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Bournemouth vs Sunderland — Premier League Prediction 28 February 2026

Bournemouth
Bournemouth
Premier League
2
VS
1
schedule 28 Feb, 12:30 · Referee: Jarred Gillett (Australia)
Predicted Score

Last update of insights: 30 May 2026

Sunderland
Sunderland
Final result
1 – 1
CoachAI prediction
2 – 1
✗ Outcome incorrect
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Coach AI predicts a score of 2-1 for Bournemouth vs Sunderland in the Premier League. Bournemouth is the favourite with a 56% win probability. Sunderland has a 19% chance of winning and 25% ends in a draw. See the full analysis, injuries and score matrix below.

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Bournemouth vs Sunderland

This is a clash between the Premier League's 'Pressing Kings' and a depleted Sunderland side. Bournemouth are unbeaten in 7 matches and chasing a European spot, whereas Sunderland have lost 3 in a row and struggle significantly away from home (scoring only 6 goals on the road all season). Historically, Sunderland won the reverse fixture 3-2, giving Bournemouth a 'revenge' narrative at a stadium where they recently defeated Liverpool and Spurs.

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Match Scenario's

Three most likely match scenarios

60%
25%
15%
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Scenario Explanation

1 scoreline as Bournemouth’s aggressive style often leaves space for one counter-attacking goal.
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Current Standings

Position in the competition

Pos Team Pld W D L GD Pts
4 Aston Villa FC 38 19 8 11 +7 65
5 Liverpool FC 38 17 9 12 +10 60
6 AFC Bournemouth 38 13 18 7 +4 57
7 Sunderland AFC 38 14 12 12 -6 54
8 Brighton & Hove Albion FC 38 14 11 13 +6 53
9 Brentford FC 38 14 11 13 +3 53
Bournemouth
Sunderland

Projected xG by CoachAI

1.85

Home xG

1.12

Away xG

Upset Chance

Medium

Risk of unexpected result

Bournemouth Recent Form — Last 5

3 W · 2 D · 0 L
▼
▼
▲
21/2 West Ham United FC 0-0 AFC Bournemouth D 1.74
10/2 Everton FC 1-2 AFC Bournemouth W 1.51
7/2 AFC Bournemouth 1-1 Aston Villa FC D 1.62
31/1 Wolverhampton Wanderers FC 0-2 AFC Bournemouth W 1.55
24/1 AFC Bournemouth 3-2 Liverpool FC W 1.35

Sunderland Recent Form — Last 5

1 W · 0 D · 4 L
▼
▼
▲
22/2 Sunderland AFC 1-3 Fulham FC L 1.35
11/2 Sunderland AFC 0-1 Liverpool FC L 1.25
7/2 Arsenal FC 3-0 Sunderland AFC L 0.80
2/2 Sunderland AFC 3-0 Burnley FC W 1.35
24/1 West Ham United FC 3-1 Sunderland AFC L 1.38
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Key Factors

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Bournemouth's extreme high press (League-best PPDA of 9.1) versus Sunderland's insistence on building from the back.

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Sunderland's injury crisis: the absence of target man Brian Brobbey removes their primary 'out-ball' to bypass pressure.

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Environmental impact: Forecasted wind gusts of up to 32mph at the Vitality Stadium favor Bournemouth's direct, chaotic style over Sunderland's intricate passing.

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Injuries & Absentees

Bournemouth are missing Lewis Cook (hamstring) and Justin Kluivert (knee), forcing Tyler Adams into a vital starting role. Sunderland’s situation is critical with six starters out, most notably Brian Brobbey (groin) and defensive pillars Nordi Mukiele and Reinildo. While Granit Xhaka returns to lead the midfield, the lack of a physical presence upfront to hold up play against Bournemouth's press is a significant tactical disadvantage.

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Frequently Asked Questions about this prediction

What is the Coach AI prediction for Bournemouth vs Sunderland?

Coach AI predicts a score of 2-1 with a win probability of 56% for Bournemouth, 25% draw and 19% for Sunderland.

What is the recent form of Bournemouth and Sunderland?

Bournemouth form (last 5): 3W-2D-0L. Sunderland form (last 5): 1W-0D-4L.

What are the injury and suspension updates for Bournemouth vs Sunderland?

Bournemouth are missing Lewis Cook (hamstring) and Justin Kluivert (knee), forcing Tyler Adams into a vital starting role. Sunderland’s situation is critical with six starters out, most notably Brian Brobbey (groin) and defensive pillars Nordi Mukiele and Reinildo. While Granit Xhaka returns to lead the midfield, the lack of a physical presence upfront to hold up play against Bournemouth's press is a significant tactical disadvantage.

What are the current standings for Bournemouth and Sunderland in the Premier League?

Bournemouth are 6th in the Premier League with 57 points from 38 games. Sunderland are 7th with 54 points from 38 games.

What time does Bournemouth vs Sunderland kick off?

Bournemouth vs Sunderland kicks off on Saturday, 28 February 2026 at 13:30 (Central European Time). The match is part of the Premier League.

Who is the referee for Bournemouth vs Sunderland?

The referee for Bournemouth vs Sunderland in the Premier League is Jarred Gillett.

What are the key factors for Bournemouth vs Sunderland?

Coach AI identifies three decisive factors for Bournemouth vs Sunderland: 1. Bournemouth's extreme high press (League-best PPDA of 9.1) versus Sunderland's insistence on building from the back. 2. Sunderland's injury crisis: the absence of target man Brian Brobbey removes their primary 'out-ball' to bypass pressure. 3. Environmental impact: Forecasted wind gusts of up to 32mph at the Vitality Stadium favor Bournemouth's direct, chaotic style over Sunderland's intricate passing..

How does Coach AI predict this match?

Coach AI analyzes thousands of data points, including xG, recent form, team news, and tactical developments for every match.

How often are these football predictions updated?

Insights are updated daily to incorporate the latest developments, injuries, and market movements.

How accurate are the Coach AI predictions?

Coach AI has analyzed over 1,000 matches. In 50% of cases, the correct outcome (home win, draw, or away win) is predicted accurately. In more than 10% of matches, the exact final score matches the prediction — significantly above the market average.

What is Coach AI's track record?

Coach AI has predicted over 1,000 matches: 50% correct outcome, 10%+ exact final score. The model consistently outperforms standard probability calculations and gives football fans the data they need to make truly informed predictions.

What data does Coach AI use for its predictions?

Coach AI combines Expected Goals (xG), recent team form over the last five matches, head-to-head records, up-to-date injury news, and tactical match-up analysis. The model is updated daily so every prediction reflects the most current information available.