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Bournemouth vs Everton — Premier League Prediction 29 August 2026

Bournemouth
Bournemouth
Premier League
1
VS
1
schedule 29 Aug, 15:00 · Referee: Chris Kavanagh (England)
Predicted Score

Last update of insights: 04 Sept 2026

Likely Goal Scorers
sports_soccer Thierno Barry sports_soccer Evanilson
Everton
Everton
Final result
1 – 1
CoachAI prediction
1 – 1
★ Exact score!
Goal Scorers
sports_soccer Alex Scott 41'
sports_soccer James Tarkowski 90+1'
Kickoff in

Coach AI predicts a score of 1-1 for Bournemouth vs Everton in the Premier League. Bournemouth is the favourite with a 46% win probability. Everton has a 27% chance of winning and 27% ends in a draw. See the full analysis, injuries and score matrix below.

lightbulb

Bournemouth vs Everton

This is Marco Rose's first home league game for the Cherries, following a narrow 2-1 defeat to Man City where they led 1-0. Everton sits high in the table (#5) after a convincing 2-0 win over Palace. Psychologically, Bournemouth has the edge in recent H2H (winning the last encounter 2-1), but Everton's current momentum under Moyes is superior. Strong coastal winds are expected at the Vitality, which typically favors the more direct, physical side.

#BOUEVE #PremierLeague #FootballMeister

analytics

Match Scenario's

Three most likely match scenarios

45%
30%
25%

High Intensity Tactical Draw

45%

Bournemouth's aggressive press controls the tempo, but Everton's low block and Branthwaite's aerial dominance limit clear-cut chances, resulting in a 1-1 scoreline.

Cherries Home Surge

30%

The atmosphere of the home opener carries Bournemouth to victory, with Evanilson exploiting a tired Everton midfield late in the second half.

Barry Clinical Counter

25%

Everton absorbs heavy pressure and strikes twice through Thierno Barry on the transition, catching Bournemouth's high defensive line exposed.

table_chart

Current Standings

Position in the competition

Matchday

Pos Team Pld W D L GD Pts
1 Manchester City FC 2 2 0 0 +4 6
2 Arsenal FC 2 2 0 0 +4 6
3 Hull City AFC 2 2 0 0 +3 6
4 Chelsea FC 2 2 0 0 +2 6
5 Brentford FC 2 1 1 0 +3 4
6 Newcastle United FC 2 1 1 0 +2 4
7 Everton FC 2 1 1 0 +2 4
8 Leeds United FC 2 1 1 0 +1 4
9 Brighton & Hove Albion FC 2 1 0 1 +3 3
10 Manchester United FC 2 1 0 1 +1 3
11 Sunderland AFC 2 1 0 1 0 3
12 Ipswich Town FC 2 1 0 1 -2 3
13 Liverpool FC 2 0 2 0 0 2
14 AFC Bournemouth 2 0 1 1 -1 1
14 Nottingham Forest FC 2 0 1 1 -1 1
16 Fulham FC 2 0 0 2 -2 0
17 Coventry City FC 2 0 0 2 -4 0
18 Crystal Palace FC 2 0 0 2 -5 0
19 Aston Villa FC 2 0 0 2 -5 0
19 Tottenham Hotspur FC 2 0 0 2 -5 0
Bournemouth
Everton

Most likely scorelines

2-1 14% 2-0 12% 1-1 11%
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Correct Score Prediction

AI-calculated probability per scoreline

Most Likely Scorelines
2-1 14%
2-0 12%
1-1 11%
Everton (Away)
Bournemouth (Home)
0
1
2
3
4
0
6.0%
5.0%
3.0%
1.0%
0.0%
1
9.0%
11.0%
6.0%
2.0%
1.0%
2
12.0%
14.0%
5.0%
1.0%
0.0%
3
6.0%
8.0%
3.0%
1.0%
0.0%
4
2.0%
3.0%
1.0%
0.0%
0.0%

Bournemouth's high xG floor (1.35 projected) combined with Everton's missing midfield anchor (Norgaard) shifts the probability toward a high-scoring home win (2-1/3-1). Everton's reliance on Thierno Barry's efficiency limits the likelihood of a high-volume away blowout.

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Coach AI Odds

Bournemouth
46% · 27% · 27%
Everton
W D L

Projected xG by CoachAI

1.65

Home xG

1.22

Away xG

Upset Chance

Medium

Risk of unexpected result

Bournemouth Recent Form — Last 5

2 W · 2 D · 1 L
23/8 Manchester City FC 2-1 AFC Bournemouth L 1.25
24/5 Nottingham Forest FC 1-1 AFC Bournemouth D 1.74
19/5 AFC Bournemouth 1-1 Manchester City FC D 1.35
9/5 Fulham FC 0-1 AFC Bournemouth W 1.57
3/5 AFC Bournemouth 3-0 Crystal Palace FC W 1.68

Everton Recent Form — Last 5

1 W · 2 D · 2 L
22/8 Everton FC 2-0 Crystal Palace FC W 1.28
24/5 Tottenham Hotspur FC 1-0 Everton FC L 1.38
17/5 Everton FC 1-3 Sunderland AFC L 1.34
10/5 Crystal Palace FC 2-2 Everton FC D 1.18
4/5 Everton FC 3-3 Manchester City FC D 1.05
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Key Factors

sports_soccer 1

Bournemouth transition to Marco Rose's high-pressing system vs. David Moyes' disciplined, compact Everton block.

trending_up 2

Everton striker Thierno Barry is in elite clinical form, having scored 4 goals in his first 2 competitive games of the season.

person 3

Bournemouth's formidable home record: They are unbeaten in their last 9 Premier League matches at the Vitality Stadium.

medical_services

Injuries & Absentees

Bournemouth remains without key creative outlet Amine Adli (calf) and youngster Eli Junior Kroupi (foot), though the return of Ryan Christie from suspension bolsters the midfield. Everton is missing the defensive stability of Christian Norgaard and Tim Iroegbunam, placing significant pressure on James Garner to control the pivot against Bournemouth's intense press.

star

Key Players

Bournemouth

Evanilson ST
personIn Form
Marcus Tavernier LW
personKey Threat

Everton

Thierno Barry ST
personIn Form
Jarrad Branthwaite CB
personKey Threat
group

Confirmed Lineups

Bournemouth Confirmed

4-2-3-1

37
Rayan ST
9
Evanilson ST
8
Scott CM
16
Tavernier CM
19
Kluivert CM
4
Cook CM
15
Smith CB
14
Silva CB
3
Truffert CB
5
Hill CB
1
Petrović GK

Bench

20 Michele Di Gregorio 6 Julio Soler 18 Bafodé Diakité 10 Ryan Christie 12 Tyler Adams 29 Daniel Jebbison 30 Alvaro Rodriguez 11 Ben Doak 7 David Brooks
Everton Confirmed

4-2-3-1

10
Ndiaye ST
11
Barry ST
19
George ST
34
Röhl CM
45
Armstrong CM
8
Hall CM
37
Garner CM
6
Tarkowski CB
16
Mykolenko CB
4
Branthwaite CB
1
Pickford GK

Bench

12 Mark Travers 5 Michael Keane 15 Jake O'Brien 30 Hayden Hackney 24 Carlos Alcaraz 42 Tim Iroegbunam 20 Tyler Dibling 22 Brennan Johnson 9 Beto

The analyses and predictions on this page are generated by artificial intelligence and are intended for informational and entertainment purposes only. This is not gambling advice.

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Frequently Asked Questions about this prediction

What is the Coach AI prediction for Bournemouth vs Everton?

Coach AI predicts a score of 1-1 with a win probability of 46% for Bournemouth, 27% draw and 27% for Everton.

What is the recent form of Bournemouth and Everton?

Bournemouth form (last 5): 2W-2D-1L. Everton form (last 5): 1W-2D-2L.

What are the injury and suspension updates for Bournemouth vs Everton?

Bournemouth remains without key creative outlet Amine Adli (calf) and youngster Eli Junior Kroupi (foot), though the return of Ryan Christie from suspension bolsters the midfield. Everton is missing the defensive stability of Christian Norgaard and Tim Iroegbunam, placing significant pressure on James Garner to control the pivot against Bournemouth's intense press.

What is the most likely correct score for Bournemouth vs Everton?

According to the score probability matrix, 2-1 is the most likely scoreline (14%), followed by 2-0 (12%) and 1-1 (11%).

What are the possible match scenarios for Bournemouth vs Everton?

High Intensity Tactical Draw (45%): Bournemouth's aggressive press controls the tempo, but Everton's low block and Branthwaite's aerial dominance limit clear-cut chances, resulting in a 1-1 scoreline. — Cherries Home Surge (30%): The atmosphere of the home opener carries Bournemouth to victory, with Evanilson exploiting a tired Everton midfield late in the second half. — Barry Clinical Counter (25%): Everton absorbs heavy pressure and strikes twice through Thierno Barry on the transition, catching Bournemouth's high defensive line exposed.

What are the current standings for Bournemouth and Everton in the Premier League?

Bournemouth are 14th in the Premier League with 1 points from 2 games. Everton are 7th with 4 points from 2 games.

What is the confirmed lineup for Bournemouth and Everton?

Confirmed lineup Bournemouth (4-2-3-1): Đorđe Petrović, Adam Smith, Antonio Silva, Adrien Truffert, James Hill, Alex Scott, Marcus Tavernier, Justin Kluivert, Lewis Cook, Rayan, Evanilson. Confirmed lineup Everton (4-2-3-1): Jordan Pickford, James Tarkowski, Vitalii Mykolenko, Jarrad Branthwaite, Merlin Röhl, Harrison Armstrong, Kiernan Dewsbury Hall, James Garner, Iliman Ndiaye, Thierno Barry, Tyrique George. These lineups were confirmed by the clubs when the official team sheets were submitted.

Who scored the goals in Bournemouth vs Everton?

Goal scorers in Bournemouth vs Everton: Alex Scott 41' — Bournemouth, James Tarkowski 90+1' — Everton. Final score: {{HOME_TEAM}} 1 - 1 {{AWAY_TEAM}}.

What time does Bournemouth vs Everton kick off?

Bournemouth vs Everton kicks off on Saturday, 29 August 2026 at 15:00 (Central European Time). The match is part of the Premier League.

Who is the referee for Bournemouth vs Everton?

The referee for Bournemouth vs Everton in the Premier League is Chris Kavanagh.

What are the key factors for Bournemouth vs Everton?

Coach AI identifies three decisive factors for Bournemouth vs Everton: 1. Bournemouth transition to Marco Rose's high-pressing system vs. David Moyes' disciplined, compact Everton block. 2. Everton striker Thierno Barry is in elite clinical form, having scored 4 goals in his first 2 competitive games of the season. 3. Bournemouth's formidable home record: They are unbeaten in their last 9 Premier League matches at the Vitality Stadium..

Who are the key players for Bournemouth vs Everton?

Coach AI has identified the following key players for Bournemouth vs Everton. Bournemouth: Evanilson (In Form), Marcus Tavernier (Key Threat). Everton: Thierno Barry (In Form), Jarrad Branthwaite (Key Threat).

What are the Coach AI odds for Bournemouth vs Everton?

Coach AI calculates the following outcome probabilities for Bournemouth vs Everton: Bournemouth wins 46%, draw 27%, Everton wins 27%. The most likely outcome is Bournemouth with 46%.

What are the bookmaker odds for Bournemouth vs Everton?

Bookmakers give Bournemouth a 48% win probability, 26% draw and Everton 26% chance of winning. Coach AI estimates 55% for Bournemouth, 24% draw and 21% for Everton.

How does Coach AI predict this match?

Coach AI analyzes thousands of data points, including xG, recent form, team news, and tactical developments for every match.

How often are these football predictions updated?

Insights are updated daily to incorporate the latest developments, injuries, and market movements.

How accurate are the Coach AI predictions?

Coach AI has analyzed over 1,000 matches. In 50% of cases, the correct outcome (home win, draw, or away win) is predicted accurately. In more than 10% of matches, the exact final score matches the prediction — significantly above the market average.

What is Coach AI's track record?

Coach AI has predicted over 1,000 matches: 50% correct outcome, 10%+ exact final score. The model consistently outperforms standard probability calculations and gives football fans the data they need to make truly informed predictions.

What data does Coach AI use for its predictions?

Coach AI combines Expected Goals (xG), recent team form over the last five matches, head-to-head records, up-to-date injury news, and tactical match-up analysis. The model is updated daily so every prediction reflects the most current information available.