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Tunisia vs Netherlands — World Cup 2026 Prediction 25 June 2026

Tunisia
Tunisia
World Cup 2026
0
VS
3
schedule 25 Jun, 23:00
Predicted Score

Last update of insights: 22 Jun 2026

Netherlands
Netherlands
Kickoff in

Coach AI predicts a score of 0-3 for Tunisia vs Netherlands in the World Cup 2026. Netherlands is the favourite with a 81% win probability. Tunisia has a 6% chance of winning and 13% ends in a draw. See the full analysis, injuries and score matrix below.

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Tunisia vs Netherlands

Played at Arrowhead Stadium in Kansas City, conditions are expected to be humid. Tunisia is playing only for pride after two devastating losses. Conversely, Ronald Koeman's Oranje are high on confidence after thrashing Sweden 5-1 and will push for 1st place in the group to secure a more favorable Round of 16 draw.

analytics

Match Scenario's

Three most likely match scenarios

75%
20%
5%

Comprehensive Dutch Victory

75%

Netherlands dominates possession and exploits Tunisia's demoralized defense to score multiple goals before half-time.

Rotated Squad Control

20%

The Dutch secure a 2-0 lead early and Koeman rotates key players, leading to a slower second half with fewer goals.

Resilient Tunisian Departure

5%

Tunisia finds defensive resolve under Renard to frustrate the Netherlands, resulting in a narrow 1-0 or shock 0-0 draw.

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Current Standings

Position in the competition

Group F

Pos Team Pld W D L GD Pts
1 Netherlands 2 1 1 0 +4 4
2 Japan 2 1 1 0 +4 4
3 Sweden 2 1 0 1 0 3
4 Tunisia 2 0 0 2 -8 0
Tunisia
Netherlands
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Fan Predictions

What Football Meister players predict for this match

Tunisia D Netherlands
100%
0% 0% 100%

Most predicted scorelines

0-2 31%
0-3 22%
1-2 14%
0-4 9%
1-3 7%

These are predictions made by real Football Meister players — not AI-generated data.

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Coach AI Odds

Tunisia
6% · 13% · 81%
Netherlands
W D L

Projected xG by CoachAI

0.65

Home xG

2.55

Away xG

Upset Chance

Low

Risk of unexpected result

Tunisia Recent Form — Last 5

0 W · 0 D · 2 L
21/6 Tunisia 0-4 Japan L 0.85
15/6 Sweden 5-1 Tunisia L 0.95

Netherlands Recent Form — Last 5

1 W · 1 D · 0 L
20/6 Netherlands 5-1 Sweden W 1.65
14/6 Netherlands 2-2 Japan D 1.55
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Key Factors

sports_soccer 1

Defensive Collapse: Tunisia has conceded 9 goals in just two matches, showing a complete breakdown in defensive structure and concentration.

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Dutch Efficiency: The Netherlands is significantly overperforming their xG (7 goals from ~3.2 xG), indicating elite finishing from Gakpo and Brobbey.

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Group Stakes: Tunisia is officially eliminated, while the Netherlands needs at least a point to guarantee qualification and a win to likely top Group F.

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Coaching Transition: Hervé Renard took over Tunisia mid-tournament but failed to fix the defense in the 4-0 loss to Japan, suggesting tactical instability.

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Injuries & Absentees

The Netherlands faces minor concerns as Virgil van Dijk suffered a hip/nerve scare against Sweden; while he expects to be fit, he may be rested. Quinten Timber is out with a concussion, and Jurriën Timber was replaced pre-tournament. Tunisia has no major fresh injuries but lacks psychological momentum after their elimination was confirmed.

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Key Players

Tunisia

Hannibal Mejbri CM
personAggressive Playmaker
Ellyes Skhiri CDM
personKey Anchor

Netherlands

Cody Gakpo LW
personIn Form
Brian Brobbey ST
personIn Form

The analyses and predictions on this page are generated by artificial intelligence and are intended for informational and entertainment purposes only. This is not gambling advice.

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Frequently Asked Questions about this prediction

What is the Coach AI prediction for Tunisia vs Netherlands?

Coach AI predicts a score of 0-3 with a win probability of 6% for Tunisia, 13% draw and 81% for Netherlands.

What is the recent form of Tunisia and Netherlands?

Tunisia form (last 5): 0W-0D-2L. Netherlands form (last 5): 1W-1D-0L.

What are the injury and suspension updates for Tunisia vs Netherlands?

The Netherlands faces minor concerns as Virgil van Dijk suffered a hip/nerve scare against Sweden; while he expects to be fit, he may be rested. Quinten Timber is out with a concussion, and Jurriën Timber was replaced pre-tournament. Tunisia has no major fresh injuries but lacks psychological momentum after their elimination was confirmed.

What are the possible match scenarios for Tunisia vs Netherlands?

Comprehensive Dutch Victory (75%): Netherlands dominates possession and exploits Tunisia's demoralized defense to score multiple goals before half-time. — Rotated Squad Control (20%): The Dutch secure a 2-0 lead early and Koeman rotates key players, leading to a slower second half with fewer goals. — Resilient Tunisian Departure (5%): Tunisia finds defensive resolve under Renard to frustrate the Netherlands, resulting in a narrow 1-0 or shock 0-0 draw.

What do football fans and other predictors think about Tunisia vs Netherlands?

Based on 90 predictors, 0% back a home win for Tunisia, 0% a draw, and 100% an away win for Netherlands. The most predicted scoreline is 0-2. Fans and Coach AI broadly agree on the likely outcome of this match.

What is the most popular prediction for Tunisia vs Netherlands?

The most predicted scoreline for Tunisia vs Netherlands is 0-2. A total of 90 predictors have made their pick — 0% back Tunisia, 0% a draw and 100% Netherlands.

How confident are fans about Tunisia vs Netherlands?

100% of fans predict a win for Netherlands, with an average confidence of 94% (high confidence).

What are the current standings for Tunisia and Netherlands in the FIFA World Cup?

Tunisia are 4th in the FIFA World Cup with 0 points from 2 games. Netherlands are 1st with 4 points from 2 games.

What time does Tunisia vs Netherlands kick off?

Tunisia vs Netherlands kicks off on Friday, 26 June 2026 at 01:00 (Central European Time). The match is part of the World Cup 2026.

What are the key factors for Tunisia vs Netherlands?

Coach AI identifies three decisive factors for Tunisia vs Netherlands: 1. Defensive Collapse: Tunisia has conceded 9 goals in just two matches, showing a complete breakdown in defensive structure and concentration. 2. Dutch Efficiency: The Netherlands is significantly overperforming their xG (7 goals from ~3.2 xG), indicating elite finishing from Gakpo and Brobbey. 3. Group Stakes: Tunisia is officially eliminated, while the Netherlands needs at least a point to guarantee qualification and a win to likely top Group F. 4. Coaching Transition: Hervé Renard took over Tunisia mid-tournament but failed to fix the defense in the 4-0 loss to Japan, suggesting tactical instability..

Who are the key players for Tunisia vs Netherlands?

Coach AI has identified the following key players for Tunisia vs Netherlands. Tunisia: Hannibal Mejbri (Aggressive Playmaker), Ellyes Skhiri (Key Anchor). Netherlands: Cody Gakpo (In Form), Brian Brobbey (In Form).

What are the Coach AI odds for Tunisia vs Netherlands?

Coach AI calculates the following outcome probabilities for Tunisia vs Netherlands: Tunisia wins 6%, draw 13%, Netherlands wins 81%. The most likely outcome is Netherlands with 81%.

How does Coach AI predict this match?

Coach AI analyzes thousands of data points, including xG, recent form, team news, and tactical developments for every match.

How often are these football predictions updated?

Insights are updated daily to incorporate the latest developments, injuries, and market movements.

How accurate are the Coach AI predictions?

Coach AI has analyzed over 1,000 matches. In 50% of cases, the correct outcome (home win, draw, or away win) is predicted accurately. In more than 10% of matches, the exact final score matches the prediction — significantly above the market average.

What is Coach AI's track record?

Coach AI has predicted over 1,000 matches: 50% correct outcome, 10%+ exact final score. The model consistently outperforms standard probability calculations and gives football fans the data they need to make truly informed predictions.

What data does Coach AI use for its predictions?

Coach AI combines Expected Goals (xG), recent team form over the last five matches, head-to-head records, up-to-date injury news, and tactical match-up analysis. The model is updated daily so every prediction reflects the most current information available.