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Everton vs Bournemouth — Premier League Prediction 10 February 2026

Everton
Everton
Premier League
1
VS
1
schedule 10 Feb, 19:30 · Referee: Andy Madley (England)
Predicted Score

Last update of insights: 30 May 2026

Bournemouth
Bournemouth
Final result
1 – 2
CoachAI prediction
1 – 1
✗ Outcome incorrect
Kickoff in —

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Coach AI predicts a score of 1-1 for Everton vs Bournemouth in the Premier League. Everton is the favourite with a 40% win probability. Bournemouth has a 32% chance of winning and 28% ends in a draw. See the full analysis, injuries and score matrix below.

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Everton vs Bournemouth

This is a pivotal mid-table battle at the new Hill Dickinson Stadium. Everton (8th) is chasing European qualification but is winless in their last four home games. Conversely, Bournemouth (11th) has a psychological 'bogeyman' advantage, having won their last three away trips to Everton, though they are now adapting to life after the January sale of top-scorer Antoine Semenyo.

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Match Scenario's

Three most likely match scenarios

33%
34%
33%
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Scenario Explanation

The 'Science' (Data) suggests a low-scoring affair: 68% of Everton's matches this season have gone Under 2.5 goals, and they excel at soaking up pressure. The 'Art' (Intuition) notes that while Bournemouth generates high xG (1.62+ in recent draws), their finishing has regressed post-Semenyo, and they face a Pickford-led defense in top form. The narrative points to Bournemouth dominating the ball but failing to break the low block, while Everton's set-piece threat (Tarkowski/Barry) keeps them level. Value Tip: The market overestimates Everton's home advantage (winless in 4); the Draw at 3.25 offers the best statistical value given both teams' 5-match unbeaten streaks.
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Current Standings

Position in the competition

Pos Team Pld W D L GD Pts
4 Aston Villa FC 38 19 8 11 +7 65
5 Liverpool FC 38 17 9 12 +10 60
6 AFC Bournemouth 38 13 18 7 +4 57
7 Sunderland AFC 38 14 12 12 -6 54
8 Brighton & Hove Albion FC 38 14 11 13 +6 53
9 Brentford FC 38 14 11 13 +3 53
10 Chelsea FC 38 14 10 14 +6 52
11 Fulham FC 38 15 7 16 -4 52
12 Newcastle United FC 38 14 7 17 -2 49
13 Everton FC 38 13 10 15 -3 49
14 Leeds United FC 38 11 14 13 -7 47
15 Crystal Palace FC 38 11 12 15 -10 45
Everton
Bournemouth

Projected xG by CoachAI

1.35

Home xG

1.51

Away xG

Upset Chance

Medium

Risk of unexpected result

Everton Recent Form — Last 5

2 W · 3 D · 0 L
▲
7/2 Fulham FC 1-2 Everton FC W 1.16
31/1 Brighton & Hove Albion FC 1-1 Everton FC D 1.15
26/1 Everton FC 1-1 Leeds United FC D 1.42
18/1 Aston Villa FC 0-1 Everton FC W 1.25
7/1 Everton FC 1-1 Wolverhampton Wanderers FC D

Bournemouth Recent Form — Last 5

3 W · 2 D · 0 L
▼
▲
▼
7/2 AFC Bournemouth 1-1 Aston Villa FC D 1.62
31/1 Wolverhampton Wanderers FC 0-2 AFC Bournemouth W 1.55
24/1 AFC Bournemouth 3-2 Liverpool FC W 1.35
19/1 Brighton & Hove Albion FC 1-1 AFC Bournemouth D 1.62
7/1 AFC Bournemouth 3-2 Tottenham Hotspur FC W
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Key Factors

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Everton boasts the 4th best defense in the Premier League (28 conceded), while Bournemouth ranks 17th defensively but produces the league's most 'entertaining' high-xG matches (3.4 goals per game avg).

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Systemic Void: Everton is playing without Jack Grealish (season-ending injury), who led the league in chances created; Bournemouth is without five key starters including Tyler Adams and Justin Kluivert.

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Tactical Stalemate: David Moyes' disciplined low-block (36% clean sheet rate) directly counters Andoni Iraola's high-pressing, high-transition style, likely resulting in a high-possession but low-efficiency game for the Cherries.

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Injuries & Absentees

Everton faces a significant creative deficit following Jack Grealish's stress fracture; replacement Tyrique George (on loan from Chelsea) adds pace but lacks Grealish’s elite ball retention. Bournemouth is severely depleted with Adams (CM), Kluivert (AM), and Tavernier (LW) all sidelined, stripping Iraola of his primary defensive screen and secondary scoring threats.

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Frequently Asked Questions about this prediction

What is the Coach AI prediction for Everton vs Bournemouth?

Coach AI predicts a score of 1-1 with a win probability of 40% for Everton, 28% draw and 32% for Bournemouth.

What is the recent form of Everton and Bournemouth?

Everton form (last 5): 2W-3D-0L. Bournemouth form (last 5): 3W-2D-0L.

What are the injury and suspension updates for Everton vs Bournemouth?

Everton faces a significant creative deficit following Jack Grealish's stress fracture; replacement Tyrique George (on loan from Chelsea) adds pace but lacks Grealish’s elite ball retention. Bournemouth is severely depleted with Adams (CM), Kluivert (AM), and Tavernier (LW) all sidelined, stripping Iraola of his primary defensive screen and secondary scoring threats.

What are the current standings for Everton and Bournemouth in the Premier League?

Everton are 13th in the Premier League with 49 points from 38 games. Bournemouth are 6th with 57 points from 38 games.

What time does Everton vs Bournemouth kick off?

Everton vs Bournemouth kicks off on Tuesday, 10 February 2026 at 20:30 (Central European Time). The match is part of the Premier League.

Who is the referee for Everton vs Bournemouth?

The referee for Everton vs Bournemouth in the Premier League is Andy Madley.

What are the key factors for Everton vs Bournemouth?

Coach AI identifies three decisive factors for Everton vs Bournemouth: 1. Everton boasts the 4th best defense in the Premier League (28 conceded), while Bournemouth ranks 17th defensively but produces the league's most 'entertaining' high-xG matches (3.4 goals per game avg). 2. Systemic Void: Everton is playing without Jack Grealish (season-ending injury), who led the league in chances created; Bournemouth is without five key starters including Tyler Adams and Justin Kluivert. 3. Tactical Stalemate: David Moyes' disciplined low-block (36% clean sheet rate) directly counters Andoni Iraola's high-pressing, high-transition style, likely resulting in a high-possession but low-efficiency game for the Cherries..

How does Coach AI predict this match?

Coach AI analyzes thousands of data points, including xG, recent form, team news, and tactical developments for every match.

How often are these football predictions updated?

Insights are updated daily to incorporate the latest developments, injuries, and market movements.

How accurate are the Coach AI predictions?

Coach AI has analyzed over 1,000 matches. In 50% of cases, the correct outcome (home win, draw, or away win) is predicted accurately. In more than 10% of matches, the exact final score matches the prediction — significantly above the market average.

What is Coach AI's track record?

Coach AI has predicted over 1,000 matches: 50% correct outcome, 10%+ exact final score. The model consistently outperforms standard probability calculations and gives football fans the data they need to make truly informed predictions.

What data does Coach AI use for its predictions?

Coach AI combines Expected Goals (xG), recent team form over the last five matches, head-to-head records, up-to-date injury news, and tactical match-up analysis. The model is updated daily so every prediction reflects the most current information available.