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Nottingham vs Aston Villa: Premier League Prediction 12 April 2026

Premier League
1
VS
1
schedule 12 Apr, 14:00 · Referee: Michael Salisbury (England)
Predicted Score

Last update of insights: 19 Oct 2026

Final result
1 – 1
CoachAI prediction
1 – 1
★ Exact: CALLED IT
Kickoff in -

Coach AI predicts a score of 1-1 for Nottingham vs Aston Villa in the Premier League. Aston Villa comes out as the stronger side in the analysis. See the full analysis, injuries and score matrix below.

Match report: Nottingham vs Aston Villa

Nottingham and Aston Villa drew 1-1 in the Premier League (matchday 32) on 12 April 2026.

Coach AI looks back

Coach AI predicted 1-1: the exact score.

Result1-1
Coach AI1-1exact
FansAston Villa win (45%)not right
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Pre-match preview: Nottingham vs Aston Villa

This is a high-stakes encounter: Forest is fighting for Premier League survival (16th), while Villa is clinging to a Champions League spot (4th). The match takes place at the City Ground under overcast skies with a high chance of light rain, which typically favors Forest’s direct, physical style over Villa’s technical build-up. Referee Jarred Gillett is expected to officiate, known for allowing physical play but being strict on tactical fouls in transition.

#NOTAVL #Nottingham #AstonVilla #PremierLeague #FootballMeister

analytics

Scenarios before the match

Three most likely match scenarios

45%
35%
20%
analytics
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Scenario Explanation

1 draw. Villa possesses superior individual quality and a top-tier finisher in Ollie Watkins, but their midweek European exertions and recent defensive inconsistencies make a clean sheet unlikely. Forest has developed into 'giant killers' under Vitor Pereira, as evidenced by their results against City and Spurs. A Forest win (35% likelihood) is possible if they exploit Villa's high line early. A Villa win (20% likelihood) would require a dominant performance from McGinn and Tielemans to starve Forest of the ball and negate the counter-attack fatigue. Given the 'bounce' Forest currently has and Villa's distraction, the points are likely to be shared.

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Current Standings

Position in the competition

Matchday

Pos Team Pld W D L GD Pts
1 Manchester City FC 7 7 0 0 +12 21
2 Arsenal FC 7 6 0 1 +6 18
3 Brighton & Hove Albion FC 7 5 1 1 +18 16
4 Chelsea FC 7 4 1 2 +4 13
5 Liverpool FC 7 3 3 1 +1 12
6 Brentford FC 7 2 4 1 +5 10
7 Leeds United FC 7 2 4 1 +3 10
8 Everton FC 7 2 4 1 +1 10
9 Hull City AFC 7 2 3 2 +1 9
10 Ipswich Town FC 7 3 0 4 -4 9
11 Newcastle United FC 7 2 2 3 -4 8
12 Aston Villa FC 7 2 2 3 -4 8
13 Manchester United FC 7 1 4 2 0 7
14 Crystal Palace FC 7 2 1 4 -8 7
15 AFC Bournemouth 7 1 3 3 -4 6
16 Coventry City FC 6 2 0 4 -6 6
17 Fulham FC 7 1 2 4 -3 5
18 Nottingham Forest FC 7 1 2 4 -4 5
19 Sunderland AFC 7 1 1 5 -8 4
20 Tottenham Hotspur FC 6 0 3 3 -6 3
Nottingham
Aston Villa
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Fan Predictions

What Football Meister players predict for this match

Nottingham D Aston Villa
18%
36%
45%
18% 36% 45%

Most predicted scorelines

1-1 36%
1-2 18%
0-2 18%
2-1 9%
0-1 9%

These are predictions made by real Football Meister players, not AI-generated data.

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Head to head

Nottingham and Aston Villa in Football Meister data

0Nottingham wins
0draws
1Aston Villa wins

Goals: 1 for Nottingham, 3 for Aston Villa.

Coach AI got the outcome of the previous meeting right.

Previous meetings

Goals per match

What the two clubs score and concede on average, as context for the prediction.

Nottingham at home

0.9

scored

1.3

conceded

15 matches

0
14 of 31 (45%)
1
8 of 31 (26%)
2
4 of 31 (13%)
3+
5 of 31 (16%)

Usually 0. Scores in 55% of matches.

Aston Villa away

1.3

scored

1.5

conceded

15 matches

0
9 of 31 (29%)
1
9 of 31 (29%)
2
8 of 31 (26%)
3+
5 of 31 (16%)

Usually 0 or 1. Scores in 71% of matches.

Coach AI pre-match analysis

insights

Coach AI Scenarios

Nottingham Aston Villa
W D L

Projected xG by CoachAI

1.35

Home xG

1.52

Away xG

Upset risk

Medium

Risk of unexpected result

Nottingham Recent Form: Last 5

1 W · 2 D · 2 L
▲
▼
▲
▼
22/3 Tottenham Hotspur FC 0-3 Nottingham Forest FC W 1.42
15/3 Nottingham Forest FC 0-0 Fulham FC D 1.22
4/3 Manchester City FC 2-2 Nottingham Forest FC D 0.82
1/3 Brighton & Hove Albion FC 2-1 Nottingham Forest FC L 1.10
22/2 Nottingham Forest FC 0-1 Liverpool FC L 1.15

Aston Villa Recent Form: Last 5

1 W · 1 D · 3 L
▼
▼
22/3 Aston Villa FC 2-0 West Ham United FC W 1.72
15/3 Manchester United FC 3-1 Aston Villa FC L 1.25
4/3 Aston Villa FC 1-4 Chelsea FC L 1.42
27/2 Wolverhampton Wanderers FC 2-0 Aston Villa FC L 1.54
21/2 Aston Villa FC 1-1 Leeds United FC D 1.55
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Key Factors

sports_soccer 1

Villa's European Fatigue: Aston Villa is coming off a high-intensity Europa League quarter-final midweek, likely leading to physical regression and rotation.

trending_up 2

Transition Lethality: Nottingham Forest has significantly overperformed their xG in recent games (e.g., vs. Spurs and Man City), thriving in counter-attacking scenarios.

person 3

Tactical Mismatch: Unai Emery’s trademark high defensive line is extremely vulnerable to Forest’s pace on the wings (Hudson-Odoi and Hutchinson) and Igor Jesus’s runs.

bolt 4

Villa's Form Dip: Villa has lost 3 of their last 5 league matches, showing defensive frailty (conceding 4 vs. Chelsea, 3 vs. Man Utd).

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Injuries & Absentees

Nottingham Forest is thin at center-back with Willy Boly and Jair Cunha out, forcing Milenkovic and Murillo into high-minute loads. Aston Villa is missing the defensive shield of Boubacar Kamara, which has led to a lack of control in the midfield pivot, often filled by Barkley or Onana who are less defensively disciplined.

The analyses and predictions on this page are generated by artificial intelligence and are intended for informational and entertainment purposes only. This is not gambling advice.

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Frequently Asked Questions about this prediction

What was the result of Nottingham vs Aston Villa?

Nottingham and Aston Villa drew 1-1 in the Premier League (matchday 32) on 12 April 2026.

Did Coach AI predict Nottingham vs Aston Villa correctly?

Coach AI predicted 1-1: the exact score. The fans predicted Aston Villa win (45%), which was not right.

What is the correct score prediction for Nottingham vs Aston Villa?

Coach AI predicts 1-1 as the correct score for Nottingham vs Aston Villa. This page also covers the expected line-ups, injuries and xG.

What is the recent form of Nottingham and Aston Villa?

Nottingham form (last 5): 1W-2D-2L. Aston Villa form (last 5): 1W-1D-3L.

What are the injury and suspension updates for Nottingham vs Aston Villa?

Nottingham Forest is thin at center-back with Willy Boly and Jair Cunha out, forcing Milenkovic and Murillo into high-minute loads. Aston Villa is missing the defensive shield of Boubacar Kamara, which has led to a lack of control in the midfield pivot, often filled by Barkley or Onana who are less defensively disciplined.

How many goals do Nottingham and Aston Villa score on average?

Nottingham score at home 0.9 goals on average and concede 1.3 (15 matches). Aston Villa score away 1.3 goals on average and concede 1.5 (15 matches).

What is the head-to-head record between Nottingham and Aston Villa?

Football Meister has recorded 1 previous meeting between Nottingham and Aston Villa: Nottingham won 0, Aston Villa won 1 and 0 ended in a draw. The goal tally is 1-3.

What was the last result between Nottingham and Aston Villa?

The last meeting was on 3 Jan 2026: Aston Villa - Nottingham 3-1. Coach AI predicted 3-0.

How well did Coach AI predict earlier meetings between Nottingham and Aston Villa?

Coach AI got the outcome of the previous meeting right.

What do football fans and other predictors think about Nottingham vs Aston Villa?

Among Football Meister players, 18% back a home win for Nottingham, 36% a draw, and 45% an away win for Aston Villa. The most predicted scoreline is 1-1. Fans are more cautious than Coach AI on Nottingham: fans pick 18% home win, Coach AI calculates 35%.

What is the most popular prediction for Nottingham vs Aston Villa?

The most predicted scoreline for Nottingham vs Aston Villa is 1-1. Of all Football Meister players, 18% back Nottingham, 36% a draw and 45% Aston Villa.

What are the current standings for Nottingham and Aston Villa in the Premier League?

Nottingham are 18th in the Premier League with 5 points from 7 games. Aston Villa are 12th with 8 points from 7 games.

What time does Nottingham vs Aston Villa kick off?

Nottingham vs Aston Villa kicks off on Sunday, 12 April 2026 at 14:00 (Central European Time). The match is part of the Premier League.

Who is the referee for Nottingham vs Aston Villa?

The referee for Nottingham vs Aston Villa in the Premier League is Michael Salisbury.

What are the key factors for Nottingham vs Aston Villa?

Coach AI identifies three decisive factors for Nottingham vs Aston Villa: 1. Villa's European Fatigue: Aston Villa is coming off a high-intensity Europa League quarter-final midweek, likely leading to physical regression and rotation. 2. Transition Lethality: Nottingham Forest has significantly overperformed their xG in recent games (e.g., vs. Spurs and Man City), thriving in counter-attacking scenarios. 3. Tactical Mismatch: Unai Emery’s trademark high defensive line is extremely vulnerable to Forest’s pace on the wings (Hudson-Odoi and Hutchinson) and Igor Jesus’s runs. 4. Villa's Form Dip: Villa has lost 3 of their last 5 league matches, showing defensive frailty (conceding 4 vs. Chelsea, 3 vs. Man Utd)..

Which scenario does Coach AI see for Nottingham vs Aston Villa?

Coach AI sees Aston Villa as the stronger side in Nottingham vs Aston Villa. The full analysis with the expected score, xG and injuries is on this page.

How does Coach AI predict this match?

Coach AI analyzes thousands of data points, including xG, recent form, team news, and tactical developments for every match.

How often are these football predictions updated?

Insights are updated daily to incorporate the latest developments, injuries, and market movements.

How accurate are the Coach AI predictions?

Coach AI has analyzed over 1,000 matches. In 50% of cases, the correct outcome (home win, draw, or away win) is predicted accurately. In more than 10% of matches, the exact final score matches the prediction, significantly above the market average.

What is Coach AI's track record?

Coach AI has predicted over 1,000 matches: 50% correct outcome, 10%+ exact final score. The model consistently outperforms standard probability calculations and gives football fans the data they need to make truly informed predictions.

What data does Coach AI use for its predictions?

Coach AI combines Expected Goals (xG), recent team form over the last five matches, head-to-head records, up-to-date injury news, and tactical match-up analysis. The model is updated daily so every prediction reflects the most current information available.

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