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Newcastle vs Bournemouth: Premier League Prediction 18 April 2026

Premier League
1
VS
1
schedule 18 Apr, 15:00 · Referee: Thomas Bramall (England)
Predicted Score

Last update of insights: 19 Oct 2026

Final result
1 – 2
CoachAI prediction
1 – 1
✗ Missed: next one’s ours
Kickoff in -

Coach AI predicts a score of 1-1 for Newcastle vs Bournemouth in the Premier League. Newcastle comes out as the stronger side in the analysis. See the full analysis, injuries and score matrix below.

Match report: Newcastle vs Bournemouth

Bournemouth beat Newcastle 2-1 in the Premier League (matchday 33) on 18 April 2026.

Coach AI looks back

Coach AI predicted 1-1: the outcome was not right.

Result1-2
Coach AI1-1not right
FansNewcastle win (57%)not right
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Pre-match preview: Newcastle vs Bournemouth

This is a clash of two teams moving in opposite directions. Newcastle, once top-five contenders, are in a tailspin (14th), while Bournemouth (11th) is enjoying its longest unbeaten run in top-flight history. Motivation is high for Bournemouth's Andoni Iraola, who recently announced his departure and wants to leave a European legacy. St. James' Park remains intimidating, but the tactical 'parked bus' from Bournemouth combined with Newcastle's lack of a creative pivot often leads to frustration.

#NEWBOU #Newcastle #Bournemouth #PremierLeague #FootballMeister

analytics

Scenarios before the match

Three most likely match scenarios

40%
35%
25%
analytics
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Scenario Explanation

1) Tactical Stalemate (40%): Bournemouth's high draw rate (15/32) and Newcastle's struggle to finish chances suggest a repeat of their previous 0-0 or a low-scoring 1-1. 2) The 'Cherries' Counter-Punch (35%): Bournemouth exploits Newcastle's high line and missing defensive cover to win 1-2. 3) Home Bounce (25%): An inspired performance by Anthony Gordon or a surprise early return for Guimarães leads to a narrow 1-0 or 2-1 Newcastle win. The data strongly points to the visitors avoiding defeat (X2).

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Current Standings

Position in the competition

Matchday

Pos Team Pld W D L GD Pts
1 Manchester City FC 7 7 0 0 +12 21
2 Arsenal FC 7 6 0 1 +6 18
3 Brighton & Hove Albion FC 7 5 1 1 +18 16
4 Chelsea FC 7 4 1 2 +4 13
5 Liverpool FC 7 3 3 1 +1 12
6 Brentford FC 7 2 4 1 +5 10
7 Leeds United FC 7 2 4 1 +3 10
8 Everton FC 7 2 4 1 +1 10
9 Hull City AFC 7 2 3 2 +1 9
10 Ipswich Town FC 7 3 0 4 -4 9
11 Newcastle United FC 7 2 2 3 -4 8
12 Aston Villa FC 7 2 2 3 -4 8
13 Manchester United FC 7 1 4 2 0 7
14 Crystal Palace FC 7 2 1 4 -8 7
15 AFC Bournemouth 7 1 3 3 -4 6
16 Coventry City FC 6 2 0 4 -6 6
17 Fulham FC 7 1 2 4 -3 5
18 Nottingham Forest FC 7 1 2 4 -4 5
19 Sunderland AFC 7 1 1 5 -8 4
20 Tottenham Hotspur FC 6 0 3 3 -6 3
Newcastle
Bournemouth
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Fan Predictions

What Football Meister players predict for this match

Newcastle D Bournemouth
57%
29%
14%
57% 29% 14%

Most predicted scorelines

2-0 29%
0-0 14%
2-1 14%
0-1 14%
3-2 14%

These are predictions made by real Football Meister players, not AI-generated data.

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Head to head

Newcastle and Bournemouth in Football Meister data

0Newcastle wins
1draws
0Bournemouth wins

Goals: 0 for Newcastle, 0 for Bournemouth.

Previous meetings

  • 21 Sept 2025Bournemouth0Newcastle0

Goals per match

What the two clubs score and concede on average, as context for the prediction.

Newcastle at home

1.8

scored

1.6

conceded

16 matches

0
7 of 32 (22%)
1
10 of 32 (31%)
2
12 of 32 (38%)
3+
3 of 32 (9%)

Usually 2. Scores in 78% of matches.

Bournemouth away

1.6

scored

2.0

conceded

16 matches

0
7 of 32 (22%)
1
8 of 32 (25%)
2
12 of 32 (38%)
3+
5 of 32 (16%)

Usually 2. Scores in 78% of matches.

Coach AI pre-match analysis

insights

Coach AI Scenarios

Newcastle Bournemouth
W D L

Projected xG by CoachAI

1.68

Home xG

1.55

Away xG

Upset risk

High

Risk of unexpected result

Newcastle Recent Form: Last 5

1 W · 1 D · 3 L
▼
▼
▲
▼
12/4 Crystal Palace FC 2-1 Newcastle United FC L 1.55
22/3 Newcastle United FC 1-2 Sunderland AFC L 1.80
18/3 FC Barcelona 7-2 Newcastle United FC L 1.22
14/3 Chelsea FC 0-1 Newcastle United FC W 1.45
10/3 Newcastle United FC 1-1 FC Barcelona D 1.68

Bournemouth Recent Form: Last 5

1 W · 4 D · 0 L
▲
▼
▼
▼
11/4 Arsenal FC 1-2 AFC Bournemouth W 1.05
20/3 AFC Bournemouth 2-2 Manchester United FC D 1.75
14/3 Burnley FC 0-0 AFC Bournemouth D 1.70
3/3 AFC Bournemouth 0-0 Brentford FC D 1.75
28/2 AFC Bournemouth 1-1 Sunderland AFC D 1.85
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Key Factors

sports_soccer 1

Bournemouth's 13-match unbeaten streak and Newcastle's poor home form (4 losses in last 5 league games at St James' Park).

trending_up 2

Extreme tactical vulnerability in Newcastle's midfield due to Joelinton's suspension and captain Bruno Guimarães' fitness concerns (mumps/hamstring).

person 3

Clinical efficiency vs. Volume: Bournemouth’s Eli Junior Kroupi is massively overperforming his xG (10 goals from 3.82 xG), while Newcastle consistently fails to convert high-xG chances.

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Injuries & Absentees

Newcastle is effectively missing its 'spine'. Fabian Schär (foot surgery) leaves the defense exposed, while the absence of the Guimarães-Joelinton duo removes the engine and creative hub. Replacement midfielders like Longstaff or Willock lack the same transition-defense awareness. Bournemouth is missing Lewis Cook and Justin Kluivert, but the form of Alex Scott and Kroupi has successfully mitigated these losses.

The analyses and predictions on this page are generated by artificial intelligence and are intended for informational and entertainment purposes only. This is not gambling advice.

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Frequently Asked Questions about this prediction

What was the result of Newcastle vs Bournemouth?

Bournemouth beat Newcastle 2-1 in the Premier League (matchday 33) on 18 April 2026.

Did Coach AI predict Newcastle vs Bournemouth correctly?

Coach AI predicted 1-1: the outcome was not right. The fans predicted Newcastle win (57%), which was not right.

What is the correct score prediction for Newcastle vs Bournemouth?

Coach AI predicts 1-1 as the correct score for Newcastle vs Bournemouth. This page also covers the expected line-ups, injuries and xG.

What is the recent form of Newcastle and Bournemouth?

Newcastle form (last 5): 1W-1D-3L. Bournemouth form (last 5): 1W-4D-0L.

What are the injury and suspension updates for Newcastle vs Bournemouth?

Newcastle is effectively missing its 'spine'. Fabian Schär (foot surgery) leaves the defense exposed, while the absence of the Guimarães-Joelinton duo removes the engine and creative hub. Replacement midfielders like Longstaff or Willock lack the same transition-defense awareness. Bournemouth is missing Lewis Cook and Justin Kluivert, but the form of Alex Scott and Kroupi has successfully mitigated these losses.

How many goals do Newcastle and Bournemouth score on average?

Newcastle score at home 1.8 goals on average and concede 1.6 (16 matches). Bournemouth score away 1.6 goals on average and concede 2.0 (16 matches).

What is the head-to-head record between Newcastle and Bournemouth?

Football Meister has recorded 1 previous meeting between Newcastle and Bournemouth: Newcastle won 0, Bournemouth won 0 and 1 ended in a draw. The goal tally is 0-0.

What was the last result between Newcastle and Bournemouth?

The last meeting was on 21 Sept 2025: Bournemouth - Newcastle 0-0.

What do football fans and other predictors think about Newcastle vs Bournemouth?

Among Football Meister players, 57% back a home win for Newcastle, 29% a draw, and 14% an away win for Bournemouth. The most predicted scoreline is 2-0. Fans are more bullish than Coach AI on Newcastle: fans pick 57% home win, Coach AI calculates 46%.

What is the most popular prediction for Newcastle vs Bournemouth?

The most predicted scoreline for Newcastle vs Bournemouth is 2-0. Of all Football Meister players, 57% back Newcastle, 29% a draw and 14% Bournemouth.

What are the current standings for Newcastle and Bournemouth in the Premier League?

Newcastle are 11th in the Premier League with 8 points from 7 games. Bournemouth are 15th with 6 points from 7 games.

What time does Newcastle vs Bournemouth kick off?

Newcastle vs Bournemouth kicks off on Saturday, 18 April 2026 at 15:00 (Central European Time). The match is part of the Premier League.

Who is the referee for Newcastle vs Bournemouth?

The referee for Newcastle vs Bournemouth in the Premier League is Thomas Bramall.

What are the key factors for Newcastle vs Bournemouth?

Coach AI identifies three decisive factors for Newcastle vs Bournemouth: 1. Bournemouth's 13-match unbeaten streak and Newcastle's poor home form (4 losses in last 5 league games at St James' Park). 2. Extreme tactical vulnerability in Newcastle's midfield due to Joelinton's suspension and captain Bruno Guimarães' fitness concerns (mumps/hamstring). 3. Clinical efficiency vs. Volume: Bournemouth’s Eli Junior Kroupi is massively overperforming his xG (10 goals from 3.82 xG), while Newcastle consistently fails to convert high-xG chances..

Which scenario does Coach AI see for Newcastle vs Bournemouth?

Coach AI sees Newcastle as the stronger side in Newcastle vs Bournemouth. The full analysis with the expected score, xG and injuries is on this page.

How does Coach AI predict this match?

Coach AI analyzes thousands of data points, including xG, recent form, team news, and tactical developments for every match.

How often are these football predictions updated?

Insights are updated daily to incorporate the latest developments, injuries, and market movements.

How accurate are the Coach AI predictions?

Coach AI has analyzed over 1,000 matches. In 50% of cases, the correct outcome (home win, draw, or away win) is predicted accurately. In more than 10% of matches, the exact final score matches the prediction, significantly above the market average.

What is Coach AI's track record?

Coach AI has predicted over 1,000 matches: 50% correct outcome, 10%+ exact final score. The model consistently outperforms standard probability calculations and gives football fans the data they need to make truly informed predictions.

What data does Coach AI use for its predictions?

Coach AI combines Expected Goals (xG), recent team form over the last five matches, head-to-head records, up-to-date injury news, and tactical match-up analysis. The model is updated daily so every prediction reflects the most current information available.

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