Aston Villa vs Nottingham: Premier League Prediction 12 September 2026

Nottingham beat Aston Villa 2-1 in the Premier League (matchday 4) on 12 September 2026. Goals: Liam Delap 46', Nottingham; Alysson 74', Aston Villa; Igor Jesus 88', Nottingham.

Coach AI predicted 2-1: the outcome was not right. The fans predicted Aston Villa win (75%), which was not right.

Most pool points in this match: Alysson (Aston Villa), 1 from 1 goal.

Coach AI predicts 2-1 as the correct score for Aston Villa vs Nottingham. This page also covers the expected line-ups, injuries and xG.

Aston Villa form (last 5): 2W-1D-2L. Nottingham form (last 5): 0W-3D-2L.

Aston Villa face a significant crisis in central midfield: Amadou Onana is out with a long-term ACL injury, and João Gomes is serving the final game of a suspension. This forces Unai Emery to likely start Ross Barkley alongside Boubacar Kamara, which offers more creativity but significantly less physical protection for the backline. Forest are relatively healthy, with only Nicolò Savona ruled out.

Football Meister has recorded 2 previous meetings between Aston Villa and Nottingham: Aston Villa won 1, Nottingham won 0 and 1 ended in a draw. The goal tally is 4-2.

The last meeting was on 12 Apr 2026: Nottingham - Aston Villa 1-1. Coach AI predicted 1-1.

Coach AI called 2 of the 2 previous meetings right, 1 of them with the exact score.

Villa Breaks The Seal (50%): Villa translates their European clinical finishing to the league, scoring early and controlling the tempo despite midfield absences.; Transition Stalemate (30%): Forest exploits the wind and Villa's high line to score on the counter, leading to a back-and-forth 1-1 or 2-2 draw.; Forest Smash And Grab (20%): Villa's possession dominance leads to nothing, and Chris Wood punishes a tired Villa defense late in the game.

Among Football Meister players, 75% back a home win for Aston Villa, 13% a draw, and 13% an away win for Nottingham. The most predicted scoreline is 2-1. Fans are more bullish than Coach AI on Aston Villa: fans pick 75% home win, Coach AI calculates 44%.

The most predicted scoreline for Aston Villa vs Nottingham is 2-1. Of all Football Meister players, 75% back Aston Villa, 13% a draw and 13% Nottingham.

75% of fans predict a win for Aston Villa, with an average confidence of 58% (moderate confidence). Despite 75% backing this outcome, conviction is only moderate confidence (58%), a sign this match is less clear-cut than the split suggests.

Aston Villa are 12th in the Premier League with 8 points from 7 games. Nottingham are 18th with 5 points from 7 games.

Confirmed lineup Aston Villa (4-2-3-1): Zion Suzuki, Ian Maatsen, Pau Torres, Victor Nilsson-Lindelöf, Aaron Wan-Bissaka, Ross Barkley, Boubacar Kamara, Emiliano Buendía, John McGinn, George Hemmings, Nicolas Jackson. Confirmed lineup Nottingham (3-4-2-1): Matz Sels, Murillo, Ousmane Diomande, Ola Aina, Neco Williams, Daniel Muñoz, James McAtee, Xaver Schlager, Morgan Gibbs-White, Dan Ndoye, Liam Delap. These lineups were confirmed by the clubs when the official team sheets were submitted.

Goal scorers in Aston Villa vs Nottingham: Liam Delap 46', Nottingham, Alysson 74', Aston Villa, Igor Jesus 88', Nottingham. Final score: Aston Villa 1 - 2 Nottingham.

Aston Villa vs Nottingham kicks off on Saturday, 12 September 2026 at 15:00 (Central European Time). The match is part of the Premier League.

The referee for Aston Villa vs Nottingham in the Premier League is Andy Madley.

Coach AI identifies three decisive factors for Aston Villa vs Nottingham: 1. Villa's extreme xG underperformance in the Premier League (0 goals from ~3.5 xG) suggests an imminent regression to the mean following their 3-goal UCL outburst. 2. Nottingham Forest's high away scoring average (3.0 in last 5) meets a Villa defense that has struggled with high-line vulnerabilities this season. 3. The absence of Amadou Onana and the suspension of João Gomes leaves Villa thin in defensive midfield, potentially allowing James McAtee and Morgan Gibbs-White to exploit central spaces..

Coach AI has identified the following key players for Aston Villa vs Nottingham. Aston Villa: Ollie Watkins (Key Threat), Alejandro Garnacho (In Form). Nottingham: Morgan Gibbs-White (Key Threat), Chris Wood (In Form).

Coach AI sees Aston Villa as the stronger side in Aston Villa vs Nottingham. The full analysis with the expected score, xG and injuries is on this page.

Coach AI analyzes thousands of data points, including xG, recent form, team news, and tactical developments for every match.

Insights are updated daily to incorporate the latest developments, injuries, and market movements.

Coach AI has analyzed over 1,000 matches. In 50% of cases, the correct outcome (home win, draw, or away win) is predicted accurately. In more than 10% of matches, the exact final score matches the prediction, significantly above the market average.

Coach AI has predicted over 1,000 matches: 50% correct outcome, 10%+ exact final score. The model consistently outperforms standard probability calculations and gives football fans the data they need to make truly informed predictions.

Coach AI combines Expected Goals (xG), recent team form over the last five matches, head-to-head records, up-to-date injury news, and tactical match-up analysis. The model is updated daily so every prediction reflects the most current information available.