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Newcastle vs Leeds United — Premier League Prediction 7 January 2026

Newcastle
Newcastle
Premier League
2
VS
1
schedule 07 Jan, 20:15 · Referee: Michael Salisbury (England)
Predicted Score

Last update of insights: 30 May 2026

Leeds United
Leeds United
Final result
4 – 3
CoachAI prediction
2 – 1
✓ Outcome correct
Kickoff in

Coach AI predicts a score of 2-1 for Newcastle vs Leeds United in the Premier League. Newcastle is the favourite with a 47% win probability. Leeds United has a 22% chance of winning and 31% ends in a draw. See the full analysis, injuries and score matrix below.

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Newcastle vs Leeds United

Context coming soon.

analytics

Match Scenario's

Three most likely match scenarios

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Current Standings

Position in the competition

Pos Team Pld W D L GD Pts
10 Chelsea FC 38 14 10 14 +6 52
11 Fulham FC 38 15 7 16 -4 52
12 Newcastle United FC 38 14 7 17 -2 49
13 Everton FC 38 13 10 15 -3 49
14 Leeds United FC 38 11 14 13 -7 47
15 Crystal Palace FC 38 11 12 15 -10 45
16 Nottingham Forest FC 38 11 11 16 -3 44
Newcastle
Leeds United

Upset Chance

Moderate

Risk of unexpected result

Newcastle Recent Form — Last 5

Leeds United Recent Form — Last 5

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Key Factors

sports_soccer 1

Newcastle's dominant home form at St. James' Park, winning 5 of their last 7 league matches there.

trending_up 2

Leeds United's recent defensive resilience, maintaining an unbeaten run that includes draws against Liverpool and Manchester United.

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Historical head-to-head trend favoring draws, with the last three Premier League encounters between these sides ending level.

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Individual quality difference, with Newcastle sitting 9th and Leeds struggling in 16th, despite Leeds' recent improvement.

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Injuries & Absentees

Newcastle's Sven Botman is nearing a full return but may not start; Malick Thiaw is fit and recently scored. Leeds are monitoring squad fitness following a dense festive period, with Jack Harrison and Dominic Calvert-Lewin expected to lead the line.

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Frequently Asked Questions about this prediction

What is the Coach AI prediction for Newcastle vs Leeds United?

Coach AI predicts a score of 2-1 with a win probability of 47% for Newcastle, 31% draw and 22% for Leeds United.

What is the recent form of Newcastle and Leeds United?

Newcastle form (last 5): no data. Leeds United form (last 5): no data.

What are the injury and suspension updates for Newcastle vs Leeds United?

Newcastle's Sven Botman is nearing a full return but may not start; Malick Thiaw is fit and recently scored. Leeds are monitoring squad fitness following a dense festive period, with Jack Harrison and Dominic Calvert-Lewin expected to lead the line.

What are the current standings for Newcastle and Leeds United in the Premier League?

Newcastle are 12th in the Premier League with 49 points from 38 games. Leeds United are 14th with 47 points from 38 games.

What time does Newcastle vs Leeds United kick off?

Newcastle vs Leeds United kicks off on Wednesday, 7 January 2026 at 21:15 (Central European Time). The match is part of the Premier League.

Who is the referee for Newcastle vs Leeds United?

The referee for Newcastle vs Leeds United in the Premier League is Michael Salisbury.

What are the key factors for Newcastle vs Leeds United?

Coach AI identifies three decisive factors for Newcastle vs Leeds United: 1. Newcastle's dominant home form at St. James' Park, winning 5 of their last 7 league matches there. 2. Leeds United's recent defensive resilience, maintaining an unbeaten run that includes draws against Liverpool and Manchester United. 3. Historical head-to-head trend favoring draws, with the last three Premier League encounters between these sides ending level. 4. Individual quality difference, with Newcastle sitting 9th and Leeds struggling in 16th, despite Leeds' recent improvement..

How does Coach AI predict this match?

Coach AI analyzes thousands of data points, including xG, recent form, team news, and tactical developments for every match.

How often are these football predictions updated?

Insights are updated daily to incorporate the latest developments, injuries, and market movements.

How accurate are the Coach AI predictions?

Coach AI has analyzed over 1,000 matches. In 50% of cases, the correct outcome (home win, draw, or away win) is predicted accurately. In more than 10% of matches, the exact final score matches the prediction — significantly above the market average.

What is Coach AI's track record?

Coach AI has predicted over 1,000 matches: 50% correct outcome, 10%+ exact final score. The model consistently outperforms standard probability calculations and gives football fans the data they need to make truly informed predictions.

What data does Coach AI use for its predictions?

Coach AI combines Expected Goals (xG), recent team form over the last five matches, head-to-head records, up-to-date injury news, and tactical match-up analysis. The model is updated daily so every prediction reflects the most current information available.