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Norway vs England — World Cup 2026 Prediction 11 July 2026

Norway
Norway
World Cup 2026
1
VS
2
schedule 11 Jul, 21:00 · Referee: Clément Turpin (France)
Predicted Score

Last update of insights: 20 Jul 2026

England
England
Final result
1 – 2
CoachAI prediction
1 – 2
★ Exact score!
Kickoff in

Coach AI predicts a score of 1-2 for Norway vs England in the World Cup 2026. England is the favourite with a 49% win probability. Norway has a 24% chance of winning and 27% ends in a draw. See the full analysis, injuries and score matrix below.

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Norway vs England

This is a historic World Cup Quarter-Final in Miami. Norway is on a 'Cinderella run' after knocking out Brazil. England, managed by Thomas Tuchel, has survived high-scoring scares (3-2 vs Mexico) but shows defensive fragility. The Miami heat is a significant external variable; past games here have seen players struggle with 90+ minute intensity, favoring teams that can sit deep and strike on the break.

#NORENG #FIFAWorldCup #WorldCup #WC26 #FootballMeister

analytics

Match Scenario's

Three most likely match scenarios

55%
30%
15%

England Depth Advantage

55%

England dominates the ball and overcomes defensive lapses by outscoring Norway in the final 20 minutes using high-quality substitutes like Saka or Gordon.

Haaland Counter-Attack Masterclass

30%

Norway exploits England's makeshift center-back pairing through direct transitions, with Haaland scoring twice to put England on the ropes.

Miami Heat Stalemate

15%

Intense humidity slows the pace to a crawl, resulting in a low-scoring draw and a physical battle that is decided in extra time or penalties.

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Current Standings

Position in the competition

Group I

Pos Team Pld W D L GD Pts
1 France 3 3 0 0 +8 9
2 Norway 3 2 0 1 +1 6
3 Senegal 3 1 0 2 +2 3
4 Iraq 3 0 0 3 -11 0

Group L

Pos Team Pld W D L GD Pts
1 England 3 2 1 0 +4 7
2 Croatia 3 2 0 1 0 6
3 Ghana 3 1 1 1 0 4
4 Panama 3 0 0 3 -4 0
Norway
England
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Fan Predictions

What Football Meister players predict for this match

Norway D England
42%
9%
49%
42% 9% 49%

Most predicted scorelines

1-2 30%
2-1 24%
0-1 7%
1-0 7%
2-3 5%

These are predictions made by real Football Meister players — not AI-generated data.

Most likely scorelines

1-1 14% 1-2 12% 2-2 10%
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Correct Score Prediction

AI-calculated probability per scoreline

Most Likely Scorelines
1-1 14%
1-2 12%
2-2 10%
England (Away)
Norway (Home)
0
1
2
3
4
0
5.0%
8.0%
7.0%
4.0%
1.0%
1
6.0%
14.0%
12.0%
5.0%
1.0%
2
4.0%
9.0%
10.0%
3.0%
0.0%
3
1.0%
3.0%
4.0%
1.0%
0.0%
4
0.0%
1.0%
1.0%
0.0%
0.0%

Probability shifts toward high-score draws and narrow Norway wins (1-2) due to Haaland's efficiency vs England's tendency to concede against high-quality transition teams (Mexico/Croatia).

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Coach AI Odds

Norway
24% · 27% · 49%
England
W D L

Projected xG by CoachAI

1.38

Home xG

1.82

Away xG

Upset Chance

Medium

Risk of unexpected result

Norway Recent Form — Last 5

4 W · 0 D · 1 L
5/7 Brazil 1-2 Norway W 1.25
30/6 Ivory Coast 1-2 Norway W 1.55
26/6 Norway 1-4 France L 1.15
23/6 Norway 3-2 Senegal W 1.72
16/6 Iraq 1-4 Norway W 2.60

England Recent Form — Last 5

4 W · 1 D · 0 L
6/7 Mexico 2-3 England W 1.48
1/7 England 2-1 Congo DR W 2.05
27/6 Panama 0-2 England W 2.35
23/6 England 0-0 Ghana D 2.15
17/6 England 4-2 Croatia W 1.85
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Key Factors

sports_soccer 1

England's defensive crisis: Missing Quansah (suspended), Guehi (doubtful), and Rice (injured) leaves a vulnerable core against Haaland.

trending_up 2

Norway's xG Efficiency: Norway consistently outscores their expected goals (xG), led by Haaland's clinical finishing (7 goals this tournament).

person 3

Extreme Miami Climate: 35°C heat and 75% humidity in Miami will favor Norway’s deep-block and counter-attack style over England’s high-pressing system.

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Injuries & Absentees

England faces a massive selection headache; Jarell Quansah is suspended (red card vs Mexico), while Marc Guehi, Declan Rice, and Reece James are major doubts due to muscle injuries and fatigue. Norway's camp reported a minor sickness bug affecting Jorgen Strand Larsen and Marcus Holmgren Pedersen, but both are expected to feature. The impact shifts the advantage to Norway's attack vs. England's makeshift defense.

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Key Players

Norway

Erling Haaland ST
personIn Form
Martin Ødegaard CAM
personIn Form

England

Harry Kane ST
personIn Form
Jude Bellingham CAM
personKey Threat
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Expected Lineups

Expected — may change before kickoff
Norway Expected

4-3-3

person
Bobb LW
person
Haaland ST
person
Nusa RW
person
Berge CDM
person
Berg CM
person
Ødegaard CM
person
Wolfe LB
person
Østigård CB
person
Ajer CB
person
Ryerson RB
person
Nyland GK

Haaland and Ødegaard are the pillars; Bobb is speculative due to recent knock.

England Expected

4-2-3-1

person
Palmer LW
person
Kane ST
person
Saka RW
person
Foden CAM
person
Rice CDM
person
Bellingham CM
person
Shaw LB
person
Stones CB
person
Guéhi CB
person
Walker RB
person
Pickford GK

England likely to stick with Palmer over Grealish for goal threat.

The analyses and predictions on this page are generated by artificial intelligence and are intended for informational and entertainment purposes only. This is not gambling advice.

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Frequently Asked Questions about this prediction

What is the Coach AI prediction for Norway vs England?

Coach AI predicts a score of 1-2 with a win probability of 24% for Norway, 27% draw and 49% for England.

What is the recent form of Norway and England?

Norway form (last 5): 4W-0D-1L. England form (last 5): 4W-1D-0L.

What are the injury and suspension updates for Norway vs England?

England faces a massive selection headache; Jarell Quansah is suspended (red card vs Mexico), while Marc Guehi, Declan Rice, and Reece James are major doubts due to muscle injuries and fatigue. Norway's camp reported a minor sickness bug affecting Jorgen Strand Larsen and Marcus Holmgren Pedersen, but both are expected to feature. The impact shifts the advantage to Norway's attack vs. England's makeshift defense.

What is the most likely correct score for Norway vs England?

According to the score probability matrix, 1-1 is the most likely scoreline (14%), followed by 1-2 (12%) and 2-2 (10%).

What are the possible match scenarios for Norway vs England?

England Depth Advantage (55%): England dominates the ball and overcomes defensive lapses by outscoring Norway in the final 20 minutes using high-quality substitutes like Saka or Gordon. — Haaland Counter-Attack Masterclass (30%): Norway exploits England's makeshift center-back pairing through direct transitions, with Haaland scoring twice to put England on the ropes. — Miami Heat Stalemate (15%): Intense humidity slows the pace to a crawl, resulting in a low-scoring draw and a physical battle that is decided in extra time or penalties.

What do football fans and other predictors think about Norway vs England?

Based on 164 predictors, 42% back a home win for Norway, 9% a draw, and 49% an away win for England. The most predicted scoreline is 1-2. Fans are more bullish than Coach AI on Norway: fans pick 42% home win, Coach AI calculates 24%.

What is the most popular prediction for Norway vs England?

The most predicted scoreline for Norway vs England is 1-2. A total of 164 predictors have made their pick — 42% back Norway, 9% a draw and 49% England.

How confident are fans about Norway vs England?

49% of fans predict a win for England, with an average confidence of 60% (moderate confidence). Notably, the 42% backing a win for Norway are actually more confident (81%) than the majority — a sign this match is less clear-cut than the vote split suggests.

What are the current standings for Norway and England in the FIFA World Cup?

Norway are 2nd in the FIFA World Cup with 6 points from 3 games. England are 1st with 7 points from 3 games.

What are the expected lineups for Norway vs England?

Expected lineup Norway (4-3-3): Ørjan Nyland, Julian Ryerson, Leo Østigård, Kristoffer Ajer, David Møller Wolfe, Sander Berge, Patrick Berg, Martin Ødegaard, Antonio Nusa, Erling Haaland, Oscar Bobb. Expected lineup England (4-2-3-1): Jordan Pickford, Kyle Walker, John Stones, Marc Guéhi, Luke Shaw, Declan Rice, Jude Bellingham, Bukayo Saka, Phil Foden, Cole Palmer, Harry Kane. Lineups are based on the most recent sources and may change before kickoff.

What time does Norway vs England kick off?

Norway vs England kicks off on Saturday, 11 July 2026 at 23:00 (Central European Time). The match is part of the World Cup 2026.

Who is the referee for Norway vs England?

The referee for Norway vs England in the World Cup 2026 is Clément Turpin.

What are the key factors for Norway vs England?

Coach AI identifies three decisive factors for Norway vs England: 1. England's defensive crisis: Missing Quansah (suspended), Guehi (doubtful), and Rice (injured) leaves a vulnerable core against Haaland. 2. Norway's xG Efficiency: Norway consistently outscores their expected goals (xG), led by Haaland's clinical finishing (7 goals this tournament). 3. Extreme Miami Climate: 35°C heat and 75% humidity in Miami will favor Norway’s deep-block and counter-attack style over England’s high-pressing system..

Who are the key players for Norway vs England?

Coach AI has identified the following key players for Norway vs England. Norway: Erling Haaland (In Form), Martin Ødegaard (In Form). England: Harry Kane (In Form), Jude Bellingham (Key Threat).

What are the Coach AI odds for Norway vs England?

Coach AI calculates the following outcome probabilities for Norway vs England: Norway wins 24%, draw 27%, England wins 49%. The most likely outcome is England with 49%.

What are the bookmaker odds for Norway vs England?

Bookmakers give Norway a 22% win probability, 26% draw and England 52% chance of winning. Coach AI estimates 29% for Norway, 30% draw and 41% for England.

How does Coach AI predict this match?

Coach AI analyzes thousands of data points, including xG, recent form, team news, and tactical developments for every match.

How often are these football predictions updated?

Insights are updated daily to incorporate the latest developments, injuries, and market movements.

How accurate are the Coach AI predictions?

Coach AI has analyzed over 1,000 matches. In 50% of cases, the correct outcome (home win, draw, or away win) is predicted accurately. In more than 10% of matches, the exact final score matches the prediction — significantly above the market average.

What is Coach AI's track record?

Coach AI has predicted over 1,000 matches: 50% correct outcome, 10%+ exact final score. The model consistently outperforms standard probability calculations and gives football fans the data they need to make truly informed predictions.

What data does Coach AI use for its predictions?

Coach AI combines Expected Goals (xG), recent team form over the last five matches, head-to-head records, up-to-date injury news, and tactical match-up analysis. The model is updated daily so every prediction reflects the most current information available.