Coach AI Odds
Projected xG by CoachAI
Home xG
Away xG
Upset Chance
Risk of unexpected result
Norway Recent Form — Last 5
France Recent Form — Last 5
Key Factors
Clinical Efficiency vs. Tactical Stability: Norway has significantly outperformed their xG (7 goals from ~4.3 xG), largely due to Erling Haaland's finishing. France remains statistically more balanced and sustainable (6 goals from ~4.75 xG).
Battle for Group Primacy: Both teams are qualified, but France needs only a draw to secure 1st place due to superior goal difference. Norway must win to avoid a potentially harder Round of 32 opponent and logistical travel issues.
Impact of Technical Absences: France will be without manager Didier Deschamps (family bereavement), with assistant Guy Stephan taking charge. Norway is likely missing starting RB Julian Ryerson, creating a defensive vulnerability against Kylian Mbappé.
Injuries & Absentees
Norway's defense is weakened by the likely absence of Julian Ryerson (thigh), with Marcus Pedersen expected to fill in at right-back—a high-pressure assignment against Mbappé. France has a full squad available, though they may rotate slightly. The absence of Deschamps on the touchline is a unique psychological factor, though his tactical system remains ingrained.
Key Players
Norway
France
Expected Lineups
Expected — may change before kickoff4-3-3
Ryerson is a significant doubt with a thigh issue; Pedersen is the likely deputy.
4-2-3-1
Ekitike is the only major injury; Deschamps' absence is the primary narrative focus.
The analyses and predictions on this page are generated by artificial intelligence and are intended for informational and entertainment purposes only. This is not gambling advice.
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Frequently Asked Questions about this prediction
What is the Coach AI prediction for Norway vs France?
Coach AI predicts a score of 1-2 with a win probability of 20% for Norway, 21% draw and 59% for France.
What is the recent form of Norway and France?
Norway form (last 5): 2W-0D-0L. France form (last 5): 2W-0D-0L.
What are the injury and suspension updates for Norway vs France?
Norway's defense is weakened by the likely absence of Julian Ryerson (thigh), with Marcus Pedersen expected to fill in at right-back—a high-pressure assignment against Mbappé. France has a full squad available, though they may rotate slightly. The absence of Deschamps on the touchline is a unique psychological factor, though his tactical system remains ingrained.
What is the most likely correct score for Norway vs France?
According to the score probability matrix, 1-2 is the most likely scoreline (16%), followed by 1-1 (13%) and 0-2 (9%).
What are the possible match scenarios for Norway vs France?
French Quality Prevails (62%): France controls the tempo and exploits Norway's defensive gaps as the Scandinavians push for the required win. — High Octane Stalemate (28%): Haaland and Mbappé trade goals in an entertaining draw that sees France secure the top spot on goal difference. — Clinical Norwegian Upset (10%): Norway maintains their extreme finishing efficiency while Nyland produces a career-best performance in goal.
What do football fans and other predictors think about Norway vs France?
Based on 199 predictors, 7% back a home win for Norway, 15% a draw, and 78% an away win for France. The most predicted scoreline is 1-2. Fans are more cautious than Coach AI on Norway: fans pick 7% home win, Coach AI calculates 20%.
What is the most popular prediction for Norway vs France?
The most predicted scoreline for Norway vs France is 1-2. A total of 199 predictors have made their pick — 7% back Norway, 15% a draw and 78% France.
How confident are fans about Norway vs France?
78% of fans predict a win for France, with an average confidence of 73% (high confidence). Notably, the 15% backing a draw are actually more confident (100%) than the majority — a sign this match is less clear-cut than the vote split suggests.
What are the current standings for Norway and France in the FIFA World Cup?
Norway are 2nd in the FIFA World Cup with 6 points from 3 games. France are 1st with 9 points from 3 games.
What are the expected lineups for Norway vs France?
Expected lineup Norway (4-3-3): Ørjan Nyland, Marcus Holmgren Pedersen, Kristoffer Ajer, Leo Østigård, David Møller Wolfe, Sander Berge, Fredrik Aursnes, Martin Ødegaard, Alexander Sørloth, Erling Haaland, Antonio Nusa. Expected lineup France (4-2-3-1): Mike Maignan, Jules Koundé, William Saliba, Dayot Upamecano, Theo Hernandez, Aurelien Tchouaméni, Eduardo Camavinga, Ousmane Dembélé, Antoine Griezmann, Kylian Mbappé, Marcus Thuram. Lineups are based on the most recent sources and may change before kickoff.
What time does Norway vs France kick off?
Norway vs France kicks off on Friday, 26 June 2026 at 21:00 (Central European Time). The match is part of the World Cup 2026.
Who is the referee for Norway vs France?
The referee for Norway vs France in the World Cup 2026 is Michael Oliver.
What are the key factors for Norway vs France?
Coach AI identifies three decisive factors for Norway vs France: 1. Clinical Efficiency vs. Tactical Stability: Norway has significantly outperformed their xG (7 goals from ~4.3 xG), largely due to Erling Haaland's finishing. France remains statistically more balanced and sustainable (6 goals from ~4.75 xG). 2. Battle for Group Primacy: Both teams are qualified, but France needs only a draw to secure 1st place due to superior goal difference. Norway must win to avoid a potentially harder Round of 32 opponent and logistical travel issues. 3. Impact of Technical Absences: France will be without manager Didier Deschamps (family bereavement), with assistant Guy Stephan taking charge. Norway is likely missing starting RB Julian Ryerson, creating a defensive vulnerability against Kylian Mbappé..
Who are the key players for Norway vs France?
Coach AI has identified the following key players for Norway vs France. Norway: Erling Haaland (In Form), Martin Ødegaard (Key Threat). France: Kylian Mbappé (In Form), William Saliba (Key Threat).
What are the Coach AI odds for Norway vs France?
Coach AI calculates the following outcome probabilities for Norway vs France: Norway wins 20%, draw 21%, France wins 59%. The most likely outcome is France with 59%.
What are the bookmaker odds for Norway vs France?
Bookmakers give Norway a 21% win probability, 24% draw and France 55% chance of winning. Coach AI estimates 22% for Norway, 25% draw and 53% for France.
How does Coach AI predict this match?
Coach AI analyzes thousands of data points, including xG, recent form, team news, and tactical developments for every match.
How often are these football predictions updated?
Insights are updated daily to incorporate the latest developments, injuries, and market movements.
How accurate are the Coach AI predictions?
Coach AI has analyzed over 1,000 matches. In 50% of cases, the correct outcome (home win, draw, or away win) is predicted accurately. In more than 10% of matches, the exact final score matches the prediction — significantly above the market average.
What is Coach AI's track record?
Coach AI has predicted over 1,000 matches: 50% correct outcome, 10%+ exact final score. The model consistently outperforms standard probability calculations and gives football fans the data they need to make truly informed predictions.
What data does Coach AI use for its predictions?
Coach AI combines Expected Goals (xG), recent team form over the last five matches, head-to-head records, up-to-date injury news, and tactical match-up analysis. The model is updated daily so every prediction reflects the most current information available.