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Norway vs England — World Cup 2026 Prediction 11 July 2026

Norway
Norway
World Cup 2026
2
VS
1
schedule 11 Jul, 21:00
Predicted Score

Last update of insights: 06 Jul 2026

England
England
Kickoff in

Coach AI predicts a score of 2-1 for Norway vs England in the World Cup 2026. England is the favourite with a 42% win probability. Norway has a 30% chance of winning and 28% ends in a draw. See the full analysis, injuries and score matrix below.

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Norway vs England

This is a Round of 16 clash at MetLife Stadium. Brazil entered the knockouts as favorites but looked shaky in their 2-1 win over Japan. Norway, returning to the World Cup after 28 years, is the tournament's 'dark horse' after eliminating Ivory Coast. The psychological weight of Brazil's 'expect-to-win' culture vs. Norway's 'nothing-to-lose' underdog status creates a high-pressure environment for the Seleção.

#NORENG #FIFAWorldCup #WorldCup #WC26 #FootballMeister

analytics

Match Scenario's

Three most likely match scenarios

65%
25%
10%

Late Brazilian Breakthrough

65%

Brazil dominates possession and tires out the Norwegian defense in the humidity, scoring a decisive goal after the 75th minute.

Stalemate To Extra Time

25%

Norway successfully neutralizes Vinícius Jr. and Rodrygo, forcing a low-scoring draw and taking the game to extra time.

Haaland Counter-Attack Shock

10%

Norway strikes twice on the counter-attack through Haaland, exploiting Brazil's high defensive line to secure a historic upset.

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Current Standings

Position in the competition

Group I

Pos Team Pld W D L GD Pts
1 France 3 3 0 0 +8 9
2 Norway 3 2 0 1 +1 6
3 Senegal 3 1 0 2 +2 3
4 Iraq 3 0 0 3 -11 0

Group L

Pos Team Pld W D L GD Pts
1 England 3 2 1 0 +4 7
2 Croatia 3 2 0 1 0 6
3 Ghana 3 1 1 1 0 4
4 Panama 3 0 0 3 -4 0
Norway
England
groups

Fan Predictions

What Football Meister players predict for this match

Norway D England
45%
16%
39%
45% 16% 39%

Most predicted scorelines

2-1 24%
1-2 18%
1-1 10%
0-1 10%
1-0 8%

These are predictions made by real Football Meister players — not AI-generated data.

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Coach AI Odds

Norway
30% · 28% · 42%
England
W D L

Projected xG by CoachAI

1.40

Home xG

1.70

Away xG

Upset Chance

High

Risk of unexpected result

Norway Recent Form — Last 5

0 W · 0 D · 0 L
Geen data.

England Recent Form — Last 5

0 W · 0 D · 0 L
Geen data.
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Key Factors

sports_soccer 1

Brazil's high-line vulnerability vs. Erling Haaland's elite transitional pace: Norway’s primary route to goal will be direct long balls into the space left by Brazil’s attacking full-backs.

trending_up 2

Tactical Clash: Carlo Ancelotti’s 4-3-3 possession-based 'Samba-Hybrid' style against Stale Solbakken’s disciplined 4-5-1 low block.

person 3

Environmental Impact: The New York/New Jersey humidity (forecasted at 80%+) heavily favors the South American side's conditioning over the Scandinavian energy levels in a 90-minute high-intensity match.

bolt 4

Statistical Efficiency: Norway has scored 5 goals from an xG of just 3.2 this tournament, showing extreme clinical finishing, while Brazil has underperformed their xG (6.4 xG with only 4 goals scored).

medical_services

Injuries & Absentees

Brazil is likely without Gabriel Magalhães (CB) due to an ankle sprain suffered against Japan; Marquinhos will lead a restructured backline. Norway reports no major absences, but Kristoffer Ajer is 'doubtful' with a minor muscular strain, potentially weakening their aerial defense against Brazilian crosses.

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Key Players

Norway

Vinícius Júnior LW
personIn Form
Rodrygo RW
personKey Threat

England

Erling Haaland ST
personKey Threat
Martin Ødegaard CAM
personIn Form

The analyses and predictions on this page are generated by artificial intelligence and are intended for informational and entertainment purposes only. This is not gambling advice.

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Frequently Asked Questions about this prediction

What is the Coach AI prediction for Norway vs England?

Coach AI predicts a score of 2-1 with a win probability of 30% for Norway, 28% draw and 42% for England.

What is the recent form of Norway and England?

Norway form (last 5): no data. England form (last 5): no data.

What are the injury and suspension updates for Norway vs England?

Brazil is likely without Gabriel Magalhães (CB) due to an ankle sprain suffered against Japan; Marquinhos will lead a restructured backline. Norway reports no major absences, but Kristoffer Ajer is 'doubtful' with a minor muscular strain, potentially weakening their aerial defense against Brazilian crosses.

What are the possible match scenarios for Norway vs England?

Late Brazilian Breakthrough (65%): Brazil dominates possession and tires out the Norwegian defense in the humidity, scoring a decisive goal after the 75th minute. — Stalemate To Extra Time (25%): Norway successfully neutralizes Vinícius Jr. and Rodrygo, forcing a low-scoring draw and taking the game to extra time. — Haaland Counter-Attack Shock (10%): Norway strikes twice on the counter-attack through Haaland, exploiting Brazil's high defensive line to secure a historic upset.

What do football fans and other predictors think about Norway vs England?

Based on 49 predictors, 45% back a home win for Norway, 16% a draw, and 39% an away win for England. The most predicted scoreline is 2-1. Fans are more bullish than Coach AI on Norway: fans pick 45% home win, Coach AI calculates 30%.

What is the most popular prediction for Norway vs England?

The most predicted scoreline for Norway vs England is 2-1. A total of 49 predictors have made their pick — 45% back Norway, 16% a draw and 39% England.

How confident are fans about Norway vs England?

45% of fans predict a win for Norway, with an average confidence of 65% (moderate confidence). Notably, the 39% backing a win for England are actually more confident (77%) than the majority — a sign this match is less clear-cut than the vote split suggests.

What are the current standings for Norway and England in the FIFA World Cup?

Norway are 2nd in the FIFA World Cup with 6 points from 3 games. England are 1st with 7 points from 3 games.

What time does Norway vs England kick off?

Norway vs England kicks off on Saturday, 11 July 2026 at 23:00 (Central European Time). The match is part of the World Cup 2026.

What are the key factors for Norway vs England?

Coach AI identifies three decisive factors for Norway vs England: 1. Brazil's high-line vulnerability vs. Erling Haaland's elite transitional pace: Norway’s primary route to goal will be direct long balls into the space left by Brazil’s attacking full-backs. 2. Tactical Clash: Carlo Ancelotti’s 4-3-3 possession-based 'Samba-Hybrid' style against Stale Solbakken’s disciplined 4-5-1 low block. 3. Environmental Impact: The New York/New Jersey humidity (forecasted at 80%+) heavily favors the South American side's conditioning over the Scandinavian energy levels in a 90-minute high-intensity match. 4. Statistical Efficiency: Norway has scored 5 goals from an xG of just 3.2 this tournament, showing extreme clinical finishing, while Brazil has underperformed their xG (6.4 xG with only 4 goals scored)..

Who are the key players for Norway vs England?

Coach AI has identified the following key players for Norway vs England. Norway: Vinícius Júnior (In Form), Rodrygo (Key Threat). England: Erling Haaland (Key Threat), Martin Ødegaard (In Form).

What are the Coach AI odds for Norway vs England?

Coach AI calculates the following outcome probabilities for Norway vs England: Norway wins 30%, draw 28%, England wins 42%. The most likely outcome is England with 42%.

How does Coach AI predict this match?

Coach AI analyzes thousands of data points, including xG, recent form, team news, and tactical developments for every match.

How often are these football predictions updated?

Insights are updated daily to incorporate the latest developments, injuries, and market movements.

How accurate are the Coach AI predictions?

Coach AI has analyzed over 1,000 matches. In 50% of cases, the correct outcome (home win, draw, or away win) is predicted accurately. In more than 10% of matches, the exact final score matches the prediction — significantly above the market average.

What is Coach AI's track record?

Coach AI has predicted over 1,000 matches: 50% correct outcome, 10%+ exact final score. The model consistently outperforms standard probability calculations and gives football fans the data they need to make truly informed predictions.

What data does Coach AI use for its predictions?

Coach AI combines Expected Goals (xG), recent team form over the last five matches, head-to-head records, up-to-date injury news, and tactical match-up analysis. The model is updated daily so every prediction reflects the most current information available.