Upset Chance
Risk of unexpected result
Newcastle Recent Form — Last 5
Burnley Recent Form — Last 5
Key Factors
Newcastle's formidable home record, being unbeaten in their last seven games at St James' Park across all competitions, with six wins and scoring at least two goals in each. [5, 8]
Burnley's alarming recent form, having lost five consecutive Premier League matches and possessing the league's second-worst defensive record, conceding 28 goals this season. [2, 5, 8]
Newcastle's historical dominance over Burnley, securing eight wins in their last 15 encounters and currently on a run of four straight victories against the Clarets. [1, 2, 5]
Burnley's struggles away from home, having conceded at least three goals in five of their seven Premier League away games this season. [5]
Injuries & Absentees
Newcastle United faces several key absences, with goalkeeper Nick Pope sidelined for around three weeks due to a groin injury, and Kieran Trippier out for approximately a month with a hamstring issue. Sven Botman is recovering from a back injury, expected back within a week from December 5th, while William Osula (ankle) and Yoane Wissa (knee) are also unavailable, though Wissa is nearing a return. Emil Krafth is out with a knee injury. There are also doubts over Sandro Tonali (knock) and Joelinton (leg injury). [8, 14, 15, 16] For Burnley, defender Axel Tuanzebe is out for a few weeks with an unspecified injury. Zeki Amoundi, Connor Roberts, and Jordan Beyer are all sidelined with knee and thigh issues respectively. Additionally, Hannibal Mejbri is serving a four-game suspension. [8, 10, 13, 18]
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Start your free league →Frequently Asked Questions about this prediction
What is the Coach AI prediction for Newcastle vs Burnley?
Coach AI predicts a score of 3-1 with a win probability of 72% for Newcastle, 18% draw and 10% for Burnley.
What is the recent form of Newcastle and Burnley?
Newcastle form (last 5): no data. Burnley form (last 5): no data.
What are the injury and suspension updates for Newcastle vs Burnley?
Newcastle United faces several key absences, with goalkeeper Nick Pope sidelined for around three weeks due to a groin injury, and Kieran Trippier out for approximately a month with a hamstring issue. Sven Botman is recovering from a back injury, expected back within a week from December 5th, while William Osula (ankle) and Yoane Wissa (knee) are also unavailable, though Wissa is nearing a return. Emil Krafth is out with a knee injury. There are also doubts over Sandro Tonali (knock) and Joelinton (leg injury). [8, 14, 15, 16] For Burnley, defender Axel Tuanzebe is out for a few weeks with an unspecified injury. Zeki Amoundi, Connor Roberts, and Jordan Beyer are all sidelined with knee and thigh issues respectively. Additionally, Hannibal Mejbri is serving a four-game suspension. [8, 10, 13, 18]
What are the current standings for Newcastle and Burnley in the Premier League?
Newcastle are 12th in the Premier League with 49 points from 38 games. Burnley are 19th with 22 points from 38 games.
What time does Newcastle vs Burnley kick off?
Newcastle vs Burnley kicks off on Saturday, 6 December 2025 at 16:00 (Central European Time). The match is part of the Premier League.
Who is the referee for Newcastle vs Burnley?
The referee for Newcastle vs Burnley in the Premier League is Stuart Attwell.
What are the key factors for Newcastle vs Burnley?
Coach AI identifies three decisive factors for Newcastle vs Burnley: 1. Newcastle's formidable home record, being unbeaten in their last seven games at St James' Park across all competitions, with six wins and scoring at least two goals in each. [5, 8] 2. Burnley's alarming recent form, having lost five consecutive Premier League matches and possessing the league's second-worst defensive record, conceding 28 goals this season. [2, 5, 8] 3. Newcastle's historical dominance over Burnley, securing eight wins in their last 15 encounters and currently on a run of four straight victories against the Clarets. [1, 2, 5] 4. Burnley's struggles away from home, having conceded at least three goals in five of their seven Premier League away games this season. [5].
How does Coach AI predict this match?
Coach AI analyzes thousands of data points, including xG, recent form, team news, and tactical developments for every match.
How often are these football predictions updated?
Insights are updated daily to incorporate the latest developments, injuries, and market movements.
How accurate are the Coach AI predictions?
Coach AI has analyzed over 1,000 matches. In 50% of cases, the correct outcome (home win, draw, or away win) is predicted accurately. In more than 10% of matches, the exact final score matches the prediction — significantly above the market average.
What is Coach AI's track record?
Coach AI has predicted over 1,000 matches: 50% correct outcome, 10%+ exact final score. The model consistently outperforms standard probability calculations and gives football fans the data they need to make truly informed predictions.
What data does Coach AI use for its predictions?
Coach AI combines Expected Goals (xG), recent team form over the last five matches, head-to-head records, up-to-date injury news, and tactical match-up analysis. The model is updated daily so every prediction reflects the most current information available.