Tottenham vs Leeds United: Premier League Prediction 11 May 2026

Tottenham and Leeds United drew 1-1 in the Premier League (matchday 36) on 11 May 2026.

Coach AI predicted 2-1: the outcome was not right. The fans predicted Tottenham win (71%), which was not right.

Coach AI predicts 2-1 as the correct score for Tottenham vs Leeds United. This page also covers the expected line-ups, injuries and xG.

Tottenham form (last 5): 2W-1D-2L. Leeds United form (last 5): 3W-2D-0L.

Tottenham's squad is severely depleted. The absence of Cristian Romero and Guglielmo Vicario leaves a massive void in defensive leadership, forcing Kinsky (GK) and Danso into high-pressure roles. Leeds is missing in-form striker Noah Okafor (calf), which significantly blunts their clinical edge despite Dominic Calvert-Lewin's presence.

Tottenham score at home 1.2 goals on average and concede 1.8 (17 matches). Leeds United score away 1.1 goals on average and concede 1.8 (17 matches).

Football Meister has recorded 1 previous meeting between Tottenham and Leeds United: Tottenham won 1, Leeds United won 0 and 0 ended in a draw. The goal tally is 2-1.

The last meeting was on 4 Oct 2025: Leeds United - Tottenham 1-2.

According to the score probability matrix, 2-1 is the most likely scoreline (15%), followed by 1-1 (13%) and 1-0 (11%).

Among Football Meister players, 71% back a home win for Tottenham, 14% a draw, and 14% an away win for Leeds United. The most predicted scoreline is 1-0. Fans are more bullish than Coach AI on Tottenham: fans pick 71% home win, Coach AI calculates 42%.

The most predicted scoreline for Tottenham vs Leeds United is 1-0. Of all Football Meister players, 71% back Tottenham, 14% a draw and 14% Leeds United.

Tottenham are 20th in the Premier League with 3 points from 6 games. Leeds United are 7th with 10 points from 7 games.

Tottenham vs Leeds United kicks off on Monday, 11 May 2026 at 20:00 (Central European Time). The match is part of the Premier League.

The referee for Tottenham vs Leeds United in the Premier League is Jarred Gillett.

Coach AI identifies three decisive factors for Tottenham vs Leeds United: 1. Survival Motivation: Tottenham is fighting for Premier League survival, whereas Leeds is mathematically almost safe with 43 points. 2. Injury Crisis: Spurs are missing nearly an entire starting XI worth of talent (Vicario, Romero, Solanke, Kudus, Kulusevski), forcing reliance on youngsters like Kinsky and Tel. 3. De Zerbi Effect: Tottenham has shown drastic tactical improvement in high-pressing metrics (5.3 final third recoveries per match) since De Zerbi took over. 4. Referee Trend: Jarred Gillett is officiating; Leeds has a 0% win rate in 5 games under him this season, while Spurs have won 50% of their matches with him..

Coach AI sees Tottenham as the stronger side in Tottenham vs Leeds United. The full analysis with the expected score, xG and injuries is on this page.

Coach AI analyzes thousands of data points, including xG, recent form, team news, and tactical developments for every match.

Insights are updated daily to incorporate the latest developments, injuries, and market movements.

Coach AI has analyzed over 1,000 matches. In 50% of cases, the correct outcome (home win, draw, or away win) is predicted accurately. In more than 10% of matches, the exact final score matches the prediction, significantly above the market average.

Coach AI has predicted over 1,000 matches: 50% correct outcome, 10%+ exact final score. The model consistently outperforms standard probability calculations and gives football fans the data they need to make truly informed predictions.

Coach AI combines Expected Goals (xG), recent team form over the last five matches, head-to-head records, up-to-date injury news, and tactical match-up analysis. The model is updated daily so every prediction reflects the most current information available.