accurate are the Coach AI predictions?

Coach AI has analyzed over 1,000 matches. In 50% of cases, the correct outcome (home win, draw, or away win) is predicted accurately. In more than 10% of matches, the exact final score matches the prediction, significantly above the market average.

What is Coach AI's track record?

Coach AI has predicted over 1,000 matches: 50% correct outcome, 10%+ exact final score. The model consistently outperforms standard probability calculations and gives football fans the data they need to make truly informed predictions.

What data does Coach AI use for its predictions?

Coach AI combines Expected Goals (xG), recent team form over the last five matches, head-to-head records, up-to-date injury news, and tactical match-up analysis. The model is updated daily so every prediction reflects the most current information available.

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