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Scotland vs Brazil — World Cup 2026 Prediction 24 June 2026

Scotland
Scotland
World Cup 2026
0
VS
2
schedule 24 Jun, 22:00 · Referee: César Ramos (Mexico)
Predicted Score

Last update of insights: 20 Jul 2026

Brazil
Brazil
Final result
0 – 3
CoachAI prediction
0 – 2
✓ Outcome correct
Kickoff in

Coach AI predicts a score of 0-2 for Scotland vs Brazil in the World Cup 2026. Brazil is the favourite with a 69% win probability. Scotland has a 12% chance of winning and 19% ends in a draw. See the full analysis, injuries and score matrix below.

lightbulb

Scotland vs Brazil

This is a decisive Group C finale in Miami. Brazil (4 pts) requires only a draw to guarantee progression and likely top the group. Scotland (3 pts) is chasing history; a win guarantees their first-ever knockout appearance, while a draw leaves them at the mercy of third-place permutations. The 'away' advantage for Brazil is enhanced by the tropical Miami climate, which mirrors their home conditions better than the Scottish temperate climate.

#SCOBRA #FIFAWorldCup #WorldCup #WC26 #FootballMeister

analytics

Match Scenario's

Three most likely match scenarios

65%
25%
10%

Brazilian Clinical Dominance

65%

Brazil exploits their technical superiority and Scotland's fatigue in the Miami heat to secure a comfortable multi-goal victory.

The Scottish Wall

25%

Scotland successfully parks the bus and frustrates Brazil's creative stars, earning a low-scoring draw or a narrow 1-0 loss.

Tartan Army Miracle

10%

Scotland scores early from a set-piece and defends desperately to claim a historic upset win against the five-time champions.

table_chart

Current Standings

Position in the competition

Group C

Pos Team Pld W D L GD Pts
1 Brazil 3 2 1 0 +6 7
2 Morocco 3 2 1 0 +3 7
3 Scotland 3 1 0 2 -3 3
4 Haiti 3 0 0 3 -6 0
Scotland
Brazil
groups

Fan Predictions

What Football Meister players predict for this match

Scotland D Brazil
92%
5% 4% 92%

Most predicted scorelines

0-2 31%
1-2 20%
1-3 14%
0-3 14%
0-1 5%

These are predictions made by real Football Meister players — not AI-generated data.

Most likely scorelines

1-2 18% 0-2 15% 1-1 11%
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Correct Score Prediction

AI-calculated probability per scoreline

Most Likely Scorelines
1-2 18%
0-2 15%
1-1 11%
Brazil (Away)
Scotland (Home)
0
1
2
3
4
0
6.0%
8.0%
15.0%
10.0%
2.0%
1
4.0%
11.0%
18.0%
8.0%
1.0%
2
3.0%
4.0%
5.0%
2.0%
0.0%
3
1.0%
1.0%
0.0%
1.0%
0.0%
4
1.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%

Scotland's negative xG variance suggests they will finally convert, while Brazil's 40%+ quality gap and Scotland's need to chase the game late favor a multi-goal Away Win. The absence of Gilmour reduces Scotland's ability to kill the tempo.

percent

Coach AI Odds

Scotland
12% · 19% · 69%
Brazil
W D L

Projected xG by CoachAI

0.85

Home xG

2.05

Away xG

Upset Chance

Low

Risk of unexpected result

Scotland Recent Form — Last 5

1 W · 0 D · 1 L
19/6 Scotland 0-1 Morocco L 1.12
14/6 Haiti 0-1 Scotland W 2.15

Brazil Recent Form — Last 5

1 W · 1 D · 0 L
20/6 Brazil 3-0 Haiti W 2.85
13/6 Brazil 1-1 Morocco D 1.75
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Key Factors

sports_soccer 1

Clinical Efficiency Disparity: Scotland has significantly underperformed their xG (3.27 xG with only 1 goal), whereas Brazil remains clinical and versatile in front of goal.

trending_up 2

The Miami Heat Factor: High humidity and 32°C temperatures at the Hard Rock Stadium will likely drain Scotland's high-energy mid-block, favoring Brazil's technical ball retention.

person 3

Tactical Stalemate vs. Individual Brilliance: Scotland will likely deploy a deep low block to frustrate Brazil, but the individual 1v1 threat of Vinícius Júnior against Scotland's wingbacks remains the match's most likely 'lock-opener'.

medical_services

Injuries & Absentees

Brazil is significantly hampered by the loss of Raphinha (thigh), who joined a long-term injury list including Rodrygo and Militão. However, the potential return of Neymar (calf) provides a psychological boost. Scotland is missing the metronomic Billy Gilmour (knee), which severely limits their ability to control the tempo in transition.

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Key Players

Scotland

Scott McTominay CAM
personKey Threat
Andrew Robertson LB
personIn Form

Brazil

Vinícius Júnior LW
personIn Form
Matheus Cunha ST
personIn Form
group

Expected Lineups

Expected — may change before kickoff
Scotland Expected

5-4-1

person
Christie LW
person
Adams ST
person
McGinn RW
person
McTominay CDM
person
Ferguson CM
person
Robertson LB
person
Porteous CB
person
Hanley CB
person
Hendry CB
person
Patterson RB
person
Gunn GK

Billy Gilmour is a confirmed major absence; Lewis Ferguson is the likely replacement to maintain midfield energy.

Brazil Confirmed

4-2-3-1

person
Júnior LW
person
Cunha ST
person
Rayan RW
person
Paquetá CAM
person
Guimarães CDM
person
Gomes CM
person
Santos LB
person
Marquinhos CB
person
Magalhaes CB
person
Danilo RB
person
Becker GK

Raphinha is out (hamstring); 19-year-old Rayan is expected to start, though Neymar is available from the bench.

The analyses and predictions on this page are generated by artificial intelligence and are intended for informational and entertainment purposes only. This is not gambling advice.

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Frequently Asked Questions about this prediction

What is the Coach AI prediction for Scotland vs Brazil?

Coach AI predicts a score of 0-2 with a win probability of 12% for Scotland, 19% draw and 69% for Brazil.

What is the recent form of Scotland and Brazil?

Scotland form (last 5): 1W-0D-1L. Brazil form (last 5): 1W-1D-0L.

What are the injury and suspension updates for Scotland vs Brazil?

Brazil is significantly hampered by the loss of Raphinha (thigh), who joined a long-term injury list including Rodrygo and Militão. However, the potential return of Neymar (calf) provides a psychological boost. Scotland is missing the metronomic Billy Gilmour (knee), which severely limits their ability to control the tempo in transition.

What is the most likely correct score for Scotland vs Brazil?

According to the score probability matrix, 1-2 is the most likely scoreline (18%), followed by 0-2 (15%) and 1-1 (11%).

What are the possible match scenarios for Scotland vs Brazil?

Brazilian Clinical Dominance (65%): Brazil exploits their technical superiority and Scotland's fatigue in the Miami heat to secure a comfortable multi-goal victory. — The Scottish Wall (25%): Scotland successfully parks the bus and frustrates Brazil's creative stars, earning a low-scoring draw or a narrow 1-0 loss. — Tartan Army Miracle (10%): Scotland scores early from a set-piece and defends desperately to claim a historic upset win against the five-time champions.

What do football fans and other predictors think about Scotland vs Brazil?

Based on 200 predictors, 5% back a home win for Scotland, 4% a draw, and 92% an away win for Brazil. The most predicted scoreline is 0-2. Fans and Coach AI broadly agree on the likely outcome of this match.

What is the most popular prediction for Scotland vs Brazil?

The most predicted scoreline for Scotland vs Brazil is 0-2. A total of 200 predictors have made their pick — 5% back Scotland, 4% a draw and 92% Brazil.

How confident are fans about Scotland vs Brazil?

92% of fans predict a win for Brazil, with an average confidence of 79% (high confidence).

What are the current standings for Scotland and Brazil in the FIFA World Cup?

Scotland are 3rd in the FIFA World Cup with 3 points from 3 games. Brazil are 1st with 7 points from 3 games.

What are the expected lineups for Scotland vs Brazil?

Expected lineup Scotland (5-4-1): Angus Gunn, Nathan Patterson, Ryan Porteous, Grant Hanley, Jack Hendry, Andy Robertson, Scott McTominay, Lewis Ferguson, John McGinn, Ryan Christie, Che Adams. Expected lineup Brazil (4-2-3-1): Alisson Becker, Danilo, Marquinhos, Gabriel Magalhaes, Douglas Santos, Bruno Guimarães, Joao Gomes, Lucas Paquetá, Rayan, Matheus Cunha, Vinícius Júnior. Lineups are based on the most recent sources and may change before kickoff.

What time does Scotland vs Brazil kick off?

Scotland vs Brazil kicks off on Thursday, 25 June 2026 at 00:00 (Central European Time). The match is part of the World Cup 2026.

Who is the referee for Scotland vs Brazil?

The referee for Scotland vs Brazil in the World Cup 2026 is César Ramos.

What are the key factors for Scotland vs Brazil?

Coach AI identifies three decisive factors for Scotland vs Brazil: 1. Clinical Efficiency Disparity: Scotland has significantly underperformed their xG (3.27 xG with only 1 goal), whereas Brazil remains clinical and versatile in front of goal. 2. The Miami Heat Factor: High humidity and 32°C temperatures at the Hard Rock Stadium will likely drain Scotland's high-energy mid-block, favoring Brazil's technical ball retention. 3. Tactical Stalemate vs. Individual Brilliance: Scotland will likely deploy a deep low block to frustrate Brazil, but the individual 1v1 threat of Vinícius Júnior against Scotland's wingbacks remains the match's most likely 'lock-opener'..

Who are the key players for Scotland vs Brazil?

Coach AI has identified the following key players for Scotland vs Brazil. Scotland: Scott McTominay (Key Threat), Andrew Robertson (In Form). Brazil: Vinícius Júnior (In Form), Matheus Cunha (In Form).

What are the Coach AI odds for Scotland vs Brazil?

Coach AI calculates the following outcome probabilities for Scotland vs Brazil: Scotland wins 12%, draw 19%, Brazil wins 69%. The most likely outcome is Brazil with 69%.

What are the bookmaker odds for Scotland vs Brazil?

Bookmakers give Scotland a 12% win probability, 20% draw and Brazil 71% chance of winning. Coach AI estimates 13% for Scotland, 23% draw and 64% for Brazil.

How does Coach AI predict this match?

Coach AI analyzes thousands of data points, including xG, recent form, team news, and tactical developments for every match.

How often are these football predictions updated?

Insights are updated daily to incorporate the latest developments, injuries, and market movements.

How accurate are the Coach AI predictions?

Coach AI has analyzed over 1,000 matches. In 50% of cases, the correct outcome (home win, draw, or away win) is predicted accurately. In more than 10% of matches, the exact final score matches the prediction — significantly above the market average.

What is Coach AI's track record?

Coach AI has predicted over 1,000 matches: 50% correct outcome, 10%+ exact final score. The model consistently outperforms standard probability calculations and gives football fans the data they need to make truly informed predictions.

What data does Coach AI use for its predictions?

Coach AI combines Expected Goals (xG), recent team form over the last five matches, head-to-head records, up-to-date injury news, and tactical match-up analysis. The model is updated daily so every prediction reflects the most current information available.