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Nottingham vs Arsenal — Premier League Prediction 17 January 2026

Nottingham
Nottingham
Premier League
0
VS
3
schedule 17 Jan, 17:30 · Referee: Michael Oliver (England)
Predicted Score

Last update of insights: 30 May 2026

Arsenal
Arsenal
Final result
0 – 0
CoachAI prediction
0 – 3
✗ Outcome incorrect
Kickoff in —

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Coach AI predicts a score of 0-3 for Nottingham vs Arsenal in the Premier League. Arsenal is the favourite with a 62% win probability. Nottingham has a 16% chance of winning and 22% ends in a draw. See the full analysis, injuries and score matrix below.

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Nottingham vs Arsenal

This is a quintessential 'top vs. bottom' clash. Arsenal enters as Premier League leaders with a six-point cushion, seeking to maintain their title charge. Nottingham Forest sits 17th, fighting relegation under Sean Dyche, and is desperate to bounce back after a humiliating cup exit to Wrexham.

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Match Scenario's

Three most likely match scenarios

33%
34%
33%
analytics
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Scenario Explanation

Arsenal's consistency and superior tactical flexibility under Mikel Arteta make them heavy favorites. Despite Forest welcoming back Sangaré and Boly from AFCON, the lack of a clinical finisher like Chris Wood will likely prevent them from testing Arsenal's league-best defense. Arsenal's recent 3-2 win over Chelsea in the EFL Cup and their 3-0 victory in the reverse fixture suggest a comfortable away win.
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Current Standings

Position in the competition

Pos Team Pld W D L GD Pts
14 Leeds United FC 38 11 14 13 -7 47
15 Crystal Palace FC 38 11 12 15 -10 45
16 Nottingham Forest FC 38 11 11 16 -3 44
17 Tottenham Hotspur FC 38 10 11 17 -9 41
18 West Ham United FC 38 10 9 19 -19 39
···
1 Arsenal FC 38 26 7 5 +44 85
2 Manchester City FC 38 23 9 6 +42 78
3 Manchester United FC 38 20 11 7 +19 71
Nottingham
Arsenal

Projected xG by CoachAI

1.05

Home xG

1.85

Away xG

Upset Chance

Low

Risk of unexpected result

Nottingham Recent Form — Last 5

Arsenal Recent Form — Last 5

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Key Factors

sports_soccer 1

Arsenal's league-leading form (15 wins in 21 games)

trending_up 2

Nottingham Forest's morale following an FA Cup exit to Wrexham

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Absence of Forest's top scorer Chris Wood due to injury

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Arsenal's strong offensive depth featuring Viktor Gyökeres and Bukayo Saka

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Injuries & Absentees

Nottingham Forest are without Chris Wood (knee) and John Victor (knee), while Oleksandr Zinchenko is ineligible. Arsenal are missing defenders Riccardo Calafiori, Piero Hincapié, and Cristhian Mosquera.

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Frequently Asked Questions about this prediction

What is the Coach AI prediction for Nottingham vs Arsenal?

Coach AI predicts a score of 0-3 with a win probability of 16% for Nottingham, 22% draw and 62% for Arsenal.

What is the recent form of Nottingham and Arsenal?

Nottingham form (last 5): no data. Arsenal form (last 5): no data.

What are the injury and suspension updates for Nottingham vs Arsenal?

Nottingham Forest are without Chris Wood (knee) and John Victor (knee), while Oleksandr Zinchenko is ineligible. Arsenal are missing defenders Riccardo Calafiori, Piero Hincapié, and Cristhian Mosquera.

What are the current standings for Nottingham and Arsenal in the Premier League?

Nottingham are 16th in the Premier League with 44 points from 38 games. Arsenal are 1st with 85 points from 38 games.

What time does Nottingham vs Arsenal kick off?

Nottingham vs Arsenal kicks off on Saturday, 17 January 2026 at 18:30 (Central European Time). The match is part of the Premier League.

Who is the referee for Nottingham vs Arsenal?

The referee for Nottingham vs Arsenal in the Premier League is Michael Oliver.

What are the key factors for Nottingham vs Arsenal?

Coach AI identifies three decisive factors for Nottingham vs Arsenal: 1. Arsenal's league-leading form (15 wins in 21 games) 2. Nottingham Forest's morale following an FA Cup exit to Wrexham 3. Absence of Forest's top scorer Chris Wood due to injury 4. Arsenal's strong offensive depth featuring Viktor Gyökeres and Bukayo Saka.

How does Coach AI predict this match?

Coach AI analyzes thousands of data points, including xG, recent form, team news, and tactical developments for every match.

How often are these football predictions updated?

Insights are updated daily to incorporate the latest developments, injuries, and market movements.

How accurate are the Coach AI predictions?

Coach AI has analyzed over 1,000 matches. In 50% of cases, the correct outcome (home win, draw, or away win) is predicted accurately. In more than 10% of matches, the exact final score matches the prediction — significantly above the market average.

What is Coach AI's track record?

Coach AI has predicted over 1,000 matches: 50% correct outcome, 10%+ exact final score. The model consistently outperforms standard probability calculations and gives football fans the data they need to make truly informed predictions.

What data does Coach AI use for its predictions?

Coach AI combines Expected Goals (xG), recent team form over the last five matches, head-to-head records, up-to-date injury news, and tactical match-up analysis. The model is updated daily so every prediction reflects the most current information available.