Newcastle vs Aston Villa: Premier League Prediction 25 January 2026

Aston Villa beat Newcastle 2-0 in the Premier League (matchday 23) on 25 January 2026.

Coach AI predicted 2-1: the outcome was not right. The fans predicted Newcastle win (56%), which was not right.

Coach AI predicts 2-1 as the correct score for Newcastle vs Aston Villa. This page also covers the expected line-ups, injuries and xG.

Newcastle form (last 5): 0W-0D-0L. Aston Villa form (last 5): 0W-0D-0L.

Newcastle's defense is severely depleted with Schär, Livramento, and Krafth ruled out, forcing a makeshift backline likely featuring Thiaw and Hall. However, the most critical impact is the potential absence of Bruno Guimarães (ankle), whose ball-progression is irreplaceable. Aston Villa faces a similar crisis in midfield; the loss of John McGinn and Boubacar Kamara removes their defensive screen and leadership, leaving Youri Tielemans with an immense workload against Newcastle’s high-energy trio of Tonali, Joelinton, and Miley.

Newcastle score at home 2.0 goals on average and concede 1.4 (11 matches). Aston Villa score away 1.4 goals on average and concede 1.5 (11 matches).

Football Meister has recorded 1 previous meeting between Newcastle and Aston Villa: Newcastle won 0, Aston Villa won 0 and 1 ended in a draw. The goal tally is 0-0.

The last meeting was on 16 Aug 2025: Aston Villa - Newcastle 0-0.

Among Football Meister players, 56% back a home win for Newcastle, 22% a draw, and 22% an away win for Aston Villa. The most predicted scoreline is 2-1. Fans and Coach AI broadly agree on the likely outcome of this match.

The most predicted scoreline for Newcastle vs Aston Villa is 2-1. Of all Football Meister players, 56% back Newcastle, 22% a draw and 22% Aston Villa.

Newcastle are 11th in the Premier League with 8 points from 7 games. Aston Villa are 12th with 8 points from 7 games.

Newcastle vs Aston Villa kicks off on Sunday, 25 January 2026 at 14:00 (Central European Time). The match is part of the Premier League.

The referee for Newcastle vs Aston Villa in the Premier League is Jarred Gillett.

Coach AI identifies three decisive factors for Newcastle vs Aston Villa: 1. Historic Dominance: Newcastle is unbeaten in 17 home league games against Aston Villa (W11 D6), winning the last four by a 13-1 aggregate. 2. Midfield Attrition: Both sides are missing tactical anchors; Villa is without McGinn and Kamara (engine room), while Newcastle faces a late fitness test for Bruno Guimarães. 3. Home Scoring Streak: Newcastle has scored 2+ goals in each of their last eight Premier League matches at St. James' Park, thriving on a high-intensity press (low PPDA) that exploits Villa's tendency to sit deep..

Coach AI sees Newcastle as the stronger side in Newcastle vs Aston Villa. The full analysis with the expected score, xG and injuries is on this page.

Coach AI analyzes thousands of data points, including xG, recent form, team news, and tactical developments for every match.

Insights are updated daily to incorporate the latest developments, injuries, and market movements.

Coach AI has analyzed over 1,000 matches. In 50% of cases, the correct outcome (home win, draw, or away win) is predicted accurately. In more than 10% of matches, the exact final score matches the prediction, significantly above the market average.

Coach AI has predicted over 1,000 matches: 50% correct outcome, 10%+ exact final score. The model consistently outperforms standard probability calculations and gives football fans the data they need to make truly informed predictions.

Coach AI combines Expected Goals (xG), recent team form over the last five matches, head-to-head records, up-to-date injury news, and tactical match-up analysis. The model is updated daily so every prediction reflects the most current information available.