Coach AI Odds
Projected xG by CoachAI
Home xG
Away xG
Upset Chance
Risk of unexpected result
Newcastle Recent Form — Last 5
Hull City Recent Form — Last 5
Key Factors
Defensive Mismatch: Newcastle has faced more shots (76) than any other Premier League team this season, conceding 2.00 goals per game, while Hull remains unbeaten with the league's second-best defensive record (0.50 conceded per game).
Massive Injury Crisis: Both squads are severely depleted; Newcastle is missing 8 first-team players including Dan Burn and Joelinton, while Hull is without star goalkeeper Jack Butland and midfield engine Hidemasa Morita.
Tactical Resilience vs. Home Pressure: Hull’s low-block 5-4-1 system has successfully neutralized big-six attacks (Chelsea, Man Utd), which will frustrate a Newcastle side under pressure to respond after a 4-1 thrashing by Leeds.
Injuries & Absentees
Newcastle enters this fixture with a decimated defensive and midfield core; the absence of Dan Burn and Amar Dedić leaves Valentino Livramento and Lewis Hall with high defensive workloads against Hull's wing-backs. For Hull, the loss of Jack Butland in goal is significant, though Konstantinos Tzolakis is a capable deputy. The absence of Morita (Hull) and Joelinton (Newcastle) creates a 'chaos' factor in the middle of the park, likely leading to more turnovers.
Key Players
Newcastle
Hull City
Confirmed Lineups
4-2-3-1
Bench
5-4-1
Bench
The analyses and predictions on this page are generated by artificial intelligence and are intended for informational and entertainment purposes only. This is not gambling advice.
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Frequently Asked Questions about this prediction
What is the Coach AI prediction for Newcastle vs Hull City?
Coach AI predicts a score of 1-1 with a win probability of 61% for Newcastle, 22% draw and 17% for Hull City.
What is the recent form of Newcastle and Hull City?
Newcastle form (last 5): 1W-2D-2L. Hull City form (last 5): 2W-2D-0L.
What are the injury and suspension updates for Newcastle vs Hull City?
Newcastle enters this fixture with a decimated defensive and midfield core; the absence of Dan Burn and Amar Dedić leaves Valentino Livramento and Lewis Hall with high defensive workloads against Hull's wing-backs. For Hull, the loss of Jack Butland in goal is significant, though Konstantinos Tzolakis is a capable deputy. The absence of Morita (Hull) and Joelinton (Newcastle) creates a 'chaos' factor in the middle of the park, likely leading to more turnovers.
What is the most likely correct score for Newcastle vs Hull City?
According to the score probability matrix, 1-2 is the most likely scoreline (14%), followed by 0-1 (11%) and 1-1 (10%).
What are the possible match scenarios for Newcastle vs Hull City?
Hard-Fought Tactical Draw (45%): Hull's 5-4-1 block successfully frustrates Newcastle's attack, with both teams trading goals through individual brilliance amidst heavy squad rotations. — Narrow Home Bounce (30%): Newcastle leverages the St. James' Park atmosphere to overcome their defensive lapses, winning by a single goal late in the second half. — The Unbeaten Counter-Punch (25%): Hull capitalizes on Newcastle's league-worst shot-concession rate, securing a narrow win through a McBurnie header or Belloumi counter.
What do football fans and other predictors think about Newcastle vs Hull City?
Among Football Meister players, 56% back a home win for Newcastle, 33% a draw, and 11% an away win for Hull City. The most predicted scoreline is 2-0. Fans and Coach AI broadly agree on the likely outcome of this match.
What is the most popular prediction for Newcastle vs Hull City?
The most predicted scoreline for Newcastle vs Hull City is 2-0. Of all Football Meister players, 56% back Newcastle, 33% a draw and 11% Hull City.
How confident are fans about Newcastle vs Hull City?
56% of fans predict a win for Newcastle, with an average confidence of 65% (moderate confidence).
Who do fans pick as the likely scorer in Newcastle vs Hull City?
33% of Football Meister players expect Anthony Elanga to score in Newcastle vs Hull City.
What are the current standings for Newcastle and Hull City in the Premier League?
Newcastle are 8th in the Premier League with 8 points from 5 games. Hull City are 7th with 8 points from 5 games.
What is the confirmed lineup for Newcastle and Hull City?
Confirmed lineup Newcastle (4-2-3-1): Lukáš Horníček, Lewis Hall, Sven Botman, Malick Thiaw, Sean Steur, Lewis Miley, Joe Willock, Jacob Murphy, Matias Fernandez-Pardo, Harvey Barnes, Yoane Wissa. Confirmed lineup Hull City (5-4-1): Konstantinos Tzolakis, Lucas Herrington, John Egan, Semi Ajayi, Ryan John Giles, Lewie Coyle, Regan Slater, Matt Crooks, Sorba Thomas, Mohamed Belloumi, Oliver McBurnie. These lineups were confirmed by the clubs when the official team sheets were submitted.
Who scored the goals in Newcastle vs Hull City?
Goal scorers in Newcastle vs Hull City: Joe Willock 3' — Newcastle, Lewis Hall 7' — Newcastle, Mohamed Cho 67' — Hull City. Final score: Newcastle 2 - 1 Hull City.
What time does Newcastle vs Hull City kick off?
Newcastle vs Hull City kicks off on Saturday, 19 September 2026 at 15:00 (Central European Time). The match is part of the Premier League.
Who is the referee for Newcastle vs Hull City?
The referee for Newcastle vs Hull City in the Premier League is Tony Harrington.
What are the key factors for Newcastle vs Hull City?
Coach AI identifies three decisive factors for Newcastle vs Hull City: 1. Defensive Mismatch: Newcastle has faced more shots (76) than any other Premier League team this season, conceding 2.00 goals per game, while Hull remains unbeaten with the league's second-best defensive record (0.50 conceded per game). 2. Massive Injury Crisis: Both squads are severely depleted; Newcastle is missing 8 first-team players including Dan Burn and Joelinton, while Hull is without star goalkeeper Jack Butland and midfield engine Hidemasa Morita. 3. Tactical Resilience vs. Home Pressure: Hull’s low-block 5-4-1 system has successfully neutralized big-six attacks (Chelsea, Man Utd), which will frustrate a Newcastle side under pressure to respond after a 4-1 thrashing by Leeds..
Who are the key players for Newcastle vs Hull City?
Coach AI has identified the following key players for Newcastle vs Hull City. Newcastle: Yoane Wissa (Key Threat), Harvey Barnes (In Form). Hull City: Oliver McBurnie (Key Threat), Mohamed Belloumi (In Form).
What are the Coach AI odds for Newcastle vs Hull City?
Coach AI calculates the following outcome probabilities for Newcastle vs Hull City: Newcastle wins 61%, draw 22%, Hull City wins 17%. The most likely outcome is Newcastle with 61%.
What are the bookmaker odds for Newcastle vs Hull City?
Bookmakers give Newcastle a 52% win probability, 25% draw and Hull City 23% chance of winning. Coach AI estimates 29% for Newcastle, 21% draw and 50% for Hull City.
How does Coach AI predict this match?
Coach AI analyzes thousands of data points, including xG, recent form, team news, and tactical developments for every match.
How often are these football predictions updated?
Insights are updated daily to incorporate the latest developments, injuries, and market movements.
How accurate are the Coach AI predictions?
Coach AI has analyzed over 1,000 matches. In 50% of cases, the correct outcome (home win, draw, or away win) is predicted accurately. In more than 10% of matches, the exact final score matches the prediction — significantly above the market average.
What is Coach AI's track record?
Coach AI has predicted over 1,000 matches: 50% correct outcome, 10%+ exact final score. The model consistently outperforms standard probability calculations and gives football fans the data they need to make truly informed predictions.
What data does Coach AI use for its predictions?
Coach AI combines Expected Goals (xG), recent team form over the last five matches, head-to-head records, up-to-date injury news, and tactical match-up analysis. The model is updated daily so every prediction reflects the most current information available.