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Man United vs Nottingham: Premier League Prediction 17 May 2026

Premier League
3
VS
1
schedule 17 May, 12:30 · Referee: Michael Salisbury (England)
Predicted Score

Last update of insights: 19 Oct 2026

Final result
3 – 2
CoachAI prediction
3 – 1
✓ Outcome: CALLED IT
Kickoff in -

Coach AI predicts a score of 3-1 for Man United vs Nottingham in the Premier League. Man United comes out as the stronger side in the analysis. See the full analysis, injuries and score matrix below.

Match report: Man United vs Nottingham

Man United beat Nottingham 3-2 in the Premier League (matchday 37) on 17 May 2026.

Coach AI looks back

Coach AI predicted 3-1: the right outcome, but not the exact score.

Result3-2
Coach AI3-1right
FansMan United win (100%)right
Most likely scoreline2-1 · 14%
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Pre-match preview: Man United vs Nottingham

This is the final home game of the 2025/26 season. United has secured Champions League football but is fighting to maintain 3rd place to support Michael Carrick’s bid for the permanent manager role. Forest is safe from relegation, meaning the 'must-win' pressure is lower, though they remain dangerous on the counter-attack through Morgan Gibbs-White (playing with a protective mask).

#MUNNOT #ManUnited #Nottingham #PremierLeague #FootballMeister

analytics

Scenarios before the match

Three most likely match scenarios

55%
25%
20%
analytics
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Scenario Explanation

1 win at Chelsea, though the lack of starting defenders makes this less probable at Old Trafford.

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table_chart

Current Standings

Position in the competition

Matchday

Pos Team Pld W D L GD Pts
1 Manchester City FC 7 7 0 0 +12 21
2 Arsenal FC 7 6 0 1 +6 18
3 Brighton & Hove Albion FC 7 5 1 1 +18 16
4 Chelsea FC 7 4 1 2 +4 13
5 Liverpool FC 7 3 3 1 +1 12
6 Brentford FC 7 2 4 1 +5 10
7 Leeds United FC 7 2 4 1 +3 10
8 Everton FC 7 2 4 1 +1 10
9 Hull City AFC 7 2 3 2 +1 9
10 Ipswich Town FC 7 3 0 4 -4 9
11 Newcastle United FC 7 2 2 3 -4 8
12 Aston Villa FC 7 2 2 3 -4 8
13 Manchester United FC 7 1 4 2 0 7
14 Crystal Palace FC 7 2 1 4 -8 7
15 AFC Bournemouth 7 1 3 3 -4 6
16 Coventry City FC 6 2 0 4 -6 6
17 Fulham FC 7 1 2 4 -3 5
18 Nottingham Forest FC 7 1 2 4 -4 5
19 Sunderland AFC 7 1 1 5 -8 4
20 Tottenham Hotspur FC 6 0 3 3 -6 3
Man United
Nottingham
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Fan Predictions

What Football Meister players predict for this match

Man United D Nottingham
100%
100% 0% 0%

Most predicted scorelines

2-0 27%
2-1 27%
3-1 18%
3-0 18%
1-0 9%

These are predictions made by real Football Meister players, not AI-generated data.

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Head to head

Man United and Nottingham in Football Meister data

0Man United wins
1draws
0Nottingham wins

Goals: 2 for Man United, 2 for Nottingham.

Previous meetings

  • 1 Nov 2025Nottingham2Man United2

Goals per match

What the two clubs score and concede on average, as context for the prediction.

Man United at home

2.0

scored

1.2

conceded

18 matches

0
4 of 36 (11%)
1
12 of 36 (33%)
2
12 of 36 (33%)
3+
8 of 36 (22%)

Usually 1 or 2. Scores in 89% of matches.

Nottingham away

1.4

scored

1.4

conceded

18 matches

0
14 of 36 (39%)
1
10 of 36 (28%)
2
4 of 36 (11%)
3+
8 of 36 (22%)

Usually 0. Scores in 61% of matches.

Coach AI pre-match analysis

insights

Coach AI Scenarios

Man United Nottingham
W D L

Most likely scorelines

2-1 14% 3-1 12% 1-1 11%
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Correct Score Prediction

AI-calculated probability per scoreline

Most Likely Scorelines
2-1 14%
3-1 12%
1-1 11%
Nottingham (Away)
Man United (Home)
0
1
2
3
4
0
4.0%
2.0%
1.0%
0.0%
0.0%
1
8.0%
11.0%
5.0%
1.0%
0.0%
2
10.0%
14.0%
6.0%
1.0%
0.0%
3
7.0%
12.0%
5.0%
1.0%
0.0%
4
4.0%
6.0%
2.0%
0.0%
0.0%

Extreme defensive absences for Forest (Murillo/Boly) and the return of Casemiro for his farewell match aggressively shift probability mass away from low-scoring draws toward high-scoring home wins (3-1, 4-1).

Projected xG by CoachAI

1.78

Home xG

1.45

Away xG

Upset risk

Medium

Risk of unexpected result

Man United Recent Form: Last 5

3 W · 1 D · 1 L
▼
▲
▼
▼
9/5 Sunderland AFC 0-0 Manchester United FC D 1.78
3/5 Manchester United FC 3-2 Liverpool FC W 1.76
27/4 Manchester United FC 2-1 Brentford FC W 1.85
18/4 Chelsea FC 0-1 Manchester United FC W 1.64
13/4 Manchester United FC 1-2 Leeds United FC L 1.85

Nottingham Recent Form: Last 5

3 W · 2 D · 0 L
▼
▲
▲
▲
10/5 Nottingham Forest FC 1-1 Newcastle United FC D 1.58
4/5 Chelsea FC 1-3 Nottingham Forest FC W 1.34
24/4 Sunderland AFC 0-5 Nottingham Forest FC W 1.34
19/4 Nottingham Forest FC 4-1 Burnley FC W 1.78
12/4 Nottingham Forest FC 1-1 Aston Villa FC D 1.35
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Key Factors

sports_soccer 1

Emotional context: Casemiro's final match at Old Trafford provides a significant motivational boost for the home side.

trending_up 2

Defensive vulnerabilities: Forest is missing key defenders Murillo and Ola Aina, which severely weakens their ability to withstand United's high shot volume (avg. 14.4 per game).

person 3

Tactical Shift: Under Michael Carrick, United has transitioned to a more fluid 3-2-5 build-up that has historically struggled with efficiency but dominates territory (58% possession).

medical_services

Injuries & Absentees

Manchester United remains without Matthijs de Ligt (season-ending back surgery), and leading scorer Benjamin Sesko is a major doubt with a shin injury. However, the return of Manuel Ugarte and Casemiro stabilizes the midfield. Nottingham Forest faces a crisis in the backline with Murillo and Aina out, forcing a makeshift defense against United's frontline of Mbeumo and Fernandes.

The analyses and predictions on this page are generated by artificial intelligence and are intended for informational and entertainment purposes only. This is not gambling advice.

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Frequently Asked Questions about this prediction

What was the result of Man United vs Nottingham?

Man United beat Nottingham 3-2 in the Premier League (matchday 37) on 17 May 2026.

Did Coach AI predict Man United vs Nottingham correctly?

Coach AI predicted 3-1: the right outcome, but not the exact score. The fans predicted Man United win (100%), which was right.

What is the correct score prediction for Man United vs Nottingham?

Coach AI predicts 3-1 as the correct score for Man United vs Nottingham. This page also covers the expected line-ups, injuries and xG.

What is the recent form of Man United and Nottingham?

Man United form (last 5): 3W-1D-1L. Nottingham form (last 5): 3W-2D-0L.

What are the injury and suspension updates for Man United vs Nottingham?

Manchester United remains without Matthijs de Ligt (season-ending back surgery), and leading scorer Benjamin Sesko is a major doubt with a shin injury. However, the return of Manuel Ugarte and Casemiro stabilizes the midfield. Nottingham Forest faces a crisis in the backline with Murillo and Aina out, forcing a makeshift defense against United's frontline of Mbeumo and Fernandes.

How many goals do Man United and Nottingham score on average?

Man United score at home 2.0 goals on average and concede 1.2 (18 matches). Nottingham score away 1.4 goals on average and concede 1.4 (18 matches).

What is the head-to-head record between Man United and Nottingham?

Football Meister has recorded 1 previous meeting between Man United and Nottingham: Man United won 0, Nottingham won 0 and 1 ended in a draw. The goal tally is 2-2.

What was the last result between Man United and Nottingham?

The last meeting was on 1 Nov 2025: Nottingham - Man United 2-2.

What is the most likely correct score for Man United vs Nottingham?

According to the score probability matrix, 2-1 is the most likely scoreline (14%), followed by 3-1 (12%) and 1-1 (11%).

What do football fans and other predictors think about Man United vs Nottingham?

Among Football Meister players, 100% back a home win for Man United, 0% a draw, and 0% an away win for Nottingham. The most predicted scoreline is 2-0. Fans are more bullish than Coach AI on Man United: fans pick 100% home win, Coach AI calculates 59%.

What is the most popular prediction for Man United vs Nottingham?

The most predicted scoreline for Man United vs Nottingham is 2-0. Of all Football Meister players, 100% back Man United, 0% a draw and 0% Nottingham.

What are the current standings for Man United and Nottingham in the Premier League?

Man United are 13th in the Premier League with 7 points from 7 games. Nottingham are 18th with 5 points from 7 games.

What time does Man United vs Nottingham kick off?

Man United vs Nottingham kicks off on Sunday, 17 May 2026 at 12:30 (Central European Time). The match is part of the Premier League.

Who is the referee for Man United vs Nottingham?

The referee for Man United vs Nottingham in the Premier League is Michael Salisbury.

What are the key factors for Man United vs Nottingham?

Coach AI identifies three decisive factors for Man United vs Nottingham: 1. Emotional context: Casemiro's final match at Old Trafford provides a significant motivational boost for the home side. 2. Defensive vulnerabilities: Forest is missing key defenders Murillo and Ola Aina, which severely weakens their ability to withstand United's high shot volume (avg. 14.4 per game). 3. Tactical Shift: Under Michael Carrick, United has transitioned to a more fluid 3-2-5 build-up that has historically struggled with efficiency but dominates territory (58% possession)..

Which scenario does Coach AI see for Man United vs Nottingham?

Coach AI sees Man United as the stronger side in Man United vs Nottingham. The full analysis with the expected score, xG and injuries is on this page.

How does Coach AI predict this match?

Coach AI analyzes thousands of data points, including xG, recent form, team news, and tactical developments for every match.

How often are these football predictions updated?

Insights are updated daily to incorporate the latest developments, injuries, and market movements.

How accurate are the Coach AI predictions?

Coach AI has analyzed over 1,000 matches. In 50% of cases, the correct outcome (home win, draw, or away win) is predicted accurately. In more than 10% of matches, the exact final score matches the prediction, significantly above the market average.

What is Coach AI's track record?

Coach AI has predicted over 1,000 matches: 50% correct outcome, 10%+ exact final score. The model consistently outperforms standard probability calculations and gives football fans the data they need to make truly informed predictions.

What data does Coach AI use for its predictions?

Coach AI combines Expected Goals (xG), recent team form over the last five matches, head-to-head records, up-to-date injury news, and tactical match-up analysis. The model is updated daily so every prediction reflects the most current information available.

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