Projected xG by CoachAI
Home xG
Away xG
Upset Chance
Risk of unexpected result
Nottingham Recent Form — Last 5
Crystal Palace Recent Form — Last 5
Key Factors
Divergent Defensive Trends: Forest have kept consecutive clean sheets against Arsenal and Brentford, while Palace are winless in 8 and have the league's worst goal difference since Matchday 16.
Palace Finishing Crisis: Despite ranking 7th in open-play xG (1.56 xG/90), the Eagles have converted only 4 goals in their last 8 matches, indicating a severe psychological or technical block in front of goal.
Midfield Depletion: The suspension of Adam Wharton and injury to Cheick Doucouré leave Palace without their primary progressive passer, likely causing them to struggle against Forest's compact 4-2-3-1 mid-block.
Injuries & Absentees
Nottingham Forest are without Chris Wood (knee), shifting the scoring burden to Igor Jesus, who has thrived in a more mobile role. Crystal Palace's squad is significantly more damaged: the loss of Adam Wharton (suspension) and Daichi Kamada (thigh) removes their creative heart, while the absence of Eddie Nketiah and the 'transfer-distracted' status of Jean-Philippe Mateta leaves them toothless in attack.
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Start your free league →Frequently Asked Questions about this prediction
What is the Coach AI prediction for Nottingham vs Crystal Palace?
Coach AI predicts a score of 1-0 with a win probability of 48% for Nottingham, 25% draw and 27% for Crystal Palace.
What is the recent form of Nottingham and Crystal Palace?
Nottingham form (last 5): 2W-1D-2L. Crystal Palace form (last 5): 0W-2D-3L.
What are the injury and suspension updates for Nottingham vs Crystal Palace?
Nottingham Forest are without Chris Wood (knee), shifting the scoring burden to Igor Jesus, who has thrived in a more mobile role. Crystal Palace's squad is significantly more damaged: the loss of Adam Wharton (suspension) and Daichi Kamada (thigh) removes their creative heart, while the absence of Eddie Nketiah and the 'transfer-distracted' status of Jean-Philippe Mateta leaves them toothless in attack.
What are the current standings for Nottingham and Crystal Palace in the Premier League?
Nottingham are 16th in the Premier League with 44 points from 38 games. Crystal Palace are 15th with 45 points from 38 games.
What time does Nottingham vs Crystal Palace kick off?
Nottingham vs Crystal Palace kicks off on Sunday, 1 February 2026 at 15:00 (Central European Time). The match is part of the Premier League.
Who is the referee for Nottingham vs Crystal Palace?
The referee for Nottingham vs Crystal Palace in the Premier League is Michael Salisbury.
What are the key factors for Nottingham vs Crystal Palace?
Coach AI identifies three decisive factors for Nottingham vs Crystal Palace: 1. Divergent Defensive Trends: Forest have kept consecutive clean sheets against Arsenal and Brentford, while Palace are winless in 8 and have the league's worst goal difference since Matchday 16. 2. Palace Finishing Crisis: Despite ranking 7th in open-play xG (1.56 xG/90), the Eagles have converted only 4 goals in their last 8 matches, indicating a severe psychological or technical block in front of goal. 3. Midfield Depletion: The suspension of Adam Wharton and injury to Cheick Doucouré leave Palace without their primary progressive passer, likely causing them to struggle against Forest's compact 4-2-3-1 mid-block..
How does Coach AI predict this match?
Coach AI analyzes thousands of data points, including xG, recent form, team news, and tactical developments for every match.
How often are these football predictions updated?
Insights are updated daily to incorporate the latest developments, injuries, and market movements.
How accurate are the Coach AI predictions?
Coach AI has analyzed over 1,000 matches. In 50% of cases, the correct outcome (home win, draw, or away win) is predicted accurately. In more than 10% of matches, the exact final score matches the prediction — significantly above the market average.
What is Coach AI's track record?
Coach AI has predicted over 1,000 matches: 50% correct outcome, 10%+ exact final score. The model consistently outperforms standard probability calculations and gives football fans the data they need to make truly informed predictions.
What data does Coach AI use for its predictions?
Coach AI combines Expected Goals (xG), recent team form over the last five matches, head-to-head records, up-to-date injury news, and tactical match-up analysis. The model is updated daily so every prediction reflects the most current information available.